DubNation23 December Warmup 7-2 in last 9.

[DubNation23]

YTD 7-7 (50%) +3.99151 units

Parlays 1-2 (33.33%) yielding us a loss of -0.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash.


7-2 in our last 9 plays hitting our first 4 unit play of the year with the help of overtime. Although this play did hit today I think I have found a new qualifier to include with my plays which helped saved us on a loss today with the over on Chicago. PHO/NY also should not have gone over even with the late line movement on the over I feel we were lucky and very fortunate of an overtime period to bring us pass this total today of 219.

I will be back tomorrow with my most confident plays which may be reduced in the time being after finding this new qualifiers to consider with future plays. Hope everyone is having a great week so far. Be back tomorrow with my insights.

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 8-7 (53.33%) +5.99151 units

Parlays 1-3 (25%) yielding us a loss of -1.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.

8-2 in our last 10 plays 12/13/16 (1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 -119) +3 units
3 team parlay

Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units

1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending

12/13/16 1-0 +2 units. One play still may be placed.

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 10-8 (55.55%) +5.98446

Parlays 1-4 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.0202 units so far this year with several chances so far for huge cash. one of these will cash in soon for us. just got to ride it out.

10-3 in our last 13 plays (76.9% cheersgif)

3 team parlay (Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units)
1st Half: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119)W
1st Half: Washington Wizards ML (-109) L
1st Half: Boston Celtics +2.5 (+109) pending

2 Team parlay (Risk 1 unit to win 6.367 units LOSE - 1 units)
1st Quarter: Utah Jazz -2 (-115) W
1st Quarter: Boston Celtics ML(+149) L

12/13/16 (0-2 in parlays -2 units)


12/13/16 3-1 +3.99295 units on Straight Plays

1stH Toronto Raptors -3.5 (-119) WINNER +3 units 1stH ML(+173) to Win 4.33250 1stH Celtics ML LOSER -2.5 units
Live Boston Celtics+9.5 (-120) WINNER +2.06795 Units
2ndH Boston Celtics ML-(-105) WINNER +1.425 Units
12/13/16 TOTAL
3-1 +1.99295 (-2 units from Parlays)

 

[DubNation23]

correction 2nd Parlay was
2 Team parlay (Risk 1 unit to win 3.6552 units LOSE - 1 units)

forgot to update the payout but it didn't matter as it did not win.

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 12-9 (57.14%) +5.95016 (loss of 0.0343 units)


Parlays 1-7 (12.5%) yielding us a loss of -5.5 units



12/15/16 Plays
(0-3 in parlays -3.47980 units, 2-1 in Straight Plays +3.4455 units)

3 team parlay (Risk 1.47980 units to win 6.82632 Units LOSE -1.47980 units)
1st Half: New York Knicks v Golden State Warriors over 112.5 1.808 (-124) L
1st Half: Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks under 105.5 1.717 (-139) L
1st Half: Indiana Pacers v New Orleans Pelicans New Orleans Pelicans -0.5 1.808 (-124) L (ML for game wins. Might need to reevaluate low spread to ML 1stH plays)

3 team parlay (Risk 1.00000 units to win 4.44400 Units LOSE -1 units )
1st Half: New York Knicks v Golden State Warriors over 111.5 1.696 (-144) L
FG: Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks under 207.5 1.875 (-114) W
1st Half: San Antonio Spurs v Phoenix Suns over 99.5 1.712 (-140) L

2 team parlay (Risk 1.00000 units to win 2.39900 Units )
1st Half: New York Knicks v Golden State Warriors over 112.5 1.789 (-127) L
2nd Half: Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks under 101 1.90 (-111) W


Straight Wager (Risk 3.49243units to win 3.00000 Units ) W +3.000000 units

Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks under 206.5 1.859 (-116)

Straight Wager (Risk 3.55450 units to win 3.00000 Units ) L -3.55450 units

1st Half San Antonio Spurs v Phoenix Sunsover 100.5 1.844 (-118) L -3.55450 Units
Line on 1st Half was weird on this one. 211.5 full game total with a first half total just at 100.5, usually first half is half of the FG Total or even higher. Very weird line which I tried to take advantage of although falling short by 7 points. I would have taken this bet again if I had the chance too. Just a bad break in my opinion

Straight Wager (Risk 5.28402 units to win 4.00000 Units ) W +4.000000 units

1st Half New York Knicks v Golden State Warriors -9.5 1.757(-132)

 

[DubNation23]

today was a rough day as things did not go our way. As we regress slightly please understand this is a grind. We are looking for long term results and we should never let a bad day push us off course. Back to the drawing board for tomorrow.

YTD 13-14 (48.15%) -1.02266 units (-6.97282 units on the day)

Parlays 2-8 (20%) yielding us a loss of -2.168 units



12/15/16 Plays -6.97282 units
(1-1 in parlays +3.332 units, 0-3 in Straight Plays -9.43126 units)
(1-1 in Live Value Plays -0.87356 units)


Parlays:


3 team parlay (Risk 1.5 units to win 7.34250 Units LOSE -1.5 units)
1st Half: Charlotte hornets +4.5 1.812 (-123) W
1st Half: Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 1.841 (-119) L
1st Half: Houston Rockets -6.5 1.767 (-130) W



2 team parlay (Risk 2 units to win 4.83200 Units WIN +4.83200 units)
2nd Half: Memphis -5.5 1.90 (-111) W
1st Half: Utah -5.5 1.798 (-125) W



Straight Wagers:


New Orleans/Houston over 222.5 -122(1.863)
Risk 3.66300 to win 3.00000 units
LOSE -3.66300 units What a heart breaker here... this game was on a very great pace and fell apart at the end. Like I said in an earlier post these types of games will balance out in the end. All we can do is shake it off. We can take notice on how many times this takes place from my posts. So far it went in our favor once and against us twice.


2nd Half New Orleans / Houston over 109 1.999 (-101)
risk 2.10526 to win 2 units
LOSE -2.10526 Units This was a bad play on my part. I should have known based off the line movement alone that I should have stayed away. This error was an example of trying to double dip on a play that was already looking solid. By taking the 2nd Half we added additional liability at a less then favorable line. In the future our second half plays will more than likely present a better line or present some type of value. I am glad I am taking the time to document my plays here so I can better recognize mistakes I am making more easily due to the visibility.


Utah -10.5 -122(1.819) LOSE - 3.663000
Risk 3.66300 to win 3.00000 units


Live Value Play Mavericks LIVE v Jazz LIVE over 207.5 1.870 (-115) LOSE - 2.87356
Risk 2.87356 Units to win 2.5 Units

Live Value Play Mavericks LIVE v Jazz LIVE under 221.5 1.870 (-115) WIN +2 Units
Risk 2.29885 units to win 2 units

 

[DubNation23]

correction post above is for 12/16/16 not 12/15/16

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 13-16 (44.82%) -12.66673 units

Parlays 2-10 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -6.5 units

9 days of posting and we have already experienced some ups and downs. Tomorrow starts a new week.

 

[DubNation23]

CORRECTION...

YTD 14-15 (48.27%) -7.5 units

Parlays 2-10 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -6.5 units

I counted the last play as a loss a little early and again things start to balance out as this play was almost out of reach and turned to our favor.

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 18-18 (50%) -9.43791 units
Parlays 2-11 (15.38%) yielding us a loss of -8.0 units

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 19-19 (50%) -12.03033 units
Parlays 2-12 (14.28%) yielding us a loss of -10.0 units

We got 8 days to figure this out but I am excited to see how things will turn out in the end. Lets grind it out until the end of the month and start the year off right.

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today....

 

[DubNation23]

After 12/22/2016

YTD 21-20 (51.2%) -7.00095 units
Parlays 2-12 (14.28%) yielding us a loss of -10.0 units

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 24-21 (52.17%) -0.62205 units
Parlays 2-12 (14.28%) yielding us a loss of -10.0 units

7-2 today, 3-1 on official plays (1-1 on leans, 3-0 on projected plays but unconfirmed)

9-3 in our last 12 projections...

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 25-21 (54.35%) +1.73793 units
Parlays 2-12 (14.28%) yielding us a loss of -10.0 units

9-2 today, 4-1 on official plays (1-1 on leans, 3-0 on projected plays but unconfirmed)

10-3 in our last 13 projections... (76%)

 

[DubNation23]

YTD 26-21 (55.32%) +9.38793 units

Parlays 3-12 (20%) yielding us a loss of -5.35 units



13-3 in our last 16 projections... (81.25%)


No plays in NBA today since there wasn't any games but we played a few plays in the NFL putting us in a great position with a positive gain to our bankroll sitting just below 10 units.
One 5 unit play set for tomorrow with a few other potential positions on deck.

Happy Holidays....

 

[DubNation23]

****Correction****

sorry my math was incorrect. just verified on my account once it graded.

We are now up +10.38793 Units not +9.38793 units

 

[DubNation23]

12/25/16 GSW -2.5 LOSER
12/2516 Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers over 45.51.822 (-122) WINNER

12/25/16 2nd Half GS Warriors v 2nd Half CLE Cavaliers Game: 2nd Half GS Warriors -1.51.820 (-122) LOSER

12/25/16 Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers Game: Pittsburgh Steelers -4.51.815 (-123) LOSER
12/25/16 lakers +7. Now plus 4 without Paul.
12/25/16 Over presents value with 10 point drop (Lakers/Clippers over 209.5) WINNER
12/26/16 1st Half OVER 108.5 TOR/POR -123 (1.812) LOSER
12/26/16 2nd Half OVER 106 TOR/POR -111 (1.900) LOSER
12/27/16 Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat 1st Half: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 1.863 (-116) WINNER
12/27/16 Memphis Grizzlies v Boston Celtics Game: Memphis Grizzlies +8.51.793 (-126) Last second miss and foul for loss LOSER
12/27/16 Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat 1st Half: Oklahoma City Thunder -1.51.786 (-127) WINNER
12/27/16 Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Lakers 1st Half: Utah Jazz -1.51.767 (-130) LOSER
12/27/16 1st Half Baylor v Boise State over 351.872 (-115)LOSER
12/27/16 2nd Half Utah -6 -111 PUSH
12/28/16 ATL-2.5 First Half LOSER
12/28/16 NY/ATL First Half Under 107 WINNER
12/28/16 MIL/DET First Half Over 103.5 WINNER
12/28/16 MIL +1.5 First Half WINNER
12/28/16 Phoenix Suns v San Antonio Spurs 1st Half: over 101.5 WINNER
12/28/16 Los Angeles Clippers v New Orleans Pelicans 1st Half: over 105.5 couldn't get last basket to fall. several chances. LOSER
12/28/16 2nd Half LA Clippers v 2nd Half NO Pelicans over 102.51.900 (-111) LOSER
12/28/16 Sacramento Kings v Portland Trail Blazers 1st Half: Portland Trail Blazers +01.871 (-115) BLOW OUT WINNER +5 Units
12/28/16 Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors 1st Half: Golden State Warriors -4.51.755 (-132) semi Blowout...WINNER12/28/16 Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors 1st Quarter: Golden State Warriors -3 1.848 (-118) BLOW OUT WINNER +5 Units
12/28/16 Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors 2nd Half Over 112 (1.920) LOSER


YTD 29-25-1 (53.70%) -6.9758 Units (+10.5242 on straight plays)

Parlays 3-15 (16.67%) yielding us a loss of -17.5 units (unable to hit a big one yet but we have been close many many times, not worried as this will balance out)


24-14 in our last 38 projections... (63.158%)

 

[DubNation23]

if 25 units lost in parlays will stop playing them until I'm back up 25 units.
We have been so close in parlays and I feel will soon cash and BIG.

12/28/16 3 team parlay risk 2.5000 units to win 13.0970 2-1 for LOSS
Sacramento Kings v Portland Trail Blazers 1st Half: Portland Trail Blazers +01.871 (-115) W
Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors 1st Half: Golden State Warriors -4.51.755 (-132) W
2nd Half LA Clippers v 2nd Half NO Pelicans over 102.51.900 (-111) L
PARLAY 3 Game Parlay 6.239 (+524) RISK 2.50000 TO WIN 13.09750


12/28/16 3 team parlay risk 2.5000 units to win 11.16250 2-1 for LOSS
Basketball - NBA Sacramento Kings v Portland Trail Blazers 1st Half: Portland Trail Blazers +0 1.871 (-115) W
Basketball - NBA Phoenix Suns v San Antonio Spurs 1st Half: over 101.5 1.709 (-141) W
Basketball - NBA Los Angeles Clippers v New Orleans Pelicans 1st Half: over 105.5 1.685 (-146) L
PARLAY 3 Game Parlay 5.388 (+439 ) RISK 2.5000 TO WIN 11.16250

Both parlays lose to the same game. This game played out as planned but didn't complete as expected.

Lets close out December with some FIRE and start the new year off right... hope you all have been enjoying the plays so far. Things only to get better as the year goes on.

 

[DubNation23]

No plays the last two days. sorry I was busy preparing for the New Year. Happy New Years everyone. A new thread will be started for the year.