drunken NFL week 8

[drunkguy]

Last week:

4-2 +1.7 units

Season to date:

26-15-4 +12.5 units

Early plays for this week:

Buffalo +7 Kansas City (2 units)
Buffalo +250

This may very well end up being my biggest play of the year, at 3 total units so far and possibly adding. Buffalo came up big last week in a thrashing of the Skins. Josh Reed finally broke through, and with Moulds expected back this week, the passing game should be improved. Travis Henry also had a good day on the ground. Kansas City has been weak against the pass this year (25th NFL), as well as the run (24th NFL). The offense has struggled lately for KC, depending primarily on Priest Holmes and special teams for production. Buffalo has been decent on defense this year. Kansas City has been on the good side of a lot of lucky plays (primarily kick returns) and also has the benefit of a lot of public backing driving up the line way beyond what it should be (I would put this closer to KC -3). KC was exposed by an underacheiving Oakland team last week, squeaking by in a 17-10 win. The Buffalo D should be able to contain KC enough to pull out the win. If not, the +7 gives us plenty of room for a cover. I will probably add to this play if the line moves further up.

Other plays (will add write-ups later in week)

Tennessee -3.5 Jacksonville
Tampa Bay -6.5 Dallas
Cleveland +6 New England

 

[jaypaw]

GL drunk man

 

[xflrejects]

hey drunken-i could not agree with you more.i sense a buffalo SU win.i had the line at k.c.-4.5....k.c. has been very fortunate in ,at least, 3 games to pull out the win. they are challenged in some ways and looked real bad vs. oaktown even though the raiders played their best game of the year..i know,not saying much.

buffalo needs to have a balanced game here on offense.if they can and their "d" has been decent all year i think buff gets the easy cover.

 

[spinman2]

Sorry guys, couldn't disagree more --- Not that you care, but here is my take.

KC has not looked great the last few weeks, but I think it was a combination of playing down to competition, road games, etc. This is at home against a decent opponent. KC will score often in this game, and Buffalo has not shown me the ability to keep up with them offensively - Buffalo should score some points, but I don't think they can win a shootout -- I think it may stay close for awhile, but I think KC pulls away and wins by more than 10 points.

 

[jaypaw]

Washington's Rush defense has allowed an average of 117/game

KC's Rush D has allowed 127/game
Buffalo averages 77 yds rushing per game

Buffalo's Rush D has allowed 111/game
KC Averages 132/per game on the ground


Bufffalo could do well if they rush... but will they?

 

[drunkguy]

My top play gets crushed. Recap:

Buffalo +7 Kansas City (2 units) LOSE
Buffalo +250 LOSE
Tennessee -3.5 Jacksonville WIN
Tampa Bay -6.5 Dallas WIN
Cleveland +6 New England PUSH

This week:

2-2-1 -1.2 units

Season to date:

28-17-5 +11.3 units