Everything You Need To Know About New Jersey's Pending Sports Betting Ruling Which Could Come Any Day Now

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Everything you need to know about New Jersey’s pending high-stakes sports gambling ruling

By Will Hobson


A monumental month of court rulings ended this week without one judicial decision that America’s professional sports leagues, gamblers, gaming industry insiders and a few New Jersey lawmakers are anxiously awaiting.

The ruling in “NCAA, et al v. Governor of New Jersey, et al” was expected in June, and could come any day. A win for New Jersey could effectively legalize sports betting there and pave the way for legalization in other states. A win for sports leagues would preserve the ban on widespread sports betting outside Nevada in place since 1992.
This case is the latest chapter in New Jersey’s years-long fight to legalize sports betting, which lawmakers hope could help revive business in struggling Atlantic City casinos, which have seen crowds ebb as casino gambling has spread across the country. Three federal judges on the Third Circuit Court of Appeals heard oral arguments on March 17 in Philadelphia. The court usually takes about three months to return an appeals ruling, legal experts said, so a decision was expected in June.

Unlike the Supreme Court, which releases decisions before it recesses for the summer, federal appeals courts work year-round, and release decisions when they’re done.
“The deadline is when they feel like it. Nobody can tell them to speed it along. Their first priority is getting it right,” said Daniel Wallach, a sports gaming law expert and lawyer at Becker & Poliakoff in Ft. Lauderdale.

Wallach attended the oral arguments in March, and while he expects the sports leagues to prevail, he isn’t ruling out a New Jersey win, as he explained in a detailed blog post analyzing the case.

A brief history of New Jersey’s battle for legal sports betting
In 1992, pro sports leagues successfully lobbied Congress to pass the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act – commonly known as PASPA – which barred states that didn’t already have legal sports betting from adding it. This law effectively gave Nevada a sports gambling monopoly.


In 2012, New Jersey lawmakers tried to legalize sports betting anyway, and the leagues sued in federal court to stop it. New Jersey’s lawyers argued that PASPA was unconstitutional, but lost. On an appeal, the same federal appeals court mulling the current case ruled in favor of the sports leagues, but the judges left an opening for New Jersey.
PASPA is constitutional, the judges said then, but nothing prevented New Jersey from repealing its state laws against sports betting. The court basically left a path to legal sports betting similar to how Colorado and Washington got legal marijuana: remove the state laws, and hope federal law enforcement doesn’t put up a fight.
New Jersey lawmakers didn’t want to completely get rid of their state prohibitions on sports betting, though, which would send gamblers to newly emboldened neighborhood bookies. So in 2014, Gov. Chris Christie partially repealed New Jersey’s laws against sports betting, allowing it only in casinos and racetracks. The sports leagues sued, again.
The current case basically hinges on a debate over the exact meaning of six verbs in PASPA. The law says states can not “authorize, sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, or license” sports betting. New Jersey is arguing that this latest attempt does none of those things. The sports leagues are arguing that, by trying to only allow sports betting in state-licensed casinos and race tracks, New Jersey is authorizing sports betting, and is basically licensing it, too.

What’s at stake?
In the short-term, money.
If New Jersey wins, officials at Monmouth Park race track – who have already partnered with British gambling company William Hill in anticipation of eventual legalization – say they could have a sports book operational by football season, which begins in September. That would be a good idea, because football is by far the most popular sport for American sports gamblers.

In 2014, $3.9 billion was gambled on sports in Nevada, according to ananalysis of state gaming revenue reports by the UNLV Center for Gaming Research. Nearly half – $1.75 billion – was wagered on football. (That includes both the NFL and college football, the analysis doesn’t offer a breakdown by league). Basketball was the second most-popular sport for gambling, with $1.1 billion wagered. Baseball was third, with $722 million wagered.
In the long-term, a win for New Jersey could show other states interested in legal sports betting how to do it. And a win for the sports leagues could deal a crushing blow to the effort to legalize sports betting, or it could just be a setback, depending on the exact language of the ruling.


Why is the NBA suing to prevent legal sports betting if Commissioner Adam Silver has come out in favor of it?
Silver does want legal sports betting, but he wants a comprehensive, federal overhaul to America’s sports gambling law. Essentially, he wants PASPA repealed, so people across the country can bet on sports, and sports leagues and law enforcement can tightly control and monitor the American betting market, keeping an eye out for irregular betting activity that could indicate corruption.
Silver does not want an incremental, state-by-state switch, which is basically how America has always dealt with gambling. (See the histories of both state lotteries and casinos.) Interestingly, while the NBA is publicly opposing New Jersey in this case, some gaming law experts think Silver is privately hoping the sports leagues lose, giving him more leverage to convince his fellow commissioners that the fight to keep sports betting illegal outside Nevada is hopeless, and they should go to federal lawmakers and ask for a repeal of PASPA.

Can either side appeal?
Of course. This is the American judicial system, nothing is ever over. But this case is a big one, because any appeal faces long odds of getting heard. The losing side would first ask for a re-hearing en banc, which would mean asking all 23 judges in the Third Circuit, not just the three that heard the case, to weigh in. If that request is denied, there’s always the Supreme Court. But both are longshots. This ruling could be the last word from America’s courts on the fight to legalize sports betting for a while.
 

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New Jersey Still Waiting on Sports Betting Court Decision


by Haley Hintze on Sunday 5th July


New Jersey continues to look toward the United States’ judicial system for relief from a quarter-century-old law that prevents it and most other US states from offering state-regulated sports gambling. The latest war of legal words awaits a decision to be released “any day” by the US’s Third Circuit Court of Appeals, which continues to try to find the exact line between what New Jersey can offer and what is forbidden under US federal law.

As we’ve reported in the past, the United States’ major sports associations, plus the federal government, have successfully turned back nearly four years of legal efforts by New Jersey’s citizens and legislators to allow Nevada- and Europe-style sports betting in the state. Their main weapon: The US’s 1992 PASPA (Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act) law, which forbids sports betting in the US except for grandfathered states where it already existed.

Only Nevada had true single-team sports wagering at the time PASPA was passed and signed into law. New Jersey, the declining East Coast mecca of US gambling, has long eyed legalized sports betting as a way of recapturing its gambling consumers. Back in 2011 legal sports betting was approved in a voter referendum, and ever since, the state’s lawmakers have sought to find a way to move forward with that voter mandate, only to be stymied by the leagues and the US feds at every turn.

The 2015 edition of the New Jersey sports-betting legal way follows a ruling last November by US District Judge Michael J. Shipp, that invalidated the latest law passed by the state to find a way to let sportsbetting move forward. Within just three days New Jersey had appealed that ruling, in which Shipp stated that PASPA only forbids most US states from actively creating a regulatory framework under which legal sports betting can occur, but declared New Jersey’s law in violation of PASPA without exactly declaring why.

What Shipp declined to specify in his ruling was the very nature of the hair he was splitting: What must be included in or removed from any laws that New Jersey might pass to exercise their own state-level rights regarding sports gambling, thus nullifying PASPA in the process. The state’s appeal is an attempt to force the US federal judicial system to either clarify those circumstances or to declare PASPA unconstitutional; either outcome is okay by New Jersey’s interests.
Most of the activity in this latest appellate battle took place back in March. The three-judge appellate court heard oral arguments from the state on one side and the opposing leagues and the DOJ on the other back in March, but the Phuladelphia-based panel has yet to issue its ruling. Since then, the docket for the case shows only a couple of minutae — departures of a couple of lawyers (one each in May and June) from the healthy phalanx of high-priced legal counsel the five US sports associations have at their disposal.

It’s also interesting to note that National Basketball Association remains a party to the suit, against New Jersey’s plans, along with the NFL, NCAA, NHL and MLB. New NBA commish Adam Silver likely wants to see PASPA dispensed with as well, but he clearly wants to see a modernized federal framework put into place. However, Silver’s preferences, as with PASPA itself, exist as something of an anomaly in the US, where individual states have always had the final say on gaming laws within their borders.
When will the Third Circuit rule on New Jersey’s appeal? Many industry and legal watchers expected the ruling to be published in June. That it didn’t happen yet may be good news for the state, though the appellate court is under no specific deadline. Nonetheless, certain acquisitions and rumors within the now-legal US fantasy-gaming industry lend a tiny bit of credibility to the notion that a sea change may soon be at hand, and Nevada’s virtual monopoly over US-based sports betting might finally be coming to an end,
 

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With what has been passed as laws in the past month, how can sports betting not be not be legalized??

I mean, they act like its as bad as the Dukes of Hazzard.......
 

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Preview of New Jersey Sports Betting Decision and Likely Aftershocks

As we await the impending decision in the New Jersey sports betting case, no clear consensus has emerged as to which side will win. Those of us who were in attendance for the Third Circuit oral argument on March 17th are divided. While some seasoned observers, such as noted sports litigator*Alan Milstein,*believe*that New Jersey will prevail (and he may be right), others (such as myself) have a*hard time*wrapping their arms around the prospect of a federal appeals court actually blessing New Jersey's plan to legalize sports betting through a "partial repeal" that primarily benefits state-licensed casinos and racetracks. But my skepticism is not based on the law, but, rather, my sense that the Third Circuit may be reluctant to open the floodgates for nationwide*deregulated*legal sports betting (the "inevitable" consequence of any New Jersey victory) at casinos and racetracks. Putting my cynicism aside, I believe that New Jersey may hold the upper hand based on what unfolded at the oral argument. In contrast to the district court, which was concerned with the far-reaching implications of other states following New Jersey's blueprint (and thereby potentially weakening*PASPA), the Third Circuit signaled strongly that principles of statutory interpretation would dictate the outcome. And this bodes well for New Jersey.

Natural Meaning of the Word "Authorize"

The question asked repeatedly at oral argument was "what does 'authorize' mean"? It was asked no fewer than six times. Why is this one word so critically important? The answer lies in the plain language of the statute. Pursuant to*PASPA, states may not "authorize" sports wagering schemes (and also may not sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, or license such activities). The sports leagues take the position that New Jersey's partial repeal*law*is tantamount to an "authorization" of sports gambling because it allows such activity to take place only at state-licensed and state-regulated casinos and racetracks (and at former racetrack sites). New Jersey, on the other hand, maintains that its new law (which relies upon the Third Circuit's "exact contours" language in*Christie I*and the U.S. Solicitor General's*prior statement*that New Jersey is free to repeal its state-law prohibitions "in whole*or in part" without violating PASPA) is not an "authorization" of sports gambling because there would be no state involvement in that activity. New Jersey argues that the word "authorize" connotes some type of "affirmative" state sanctioning of the activity, i.e., placing the state's "imprimatur" on sports betting. The Third Circuit zeroed in on this difference, with one panelist pointedly asking whether "authorize" means "to permit" or "to allow" (as the leagues maintain) or whether it must rise to the level of a state sanctioning or approval of the activity (as New Jersey argues).

Principles of statutory interpretation would appear to support New Jersey's interpretation. The statutory term "authorize" is not defined by PASPA. When a statute itself does not define a term, courts will often construe the term in accordance with its ordinary or natural meaning. This exercise is highly favorable to New Jersey. According to Black's Law Dictionary, the word "authorize" means "to give legal authority; to empower; or to formally approve; to sanction." Similarly, according to the American Heritage Dictionary, to "authorize" means "to grant authority or power to. To give permission for; sanction." The American Heritage Dictionary supplements the above definition of "authorize" with the following example of its usage: "city agency that authorizes construction projects." Likewise, Webster's Third New International Dictionary defines "authorize" as meaning "to endorse, empower, or permit by or as if by some recognized or proper authority; to endow with effective legal power."

These definitions suggest that the term "authorize" does not merely mean "to permit" or "to allow," as the leagues contend. Rather, according to the natural meaning of the word "authorize," there must be an*affirmative*granting of approval to engage in the conduct in question. One of the Third Circuit judges, Marjorie Rendell, appeared to embrace this construction when she remarked that "to authorize" means "to give power of official meaning, that the state is involved in the process." And Judge Julio M. Fuentes (who authored the majority opinion in*Christie I) pointedly stated during an exchange with Paul Clement (the sports leagues' attorney) that "[a] repealer is a removal of the restrictions and of all criminal laws, but it doesn't mean that the government is saying go ahead and engage in that activity."

But the panel was also concerned about the "selective" nature of the partial repeal, suggesting that by restricting sports gambling to specific locations (e.g., casinos and racetracks) which are licensed and heavily regulated by the state, New Jersey may be "authorizing" that activity. One panelist found it "curious" that sports betting "is now being allowed only in places that have gambling licenses." And another panelist remarked that New Jersey's partial repeal law does more than just simply remove existing prohibitions: it "affirmatively permits" sports gambling at racetracks, casinos and former racetrack sites.

The "Associated Words Canon"


But other interpretative tools may strengthen New Jersey's hand. The most pivotal moment of the oral argument occurred when Judge Marjorie Rendell invoked the "associated words canon" during her questioning of Paul Clement, the leagues' counsel:

THE COURT: . . . here we have the words "sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, license, authorize," you know there is a canon, associated words canon, and all of these words anticipate something more, something, something affirmative.*

Should we not read "authorize" to mean something more than merely "permit"? Should we read it to say authorized by, you know, empowering, giving the state imprimatur, if you will. I get back to the issue of how do we read "authorize"? And doesn't the context in PASPA make it seem like the state has to do something by law that is a*scheme*as compared to just saying okay, you can do it at these places?

The "associated words canon" (also known as*noscitur a sociis) is a tool of statutory construction which provides that when a string of words are grouped together in a statute, they should bear on one another's meaning. Or, as the Supreme Court has put it, "'[a] word is known by the company it keeps-' a rule that is often wisely applied when a word is capable of many meanings in order to avoid the giving of unintended breadth to the Acts of Congress." Thus, an otherwise ambiguous statutory term may be given a more precise meaning by reference to the neighboring words with which it is associated.

Under this canon, the term "authorize" would be construed in light of the other verbs which accompany it in PASPA--"sponsoroperateadvertisepromote" and "license." Each of these associated words connotes some type of official involvement by the state in sports gambling. Judge Rendell hinted at this during the following exchange with Paul Clement, the former U.S Solicitor General and outside counsel for the sports leagues:

MR. CLEMENT: *. . . I mean I think that in terms of context you obviously can look at the surrounding words. I think you can also look at the legislative history. I think that's still allowed in this country. . . .*

THE COURT: But I don't think we can go beyond the language of the law and really look at that. I mean it's fair to know about it, but unless there's ambiguity in the law, you know there really isn't a need. And again I look at the other words and they require something more than - - - I mean they really require involvement of the state, "promoting, licensing, advertising," you know, putting its*seal of approval, if you will. . . .

Echoing this point, renowned appellate lawyer Ted Olson (representing Governor Christie) referred to the earlier Third Circuit opinion*which equated the PASPA verbiage (sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, license, and authorize) with a state "scheme":

MR. OLSON: *Well, I think that -- I read your opinion. And I read your opinion to mean that the words, and one of you referred to the fact that it's a*stream of words, it has to do with the state providing the approval, a mechanism. It's almost as if you have a license to put in the window saying this is permitted here. You said --*

THE COURT: We talk about a scheme also, a scheme.

MR. OLSON: You talked about a scheme and a regime, you talked about permit issuing, licensing, state issues license, affirmative authorization, authorization by law, state scheme, state sponsored, state sanctioned.

A look back at*Christie I*provides some context and insight into the Court's thinking. In*Christie I, the Third Circuit stated that "[a]ll that is prohibited [under PASPA] is the issuance of gambling 'license' or the affirmative 'authoriz[ation] by law' of gambling*schemes." Within the same paragraph, the Court reiterated that "PASPA speaks*only*of 'authorizing by law' a sports gambling*scheme." The use of the words "only" and "scheme" is notable here. It suggests that a partial repeal of state-law prohibitions against sports gambling would not violate PASPA*so long as there is no state scheme or involvement. The interplay of this key language with the interpretative tools discussed above would appear to leave New Jersey holding a strong hand following oral argument.

But Legislative History May Cut the Other Way

Although Judge Rendell downplayed the importance of PASPA's legislative history--saying it only came into play if there was an "ambiguity" in the statutory language--the Third Circuit will likely consult PASPA's background and motivating policies as part of its analysis. If the Court believes that there is a latent ambiguity in the meaning of the term "authorize" (which seemed to be the case at oral argument), then it will undoubtedly avail itself of all pertinent tools of statutory construction, including reviewing the legislative history of PASPA in addition to employing the "associated words canon" and other interpretive aids.

The legislative history of PASPA cuts both ways. While the express legislative purpose behind PASPA was to "stop the spread of*state-sponsored*sports betting," Congress was also concerned with maintaining the integrity of, and public confidence, in professional and amateur sporting events, which federal officials believed would be threatened by the widespread legalization of sports gambling. But the leagues' attorney, Paul Clement, wisely refrained from playing that card during oral argument, in all likelihood because one of his clients (the National Basketball Association) has evolved in its thinking and now*believes*that the legalization of sports betting (through the adoption of a federal framework) would actually serve to*promote*the integrity of sporting events.

Instead, Mr. Clement pointed to language in Senate Report 102-48 expressing concern about the prospect of sports gambling "spreading" to racetracks and casinos, and specifically mentioning Florida as one of the states that was contemplating approving some form of sports gambling for its racetracks as part of legislation "reauthorizing" Florida's pari-mutuel wagering statute (when it was originally set to expire in the early 1990's):

MR. CLEMENT: f you look at the Senate report, there are three things that it's crystal clear Congress is concerned about. They're concerned about states having state lotteries that involve sports gambling. They are concerned with racetracks that already have venues for state authorized gambling having sports gambling. If you look at the Senate Report it's very specific.*

At the time Florida is going through the process of renewing the licenses of its racetracks. And Congress is worried that they're going to get involved in sports gambling as a way -- this is 20 years ago, or 20 plus years ago, but the horse tracks were already in a little bit of financial trouble, and there was concern that they're going to try to add sports gambling as the next solution. And Congress was very concerned about that.

[Congress was also] concerned about . . . what they called in the Senate report "casino style" sports gambling, and they were specifically focused on the New Jersey situation. . . . Now, I think what that shows you is that Congress was particularly concerned with the idea that sports gambling would take place in the venues that states had selected as the being the venues for state authorized gambling.

But there are several flaws with Mr. Clement's decision to highlight only select*portions*of the Senate Report. For one, it makes no mention of the primary legislative intent behind PASPA: to stop the spread of state-sponsored*sports betting and to maintain the integrity of sporting events. If the Third Circuit is going to consider PASPA's legislative history, then it must consider the*entire*Senate Report, and not just select portions thereof. Second, whatever concern that Congress may have had about casinos and racetracks offering sports gambling was solely in the context of state-sponsored gambling "schemes." Along those lines, the Senate Report noted that "n the broader sports gambling area, States are considering a wide variety of State-sponsored*gambling*schemes," specifically mentioning both the Florida racetrack situation and "casino-style" sports gambling. But New Jersey's partial repeal law (which would entail no state oversight of sports gambling) would not seem to fit the rubric of a state-sponsored "scheme." Thus, the legislative history would not appear to be as one-sided as Mr. Clement suggests.

The "Rule of Lenity"

Although not raised during oral argument or in the parties' written submissions, there is yet another canon of statutory interpretation that could tip the scales in favor of New Jersey--the "rule of lenity." The rule of lenity holds that "where there is ambiguity in a criminal statute, doubts are resolved in favor of the defendant." This is the judicial equivalent of the baseball maxim "the tie goes to the runner." Courts will apply the rule of lenity when, after all the tools of interpretation have been applied, a reasonable doubt as to statutory interpretation persists. The rule of lenity is premised on two ideas. First, a fair warning should be given to the world in language that the common world will understand, of what the law intends to do if a certain line is crossed. A second goal of the rule of lenity is to minimize the risk of selective or arbitrary enforcement, and to maintain the proper balance between Congress, prosecutors, and the courts. Or, as the Supreme Court put it, "legislatures and not courts should define criminal activity."

But the rule of lenity is not automatically applied merely because there is some ambiguity in the statute under review. In order for the*rule*to apply, there must be a “grievous ambiguity or uncertainty in the language and structure of the statute." Lenity is reserved for those situations in which reasonable doubt persists about a statute's intended scope "even after resort to the language, structure, legislative history, and motivating policies of the statute in question." It will be invoked only if, after seizing everything from which aid can be derived, the court can make no more than a "guess" as to what Congress intended. In other words, the rule of lenity is an interpretive tool of "last resort."

The "rule of lenity" could come into play here as the Third Circuit wrestles with the critical question of just how far a repeal must go in order to not violate PASPA. There are no clear answers. And oral argument only added to the confusion, with the leagues retreating from their earlier position and conceding that something less than a "complete repeal" might be allowed under PASPA. But both the leagues and the DOJ struggled to pinpoint the line of demarcation. When asked by Judge Fuentes how far a repeal must go, Mr. Clement vaguely answered "pretty far," suggesting that "the dividing line is maybe around 50 percent." Determining whether a partial repeal of a criminal law constitutes an "authorization" of the activity and then pinpointing the dividing line is no easy task, even after employing canons of statutory construction and reviewing the legislative history of the statute. The Third Circuit may well conclude that this is an area of "grievous ambiguity or uncertainty," and invoke the rule of lenity in favor of New Jersey. I do not expect this to happen, particularly since it was not raised by the parties or by the Court. But it remains a possibility.

Absence of Word "Regulate" from PASPA May Help New Jersey's Chances

During last month's oral argument, Judge Fuentes (the author of the Third Circuit's majority opinion in*Christie I) expressed concern that New Jersey's partial repeal law would have the effect of allowing*completelyunregulated*sports betting to take place at state gambling venues. He suggested that this would be anathema to PASPA's goal of preserving the integrity of sporting events. Judge Fuentes' concerns go to the very heart of why I believe New Jersey may be on the losing side (yet again) despite having what I consider to be the better of the legal arguments under a pure statutory interpretation analysis. The following exchange between Judge Fuentes and Mr. Olson demonstrates this tension:

THE COURT: I'm really impressed in how this whole thing is going to unfold, because I was very impressed, in reading your brief, with the number of regulations that the state is repealing, including oversight by the state and Casino Control Commission, the Division of Gaming Enforcement. They will all, according to the state, have no role whatsoever in sports betting.

MR. OLSON: *Correct. And that's --*

THE COURT: *Well, I'm a little concerned about that, because the function of those [regulatory bodies] is to preserve integrity in the process and now the state is saying they're out of this. So this is essentially a laissez-faire. Sports betting is going to take place in the casino with no oversight whatsoever.

MR. OLSON: That's right. As I said, like a ping-pong table game or a debate tournament.

THE COURT: I guess it's not for us to say that's good or bad. . . If it were, I would have a response to that.

But then Judge Rendell (who was not part of the*Christie I*panel) weighed in and suggested that it might still be possible to read PASPA as not prohibiting the states from "regulating" sports betting. She noted that PASPA is "so specific" and that there are six verbs contained within PASPA identifying the activities states may not engage in (e.g., sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, license, or authorize), and noting that "regulate" is not one of them. She then posited that "some modicum" of state regulation could be "appropriate." Consider the following exchange:

THE COURT: Do you read PASPA as saying that, assuming the law were repealed in toto and operations came up all across the state, of sports gambling, do you read PASPA to prohibit the state from regulating, imposing any kind of regulations on the sports gaming?

MR. OLSON: Well, that's what our opponents are essentially saying now.

THE COURT: But I'm asking you, is that how you read it? . . .

MR. OLSON: . . . If the state is engaged, to address your exact question, in regulating the activity, that might involve the imprimatur of . . . regulation and control.

THE COURT: But which verb under PASPA would regulation fall under? It's not sponsoring, it's not operating, its not advertising; promoting; licensing; or authorizing. It's regulating. Would that be permissible? . . .*

MR. OLSON: Well, I think it is a different question . . .*

THE COURT: PASPA is so specific. There are six specific activities that you cannot engage in, but regulating is not part of that.

MR. OLSON: That's right.

THE COURT: So I'm just wondering, maybe thinking out loud, that maybe some modicum of regulation is appropriate if you were right in the first instance.

This could be a real "game-changer" for New Jersey. If, as Judge Rendell suggested, states could repeal sports betting prohibitions but still be allowed to "regulate" the activity (so long as they do not sponsor, operate, advertise, promote, license, or authorize it), this might be the type of compromise that avoids the "wild-west" scenario feared by Judge Fuentes. It would allow the Third Circuit to interpret PASPA in a manner that is favorable to New Jersey (and in accordance with the above-described canons of statutory construction) without having to worry about the negative consequences associated with unregulated sports betting. At the very least, this reveals Judge Rendell to be an "outside the box" thinker. As noted earlier, Judge Rendell was also the panelist who invoked the "associated words canon" during oral argument. Her comments from the bench strongly suggest that she might be inclined to rule in favor of New Jersey (or is at least looking for a reason to do so). But she will need at least one more judge to join her (there are three judges on the panel), and her statement concerning the ability of states to "regulate" sports gambling without violating PASPA may be just the vehicle to accomplish that.

The Long-Range Implications of the Third Circuit's Decision

The Third Circuit's decision--regardless of the result--will have far-reaching consequences for the U.S. sports industry (and New Jersey's gaming industry). If New Jersey prevails, sports betting could become a reality at the state's licensed casinos and racetracks in time for the beginning of the 2015 NFL season. But as the decision date stretches into July, that may prove to be a long shot (even with a New Jersey victory) because the leagues and the U.S. Department of Justice would have 45 days to file a petition for rehearing en banc. (Rehearing en banc is a mechanism available to the losing side to seek review of the decision by the*entire*court, rather than just the three-judge panel that decided the appeal). Normally, the deadline for seeking rehearing is 14 days from the date of the decision. But since the federal government is a party, the leagues would have 45 days to file a petition for rehearing. That means we are looking at a late August deadline, assuming that there is a panel decision by mid-July. Thus, for Monmouth Park Racetrack to be able to offer sports betting by Week 1 of the 2015 NFL season (September 10), an appellate decision*plus*a denial of rehearing would have to occur no later than September 3, 2015 since the injunction entered by the lower court would not be lifted until 7 days has passed from the denial of rehearing. With each passing "non-decision" day, the prospect of Monmouth Park Racetrack launching sports betting in time for Week 1 of the 2015 NFL season is in jeopardy, but I'm sure that the track operators will settle for*any*date in 2015 (or even 2016).

The impact of a New Jersey victory would extend far beyond the state's borders. One immediate aftershock of such an upset (I now give New Jersey a 40% of chance of prevailing, increased slightly after oral argument) is that neighboring states (such as Pennsylvania and Delaware, which are part of the Third Circuit territory) would likely follow New Jersey's "court-blessed" blueprint and enact their own version of a partial repeal law in reliance on the Third Circuit's decision. Looking beyond the Third Circuit's jurisdictional territory, we could see as many as 10 other states passing similar partial repeal laws within a matter of months following a New Jersey victory. Several states--most notably, Minnesota, Indiana and South Carolina, to name just a few--are not even waiting. The legislatures of those states have already proposed bills legalizing single-game sports wagering (but not the partial repeal version favored by New Jersey). While these bills are only in a preliminary stage at this juncture, expect them to be fast-tracked if New Jersey wins.

Further, a victory by New Jersey will undoubtedly—and perhaps quickly—lead to new federal legislation that would expand legalized sports betting beyond Nevada.*This is because New Jersey’s version of legal sports betting would be “unregulated" (meaning no governmental oversight). While NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has come out*in favor of*legal sports betting, he maintains that it needs to be “regulated” in order to preserve the integrity of the league’s games. A New Jersey victory would open the door to “unregulated” sports betting, a prospect that the NBA, the other sports leagues, and Congress are desperate to avoid. But the leagues and Congress have offered no definitive timetable for federal legislative reform, or any guarantees. Most observers believe that there is little chance of any Congressional action before 2017 (especially with a Presidential election next year). A New Jersey victory would likely change all that, and accelerate the timetable for federal legalization to 2016 (or perhaps even this year). Thus, regardless of the result, the Third Circuit’s decision will likely go a long way toward determining the “timing” of when sports wagering becomes legal in the United States.


But even if New Jersey were to lose the appeal, the eventual Third Circuit opinion will likely include language that provides New Jersey officials with some guidance for future legislative efforts. One possibility that was suggested at oral argument is the idea of a partial repeal based on geographic boundaries rather than favoring specific industries. The Court hinted that such a regime might not violate PASPA, and I would not surprised if that were the eventual solution reached by the panel (although courts are not typically in the business of issuing "advisory opinions"). New Jersey would then be poised to follow such a “roadmap” and introduce new legislation right away. Thus, regardless of the result, New Jersey may be inching closer towards achieving its goal of legal sports betting.

Daniel Wallach


*
 

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Possible Reasons for NJ Sports Betting Delay

Amazingly, we are still waiting for a decision in the New Jersey sports betting case. If you recall, New Jersey's plan to legalize sports betting is the subject of an ongoing federal court battle playing out before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. It has been slightly more than five months since the oral argument. Many observers (including me) predicted that the appeal would be decided by May or June, since court statistics reveal that the average time between oral argument and a final decision is 2.7 months. That wait-time has now nearly doubled. I would have expected the Third Circuit to rule by May (or June that the latest) given the absence of any federal constitutional challenges in Christie II (the latest iteration of this controversy). In Christie I, the Third Circuit had to address complex constitutional issues under the Tenth Amendment, the Commerce Clause and the Equal Sovereignty doctrine, and was still able to issue a jumbo 128-page opinion less than three months following the oral argument in that case. By contrast, Christie II is much narrower in scope: the Third Circuit only has to address whether New Jersey’s partial repeal law rises to the level of an “authorization” for purposes of PASPA. There are no constitutional issues. This is a much cleaner opinion to write.


So why the delay then? There may be several factors in play. First, this is an important decision that will have far-reaching consequences. We are talking about the potential nationwide legalization of sports betting. These are big stakes. The Court’s charge is to get it right, not to satisfy any arbitrary deadline. There are a lot of eyes on this case, and many believe that it is ultimately headed to rehearing en banc (and possibly the U.S. Supreme Court), regardless of who wins. With the prospect of further judicial review a realistic possibility here, it does not surprise me that the Court is taking its time with the decision. No judge wants to be second-guessed. But the delay could also be a sign that this case is not quite the "slam dunk” that many observers originally believed it to be. Oral argument certainly helped New Jersey’s cause (pushing its chances of success to closer to 40%, maybe even much higher), and it may very well be that this case is now “too close to call,” which may explain the delay in the court's decision-making. Could there be a dissenting opinion in the works? Based on the divided oral argument (with Judge Marjorie Rendell seemingly firmly in New Jersey’s camp, or was she just playing devil’s advocate?), it would appear that this case is primed for another dissenting opinion (just like in Christie I).


Or could the delay here just simply be a function of the Third Circuit’s busy workload. Statistics published by the Administrative Office of the United States Courts bear this out. In 2013, when Christie I was decided, the median time for an appeal to be decided (using the filing of the notice of appeal as the starting point) was only 5.9 months. In 2014, that number spiked to 7.1 months (a greater than twenty percent increase), and, in 2015, that number increased further to 7.8 months. So, since Christie I was decided, it is now taking the Third Circuit on average nearly two months longer to decide cases. The current appeal has been pending for only 8 months and 13 days, which is several weeks less than the Circuit average for all of 2015. Thus, the current delay is nothing out of the ordinary.


The complexity of the case is certainly at the crux of it though. As an appellate lawyer, I have seen decisions issued following oral argument in as a few as three weeks. But I have also been part of cases where it took more than one year for a decision to be issued. The wait may soon be over, if the calendar is any indication. As my friend and colleague, Alan Milstein, pointed out the other day, the timing of the opinion may correlate to the employment status of the judicial law clerks (I believe each federal appellate judge gets three). As the judge’s law clerks start departing their clerkships for “greener” pastures around Labor Day, Alan expects to see a flurry of opinions released in the latter part of August, as the departing clerks look to "clear the decks" for the incoming clerks. We could very well see the New Jersey opinion included in this late-August release, particularly if the clerk assigned to write the first draft of the opinion is leaving his or her clerkship at around the same. So, if Alan is right (and never bet against him!), the wait shouldn’t be that much longer.

-- Daniel Wallach
 

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Maybe these badtards wanna see how Fantasy Sports does before allowing other legal sports betting?

I don't know, who knows wtf these clowns are doing when sitting around a table trying to figure it out.

Maybe they're trying to figure out how they will cut up the taxes & other profits from this.....

Get it passed & let's see NJ have legal sports betting at Monmouth, then by next season we in Pa. could possible have it in our casinos, & so can every casino in AC.... ..
 

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What is NJ thinking? They are letting Atlantic City fall into the ocean. They should have passed this 5+ years ago to try to reboot the economy in AC alone.
 

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