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UFC 294:

1.0 Volkanovski +220 / 0.3 by DEC +480
1.0 Chimaev ITD -130
1.0 Ankalaev ITD -115
1.0 Mokaev by SUB +205
1.0 Peek by KO/TKO +110
1.0 Silva +250 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +450

Continued success.
 

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Adding…..

1.0 Parlay: Aliskerov ITD, Nurmagomedov, Wood by DEC to win 3.364
0.2 Azaitar by KO/TKO +440

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I am on Volk +480 by decision as well, worth a shot if he can keep it standing
Probably the smarter option, could Volk knock him out or sub him, possibly, but unlikely. I may have misjudged that read, had an inkling Volk just erupts and cements his legacy with a brutal finish, but the reality of that storyline, is more Hollywood than a good read on my part.

That being said, I firmly believe Volk won the first fight and Islam ain’t no joke. Islam probably brutally smokes every LW there is, and there’s some good ones. Not Volk though, guy is a different level, same as Islam. Neither guy will probably ever get tested as much as they will against each other, and they both seem to know it, which is odd to me.

On a side note, one of my buddies, who’s one of the best combat sports gamblers I’ve ever come across, and I came across a lifetime of gamblers, unloaded on Islam inside the distance, think he said he got +160/165 earlier in the week.

Best of luck this weekend.
 

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UFC São Paulo:

0.3 Lewis by KO +500
0.5 Dalby +460 / 0.15 by DEC +800
1.0 Vieira -105 / 0.3 by SUB +200
0.5 Zaleski dos Santos +300 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +1000
1.0 Bukauskas +210 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Hill by DEC +150
0.3 Diakiese by KO/TKO +460

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UFC 295:

1.0 Prochazka +110 / 0.3 by SUB +1000 / 0.1 win in Rd4 +1900
1.0 Aspinall -110 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +220 / 0.1 KO/TKO in Rd2 +1400
1.0 Sabatini -110 / 0.3 by SUB +320
0.5 Rebecki by KO/TKO +165
1.0 Sadykhov -130 / 0.3 by SUB +420
1.0 Madsen +180 / 0.3 by DEC +275 / 0.1 Gordon win in Rd3 +1400
1.0 Castaneda -125 / 0.3 by DEC +200

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I like Edwards vs Colby.....Colby is getting up there in age for that weight class, he has 1 win in his last 4 years now and that is over a washed Woodley. He's a good fighter but once that pressure wrestling style doesn't work for him anymore, he's gonna be ordinary pretty fast.
 

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I like Edwards vs Colby.....Colby is getting up there in age for that weight class, he has 1 win in his last 4 years now and that is over a washed Woodley. He's a good fighter but once that pressure wrestling style doesn't work for him anymore, he's gonna be ordinary pretty fast.
I’m with you, I’ll be on Edwards at this price, no doubt. Just hoping we don’t see Colby lay on him for twenty-five minutes.
 

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UFC Austin:

1.0 Dariush +250 / 0.3 by DEC +575
1.0 Green +180 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +480
1.0 Figueiredo +120 / 0.3 by DEC +400
1.0 Brady -118 / 0.3 by DEC +275
1.0 Solecki +115 / 0.3 by DEC +300
1.0 Garcia +210 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Gooden +165 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +460

Get ready for some wild judging in Texas.

Continued success.
 

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I thought Bobby Green might die in there, that has to be latest stoppage I've ever seen.
 

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Vegas 83:

1.0 Smith +185 / 0.3 by DEC +650
1.0 Munoz +160 / 0.3 by SUB +300
1.0 Joussett -150 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +265
1.0 Garcia +215 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +450
1.0 Egger +145 / 0.3 by DEC +310

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UFC 296:

1.0 Edwards -160 / 0.3 by DEC +150
1.0 Pantoja by SUB +150
0.5 Thompson +490 / 0.15 by KO/TKO +1400
0.5 Ferguson +250 / 0.15 by DEC +750
1.0 Menifield +240 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Gaziev +120 / 0.3 by SUB +800

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I got Edwards -115 when I mentioned it over a month ago, -165 now so we'll see what happens. I'll take that CLV every time but I actually do think people are underrating some intangible factors with this fight that I didn't consider a month ago (again would've bet it either way)

I doubt ref lets Edwards get away with 1/10 of the BS he got away with in the 2nd Usman fight. Also think a close decision in vegas that Edwards is gonna have a tough time (and obviously fight big fav to go to decision) with Colby being one of the few draws UFC has left, Trump being there and that whole angle etc

If it was 3 years ago I probably would've just liked Colby straight up given the backdrop, but he's definitely slowed down some and his style usually doesn't age well.
 

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Really curious to see how Covington looks. If he hasn’t lost a step, depreciating, etc. he could just wrestle fuck Edwards for the bulk LV the fight and take an easy decision. I suspect he’s definitely lost a step or two and could be in big trouble on the feet and if he can’t work his chain wrestling game like he used to, Edwards likely works him over.

Agree, nervous any close decision goes Covington’s way, even if he loses 3-2 in most people eyes. I’m thinking this might end up being an easy Edwards decision.

I got Edwards -135 earlier, but didn’t have time to post. -115 even better, good job beating the move. Edwards opened +110, I believe.

Best of luck tonight.
 

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That wasn't even competitive, easiest money you can make. Colby never had a chance, the theory he was going to be slowed down was spot on.

He was cooked. Not the best performance from Leon either but when Colby isn't even coming forward, it makes it tough to bring fireworks.


Rest of card sucked I thought, 125 shouldn't even be a division.
 

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UFC 297:

1.0 Du Plessis -108 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +250
0.5 Pennington +140 / 0.15 by DEC +260
1.0 Barriault +160 / 0.3 by DEC +410
1.0 Allen +160 / 0.3 by DEC +325
1.0 Kantona by DEC +130
1.0 Patterson +125 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +480

What shit card for a PPV, just keeps getting worse.

Continued success.
 

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I think Drek wins too.
Size and strength/power should be enough imo.
I think he can take him down and likely will.
 

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UFC Vegas 85:

1.0 Dolidze +145 / 0.3 by DEC +700
1.0 Salikov +230 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +500
1.0 Muradov +130 / 0.3 by KO/TKO +350
1.0 Radtke +180 / 0.3 by DEC +575
1.0 Johnson +190 / 0.3 by DEC +335
1.0 Bilder +140 / 0.3 by SUB +500
1.0 Quinones +120 / 0.3 by DEC +275

Continued success.
 

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I like the value on the Muradov wager, Aliaskhab Khizriv seem pretty untested with no significant wins on paper, Khizriv wrestling was very technically sound in the Denis Tiuliulin fight, but Denis Tiuliulin is a completely offal, and they were even on the feet,
 

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