SageStats ensign_lee
Bets not tracked at SageStats can be found at http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=plRZps_o67n9OmfDlRSHfbA&hl=en
YTD: 20-15
Units Won: +29.90
Last week: 2-3
Units Won: -2.135
~~~
Ended up on the shorter side of the coin a few times last week. But lal in all, I think I'd make the same bets again. The Texans were in it right until the end last week, and fell *just short*. But hey, them's the ropes.
I usually end up doing poorly in games where the spread comes into play because I almost never take points instead of taking dogs straight up, and almost never take the favorite straight up and instead lay the points. In the last 4 dog moneyline bets I made, 3 of them covered the spread, but didn't get the win. It happens; hopefully, just not so much in the future.
But anyway, enough of last week's recap. I'm posting this thread early this time, because I believe this line will move, and not in my favor.
~~~
Indianapolis Colts -3 (-110)
4.5 units at BetTrojan
Last week's victory was ridiculously deflating, and as a Texans fan, that just sucks. Because our team usually ends up coming in hungover the next. We had tons of opportunities to win the game, notably 4th and 8 when we let Garrard run in for the conversion.
They never do well coming off of an emotional loss. You saw it last year after we rallied back from 25 behind to start the 4th quarter against the Titans, only to fall short at the last second. The next week, at San Diego, final score: 35-10, and the game wasn't as close as that score makes it seem, either. The year before that? Vince Young runs it in against us in overtime...blech, in a closer fought divisional rivalry game. Next week's game against New England? 40-7.
Whether it be because of lack of focus during the week, or players remembering what happened, it just never turns out all that well for my Texans.
I am a little worried that the line came out at -3 and that the IND/HOU game is the first on the board. I expected the line to come out closer to IND -6, as they've owned us so badly in the past, both SU and ATS, and because the public perception of the Texans is low while the Colts is high. But that doesn't change the fact that I don't see how the Texans can pull this one out.
Our defense, already not that good as it was, lost our starting SS this week. Our original backup we ended up cutting; we trie dout 8 new DBs this week, presumably to try to fill that spot and get someone up to speed to matchup against the Colts this week. Seriuosly? We're having tryingouts the week of the game? That's messed up.
And though Schaub looked tons better, I'm not completely convinced that we can win a shootout with the Colts, even if their defense isn't doing as well. Peyton, on the other hand, even though he's been struggling this year, has always wtfpwned my Texans. If you go to NFL.com's preview of the game, you'll even see them mocking us there "Manning has 10 touchdowns and no interceptions in his past four games against the Texans." Blah. It sucks to be a Texans fan.
Indianapolis is also coming off a bye, and I think that Tony Dungy will have used his bye week to effectively heal his players, as well as gameplan around his team's deficiencies. Even if Saturday and Clark aren't back in the lineup (and I'm thinking they will), our defensive line couldn't even get proper pressure against the Jags porous line last week. Damn.
Already 80% of the bets are coming in on Indianapolis and even Pinnacle is bowing to that volume, altering its odds on IND -3. I doubt this line will last, so I'm posting it now so that people can actually get it.
I'll have the rest of my bets up later in the week.
Bets not tracked at SageStats can be found at http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=plRZps_o67n9OmfDlRSHfbA&hl=en
YTD: 20-15
Units Won: +29.90
Last week: 2-3
Units Won: -2.135
~~~
Ended up on the shorter side of the coin a few times last week. But lal in all, I think I'd make the same bets again. The Texans were in it right until the end last week, and fell *just short*. But hey, them's the ropes.
I usually end up doing poorly in games where the spread comes into play because I almost never take points instead of taking dogs straight up, and almost never take the favorite straight up and instead lay the points. In the last 4 dog moneyline bets I made, 3 of them covered the spread, but didn't get the win. It happens; hopefully, just not so much in the future.
But anyway, enough of last week's recap. I'm posting this thread early this time, because I believe this line will move, and not in my favor.
~~~
Indianapolis Colts -3 (-110)
4.5 units at BetTrojan
Last week's victory was ridiculously deflating, and as a Texans fan, that just sucks. Because our team usually ends up coming in hungover the next. We had tons of opportunities to win the game, notably 4th and 8 when we let Garrard run in for the conversion.
They never do well coming off of an emotional loss. You saw it last year after we rallied back from 25 behind to start the 4th quarter against the Titans, only to fall short at the last second. The next week, at San Diego, final score: 35-10, and the game wasn't as close as that score makes it seem, either. The year before that? Vince Young runs it in against us in overtime...blech, in a closer fought divisional rivalry game. Next week's game against New England? 40-7.
Whether it be because of lack of focus during the week, or players remembering what happened, it just never turns out all that well for my Texans.
I am a little worried that the line came out at -3 and that the IND/HOU game is the first on the board. I expected the line to come out closer to IND -6, as they've owned us so badly in the past, both SU and ATS, and because the public perception of the Texans is low while the Colts is high. But that doesn't change the fact that I don't see how the Texans can pull this one out.
Our defense, already not that good as it was, lost our starting SS this week. Our original backup we ended up cutting; we trie dout 8 new DBs this week, presumably to try to fill that spot and get someone up to speed to matchup against the Colts this week. Seriuosly? We're having tryingouts the week of the game? That's messed up.
And though Schaub looked tons better, I'm not completely convinced that we can win a shootout with the Colts, even if their defense isn't doing as well. Peyton, on the other hand, even though he's been struggling this year, has always wtfpwned my Texans. If you go to NFL.com's preview of the game, you'll even see them mocking us there "Manning has 10 touchdowns and no interceptions in his past four games against the Texans." Blah. It sucks to be a Texans fan.
Indianapolis is also coming off a bye, and I think that Tony Dungy will have used his bye week to effectively heal his players, as well as gameplan around his team's deficiencies. Even if Saturday and Clark aren't back in the lineup (and I'm thinking they will), our defensive line couldn't even get proper pressure against the Jags porous line last week. Damn.
Already 80% of the bets are coming in on Indianapolis and even Pinnacle is bowing to that volume, altering its odds on IND -3. I doubt this line will last, so I'm posting it now so that people can actually get it.
I'll have the rest of my bets up later in the week.
