DRF Race Of The Week - The 134th Preakness Stakes (Grade I)

oldmanTED · May 14, 2009

This Saturday, Pimlico proudly presents The 134th Preakness Stakes (Grade I) for 3 year old colts at 1 & 3/16 miles on the dirt for a purse of $1,000,000. A field of 12 is currently scheduled to go to the post at 6:15 p.m. EDT. The post positions, morning line odds and past performance link are shown below. This is an open thread for anyone that wants to contribute, post a play, whatever. Best of luck.

PIMLICO

Saturday, May 16, 2009

12th (6:15)

Blackberry Preakness S. (G1)
1 3/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $1,100,000

<TABLE class=tjctable summary=Results><TBODY><TR><TH scope=col>Prg. #</TH><TH scope=col>PP</TH><TH scope=col>Horse</TH><TH scope=col>Jockey</TH><TH scope=col>Trainer</TH><TH scope=col>Wt.</TH><TH scope=col>Claim $</TH><TH scope=col>Equip.</TH><TH scope=col>Med.</TH><TH style="TEXT-ALIGN: right" scope=col>ML</TH></TR><TR><TD>1 </TD><TD>1</TD><TD>Big Drama</TD><TD>Velazquez J R</TD><TD>Fawkes David</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD>Blk-Off</TD><TD>L</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">10-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>2 </TD><TD>2</TD><TD>Mine That Bird</TD><TD>Smith M E</TD><TD>Woolley, Jr. B L</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">6-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>3 </TD><TD>3</TD><TD>Musket Man</TD><TD>Coa E M</TD><TD>Ryan Derek S</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">8-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>4 </TD><TD>4</TD><TD>Luv Gov</TD><TD>Theriot H J II</TD><TD>Lukas D Wayne</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">50-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>5 </TD><TD>5</TD><TD>Friesan Fire</TD><TD>Saez G</TD><TD>Jones J Larry</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">6-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>6 </TD><TD>6</TD><TD>Terrain</TD><TD>Rose J</TD><TD>Stall Albert M Jr</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">30-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>7 </TD><TD>7</TD><TD>Papa Clem</TD><TD>Bejarano R</TD><TD>Stute Gary</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>L</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">12-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>8 </TD><TD>8</TD><TD>General Quarters</TD><TD>Leparoux J R</TD><TD>McCarthy Thomas R</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>L</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">20-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>9 </TD><TD>9</TD><TD>Pioneerof the Nile</TD><TD>Gomez G K</TD><TD>Baffert Bob</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">5-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>10 </TD><TD>10</TD><TD>Flying Private</TD><TD>Garcia Alan</TD><TD>Lukas D Wayne</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">50-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>11 </TD><TD>11</TD><TD>Take the Points</TD><TD>Prado E S</TD><TD>Pletcher Todd A</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD>Blk-On</TD><TD>LA</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">30-1</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>12 </TD><TD>12</TD><TD>Tone It Down</TD><TD>Desormeaux K J</TD><TD>Komlo William R</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>L</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">50-1</TD></TR><TR><TD>13 </TD><TD>13</TD><TD>Rachel Alexandra</TD><TD>Borel C H</TD><TD>Asmussen Steven M</TD><TD>121</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>L</TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right">8-5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

EXACTA, TRIFECTA & SUPERFECTA / DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 12 & 13 ) / SUPER HIGH 5 2nd HALF OF BLACK-EYED SUSAN / PREAKNESS DOUBLE

Past Performances

http://www.drf.com/formulator-web/f...ning=D&raceNumber=12#past-performance-race/12

trytrytry · May 16, 2009

2-3-5-7-9 tri box

OJS#32buff · May 16, 2009

TRI KEY13/5-9/3-5-7-9...............super key13/5-9/3-5-7-9/3-5-7-9.......

hno: I think this maybe super filly beats average (at best )males........................ 13- large win bet...13-5 ex 13-9ex.

steaktartar · May 16, 2009

big drama

G.MONEY · May 16, 2009

#1..W+P

Box 1,3,5,9

JimmyJet · May 16, 2009

Rachel Alexandra to Win

oldmanTED · May 16, 2009

Race Update

Track Condition: Fast
Jockey Changes: None
Scratches: None

oldmanTED · May 16, 2009

Well, after my future on I Want Revenge busted with the morning line Derby favorite being scratched due to a sore ankle, I came on here and said I didn't have a clue who would win the Derby. As we all know, Mind That Bird won going away at over 50-1 on the sloppy surface. Now, having seen both the Derby and the Oaks, I can see an interesting race today.

This race appears to have some speed up front with the entry of Big Drama who comes in off winning the Swale (Grade II), but being disqualified. He is likely to have the lead going into the first turn as he breaks from the #1 hole while the only other true speed is Rachel Alexandra who comes in off winning the Kentucky Oaks (Grade I) by over 20 lengths but starts in the #13 gate position. She rated nicely off the speed in that race and took command as she pleased and drew off easily. No question that scenario is very possible once again today. However, keep in mind she has changed connections and was never really pointed toward this race and is being asked to return in 15 days and yes I realize all the colts are returning in 14 days. With a likely honest pace, if Rachel doesn't repeat her performance, this race sets up nicely for the stalkers and closers.

Now that brings into play the likes of Derby winner Mind That Bird, Musket Man, Friesan Fire, Papa Clem and Pioneer Of The Nile. It is likely the sloppy track at Churchill Downs compromised the chances of most of these and perhaps, just perhaps, improved the performance of Mind That Bird. That being said, however, I have witnessed 38 Kentucky Derby's in my lifetime, and have often seen the Derby winner being considered a fluke and therefore going off a very nice price in the Preakness. Of the horses mentioned above, I am not totally sold on any of them, but do believe Mind That Bird and Pioneer Of The Nile to be the best of that bunch. Yes, I realize that Borel got off the Derby winner to ride Rachel and believe that was the appropriate move here as she may be very difficult to beat here and will be the legitimate race time favorite and the one to beat. But, I'm going to try and beat her here taking a chance that the Derby winner's race was legitimate and with Smith in the irons, may run her down, if and only if, she has been weakened by the speed of Big Drama. Hence,

#2 Mind That Bird (Win/Place)

GREENHEAD · May 16, 2009

Nice write-up Ted.
Good luck on the race.

TWiTCHaH · May 16, 2009

#1, #6, #11, & #12

All single bets to win.

Silly reason why: Had a dream last night that a horse with a T in the beginning of their name would win, and I rarely ever have dreams..

trytrytry · May 16, 2009

TWiTCHaH said:
#1, #6, #11, & #12

All single bets to win.

Silly reason why: Had a dream last night that a horse with a T in the beginning of their name would win, and I rarely ever have dreams..

interesting I had a same dream 4 years ago before the Derby that a G horse would win...Giacomo at 50-1 won.. :103631605

BillyKidd · May 16, 2009

Twitch

I heard there are some good buys on houses in Cape Coral. Is that true?

joeyp · May 16, 2009

Billy Kidd said:
I heard there are some good buys on houses in Cape Coral. Is that true?

hi billy, did you add the #2 to your susan doubles with big drama?

TWiTCHaH · May 16, 2009

Billy Kidd said:
I heard there are some good buys on houses in Cape Coral. Is that true?

Yeah definately, there is alot of nice houses for sale at a decent prize, alot of them on the water with a pool. You should check it out, its a nice area.

kingking · May 16, 2009

Twitch! BOL!! :toast:

cardfan · May 16, 2009

#11-#5-#6

HPark1 · May 16, 2009

Results

1 R.A
2. Mine that Bird
3. Musket Man

oldmanTED · May 16, 2009

Official Results

12th Race

Blackberry Preakness S. (G1)
Off: 6:19 | 1 3/16 Miles | 3 Year Olds | Stakes | Purse: $1,100,000

<TABLE class=tjctable summary=Results><TBODY><TR><TH scope=col>#</TH><TH scope=col>Horse</TH><TH scope=col>Jockey</TH><TH scope=col>Weight</TH><TH scope=col>Win</TH><TH scope=col>Place</TH><TH scope=col>Show</TH></TR><TR><TD>13</TD><TD>Rachel Alexandra</TD><TD>Borel C H</TD><TD>121</TD><TD>5.60</TD><TD>4.60</TD><TD>3.60</TD></TR><TR class=altrow><TD>2</TD><TD>Mine That Bird</TD><TD>Smith M E</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD>6.60</TD><TD>4.80</TD></TR><TR><TD>3</TD><TD>Musket Man</TD><TD>Coa E M</TD><TD>126</TD><TD></TD><TD></TD><TD>5.00</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Finish Time: 1:55.08
Also ran: Flying Private, Big Drama, Papa Clem, Terrain, Luv Gov, General Quarters, Friesan Fire, Pioneerof the Nile, Tone It Down and Take the Points
Winning Trainer: Asmussen Steven M - Owner: Stonestreet Stables LLC and McCormick, Harold
$2 Pick 3 (1/8-3/9-13) 3 Correct Paid $94.80 Pick 3 Pool $510,801
$2 Pick 4 (4/5/8-1/8-3/9-13) 4 Correct Paid $130.20 Pick 4 Pool $1,992,588
$2 Daily Double (3-13) Paid $20.00 Daily Double Pool $463,643
$2 Daily Double (B.E.SUSAN-PREAKNESS 2-13) Paid $16.80 Daily Double Pool $747,204
$2 Exacta (13-2) Paid $39.20
$1 Superfecta (13-2-3-10) Paid $2,903.80
$2 Super High Five (13-2-3-10-1) Paid $34,003.20
$2 Trifecta (13-2-3) Paid $216.20