I'm back for more punishment! Last week was a disaster when it came to predicting line moves. I'll give it another go this week... but even if I fail, let's see if I can get lucky!
Chicago +3 -125 over Detroit:
Lions were bet from -1 to -3, but the line has gone back down to -3 +105 / +3 -125, despite the apparent lack of buyback from the wiseguys. Apparently someone smells a rat here. Looks like line will go back to -2.5, with a possibility of going back to -2 by Sunday.
Cleveland +7.5 over Washington:
Huh? Bet down from 9.5 to 7.5? And seems like it was done by squares and sharps alike? Washington actually looked good last week while Cleveland remains the worst team in football, despite brave efforts in the last two weeks. The whole thing could be a big tease (pun intended), but maybe the wanna-be "sharps" will pound this all the way down to 7. One thing is for sure: no professional would be caught dead laying -7.5 under any circumstances and any possible buyback will be done using the teaser.
Kansas City +4.5 over Pittsburgh:
Bell is back, Pittsburgh is eager to bounce back at home after the disaster vs. the Eagles, and public support is for Pittsburgh all the way. So of course the line drops from 5.5 to 4.5, despite minimal action from sharps. So does this drop to 3.5 like last week, and Steelers lose by 30 again? 5 is a dead number but 4 is not, so a move to 4 or 3.5 would be telling.
2-team 6-point teaser, -120:
San Francisco +8.5/NY Jets +8.5
Betting on the injury status of Dez Bryant and Russell Wilson?
3-team 6-point teaser, +160:
San Francisco +8.5/NY Jets +8.5/Arizona -1.5
I think Arizona has a better chance of steaming up to 9 and out of the teaser window than the other two big favorites (Washington and Cincinnati).
6-3
+2.06 units
Chicago +3 -125 over Detroit:
Lions were bet from -1 to -3, but the line has gone back down to -3 +105 / +3 -125, despite the apparent lack of buyback from the wiseguys. Apparently someone smells a rat here. Looks like line will go back to -2.5, with a possibility of going back to -2 by Sunday.
Cleveland +7.5 over Washington:
Huh? Bet down from 9.5 to 7.5? And seems like it was done by squares and sharps alike? Washington actually looked good last week while Cleveland remains the worst team in football, despite brave efforts in the last two weeks. The whole thing could be a big tease (pun intended), but maybe the wanna-be "sharps" will pound this all the way down to 7. One thing is for sure: no professional would be caught dead laying -7.5 under any circumstances and any possible buyback will be done using the teaser.
Kansas City +4.5 over Pittsburgh:
Bell is back, Pittsburgh is eager to bounce back at home after the disaster vs. the Eagles, and public support is for Pittsburgh all the way. So of course the line drops from 5.5 to 4.5, despite minimal action from sharps. So does this drop to 3.5 like last week, and Steelers lose by 30 again? 5 is a dead number but 4 is not, so a move to 4 or 3.5 would be telling.
2-team 6-point teaser, -120:
San Francisco +8.5/NY Jets +8.5
Betting on the injury status of Dez Bryant and Russell Wilson?
3-team 6-point teaser, +160:
San Francisco +8.5/NY Jets +8.5/Arizona -1.5
I think Arizona has a better chance of steaming up to 9 and out of the teaser window than the other two big favorites (Washington and Cincinnati).
6-3
+2.06 units
