record to date:
3-3 +.7 units
Getting down early on
Boston College +10 Penn State
BC lost a tough one to Wake last week, leading 21-12 to start the fourth, only to lose 32-28. In their loss the accumulated 14 penalties and lost 3 fumbles. There were a number of missed opportunities on BC's side that could have made this game a blowout going the other way.
In the loss, BC accumulated 288 passing yards with an almost 60% completion rate. Derrick Knight also had 144 yards rushing.
Penn State defeated Temple 23-10, though this score was also somewhat misleading. Temple had more first downs and more total offensive yardage than Penn State. PSU's only two TDs were both the result of big plays, a 56 yard TD reception and a 53 yard run on the way to their final TD. The offense was anemic, rushing for only 45 yards in the 1st half and accumulating only 79 net yards passing in the game with 1 7-16 completion rate.
Defensively, Penn State gave up over 350 yards to a Temple offense that is probably among the worst in Div I ball. The Lions got a lot of breaks here and were probably lucky to pull out with the win.
I am going to take the road favorite here, looking for a bounce back by BC. The PSU defense can definitely be exploited here, and I question the ability of PSU to score on anyone here. Ten points is a lot in this situation, and I may consider laying on the BC moneyline here. BC made a lot of mistakes last week, which can probably be correctd by game time. I do realize that Joe Paterno is a great motivator, and he may be able to bring the lions squad up to higher level next week, but still think taking the points is the way to go.
I think there is a decent probability that this line moves to +11 or 12 by game time, but the downside of going to 9.5 is too high, so I will lock in a unit now and stroingly look at adding another unit later in the week.
3-3 +.7 units
Getting down early on
Boston College +10 Penn State
BC lost a tough one to Wake last week, leading 21-12 to start the fourth, only to lose 32-28. In their loss the accumulated 14 penalties and lost 3 fumbles. There were a number of missed opportunities on BC's side that could have made this game a blowout going the other way.
In the loss, BC accumulated 288 passing yards with an almost 60% completion rate. Derrick Knight also had 144 yards rushing.
Penn State defeated Temple 23-10, though this score was also somewhat misleading. Temple had more first downs and more total offensive yardage than Penn State. PSU's only two TDs were both the result of big plays, a 56 yard TD reception and a 53 yard run on the way to their final TD. The offense was anemic, rushing for only 45 yards in the 1st half and accumulating only 79 net yards passing in the game with 1 7-16 completion rate.
Defensively, Penn State gave up over 350 yards to a Temple offense that is probably among the worst in Div I ball. The Lions got a lot of breaks here and were probably lucky to pull out with the win.
I am going to take the road favorite here, looking for a bounce back by BC. The PSU defense can definitely be exploited here, and I question the ability of PSU to score on anyone here. Ten points is a lot in this situation, and I may consider laying on the BC moneyline here. BC made a lot of mistakes last week, which can probably be correctd by game time. I do realize that Joe Paterno is a great motivator, and he may be able to bring the lions squad up to higher level next week, but still think taking the points is the way to go.
I think there is a decent probability that this line moves to +11 or 12 by game time, but the downside of going to 9.5 is too high, so I will lock in a unit now and stroingly look at adding another unit later in the week.
