Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Aug 24 2019 10:00PM
685 HAM / 686 BC UNDER 49.5 Westgatedouble-dime bet
685 HAM / 686 BC UNDER 49.5 Westgatedouble-dime bet
Fezzik | NFL Side - Saturday, Aug 24 2019 10:00PM
279 SEA 1.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 280 LAC double-dime bet
Analysis: 2 Stars Sea +1.5
2 stars 6.5 Point Teaser:
279 Sea +8
268 Min -.5
Risk 2.6 units to make 2.0 (-130)
279 SEA 1.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 280 LAC double-dime bet
Analysis: 2 Stars Sea +1.5
2 stars 6.5 Point Teaser:
279 Sea +8
268 Min -.5
Risk 2.6 units to make 2.0 (-130)
Fezzik | NFL Side - Saturday, Aug 24 2019 10:00PM
279 SEA 1.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 280 LAC double-dime bet
Analysis: Tues Update:
Sea is now the Favorite,
pass on the Teaser
if you are just betting, play Sea ML for 1 unit only....
279 SEA 1.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 280 LAC double-dime bet
Analysis: Tues Update:
Sea is now the Favorite,
pass on the Teaser
if you are just betting, play Sea ML for 1 unit only....
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Aug 31 2019 8:00PM
209 Louisiana Tech 21.0(-110) Westgate vs 210 Texas single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (209) Louisiana Tech +21 over TEXAS. 8:00pm ET on Saturday, August 31st.
I think Texas is one of the most overrated teams in the country this year. The Longhorns have just 8 returning starters (tied for last in country)as they lose their leading rusher, leading receiver and entire front 7 on defense. However I feel there was an overreaction to their Sugar Bowl win vs an un-motivated Georgia team and note that the Horns won 10 games last year but 7 of those games were by a TD or less. Tom Herman is a great underdog coach but in his career as a favorite, he is just 14-22-2 ATS (39%). Note that Texas has failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in each of their previous two season openers (lost both games outright to Maryland). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz is on a 14-4-1 ATS run as a road underdog. Finally, Texas has a huge look-ahead game vs LSU on deck.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Aug 31 2019 4:00PM
187 Virginia Tech -3.5(-110) Westgate vs 188 Boston College single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (187) Virginia Tech -3.5 over BOSTON COLLEGE. 4:00pm ET on Saturday, August 31st.
I have this line power-rated at VT -6.5. The mis-pricing here comes with a Virginia Tech team that had their first losing season since 1992 last year. However, this year's team will be much improved with 16 returning starters including 10 on the defensive side. The Hokies D should be plenty motivated in the final year under long-time defensive coordinator Bud Foster. As far as Boston College goes, I expect the Eagles to take a step back this season especially with only 9 returning starters. The betting public usually just looks at the skill positions and BC does return their starting QB, RB and top WR. However, they are woefully inexperienced in most other areas including the defensive secondary.
209 Louisiana Tech 21.0(-110) Westgate vs 210 Texas single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (209) Louisiana Tech +21 over TEXAS. 8:00pm ET on Saturday, August 31st.
I think Texas is one of the most overrated teams in the country this year. The Longhorns have just 8 returning starters (tied for last in country)as they lose their leading rusher, leading receiver and entire front 7 on defense. However I feel there was an overreaction to their Sugar Bowl win vs an un-motivated Georgia team and note that the Horns won 10 games last year but 7 of those games were by a TD or less. Tom Herman is a great underdog coach but in his career as a favorite, he is just 14-22-2 ATS (39%). Note that Texas has failed to cover as a double-digit favorite in each of their previous two season openers (lost both games outright to Maryland). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz is on a 14-4-1 ATS run as a road underdog. Finally, Texas has a huge look-ahead game vs LSU on deck.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Aug 31 2019 4:00PM
187 Virginia Tech -3.5(-110) Westgate vs 188 Boston College single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (187) Virginia Tech -3.5 over BOSTON COLLEGE. 4:00pm ET on Saturday, August 31st.
I have this line power-rated at VT -6.5. The mis-pricing here comes with a Virginia Tech team that had their first losing season since 1992 last year. However, this year's team will be much improved with 16 returning starters including 10 on the defensive side. The Hokies D should be plenty motivated in the final year under long-time defensive coordinator Bud Foster. As far as Boston College goes, I expect the Eagles to take a step back this season especially with only 9 returning starters. The betting public usually just looks at the skill positions and BC does return their starting QB, RB and top WR. However, they are woefully inexperienced in most other areas including the defensive secondary.
"The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past four years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,530 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated college football picks against the spread.
"The model also finished the 2018-19 college football season on a blistering 49-28 run on all top-rated picks. Anybody who has been following it is way up.
"...We can tell you the model says the Ohio State Buckeyes go under their 2019 college football win total of 10.
"...The model has also unearthed major discrepancies for four other college football teams, and generated each team's exact win total this season, including the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners have finished with double-digit wins four straight seasons, but now must replace No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray with Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts. Oddsmakers set their 2019 season win total at 10, and the projection model has a strong opinion on their future."
https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...ter-model-picks-under-10-wins-for-ohio-state/
"The model also finished the 2018-19 college football season on a blistering 49-28 run on all top-rated picks. Anybody who has been following it is way up.
"...We can tell you the model says the Ohio State Buckeyes go under their 2019 college football win total of 10.
"...The model has also unearthed major discrepancies for four other college football teams, and generated each team's exact win total this season, including the Oklahoma Sooners. The Sooners have finished with double-digit wins four straight seasons, but now must replace No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray with Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts. Oddsmakers set their 2019 season win total at 10, and the projection model has a strong opinion on their future."
https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...ter-model-picks-under-10-wins-for-ohio-state/
Fezzik | NFL ML - Thursday, Aug 29 2019 8:00PM
ML 118 GBP (-145) Westgate vs 117 KAN double-dime bet
Analysis: Off a last second loss, a little extra GB motivation, AND a better late QB rotation.......
Fezzik | NFL ML - Thursday, Aug 29 2019 7:00PM
ML 103 MIN (-145) Pinnacle vs 104 BUF double-dime bet
Analysis: HUGE edge for Min at 3rd string QB with Sloter.
AND Zimmer is a great preseason coach, 17-7 ATS, 3-0 this year.
ML 118 GBP (-145) Westgate vs 117 KAN double-dime bet
Analysis: Off a last second loss, a little extra GB motivation, AND a better late QB rotation.......
Fezzik | NFL ML - Thursday, Aug 29 2019 7:00PM
ML 103 MIN (-145) Pinnacle vs 104 BUF double-dime bet
Analysis: HUGE edge for Min at 3rd string QB with Sloter.
AND Zimmer is a great preseason coach, 17-7 ATS, 3-0 this year.
Would suggest on Monday ,, opening up the rest of the week like we did during bowl season. So we can post early releases
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 10:30PM
388 Washington -13.5(-110) William Hill vs 387 California double-dime bet
Analysis: Washington has revenge from an outright upset loss at Cal a year ago. QB Jacob Eason actually looked liked an upgrade over Jake Browning in Week 1 and I feel Cal is a play against team this season.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 10:30PM
388 Washington -13.5(-110) William Hill vs 387 California double-dime bet
Analysis: Washington has revenge from an outright upset loss at Cal a year ago. QB Jacob Eason actually looked liked an upgrade over Jake Browning in Week 1 and I feel Cal is a play against team this season.
PhillyGodfather's Moves
- 02-Sep-2019: NFL 464 Jacksonville Jaguars +4
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 354 Texas St +7 -105
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 320 Missouri -13.5
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 322 Ohio St -16.5 -110
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 367 Western Michigan +17.5
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 371 Tulane +18 -110
- 02-Sep-2019: CFB 338 APPALACHIAN STATE -21-110 (2%) UPGRADED MOVE
- 02-Sep-2019: #468 Carolina Panthers +3
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 3:30PM
331 Nebraska -3.5(-107) Pinnacle vs 332 Colorado triple-dime bet
Analysis: 3-star (331) Nebraska -3.5 over COLORADO. 3:30pm ET. Both teams had misleading wins in Week 1 as Nebraska had 3 non-offensive TD's, while Colorado was +4 in TO's. However, I trust Scott Frost much more in this one. Frost after last week's game said, "That's as anemic an offensive effort I've been a part of in a long time," Frost said. "That's not the offense I've been seeing all fall camp." Now they can get that offense going against a Colorado defense that gave up 505 yards last week to Colorado St. Also note Nebraska has revenge for losing to Colorado last year in Scott Frost's debut as that game was misleading with Nebraska having a 565-395 yard edge but lost. Finally, the crowd will be 50/50 here as Nebraska fans will travel in droves to a former Big 8/12 rival (first visit in a decade).
Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 10:30PM
385 Stanford / 386 Southern Cal UNDER46.5 Pinnacle single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (385/386) Stanford/USC UNDER 46.5. 10:30pm ET. Both teams have QB issues here that I think will lead to a lower scoring. USC QB JT Daniels is out for the year with a torn ACL and the Trojans are going with a true frosh in Kedon Slovis who struggled last week in the second half. Keep in mind, USC threw 34 passes in the first half with Daniels in the new "Air Raid" offense, but just 8 passes with Slovis in the second half as they were ultra-conservative. On the other side, Stanford could be playing without QB KJ Costello who got KO'd late first half vs Northwestern last week. Costello was 16 of 20 for 152 yards in the first half but his replacement Davis Mills was only 7 of 14 for 81 yards in the second half.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 3:30PM
333 Texas A&M 18.0(-110) William Hill vs 334 Clemson single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (333) Texas A&M +18 over CLEMSON. 3:30pm ET. Clemson has won 11 straight games by at least 20 points but we're fading them here. First, there won't be an intimidation factor here for Texas A&M, who only lost by 2 points last year to Clemson (outgained Tigers 501-413). Both teams final scores were close to the spread last week. However, A&M was more dominant than the final last week, while Clemson had a somewhat fortunate cover. Finally, there's been a lot of hype around Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence being a generational QB and last week he responded with 2 INT's (only 4 all of last year). Could we see a bit of a sophomore slump?
331 Nebraska -3.5(-107) Pinnacle vs 332 Colorado triple-dime bet
Analysis: 3-star (331) Nebraska -3.5 over COLORADO. 3:30pm ET. Both teams had misleading wins in Week 1 as Nebraska had 3 non-offensive TD's, while Colorado was +4 in TO's. However, I trust Scott Frost much more in this one. Frost after last week's game said, "That's as anemic an offensive effort I've been a part of in a long time," Frost said. "That's not the offense I've been seeing all fall camp." Now they can get that offense going against a Colorado defense that gave up 505 yards last week to Colorado St. Also note Nebraska has revenge for losing to Colorado last year in Scott Frost's debut as that game was misleading with Nebraska having a 565-395 yard edge but lost. Finally, the crowd will be 50/50 here as Nebraska fans will travel in droves to a former Big 8/12 rival (first visit in a decade).
Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 10:30PM
385 Stanford / 386 Southern Cal UNDER46.5 Pinnacle single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (385/386) Stanford/USC UNDER 46.5. 10:30pm ET. Both teams have QB issues here that I think will lead to a lower scoring. USC QB JT Daniels is out for the year with a torn ACL and the Trojans are going with a true frosh in Kedon Slovis who struggled last week in the second half. Keep in mind, USC threw 34 passes in the first half with Daniels in the new "Air Raid" offense, but just 8 passes with Slovis in the second half as they were ultra-conservative. On the other side, Stanford could be playing without QB KJ Costello who got KO'd late first half vs Northwestern last week. Costello was 16 of 20 for 152 yards in the first half but his replacement Davis Mills was only 7 of 14 for 81 yards in the second half.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 3:30PM
333 Texas A&M 18.0(-110) William Hill vs 334 Clemson single-dime bet
Analysis: 1-star (333) Texas A&M +18 over CLEMSON. 3:30pm ET. Clemson has won 11 straight games by at least 20 points but we're fading them here. First, there won't be an intimidation factor here for Texas A&M, who only lost by 2 points last year to Clemson (outgained Tigers 501-413). Both teams final scores were close to the spread last week. However, A&M was more dominant than the final last week, while Clemson had a somewhat fortunate cover. Finally, there's been a lot of hype around Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence being a generational QB and last week he responded with 2 INT's (only 4 all of last year). Could we see a bit of a sophomore slump?
Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 7:00PM
687 CAL / 688 EDM UNDER 48.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
Analysis: Right back with the under on these 2 teams!
Let's keep the perfect season going!
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 8:20PM
477 PIT / 478 NEP UNDER 50.5 William Hilldouble-dime bet
Analysis: Write up to follow.
687 CAL / 688 EDM UNDER 48.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
Analysis: Right back with the under on these 2 teams!
Let's keep the perfect season going!
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 8:20PM
477 PIT / 478 NEP UNDER 50.5 William Hilldouble-dime bet
Analysis: Write up to follow.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 7 2019 12:00PM
308 Virginia Tech -28.0(-114) Pinnacle vs 307 Old Dominion single-dime bet
Analysis: Obviously, this will be a revenge game for Virginia Tech after losing outright as 27.5-point favorites at Old Dominion last year. Last week, VT had a 29-18 first down edge but the Hokies were -4 in TO’s in their 35-28 loss at Boston College. VT QB Ryan Willis was 29 of 47 for 344 yards and 4 TD’s but did throw 3 INT’s. “For whatever reason, we just played extremely tight as a defense,” VT DC Bud Foster said. “That wasn’t the same group that practiced and how they performed. You saw how we played in the second half, it’s how I was kind of hoping we’d play the entire game.” On the other side, ODU nearly suffered a big upset loss of their own as they escaped Norfolk St 24-21 as 25.5-point favorites. Blowout!
308 Virginia Tech -28.0(-114) Pinnacle vs 307 Old Dominion single-dime bet
Analysis: Obviously, this will be a revenge game for Virginia Tech after losing outright as 27.5-point favorites at Old Dominion last year. Last week, VT had a 29-18 first down edge but the Hokies were -4 in TO’s in their 35-28 loss at Boston College. VT QB Ryan Willis was 29 of 47 for 344 yards and 4 TD’s but did throw 3 INT’s. “For whatever reason, we just played extremely tight as a defense,” VT DC Bud Foster said. “That wasn’t the same group that practiced and how they performed. You saw how we played in the second half, it’s how I was kind of hoping we’d play the entire game.” On the other side, ODU nearly suffered a big upset loss of their own as they escaped Norfolk St 24-21 as 25.5-point favorites. Blowout!
Northcoast Newsletter Keys
Power Sweep
4* Nebraska wins by 13
3* Texas AM + (Clemson wins by 10)
3* Army + (Michigan wins by 15)
2* Rutgers + (Iowa wins by 12)
2* Miami, FL wins by 10
Dog of the Week: Texas +4
Power Plays
4.5 * Texas Tech 54 UTEP 12
4.5* Akron 23 (+) UAB 25
4* Texas State 19(+) Wyoming 23
4* App State 40 Charlotte 13
4* UTSA 17 (+) Baylor 39
4* UCLA 27 San Diego State 13
3* Va Tech 45 Old Dominion 13 (revenge game for Va Tech)
3* Hawaii 45 Oregon St 34
Power Sweep
4* Nebraska wins by 13
3* Texas AM + (Clemson wins by 10)
3* Army + (Michigan wins by 15)
2* Rutgers + (Iowa wins by 12)
2* Miami, FL wins by 10
Dog of the Week: Texas +4
Power Plays
4.5 * Texas Tech 54 UTEP 12
4.5* Akron 23 (+) UAB 25
4* Texas State 19(+) Wyoming 23
4* App State 40 Charlotte 13
4* UTSA 17 (+) Baylor 39
4* UCLA 27 San Diego State 13
3* Va Tech 45 Old Dominion 13 (revenge game for Va Tech)
3* Hawaii 45 Oregon St 34
Northcoast Newsletter Keys
NFL
Power Sweep
4* Pittsburgh wins by 1
3* Minnesota wins by 10
2* Baltimore wins by 13
Power Plays
4* Dallas 28 Giants 16
3.5* Seattle 29 Cinn17
3.5* Minnesota 24 Atlanta 17
3* Jacksonville 21 KC 22
2* Pittsburgh 20 NE 23
1* Baltimore 25 Miami 16
1* LA Rams 26 Carolina 20
NFL
Power Sweep
4* Pittsburgh wins by 1
3* Minnesota wins by 10
2* Baltimore wins by 13
Power Plays
4* Dallas 28 Giants 16
3.5* Seattle 29 Cinn17
3.5* Minnesota 24 Atlanta 17
3* Jacksonville 21 KC 22
2* Pittsburgh 20 NE 23
1* Baltimore 25 Miami 16
1* LA Rams 26 Carolina 20
Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM
457 BUF 3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 458 NYJ double-dime bet
Analysis: Write up to follow.
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM
453 ATL / 454 MIN UNDER 48.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
Analysis: New OC Stefanski POUNDED the ball on the ground the last 3 weeks last year.
I expect more of this, and this makes Min a solid team to selectively bet UNDERs with!
457 BUF 3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 458 NYJ double-dime bet
Analysis: Write up to follow.
Fezzik | NFL Total - Sunday, Sep 8 2019 1:00PM
453 ATL / 454 MIN UNDER 48.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
Analysis: New OC Stefanski POUNDED the ball on the ground the last 3 weeks last year.
I expect more of this, and this makes Min a solid team to selectively bet UNDERs with!
