Enfuego's Season Long CFB Thread

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I know it's early. Going to throw out my first two plays of the 2015 Season:

Sides:

Oklahoma St. -24

Totals:

FSU/Texas St. Under 58
 

sdf

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never too early. and good time to get some softer lines IMO.
 

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Tough call on Okie State, especially since they have already lost one potential starter in DT Leveni. Lots of underclassmen are starting on defense so the question becomes how many points will they give up. GL on your picks this season.
 

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Enfuego! How are you man. Good to see you back, you're one of the better guys man. Like the okie state pick
 

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Not taking a position either way but Cowboys have been money opening week covering 5 of last 6.

Flipside, Central Michigan has covered just 2 of their last 9 openers.

What does this mean...I don't know, maybe digging into who each team played in their recent openers
might shed some light on the above situations.
 

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Sides:

Oklahoma St. -24
Duke -9

Totals:

FSU/Texas St. Under 58
UTSA/Arizona Under 53
G. Southern/WVU Over 59
 

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Like the Duke play. Over as well. Good luck this season...
 

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I like the Okie St play. The line may move down a little seeing as it's a road game.
 

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Wondering why you like Duke (especially given last years game). Thoughts when you get a chance and good luck this year.
 

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Duke was a 16.5 favorite hosting Tulane last year and won 47-13. The past two years the Devils have been 18-6 ATS. It all starts with David Cutcliffe who is entering his 8th year in Durham. He's a coach who content and happy where he is and has convinced recruits they can win at Duke and get a wonderful education. This year's edition looks good enough to have a winning season and go to a school record fourth straight bowl game. Cutcliffe is a wagering man's dream going 45-30-5 ATS during his seven years.

Tulane is a hard team to figure. They went 2-10 in Curtis Johnson's first year as coach, improved to 7-6 the second year, then regressed to 3-9 last year. They will have 16 of the same guys starting again this season...who knows?
 

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Duke was a 16.5 favorite hosting Tulane last year and won 47-13. The past two years the Devils have been 18-6 ATS. It all starts with David Cutcliffe who is entering his 8th year in Durham. He's a coach who content and happy where he is and has convinced recruits they can win at Duke and get a wonderful education. This year's edition looks good enough to have a winning season and go to a school record fourth straight bowl game. Cutcliffe is a wagering man's dream going 45-30-5 ATS during his seven years.

Tulane is a hard team to figure. They went 2-10 in Curtis Johnson's first year as coach, improved to 7-6 the second year, then regressed to 3-9 last year. They will have 16 of the same guys starting again this season...who knows?

He is a great coach. There is no denying that. But they took a pretty big talent hit between seasons this time around and the 47-13 score from last year was one of the most deceiving of the season a year ago. Teams played almost even (Duke was superior and Tulane struggled with Crowder) and Tulane returns the players of import and Duke loses the players of import and the venue is switched. I am not sure Duke can move the ball very effectively against what Tulane is bringing to the defensive side of the table this year. Also, while I give credit to Cutcliffe for finding ways to have his team in it in the fourth even when they are outplayed and the kids credit for playing hard just about every down of a football game, that team has caught an insane number of fortunate bounces the last several years. At some point, that evens out even if not necessarily against Tulane who certainly has the ability to shoot themselves in the foot. Anyway, good points you made. Best of luck.
 

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Sides:

Oklahoma St. -24
Duke -9
Hawaii +8

Totals:

FSU/Texas St. Under 58
UTSA/Arizona Under 53
G. Southern/WVU Over 59
ULL/UK Over 60
 

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Sides:

Oklahoma St. -24
Duke -9
Hawaii +8
Michigan St. -19

Totals:

FSU/Texas St. Under 58
UTSA/Arizona Under 53
G. Southern/WVU Over 59
ULL/UK Over 60
Georgia/ULM Over 52
 

919

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I'm curious as to why you like the WVU over?

WVU will have the best and deepest defense they have had in some time. The strength is be the back eight, but the front should be very good at stopping the run which is what Ga. does. Also, Ga. replacing 4 Olineman. I realize this offense can be tough to scheme for, but WVU will have had all summer to prepare. Just curious as to your thinking. WVU also replacing QB, best 2 OLineman and top 2 wrs. I do think they will score, but recent history for home openers hasn't been great for Dana.
 

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I'm curious as to why you like the WVU over?

WVU will have the best and deepest defense they have had in some time. The strength is be the back eight, but the front should be very good at stopping the run which is what Ga. does. Also, Ga. replacing 4 Olineman. I realize this offense can be tough to scheme for, but WVU will have had all summer to prepare. Just curious as to your thinking. WVU also replacing QB, best 2 OLineman and top 2 wrs. I do think they will score, but recent history for home openers hasn't been great for Dana.

Im with you 919...how do you think we do this year? I'm thinking of taking the over 7 wins...
 

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i was thinking the same thing 919. if you're ever going to stop GaSo it's with better athletes and 9 months to prepare. I ran a query with week-1 for army, navy, air force, and gaso vs d-1 teams. in last 20 years the results were avg 20.6-28.8 so games coming in right at 49 ppg. total yards avg 365-359

game number = 1 and month = 9 and (team = ARMY or team = NAVY or team = AIR or team = GSOU) and o:division = 1A
RushesRush YdsPassesCompPass YdsTOsQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team52.8266.813.47.497.91.95.36.16.26.420.6
Opp37.4168.425.216.1190.71.75.88.45.86.928.8
 

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Good luck this year enfeugo...didn't mean to hijack your thread.
 

919

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I'm curious as to why you like the WVU over?

WVU will have the best and deepest defense they have had in some time. The strength is be the back eight, but the front should be very good at stopping the run which is what Ga. does. Also, Ga. replacing 4 Olineman. I realize this offense can be tough to scheme for, but WVU will have had all summer to prepare. Just curious as to your thinking. WVU also replacing QB, best 2 OLineman and top 2 wrs. I do think they will score, but recent history for home openers hasn't been great for Dana.
Ga's qb ruled ineligible for this game now
 

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