Early Saturday Discussion

[homedawg]

Slow Friday so thought would get a little discussion started for the huge Saturday card. Here are the games I capped and leans. Just waiting on numbers to be posted.


Michigan + the points
Cincinatti - around pk?
West Va - the pts
Evansville - the pts
Wisconsin + the pts


already know everyone is opposed Michigan, but what is everyone else looking at (for) ??

 

[Harris1285]

It'll be interesting to see what Gonzaga-Indiana is....I'd say somewhere between 15 and 20

 

[homedawg]

I just don't see Indiana being 20 point home dogs. Maybe about 10 -12?

 

[Harris1285]

If it's 10-12 I'll be jumping on that like it was Angelina Jolie....Yes, Indiana beat Cornell at home by 15 but that was Cornell and this Gonzaga team is legit. I really think Gonzaga wins this by about 20.

 

[bigtendominator]

I just don't see Indiana being 20 point home dogs. Maybe about 10 -12?

As bad as IU is and has been, I agree, won't open more than 13.

 

[bigtendominator]

If it's 10-12 I'll be jumping on that like it was Angelina Jolie....Yes, Indiana beat Cornell at home by 15 but that was Cornell and this Gonzaga team is legit. I really think Gonzaga wins this by about 20.

It will be and I agree. Gonzaga is a different animal. They have size inside and most importantly can score the ball (meaning for large spreads, hate teams that defend, but can't score).

 

[homedawg]

i think west va minus the points may be a solid play. Clev St had a hard fought battle last night with Butler. suffered an emotional loss where they led the whole game. they proved they had trouble scoring the ball against a physical defense. if they struggles with Butler scoring, they are going to have a hell of a time against Huggins defense in Morgantown. Anything less than 10 will be a very large play. Can see this one being -12 - 14 though.

 

[GimmeDattt]

HD where are the sat lines? There not up at my local or at Greek.

 

[homedawg]

HD where are the sat lines? There not up at my local or at Greek.

waiting anxiously for bookmaker to post them.... just assuming lines right now. i usually prepare a few days ahead. have some numbers that I am looking for then hit right away if it is something better than the number I came up with.

 

[TheGuarantee]

Would be on Cincy at a pk, I'd guess -3.5 though.

 

[GimmeDattt]

waiting anxiously for bookmaker to post them.... just assuming lines right now. i usually prepare a few days ahead. have some numbers that I am looking for then hit right away if it is something better than the number I came up with.

Ok, I got thrown off by the bumped Prodigy thread. He was talking about a Kent-Marys line and I was like didnt that already happen? Then they were saying Kent won outright when they lost and it just spun my head till I saw it was from Feb of last year. Like WVU as long as the line is where it should be.

I'll be on the Zags anything under 13 most likely. IU is awful and the lines are going to be a little short because of the name on the jerseys. I noticed your high on Michigan this year but I just don't think that this game is good for them considering they seem to not be able to score. I am pretty high on UAB so I'm not sure on that Cincy game. Don't know shit about Evansville. Love Wisconsin especially if there are +points like I am anticipating. ND should steam roll Ohio St, and Miami line should be interesting. Got to look more when the mlines come out what do you think that Miami line will be?

 

[homedawg]

Would be on Cincy at a pk, I'd guess -3.5 though.

yes especially after just beating UNLV

 

[homedawg]

Ok, I got thrown off by the bumped Prodigy thread. He was talking about a Kent-Marys line and I was like didnt that already happen? Then they were saying Kent won outright when they lost and it just spun my head till I saw it was from Feb of last year. Like WVU as long as the line is where it should be.

I'll be on the Zags anything under 13 most likely. IU is awful and the lines are going to be a little short because of the name on the jerseys. I noticed your high on Michigan this year but I just don't think that this game is good for them considering they seem to not be able to score. I am pretty high on UAB so I'm not sure on that Cincy game. Don't know shit about Evansville. Love Wisconsin especially if there are +points like I am anticipating. ND should steam roll Ohio St, and Miami line should be interesting. Got to look more when the mlines come out what do you think that Miami line will be?

Well since McKlinton is playing I am saying Miami will be +3 or so?? tough one to call. I like Miami, but would have a tough time backing them on the road. Should be a good game, but if it is a short line like I think Kentucky could be a solid play. They match up pretty well. Both teams rebound well, but I think Kentucky will have a slight offensive advantage down low.

Wisconsin may be the best play on the board if they are catching anything above 5, which I think they will be. Have watched Marquette play several times this season and this just isn't the same Marquette team as the last few years. I was questioning giving Peterson the job, and now am convinced it was the wrong decision. Crean was a much better coach, and got a lot more out of this team. They have been making too many careless mistakes, and just don't seem right. Wisconsin is a team that is extremely well coach, and will take advantage of Marquette's mistakes, and will not make any in return. Bo Ryan is about to coach circles around Buzz on Saturday. This may be my highest rated play so far this season. Just hope the number is right.

 

[GimmeDattt]

Well since McKlinton is playing I am saying Miami will be +3 or so?? tough one to call. I like Miami, but would have a tough time backing them on the road. Should be a good game, but if it is a short line like I think Kentucky could be a solid play. They match up pretty well. Both teams rebound well, but I think Kentucky will have a slight offensive advantage down low.

Wisconsin may be the best play on the board if they are catching anything above 5, which I think they will be. Have watched Marquette play several times this season and this just isn't the same Marquette team as the last few years. I was questioning giving Peterson the job, and now am convinced it was the wrong decision. Crean was a much better coach, and got a lot more out of this team. They have been making too many careless mistakes, and just don't seem right. Wisconsin is a team that is extremely well coach, and will take advantage of Marquette's mistakes, and will not make any in return. Bo Ryan is about to coach circles around Buzz on Saturday. This may be my highest rated play so far this season. Just hope the number is right.

Completley agree on Marquette. They don't look like they play hard anymore. Wisconsin team is very underrated (as usual) and they prove year in and year out that they don't care where the game is played they can win. Wisco is the better team and has a much better coach.

If Wisconsin is +5 this will be also my highest play to date.

 

[homedawg]

lets just hope they are > +5 ....i mean there is no reason to believe why they won't be catching at least 7. marquette has a very good record, and really has not been exposed yet. plus playing at home will tack on an extra 4 points or so. ML may be worth a shot here as well.

 

[GimmeDattt]

lets just hope they are > +5 ....i mean there is no reason to believe why they won't be catching at least 7. marquette has a very good record, and really has not been exposed yet. plus playing at home will tack on an extra 4 points or so. ML may be worth a shot here as well.

God I hope your right.

 

[TheGuarantee]

I could be wrong but I don't think you'll be seeing more than 5...I'd say 3-5.

 

[homedawg]

I could be wrong but I don't think you'll be seeing more than 5...I'd say 3-5.

going to be interesting. like i said Marquette really hasn't had that game where they have been exposed. that would mean that Wisky would be slight favorites on a neutral court. I just don't see that happening. I would say -6 if i had to guess

 

[bellyputter]

Before everyone begins to handicap the Saturday card, you MUST have a clue about making a decent set of #s. There are two sides to the equation. Blindly, knee jerking on a team before the #s come out is a recipe for disaster. This can cause you to end up with the wrong side at a bad #. Good luck

 

[Dr.T]

Early Power Ratings show Gonzaga 24 better than Indiana and West Va 9 better than Cleve State (does not include points for home team). Since Indiana is home team you can expect Gonz -18 to -20 and WV close to -10 or -12.