Early 2016/2017 Bowl Picks

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GoodFella | CFB Side - Tuesday, Dec 27 2016 7:00PM
239 Washington St. -6.0(-120) Greek vs 240 Minnesota triple-dime bet

 

[Yankees5560]

Play above wash state up to -9.5

 

[Yankees5560]

Dave Essler | CFB Side Mon, 12/26/16 - 2:30 PM

triple-dime bet ​

232 Boston College 1.5 (-110) Greek vs 231 Maryland Analysis: This is going to be (so far my Bowl GOY. I might have another one in 2017 Both these teams has to win their last game to get to six wins and Bowl Eligible. Boston College did it on the road at Wake Forest, while the Terps did it at home against lowly Rutgers. Maryland started off their season with four wins, and perhaps after hanging 50 on Purdue got a bit too full of themselves. At the very least their expectations were much higher than playing in Detroit a day after Christmas. BC has gone slow and steady all season, and their only really bad loss was at Syracuse, and even that's not horrible. What is horrible is Maryland's defense. They allow 448 yards per game and allowed an average of 510 yards per game on the road (or away from home, we'll call it). That will more than make up for BC's lack of offense, which is scoring only 17 points a game this season, but that's a full TD better than last season. The Terps allow 230+yards RUSHING per game, which clearly plays into what BC wants to do. Play keep away, and they should own time of possession which keeps their VERY STOUT defense rested. It's a defense that held G-Tech to 17 points in Dublin, and held NC State to 14 on the road. They're not matching up with Clemson, FSU, or L'ville, but they're not PLAYING Clemson, FSU, or L'ville - and the Terp defense allowed Rutgers' first score(s) in three weeks in their last game. BC has a huge turnover margin and even factoring in all those games against elite teams they still were 13th in the nation in allowing third down conversions. In contrast, Maryland was 58th in the nation in that category and seemingly getting worse, not better, as the season wore on. Patrick Towles IS getting better week to week as he learns not to do stupid things like he did at Kentucky. BC turnover margin was +.5 per game and getting BETTER (+2 TO PG) down the stretch. The Terps were in the negative. We have what I see as the more motivated team playing better of late, clearly the better defense, and although the Big Ten has better (or equal to) teams at the top of the conference, the ACC is (IMO) better from the middle down, by far. So, wrong team favored here, IMO. Plus, if it comes down to a kick, Mike Knoll (BC's place kicker) is exponentially better than Adam Greene. There you have it.

 

[Yankees5560]

Essler

2*

over 58 miss state