early leans for 11/15-11/16

[tiger74]

Hi all,
Don't post much but i wish to contribute. here are some early leans i like for this weekend. any opinions would be appreciated.

colorado -8.5 this is strictly a play against iowa st
kentucky -6.5 better football program with an extra week of rest, vandy just not very good
nc state +14.5 ncst running back is back and will help balance offense.
uconn +8.5 uconn been tough all year. trend will continue vs weak acc this year.

also some first half looks for ncaa
oklahoma-i can't see baylor scoring and
south cal-good first half team. they like to build large leads against bad teams and put it in cruise.

nfl
kc -6 hate laying chalk on the road. home dog theory has been picking up alot the last few weeks but better team to cover easily
rams -6 offense will be much better against lower grade defense. don't like it being outdoors but if they can contain thomas cover is reasonable
tennessee first half

tiger

 

[tiger74]

going with home team first half -7 1unit.
they are a very good first half team ATS.
g/l

tiger

 

[tiger74]

going with miami for 2nd half
-6 1 unit

gl
tiger

 

[tiger74]

playing lsu -6.5 2units thanks lsupete
ncstate +14 thanks action

now looking at for ncaa
houston -10 army plain awful
nd -8.5 this is not the byu of yester years. very weak at qb. not comfortable with laying pts on nd but think last weeks win builds them momentum
texas -15.5 texas a&m team is awful on defense.
watched the tech/a&m game and tech scored at will. plus the only thing that a&m has going on offense it their qb but he is banged up with an elbow injury. texas should be able to name the score and they always like to run up the score on lesser teams to pad their stats.
uconn +9.5 line opened up at 8.5. can't understand why the line is so high but getting that many points is attractive with this team.

first half
oklahoma -see them building big lead and milking the clock
southern cal -good first half team especially against inferior teams.

any thoughts or opinions would be greatly appreciated.

tiger

 

[tiger74]

ncst was for 2units

 

[BigPete]

Texas is playing Tech, not A&M

 

[tiger74]

my bad you. brain fart. tech's defense just as bad. plus i read somewhere that symon's arm is hurt. i've played tech against teams with bad defenses b/c they can outscore. i've played against tech against teams with good defenses - oklahoma not counted.

 

[tiger74]

adding texas -15.5 2units

looking at the under in tonites game especially with gusty winds expected throughout the night.

gl

tiger

 

[tiger74]

going against the grain here from recent trend.
uva has owned this series.

uva +6 1unit
uva ml +222 .5unit

gl

also looking at auburn and ucla for sat.

tiger