Dutchy'$ Aussie Rules 2009 Season thread

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Port have to show something, Cats off 2 trips to Perth....plenty of points here for Port to defend, think they might

Port +48.5
1.65 @ $1.91


Roos have won 5 of the last 6 games against the Bullies and with a new coach i expect them to really serve it up to the Bullies, plus Boomer back, again think they can at least cover the spread here

Roos +35.5
1.65 @ $1.91


Again plenty of points here for the Saints to cover and expect some fight from Richmond, little bit less confident here but think its the right side to be on

Richmond +41.5
1.1 @ $1.92

Also had a play around with Centrebets PYOL -

Multi Port +70.5, Roos +59.5, Richmond +70.5
1 @ $2.11
 

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Dutchy's AFL
-4.34 Units


not too bad considering I was -30 units 6 weeks ago
 

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Adelaide -23.5
1.65 @ $1.91

Adelaide/Carlton Win
2 @ $2.11

Hawks +17.5
1.1 @ $1.92
 

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Really like Essendon today, they have a 2 day break advantage over Sydney, a couple of nice ins, Sydney lost 4 of their last 5 and wernt impressive last week at all, this is the first game out of Melbourne for the Bombers since Round 7 (those that know me know I love this angle) I actually believe the Bomber should be favourites in this game!

Essendon +7.0
2.75 @ $1.91


Adelaide have been a solid form but when you disect it their night form and day form are poles apart. Adelaide have lost all of their 5 night games ATS this year, their output in night games is significantly below their season average. They face an undermanned Freo tonight but in what looks like will be a wet game getting 34 points in for Freo seems to much to refuse


Freo +34.5
1.6 @ $1.94


Carlton and Port should just win

Carlton/Port Win
2 @ $1.79

 

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Raining in tassie at the moment and forcast not looking the best on top of the fact both these teams are low scorers I give this one a chance of hitting -

Hawks/Roos Under 150 Points
0.50 @ $3.15


Saints defence plus WCE lack of attacking options = a low scoring game IMO, at least frm teh WCE side of things, can see teh Saints strangling them again like most good sides do to WCE, the total put up seems way too high IMO

WCE/SAints Under 184.5
1.65 @ $1.90
 

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Raining in tassie at the moment and forcast not looking the best on top of the fact both these teams are low scorers I give this one a chance of hitting -

Hawks/Roos Under 150 Points
0.50 @ $3.15

Saints defence plus WCE lack of attacking options = a low scoring game IMO, at least frm teh WCE side of things, can see teh Saints strangling them again like most good sides do to WCE, the total put up seems way too high IMO

WCE/SAints Under 184.5
1.65 @ $1.90

Remember, if you think the total is too high, there's usually a very solid reason for it and usually the end result is the direct recipient of a winning reason.

:103631605
 

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both won weasy Ivan :)

B Ebert to kick 3 goals or more
0.3 @ $5.00

Roos Win
1.2 @ $1.84

Roos/Richmond Over 182.5 Points
1.1 @ $1.90

Adelaide/Saints Under 175.5 Points
1.1 @ $1.90

Porplyzia to kick 1 goal or less
0.5 @ $3.45
 

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Bullies +10.5
1.65 @ $1.92

Bullies/Saints Under 185.5 total
1.1 @ $1.90
 

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Yeah seems a definate trend, 205.5 on todays game at the G is huge, wish I had the guts to hit it harder

Adelaide/Sydney/Essendon Win
1.50 @ $2.62

Essendon/Richmond Under 205.5
1.65 @ $1.90

Tredrea to kick 1 goal or less
0.75 @ $2.85
 

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Goodluck, I'm playing the under 205.5 and the under 182.5 and parlaying both hoping trend continues :).
 

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