Dr. Lou Pockets Gettin Heavy!

Search

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
7-1-1 last week...14-4-1 YTD.

Leans...

Temple -15 - Only 1 other team with a worse rush/pass D than Tulsa and that is SMU. Tulsa avg 19 on the road. but points will be hard to come by as Temple has #2 pass defense in the nation. Tulsa will have to rush which might be a problem for them as they are ranked #110 in that regard. Temple allows a lot of big plays. Tulsa has lost by 15 or more in 3 out of their L4 match-ups. In Temples 3 wins this year they have covered 15. Temple has a better D than any of the other teams Tulsa has played except or Oklahoma. May look into the over here as both teams play fast and both teams will look to throw.

Like Buffalo, but I hate laying that much chalk, especially when its on the road.

Like Ohio in this spot. Bolwing Green laid a goose egg on them LY 49-0. Going to wait and see what the line does, because right now its +2. Might lay off if I can find some better games. We'll see...

Like WVU here, they match up well with TT. The line seems low, should be more IMO ~10. TT defense is very bad and WVU has some skills receivers that should be able to find soft spots in their zone and get behind the TT defenders. WVU lost LY @ home, so they have revenge on their side. Not sure if they will be looking ahead next week to #5 Baylor, so going to hold off for now.

Like La-Monroe +20. Kentucky has not covered this number yet this year. The closest they came was against Ohio where they won 20-3. UL-Mon is not that much worse than Ohio. They are 3-2 compared to OH who is 2-3. Wildcats are coming off a big-emotional win against USCe and next week they have (a down) LSU on deck which is a winnable game for them. This game is at noon. Just not sure how much this team will be up for this game. UL-Mon will give this bottom dweller of the SEC their best shot. Not a great spot for Kentucky. My numbers have them winning by 12-14. Going to wait and see what the line does.

I will look at the 3:30 and later games when I get a chance.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,703
Tokens
Dr./Lou............nicely done last week............BOL with all your action this week end.............indy
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
WMich +1.5

I like WMich here. I noticed that every other year they went on the road to Ball St they won. Last time they were a visitor they lost, so they are due for a W. They match up very well with Ball St. and should look to avenge their loss from last year. Ball St. defense is pretty bad and banged up. Lots of players questionable, but none are major contributors except SR DB Brian Jones. Just thought it was worth to note. WMich has #25 rushing attack and should be able to move the ball well on the ground against the #100 rush defense. F Jarvion Franklin already has 681 yards on the ground, good for #7 in the nation. This should open up the passing game. WMich does have two WRs in the top 30 for yards/game in Corey Davis and Daniel Braverman. I dont think Ball St has enough fire power to compete with WMich.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
Rest of my leans...

Washington +3.5
Louisville +10 (maybe the under?)
AF +7
ECU -15
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2014
Messages
286
Tokens
I am waiting for the final Dr. Lou card as well.....much anticipated!
 

Member
Joined
Nov 10, 2007
Messages
2,772
Tokens
You might want to take back the Ville bet. Talk about a schedule difference. Clemson has played against the best. Ville against the worst. They lost at Virginia. How they go to Clemson and hold them under 40? No way.

Clemson
Game LOG for the 2014 SeasonResultsOffenseDefense
DateOpponentLine OUScoreSUATSOURYRYPAPYPYPCRYRYPAPYPYPC
10/04vs NC STATE-146341-0WWUn2264.526715.71213.2358.8
09/27vs N CAROLINA-1463.550-35WWOv922.143615.6842.839413.1
09/20at FLORIDA ST+105417-23LWUn1012.530613.9130.530514.5
09/06vs S CAROLINA ST-34NL73-7WW - 2685.346714.670.2373.1
08/30at GEORGIA+9.55621-45LLOv1022.318911.13288.01317.3

Ville
Game LOG for the 2014 SeasonResultsOffenseDefense
DateOpponentLine OUScoreSUATSOURYRYPAPYPYPCRYRYPAPYPYPC
10/03at SYRACUSE-1.546.528-6WWUn1783.717414.5592.419611.5
09/27vs WAKE FOREST-214420-10WLUn2154.420612.9-22-1.01226.4
09/20at FLA INTERNATIONAL-25.54534-3WWUn120.332416.2882.21179.0
09/13at VIRGINIA-444.521-23LLUn792.920310.21142.917110.7
09/06vs MURRAY ST-35NL66-21WW - 3256.627811.1412.225112.0
09/01vs MIAMI-55531-13WWUn1303.020610.3702.617410.2
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2014
Messages
286
Tokens
When does doctor Lou usually post his final card of what he is going to play?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
Thanks guys. Louisville is only a lean. They have a very small OL and some injuries. Louisville gets back a really good WR in Parks.

Adding...

UF U46.5

Will post my thoughts later, but this one looks like it will be played in the 30s.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 1, 2014
Messages
286
Tokens
Lou, will you post a final, final? Like a list of all of your picks you are actually playing on?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
Yes, eventually. All the picks above in bold are my plays so far. Im looking hard at a couple more games, so I'll likely only have one more play maybe two.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
1H WVU -3

TT lacks play makers on the DL, all of them are JUCO players who are undersized and lacking experience. OL should allow Trickett to see the field and deliver the bal to White and co. LY, the Red Raiders were a senior-oriented team. Nine of the players who faced WVU last year are not there. Their freshman DBs have been getting beat bad, especially by KST. These will be the best WRs they have faced all year. They may leave that 1H a little overwhelmed, assuming Holgersen makes the right calls and Trickett makes the right throws. WVU has come out strong in the 1H compared to the 2H and TT defense worse in the 1H than the 2H. Im going to roll the dice here and take the team looking to avenge their loss from LY.

KEN U49.5

UL-M is not even in the top five in the Sun Belt and its offense is one of worst in the country. I doubt they score more than 7. Their defense is pretty effective and are averaging 6.6 tackles for loss per game, and nearly 4 sacks per game which is good for 8th in the country. Kentucky is a young team...the type prone to a hangover after a big win over USCe. Playing a noon game against some team not too many heard of. Have a feeling they come out flat. Tempted to the the 1H U too.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 20, 2012
Messages
54
Tokens
You might want to take back the Ville bet. Talk about a schedule difference. Clemson has played against the best. Ville against the worst. They lost at Virginia. How they go to Clemson and hold them under 40? No way.

Clemson
Game LOG for the 2014 SeasonResultsOffenseDefense
DateOpponentLineOUScoreSUATSOURYRYPAPYPYPCRYRYPAPYPYPC
10/04vs NC STATE-146341-0WWUn2264.526715.71213.2358.8
09/27vs N CAROLINA-1463.550-35WWOv922.143615.6842.839413.1
09/20at FLORIDA ST+105417-23LWUn1012.530613.9130.530514.5
09/06vs S CAROLINA ST-34NL73-7WW -2685.346714.670.2373.1
08/30at GEORGIA+9.55621-45LLOv1022.318911.13288.01317.3

Ville
Game LOG for the 2014 SeasonResultsOffenseDefense
DateOpponentLineOUScoreSUATSOURYRYPAPYPYPCRYRYPAPYPYPC
10/03at SYRACUSE-1.546.528-6WWUn1783.717414.5592.419611.5
09/27vs WAKE FOREST-214420-10WLUn2154.420612.9-22-1.01226.4
09/20at FLA INTERNATIONAL-25.54534-3WWUn120.332416.2882.21179.0
09/13at VIRGINIA-444.521-23LLUn792.920310.21142.917110.7
09/06vs MURRAY ST-35NL66-21WW -3256.627811.1412.225112.0
09/01vs MIAMI-55531-13WWUn1303.020610.3702.617410.2


Please oh please oh please, just Hush_Man!
 

New member
Joined
Feb 24, 2012
Messages
601
Tokens
Good luck. Wat u think bout the texas tech over? They got a shit defence but should be able to put up sum points too at home. Total is very high so a little nervous to pull the trigger lol
 

New member
Joined
Sep 9, 2010
Messages
2,609
Tokens
Good luck. Wat u think bout the texas tech over? They got a shit defence but should be able to put up sum points too at home. Total is very high so a little nervous to pull the trigger lol
They do have a porous defense, but they do get a boost in the return of LB Chris Payne and WVU reinstates Worley, their leader in INTs. TT has allowed 26 trips into the redzone and 24 scores, 19 of which have been TDs. WVU isn't much better in this category having allowed an opponent to score every time they get inside the 20, but they have only allowed 11 total trips...9 touchdowns and 2 field goals. Based on this evidence, its hard to gauge how well each defense will do in the RZ. TT has been bad in the redzone, but WVU hasn't allowed many trips in the RZ, BUT they did allow scores every time an opponent got inside. If I were to lean to one side, it would be the under. I think it will fall somewhere in between 55-64.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,832
Messages
13,573,822
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com