Donger Needs NFL 2018

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Nov 23, 2004
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Week 1 Result: 5-3 (62.5%)
Week 2 Result: 4-1 (80%)
Week 3 Result: 3-3 (50%)
Week 4 Result: 3-2-1 (60%)
Week 5 Result: 0-0-0
Week 6 Result: 2-2-1 (50%)
Week 7 Result: 4-3 (57%)
Week 8 Result: 2-3 (40%)
Week 9 Result: 4-3 (57%)
#overall: 27-20 (57.5%)

TNF:
CAROLINA +3.5
 

Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2004
Messages
16,094
Tokens
Week 1 Result: 5-3 (62.5%)
Week 2 Result: 4-1 (80%)
Week 3 Result: 3-3 (50%)
Week 4 Result: 3-2-1 (60%)
Week 5 Result: 0-0-0
Week 6 Result: 2-2-1 (50%)
Week 7 Result: 4-3 (57%)
Week 8 Result: 2-3 (40%)
Week 9 Result: 4-3 (57%)
Week 10 Result: 0-1 (0%)
#overall: 27-21 (56%)

Early Round:
CAROLINA PANTHERS -4
ATLANTA FALCONS -3
TENNESSEE TITANS PK
HOUSTON TEXANS -3
NEW YORK GIANTS -3


Afternoon Round:
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -6.5


GET SOME
Risk: $100.00 - Win: $4,106.13
Carolina Panthers -4-115
Atlanta Falcons -3-133
Tennessee Titans +101
Houston Texans -3-115
New York Giants -3-113
Los Angeles Chargers -6½-123
 

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Nov 23, 2004
Messages
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Donger, your guys normally play a lot of dogs or is this kind of rare?

I am not a book. "Donger needs" is a take from Sixteen Candles when Long Duck Dong says "Donger needs food"

Picks are generated from a python script that I developed which imports player stats and team stats -- then essentially run thousands of simulated games in order to generate average scores for a given matchup.

THe script is really pretty lousy at predicting a final score or accurate point spread. In fact its no good for predicting game totals, but usually I will play the over on the game with the highest tally.

What the script does really well is predict SU winners and therefore I typically play underdogs selected by my script or small favorites.


BOL
 

Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2004
Messages
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Early Round:
NE -7.5
BAL +6 / ML
TB +10
ATL +3.5 / ML
HOU -3.5
CLV pk


Also parlayed:
Balt ML
Balt Under 50
Houston Over 48
BEARS ML
 

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