Percentages and movements subject to change
Here's what I'm looking at, for those who don't know, I bet whenever the public percentages show the majority of bets on the dog and the favorite having the line move in their favor.
Write-ups are my gauge of why the Public is on a certain team. From my experience they're being "trapped" and the favorite does well.
Tennessee -29.5
Public thinks that Tennessee can't even score 28 points, let alone win by that margin. They take the huge spread (one of the few times the public is attracted to a dog) and yet the line grows to 29.5.
Michigan -12.5
A 3-9 team favored by double digits at home against a bowl team. Public thinks this is WAY too many points for a Michigan team that has chemistry problems, is starting 3 QBs, and is full of freshmen.
Notre Dame -14
Nevada is a solid team. ND had a very mediocre season last year, even losing to Syracuse at home. Public doesn't understand the love for ND and takes the points, thinking Nevada may even have a shot to win.
Connecticut -4
Ahh... the public on a small underdog. That almost NEVER happens. Apparently they think the wrong team is favored here. Ohio went to OSU and was leading going into the 4th. They went to Northwestern and lost by 8, turning the ball over 4 times. Solich coached at Nebraska. He's got a good team this year, probably his best.
Oklahoma -21.5
Tons of points for a BYU team is solid. Public eats them up at +21 (a key number), and it even moves off the key number towards Oklahoma. Nowhere will you find -21 anymore, half the books have them at -22.
Wisconsin -16.5
Northern Illinois, a bowl team with a good defense, gets 16.5 points against a 7-6 Big Ten team that nearly lost to Cal Poly at home. The last 3 games of Wisconsin's season were a comeback victory vs MIN, a lucky victory against Cal Poly, and a 2H collapse in the bowl game.
Alabama -7
Another small spread as the public thinks that VT can win this outright. Alabama loses tons of key seniors and isn't on their home field. VT returns their QB and is coming off a BCS victory. Bama is coming off a BCS embarrassment.
Arizona -14
Arizona loses their QB-WR combo in Tuitama and Thomas. This isn't a team known for scoring points, and the public believes they won't be able to do so against CMU, who returns one of the best QBs in LeFevour.
Here's what I'm looking at, for those who don't know, I bet whenever the public percentages show the majority of bets on the dog and the favorite having the line move in their favor.
Write-ups are my gauge of why the Public is on a certain team. From my experience they're being "trapped" and the favorite does well.
Tennessee -29.5
Public thinks that Tennessee can't even score 28 points, let alone win by that margin. They take the huge spread (one of the few times the public is attracted to a dog) and yet the line grows to 29.5.
Michigan -12.5
A 3-9 team favored by double digits at home against a bowl team. Public thinks this is WAY too many points for a Michigan team that has chemistry problems, is starting 3 QBs, and is full of freshmen.
Notre Dame -14
Nevada is a solid team. ND had a very mediocre season last year, even losing to Syracuse at home. Public doesn't understand the love for ND and takes the points, thinking Nevada may even have a shot to win.
Connecticut -4
Ahh... the public on a small underdog. That almost NEVER happens. Apparently they think the wrong team is favored here. Ohio went to OSU and was leading going into the 4th. They went to Northwestern and lost by 8, turning the ball over 4 times. Solich coached at Nebraska. He's got a good team this year, probably his best.
Oklahoma -21.5
Tons of points for a BYU team is solid. Public eats them up at +21 (a key number), and it even moves off the key number towards Oklahoma. Nowhere will you find -21 anymore, half the books have them at -22.
Wisconsin -16.5
Northern Illinois, a bowl team with a good defense, gets 16.5 points against a 7-6 Big Ten team that nearly lost to Cal Poly at home. The last 3 games of Wisconsin's season were a comeback victory vs MIN, a lucky victory against Cal Poly, and a 2H collapse in the bowl game.
Alabama -7
Another small spread as the public thinks that VT can win this outright. Alabama loses tons of key seniors and isn't on their home field. VT returns their QB and is coming off a BCS victory. Bama is coming off a BCS embarrassment.
Arizona -14
Arizona loses their QB-WR combo in Tuitama and Thomas. This isn't a team known for scoring points, and the public believes they won't be able to do so against CMU, who returns one of the best QBs in LeFevour.
