This game opened at 6 and is now at 5.5. I don't expect much movement before game day unless there is some big injury. Giants have missed the playoff three straight years now. Heard team owner Wellington Mara put the fear of God in the coaching staff about this season...playoffs or pack your bags. One big question about New York is can the offensive line block for the run and protect Manning.
Despite Dallas winning 10 games last year, they scare the hell out of me covering at home. Last year the were 3-3. Jason Garrett is a miserable 8-20 against the spread as a home favorite.
I haven't really gotten in depth into NFL yet so would welcome any constructive comments Suuma.
Despite Dallas winning 10 games last year, they scare the hell out of me covering at home. Last year the were 3-3. Jason Garrett is a miserable 8-20 against the spread as a home favorite.
I haven't really gotten in depth into NFL yet so would welcome any constructive comments Suuma.
Seriously, I can see the Giants getting shredded like in last year’s first game at Detroit. When I remember right, they had a major part of their defense healthy in that game. The two results of both divisional games last season don’t represent how heavily the Cowboys stomped the Giants on offense. Tony Romo torched them for 9.5 and 10.7 net-YPPA. This equals 35.2 and 40.5 points. The Giants couldn’t get any pressure on Tony Romo and they will be missing Jason Pierre-Paul this time. And you can expect the Cowboys’ offensive line to be even a little bit better than last year due to the camp competition La’el Collins adds to this unit. Landon Collins and a healthy dose of DRC, Amukamara and McBride is solid on paper, but won’t prevent the Cowboys from rolling all over that defense. I see absolutely no chance the Cowboys will stay under 30 points in this game.
On the other side, the Giants had a bad offensive line last season and they felt happy when drafting Ereck Flowers in the first round. But the problem with the raw talent Flowers is that he obviously lacks pass protection due to his footwork, so the Giants wanted him to develop at the RT position. After Will Beatty got hurt for the rest of the season, they have to plug Flowers in at LT. And that’s a big problem in this week one matchup, and in other matchups to come as well, because won’t be able to handle NFL-caliber DE’s in his first season. In week one he faces Randy Gregory. This matchup already occurred last year when Gregory’s Huskers played Flowers’ Hurricanes. Gregory won that matchup and it wasn’t even close. So I see Eli Manning’s blind side in danger and Jeremy Mincey will rush from the other side. He was PFF’s 15[SUP]th[/SUP]-best graded DE last season and he was a very important piece for the Cowboys down the stretch. The offensive line of the Giants will once again be anywhere between below-average and garbage and this isn’t a good matchup at all. Odell Beckham is nearly unstoppable, but he will start this game thinking about his sick performances against the Cowboys-secondary in 2014. Facing an healthy Morris Claiborne and sometimes Byron Jones could be an interesting situation to watch. I think the key for the Giants would be to go deep and try to exploit the Cowboys’ weakness at Safety via Cruuuuuz and OBJ. But Eli Manning needs time in the pocket and I can’t see this very often with Gregory and Mincey flying from the edges and an overall improved Cowboys front seven who will greatly benefit from the comeback of Sean Lee. Starting in week five with Hardy and McClain back in the lineup, this is a very dangerous front seven.
All in all, I see the Cowboys winning this game very easily, because their offense can’t be stopped by the Giants and their defense should be able to make a few key stops to not let the spread be in danger. I also like the over in this game, but I only play totals when I am 100% confident. (I went 8-3 on them last season and would be 9-2 if the Dez-catch at Green Bay would have been ruled a catch, lol). My problem with the over at this point: Once the Cowboys have a big lead, they will eat the clock, looking ahead to the Eagles game in week two. If the total isn’t over at the middle of the fourth quarter, I would be afraid. Like I said, Randy Gregory will own the matchup against Ereck Flowers like he did in 2014, and Gregory is very productive during the second half. His production increased during fourth quarters. That could be a crucial advantage on 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] and longs. So if the game is 31-17 in favor of the Cowboys, I like the chances for the Cowboys holding the lead a bit more than Eli throwing another TD to push the game over the total. I would feel more comfortable about this over if I saw this game being much closer.
On the other side, the Giants had a bad offensive line last season and they felt happy when drafting Ereck Flowers in the first round. But the problem with the raw talent Flowers is that he obviously lacks pass protection due to his footwork, so the Giants wanted him to develop at the RT position. After Will Beatty got hurt for the rest of the season, they have to plug Flowers in at LT. And that’s a big problem in this week one matchup, and in other matchups to come as well, because won’t be able to handle NFL-caliber DE’s in his first season. In week one he faces Randy Gregory. This matchup already occurred last year when Gregory’s Huskers played Flowers’ Hurricanes. Gregory won that matchup and it wasn’t even close. So I see Eli Manning’s blind side in danger and Jeremy Mincey will rush from the other side. He was PFF’s 15[SUP]th[/SUP]-best graded DE last season and he was a very important piece for the Cowboys down the stretch. The offensive line of the Giants will once again be anywhere between below-average and garbage and this isn’t a good matchup at all. Odell Beckham is nearly unstoppable, but he will start this game thinking about his sick performances against the Cowboys-secondary in 2014. Facing an healthy Morris Claiborne and sometimes Byron Jones could be an interesting situation to watch. I think the key for the Giants would be to go deep and try to exploit the Cowboys’ weakness at Safety via Cruuuuuz and OBJ. But Eli Manning needs time in the pocket and I can’t see this very often with Gregory and Mincey flying from the edges and an overall improved Cowboys front seven who will greatly benefit from the comeback of Sean Lee. Starting in week five with Hardy and McClain back in the lineup, this is a very dangerous front seven.
All in all, I see the Cowboys winning this game very easily, because their offense can’t be stopped by the Giants and their defense should be able to make a few key stops to not let the spread be in danger. I also like the over in this game, but I only play totals when I am 100% confident. (I went 8-3 on them last season and would be 9-2 if the Dez-catch at Green Bay would have been ruled a catch, lol). My problem with the over at this point: Once the Cowboys have a big lead, they will eat the clock, looking ahead to the Eagles game in week two. If the total isn’t over at the middle of the fourth quarter, I would be afraid. Like I said, Randy Gregory will own the matchup against Ereck Flowers like he did in 2014, and Gregory is very productive during the second half. His production increased during fourth quarters. That could be a crucial advantage on 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] and longs. So if the game is 31-17 in favor of the Cowboys, I like the chances for the Cowboys holding the lead a bit more than Eli throwing another TD to push the game over the total. I would feel more comfortable about this over if I saw this game being much closer.
Good read Suuma.
Probably won't wager this game but if I did I would lean toward the Giants.
I have zero confidence in Dallas' head coach, especially at home as a favorite.
Garrett is just 14-23 ATS at home during his four years with the team. As I
mentioned earlier, the guy is 8-20 ATS as a home favorite. Garrett is hell on
wheels as a road dog (15-6 ATS) but god awful getting his team ready playing
in Dallas.
Appreciate your write up Mr. S...............
Probably won't wager this game but if I did I would lean toward the Giants.
I have zero confidence in Dallas' head coach, especially at home as a favorite.
Garrett is just 14-23 ATS at home during his four years with the team. As I
mentioned earlier, the guy is 8-20 ATS as a home favorite. Garrett is hell on
wheels as a road dog (15-6 ATS) but god awful getting his team ready playing
in Dallas.
Appreciate your write up Mr. S...............
The line was set pretty accurately from what I calculated. Then the NYG lost their starting LT Beatty and DE JPP. The line didn't move at all. JPP was their sack leader last year w 12.5 and not having both has to have some affect on the game. Have to give DAL the slight edge but it is still pretty close.
