ERockMoney MMA Outlook

[ERockMoney]

+23.497

UFC 264:

2.0 Poirier -120 / 0.3 by SUB +800 / 0.1 SUB Rd3 +4000 / 0.1 SUB Rd4 +6600 / 0.3 McGregor KO/TKO Rd1 +500
1.0 Tuivasa -130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +175
1.0 Kunitskaya +105 / 0.3 by DEC +175
0.5 Condit +165 / 0.15 by DEC +300
1.0 Price +155 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +340
1.0 Hall +200 / 0.3 by DEC +700
1.0 Du Plessis -108 / 0.3 by SUB +550 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1000
1.0 Ahkmedov +150 / 0.3 by DEC +285

Enjoy the fights.

Continued success.

 

[ERockMoney]

+20.972

UFC Vegas 31:

1.0 Makhachev by U DEC +160
1.0 Tate -140 / 0.3 by SUB +850
1.0 Gamrot ITD +170
1.0 Vieira by SUB +100
1.0 Quarantillo +150 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +800 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +2000
1.0 Morozov +130 / 0.3 by DEC +240
0.5 Gordon +270 / 0.15 by SUB +850

Continued success.

 

[ERockMoney]

Adding….

0.5 Nascimento by SUB +100
0.5 Ruiz +450 / 0.15 by SUB +1600
1.0 Tate -140 / 0.3 by DEC +140

Continued success.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Adding….

0.5 Nascimento by SUB +100
0.5 Ruiz +450 / 0.15 by SUB +1600
1.0 Tate -140 / 0.3 by DEC +140

Continued success.

so is that 2* on Tate and .3 each on SUB and DEC?

 

[ERockMoney]

so is that 2* on Tate and .3 each on SUB and DEC?

Yes sir.

Best of luck tonight.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

wow Quarantillo in the 3rd!

 

[PatsFan1283]

I never bet WMMA but feel like an idiot for not betting Tate, obviously UFC gave her a fight they figured she could win. She's a pretty big name that I'm sure they would like to get a few big fights out of.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

helluva night, congrats.

 

[ERockMoney]

I never bet WMMA but feel like an idiot for not betting Tate, obviously UFC gave her a fight they figured she could win. She's a pretty big name that I'm sure they would like to get a few big fights out of.

I was definitely thinking they want to build Tate back up for another run. She was quite popular with the fans during her last run and she’s pretty well rounded, Reneau was a gimme. I was a little hesitant due to the five year layoff, but figured if Tate had anything left she’d cruise to a victory.

 

[ERockMoney]

I wish I got him at -110, it is -125 now. Line moved after that staph infection stuff but it has also stayed there.

I also think Sandhagen schools TJ, TJ is 35, 2.5yrs off at 135 where fighters don't have much longevity. Seems like that fight kinda goes similar to Font/Garbrandt where he gets picked apart at range and unless he can use his wrestling, he's just gonna lose a standup fight. All those awkward angles/movements he has probably be nullified by reach as well.

That division just moves fast.

I was totally with you on Sandhagen-TJ, but the more I’m looking into it I’m strongly leaning towards playing Dillashaw at +170. I have Sandhagen priced at -120, but I may be misreading the layoff factor for Dillashaw. I’m a Sandhagen fan, but he’s getting a bit inflated off his last two dominant wins, which came against guys who are on massive declines in their career.

I’ll be curious how Sandhagen fares if this fight drags on into the championship rounds. I don’t believe he’s ever gone past three rounds and we know Dillashaw can fight a full five. Dillashaw did finally get his shoulder repaired during his suspension, but not sure how much, if at all, that truly was a problem for him in the past. Dillashaw may be a shell of himself and simply get rolled, but if he has anything left and is fighting for redemption he’s worth a look IMO.

 

[ERockMoney]

+31.892

UFC ESPN 27:

0.5 Belbita +100 / 0.15 by DEC +175
1.0 Reed +315 / 0.3 by DEC +525
0.5 Arce ITD +280 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +650 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1400
1.0 Yanez by KO/TKO +105 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd2 +600
1.0 Imavov +145 / 0.3 by DEC +330
1.0 Elkins +135 / 0.3 by SUB +600 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1800
1.0 Paiva +240 / 0.3 by DEC +500
1.0 Dillashaw +175 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +445 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd4 +3300 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd5 +5000

Continued success.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

+31.892

UFC ESPN 27:

0.5 Belbita +100 / 0.15 by DEC +175
1.0 Reed +315 / 0.3 by DEC +525
0.5 Arce ITD +280 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +650 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1400
1.0 Yanez by KO/TKO +105 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd2 +600
1.0 Imavov +145 / 0.3 by DEC +330
1.0 Elkins +135 / 0.3 by SUB +600 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1800
1.0 Paiva +240 / 0.3 by DEC +500
1.0 Dillashaw +175 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +445 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd4 +3300 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd5 +5000

Continued success.

holy fuck what a card for you AGAIN thank you

 

[exploited17]

Nice to see Dillashaw win even though he is a cheater. Entertaining fighter. He needs to mix in some body shots with his boxing. At this level that is to much head hunting
Great picking EM

 

[MattyMatt]

Nice to see Dillashaw win even though he is a cheater. Entertaining fighter. He needs to mix in some body shots with his boxing. At this level that is to much head hunting
Great picking EM

he chose leg kicks over body and I can’t blame him! He did however land 9/11 body shots. 69 leg kicks is beautiful, though. Pretty good game plan if you asked me, and it worked…

 

[ERockMoney]

+43.455

UFC on ESPN 28:

1.0 Strickland by KO/TKO +200 / 0.5 U 2.5 +120 / 0.3 U 1.5 +215 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd2 +1000
0.5 De Paula +150 / 0.15 by DEC +250
1.0 Barberena by KO/TKO +160 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd 1 +400
1.0 Garcia ITD +130 / 0.3 by SUB +260 / 0.1 SUB Rd2 +850
1.0 Chavez +100 / 0.3 by DEC +260
1.0 Frey by DEC +230
1.0 Rowe +140 / 0.3 by SUB +750

Continued success.

 

[ERockMoney]

+42.205

UFC 265:

1.0 Lewis +310 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +420 / 0.1 KO/TKO Rd2 +1600 / 0.1 Gane by SUB +1000
1.0 Munhoz +100 / 0.3 by DEC +240 / 0.1 win in Rd3 +1600
1.0 Chiesa +100 / 0.3 by SUB +500
1.0 Torres -135 / 0.3 by DEC +120
1.0 Morales/Rodriguez U 2.5 +120 / 0.3 U 1.5 +200
1.0 Kape ITD +200 / 0.1 win in Rd2 +750
1.0 Gatto +100 / 0.3 by SUB +230 / 0.1 SUB Rd1 +700
1.0 Munoz by SUB +210 / 0.1 SUB Rd1 +600

Continued success.

 

[EveryGamblersDream]

Good luck tonight. I am just betting Lewis by TO/KO or DQ in every round for a dime a piece for a nice quick payday. Torres is tempting to me.

 

[ERockMoney]

+42.565:

UFC Vegas 34:

1.0 Madsen -155 / 0.3 by DEC +135
1.0 Porter +170 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Kakharamonov/Jones U 1.5 +135
1.0 Lingo +105 / 0.3 by DEC +265
1.0 Pilarte +155 / 0.3 by SUB +550
1.0 Knight/Cherant U 1.5 +135
1.0 Bahamondes +130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +460
1.0 Palatnikov +135 / 0.3 by DEC +355

Continued success.

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

I hate when I disagree with you, I though Clay Guida looked really good in his last fight , both his boxing and ground game, and Chase Sherman would have the better low kicks and faster hands.

 

[ERockMoney]

I hate when I disagree with you, I though Clay Guida looked really good in his last fight , both his boxing and ground game, and Chase Sherman would have the better low kicks and faster hands.

I don’t disagree on Sherman, he will be the faster man and has a decent low kick game. I mainly played Porter due to the line, I had him priced at +130-135. I’m not high on Sherman at all and his best performances he was juicing, that being said, not sure if Porter has much himself. If he can survive the early onslaught I think he can push around/takedown a gassed Sherman.

As for Guida, I just don’t see him surviving the wrestling of Madsen. Madsen has no stand up and very questionable cardio, but he’s such a dominant wrestler he should have his way early. I don’t see Guida getting the finish, unless it’s late and Madsen gasses badly, but I’m expecting a 20-18 Madsen score line and likely having to sweat out the third.

Best of luck with your action.