Donger's NFL Selections for 2017

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Wasn't going to play this game, but something with this line is off to me... Indy almost beats the Steelers as a 10pt dog, and at +7 the books are begging for Tenn money. I think Indy is a better than people think ... Mariota will be slow, Steeler defense fast.

Steelers 6.5 for 3units
Steelers -1 / O37.5 to win 2units
 

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Wasn't going to play this game, but something with this line is off to me... Indy almost beats the Steelers as a 10pt dog, and at +7 the books are begging for Tenn money. I think Indy is a better than people think ... Mariota will be slow, Steeler defense fast.

Steelers 6.5 for 3units
Steelers -1 / O37.5 to win 2units
Agree
 

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Early games:
Vikings ML -114 for 4 units
Packers ML +117 for 4 units
Miami ML +108 for 2 units
Arizona ML +117 for 2 units
 

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Ran the numbers and they favor Atlanta in this matchup. Everyone is talking about the line movement, well, they said Kam Chancellor was out for the season 2 days ago -- right around the time the line dropped.

Atlanta is the healthier team and can run the ball better. I honestly think Coleman is an upgrade at running back and Atlanta has the weapons to win a shootout with the hags. Seattle will struggle on the ground and that will allow Atlanta to put pressure on Cheesburgler Wilson to throw the ball. Atlanta sacked Dak 8 times last week -- I think the Flacons steal a much needed win on the road.

Falcons -1 for 3 units
 

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Now that's how you right the ship after a rough morning!! Happy Thanksgiving you degens!! :toast:
 

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Ran the numbers and they favor Atlanta in this matchup. Everyone is talking about the line movement, well, they said Kam Chancellor was out for the season 2 days ago -- right around the time the line dropped.

Atlanta is the healthier team and can run the ball better. I honestly think Coleman is an upgrade at running back and Atlanta has the weapons to win a shootout with the hags. Seattle will struggle on the ground and that will allow Atlanta to put pressure on Cheesburgler Wilson to throw the ball. Atlanta sacked Dak 8 times last week -- I think the Flacons steal a much needed win on the road.

Falcons -1 for 3 units

Excellent write up, made me throw 200 on it just to watch, fun game.
 

Dain Bramaged
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Happy Thanksgiving Dong

GO CHARGERS GO


:toast:
 

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Hey Happy Thanksgiving is giving you you as well Twisted. There will be plenty of Guinness and ganja before game time. GOTTA work up an appetite!!

Nothing too crazy, but really like all three of these.

Lions +3 for 2units
Chargers -2 for 2units
Giants +7 for 2 units

Hook em all for a hundred to win 6.5
ML parlay .5 to win 7
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Hey Happy Thanksgiving is giving you you as well Twisted. There will be plenty of Guinness and ganja before game time. GOTTA work up an appetite!!

Nothing too crazy, but really like all three of these.

Lions +3 for 2units
Chargers -2 for 2units
Giants +7 for 2 units


Hook em all for a hundred to win 6.5
ML parlay .5 to win 7

Thanks and good luck today....
 

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Thanks guys!
I'm seeing alot of love out there for Detroit today and I have to admit when I first thought about who wins this game: it was Minnesota.

However, this python script I'm using to sim games usually does well picking underdogs and faves up to -3... I think the perception (and I don't necessarily disagree) is that Minny is a 1st place, contender, powerhouse with a strong Defense and running game. They have motivation to likely seal up an NFC North Championship today as well.

At the same time, Detroit is coming off beating the Bears (who have a decent defense and ground attack ... and significantly less options at WR). They are still in the hunt for a division championship. Whether they make the playoffs or not, this is essentially Detroits superbowl. A chance to beatup/knockdown or even DEFEAT a first-place division rival.

When my script picks dogs to win SU, I'll follow it blindly. The script picked all 3 teams on my card to win SU, so this is just a day where I bet light -- sprinkle some money on a parlay -- and hope for the best. If it wasn't thanksgiving these would easily be 4unit wagers, just don't feel like sweating out bets with my family:103631605

I absolutely love the Chargers, the Cowboys really struggle to play defense without Sean Lee at linebacker and the Chargers are going through a bit of a renaissance. Dallas hasn't hit rock-bottom and think they get 'pantsed' in front of millions of families this afternoon.

Happy Thanksgiving to all and see you around the board!!!

Cheers!!
 

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Week 13 picks

Lions +3 for 2 units
Bucs +3 for 2 units
Colts +10 for 2 units
Lions o43 for 3 units
Titans o42.5 for 3 units


BOL to all
 

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Adding:
Bears -2.5 for 2 units

If there is only one more game the Bears win this year, this is the one. I think the Bears keep the ball on the ground with Howard/Cohen and win by 6.

BOL
 

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