East Carolina vs North Carolina 10/2/2010

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North Carolina is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat East Carolina. Shaun Draughn is projected for 64 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where East Carolina wins, Dominique Davis averages 1.8 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 1.01 interceptions. Jonathan Williams averages 75 rushing yards and 0.87 rushing TDs when East Carolina wins and 68 yards and 0.43 TDs in losses. North Carolina has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UNC -13 --- Over/Under line is 57

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