early week 7 discussion

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Okay here is some early line movement and though

Eagles opened up at +3 has dropped to +2.5
-not much of an opinion but as an eagle fans i hope they bounce back. Both teams season on the line

Just wanted to get some discussion about the Birds game but these other games i have a strong opinion on.

Dallas opened up at +3 but is +money. Line may drop to 2.5 but will rise at books like SIA. I really like Detroit coming into this situation. They are off a bye and Mariaccu has two weeks to prepare. Plus they are catching a Dallas team coming off their biggest win in years. I think Detroit gets the W here and so does Vegas it seems.

I really like the Lions but will wait to catch the hook hopefully


Cincinatti opened up as 2.5 dog. That line points to them as it is. It has dropped drastically today. Books must of taken a lot of $$ on the Bengals at home. Ravens have the Broncos on deck and this is a big lookahead game in my opinoin.

I like Cincinatti but will wiat for SIA to give me some incentive.


San Fran is getting 3.5 at home but looks like it will move down to 3. I like San Fran in this spot as well at home. They've dropped a tough one last night and Tampa is on their second consecutive road trip. Most importantly, Tampa has Carolina on deck which is a huge revenge game from earlier this year.

I like the 49ers


My last game and perhaps biggest is the Raiders catching the Chiefs at home. Chiefs have been on the road 5 of last 6 weeks. Raider is an absolute must win situation. Raiders get Porter back hopefully and i just think they win the game. Chiefs have been winning by catching the breaks lately (not that their ont a good team but a tipped int touchdown, 2 returns, etc, etc). To be honest, they've been outplayed the last 3 weeks and were lucky to win them all.

Raiders plus the points

May take all these teams on the ML too.




Lastly, road favs are hitting over 75% this year, this will not continue, i guarantee that, Vegas makes their money off people betting road favs, if you look at most of the games the last couple weeks were road favs covered, they have caught a lot of breaks and balls bounce their way. Afterall, this is football and even if you cap a game perfectly, chance always comes into play. These home teams will bounce back and the percentages will even out.

Opinions would be greatly appreciated.
 

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I like the Detroit pick. It was 3.5 at a few places looks to be down to 3 already at most though.
 

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explain to me why balt would be looking ahead to the denver game and not to a team in there own division
 

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b/c it's the 'bengals.' Even if they are not looking ahead, i think this is a good spot for Cinci to come off the bye. To be honest the game didn't even cross my mind till i saw the line open as it did then drop. Baltimore had to fly west coast last week too. 2nd consecutive road trip. I just think this is time for a poor performance. They weren't even playing that well against the Cards until they had that block punt. They were outgained by the Cards. Cards turned it over too much. Now let me ask you this, why would they be 6 point favs against the Cards and only 1.5 against the Bengals. Yes the Bengals are better than the cards but taht's gotta open atleast at 3.5
 

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Like all of your plays; but like the chargers even better. Every angle points to them winning outright.
 

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yeah i am looking at them too. Same reasoning as you probably have. Winless team off a bye, and Browns stink, they shoudln't be laying 6 to mostly anyone. Chargers have played soem close games.
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by sammy the sage:
Like all of your plays; but like the chargers even better. Every angle points to them winning outright.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

100% agree here. as it stands now - SD would be my POW - but this is not official yet - and things could change - but doubt it will. trying to decide if i want the points or M/L
 
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"Raiders get Porter back hopefully and i just think they win the game."

I think so far this year I have yet to win a game that I had "hopefully" in my reasoning for taking on side or another. Go with what you know, the Raiders suck this year, the Chiefs are among the NFL elite. While Porter coming back might help a bit, I don't think it's going to be enogh to beat the Chiefs. The Chiefs wil score a lot ofpoints against the inept Raiders D, Holmes will get what, 200 yards against that run defense? Gannon will have to put in an MVP performance to keep up, something he has yet to do all year.
 

RPM

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ravens wont look past cinci.

kyle bollers numbers are WAY to bad for the ravens to take ANY GAME for granted. if he doesnt come around soon, look for billick to switch to redman. ravens are the play.

k.c.
you have to be nuts to bet on oakland against ANYONE. perhaps oakland will win this weekend, but its either a bet on k.c. or a no play in my opinion.
 

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I like the Giants. They limited the Patriots to just 29 yards in the first half last week but shot themselves in the foot big time last week with 6 TO's, including a 38 yard fumble return for a TD.

I like Detroit. Coming off a bye week and Dallas having TB next put the Lions in a great spot.

I don't see the Raven's looking past the Bengals. Especially after Cincy beat Buffalo in week 4 and having 2 weeks to prepare. This is probably a no play for me. I just can't bring myself to bet on the Bengals yet.
icon_biggrin.gif


San Francisco is beat up on the offensive line, not good when playing TB. As a 49ers fan and a TB hater, I will not play this game either.

I agree that the Chiefs are getting all of the breaks but the Raiders are horrible. I thought last week's game was a must win for them and they promptl put up 7 points!!!! The Chief's are going to score 30 which means Oakland has to score 27 to cover, I don't see it happening.

My best bet looks to be Seattle laying the 10 against the Bears. The Bears are giving up 4.8 YPC which means Alexander will have a huge day and when the Bears put 8 in the box to stop the run, Hasselbeck hits Jackson and Robinson for big gains. I think Seattle scores 30-35 points and there is no way the Bears score 25-30. The bears only scored 13 points last week against the hapless Saints including one TD in the last 2:30 minutes when New Orleans was in prevent.

GL,
KMAN
 

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