Other than Webb and perhaps Oswalt, not sure there is a hotter pitcher right now than Kazmir. I agree with Gyno though, the bullpen sucks and will probably be the difference. They usually only throw him 6/7 innings as his pitch counts can get high pretty quickly, he has a tendency to work deep in counts. He's still a stud though, the club is 15-11 when he starts, that's on a team that is 30 games below .500, they are 46-76 overall! He always gives them a chance to win, not easy on a club like this. Tampa is a weak hitting team, a club that has led the league in errors most the year, and easily the worst bullpen in baseball. They have blown leads of his all year, last game was a perfect example. He's up 1-0 when he leaves and Rays give up 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th to lose. In fact his last 7 starts going back to middle of July, look at the earned runs he has given up:
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
That 3 which was his worst game, he lost 3-0 to Bedard as the offense never scored a run for him, that was his only loss in those 7 games. Not bad for a team the quality of Tampa. Anyway I am still pretty much thinking Boston will win but it won't come easy with him on the hill. I like the UNDER and maybe a 1st 5 inning play on the Rays, Red Sox probably getting it done late as the bullpen cracks like it always does. Good luck all.