Donald Trump MUST be the next president of the United States

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Will Trump Win in a Blowout?


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BY ROGER L SIMON JULY 14, 2016
CHAT 848 COMMENTS

nice_truck_attack1.sized-770x415xc.jpg
Ambulances line up near the scene of an attack in the French resort city of Nice, southern France (AP Photo/Claude Paris)

As one who went out on a limb to say the presidency was Trump's to lose way back in August 2015, I am going to go further out on that limb -- and offer others a saw -- by saying that not only will Trump win the presidency, he will win in a blowout.

I don't necessarily mean a blowout of Nixon-McGovern proportions, but by a significant margin. Even in the last week, the polls are beginning to show this. But now everything is intensifying.

The reason should be evident. This is going to be a national security election. I started writing this article before the horrifying news started coming in from Nice, but even then the situation couldn't have been more obvious. As anyone paying the slightest attention knows, Islamic fundamentalism is at war with Western civilization. It's not just ISIS, but unfortunately many continually metastasizing organizations based on the same ideology. (Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula recommended using a truck as was employed in the Nice attack in its magazine Inspire in an article titled "The Ultimate Mowing Machine.")

Barack Obama's response to our civilizational enemy has been a disaster. Because of the president's deep neurotic ambivalence about his own Muslim background, he is incapable of confronting, let alone naming, the evil of jihadism. In reality, he made the problem worse and encouraged the rise of ISIS through the abandonment of Iraq.

His anointed successor, Hillary Clinton, is a "congenital liar" -- as
William Safire said years ago (1996) in the New York Times -- who seems to have little concept of the difference between right and wrong, and most people know it.

I suspect that number is going to reach an astonishing level as the majority already think she should have been indicted for her email activities and more shoes are yet to drop. Yes, there are some in the Democratic Party with so little moral compass they are willing to vote for her anyway, even though she has lied to Congress, among many other crimes (what do these people say to their children?), but the die is cast -- while the jihadist death toll grows across the world.

Will America trust such a person with the presidency in such a time? Finally, I think not. That's why I am increasingly convinced that Trump will prevail. And solidly. The presidency, as I said of the nomination, is his to lose.

Let us hope and pray he is up to it because we have reached an amazing moment in all our lives. Imagine a truck plowing across Times Square the way that one did down the Promenade des Anglais. How many people would be mowed down? It would dwarf what happened in Nice where, it has been reported, bodies flew like bowling pins.

Could it happen here? Of course. Was Barack Obama right to allow so many Syrian and Middle Eastern refugees to come to the United States virtually unvetted? Is Hillary Clinton right to actually increase that number by some huge amount? Are these two leaders crazy -- or sadistic?

No, they are hungry for votes - and that's worse. In fact, it's beyond reprehensible. Not just the votes of refugees but of the brain dead morally narcissistic morons who support this policy and risk all our lives.

So my prediction is not just a prediction. It has an element of wish and a certain urgency. Donald Trump must be the next president of the United States.

Some people are going to have a great deal of trouble dealing with this. He's not a movement conservative. This is not for me to say, but I will anyway: so what? As a onetime leftist, let me say this from hard experience about ideology: it's useful up to a point, but it can make you blind. Yes, yes, it's good to have some background, but you don't need ideology. You need common sense.

Does Trump have it? At times I worry, but for the most part, I think so. And his common sense seems to be growing, with some retreats, under the fire of the election season. Indeed, it is long since time for the NeverTrump people to give up their fight. We no longer have the luxury for such internecine battles. We must unite behind a leader in this crucial time. As Bill Bennett said on The Kelly FileThursday night, "Time for America to start acting like a superpower." He's right. I don't see Hillary doing that. Trump can.

 

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It's not that Trump is a knight in shining armor as he's portrayed in some corners, it's the fact the alternative is unconscionable.

Fair-minded people need to give a Trump a chance because the Hildabeast has already lost her right to govern and be trusted.
 

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forget about a blowout.trump just needs to win.america can't afford any more years under liberal policies.
 

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6 months ago I wasn't voting unless Kasich was the nominee - after the media has shoved their far far left views down our throat with muslims, trannys and black lives matter - I'm gonna try to vote numerous times for Trump
 
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6 months ago I wasn't voting unless Kasich was the nominee - after the media has shoved their far far left views down our throat with muslims, trannys and black lives matter - I'm gonna try to vote numerous times for Trump

Thank you Seymour, we need every vote.
 

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Will Trump Win in a Blowout?


rogersimon-1083163516.jpg
BY ROGER L SIMON JULY 14, 2016
CHAT 848 COMMENTS

nice_truck_attack1.sized-770x415xc.jpg
Ambulances line up near the scene of an attack in the French resort city of Nice, southern France (AP Photo/Claude Paris)

As one who went out on a limb to say the presidency was Trump's to lose way back in August 2015, I am going to go further out on that limb -- and offer others a saw -- by saying that not only will Trump win the presidency, he will win in a blowout.

I don't necessarily mean a blowout of Nixon-McGovern proportions, but by a significant margin. Even in the last week, the polls are beginning to show this. But now everything is intensifying.

The reason should be evident. This is going to be a national security election. I started writing this article before the horrifying news started coming in from Nice, but even then the situation couldn't have been more obvious. As anyone paying the slightest attention knows, Islamic fundamentalism is at war with Western civilization. It's not just ISIS, but unfortunately many continually metastasizing organizations based on the same ideology. (Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula recommended using a truck as was employed in the Nice attack in its magazine Inspire in an article titled "The Ultimate Mowing Machine.")

Barack Obama's response to our civilizational enemy has been a disaster. Because of the president's deep neurotic ambivalence about his own Muslim background, he is incapable of confronting, let alone naming, the evil of jihadism. In reality, he made the problem worse and encouraged the rise of ISIS through the abandonment of Iraq.

His anointed successor, Hillary Clinton, is a "congenital liar" -- as
William Safire said years ago (1996) in the New York Times -- who seems to have little concept of the difference between right and wrong, and most people know it.

I suspect that number is going to reach an astonishing level as the majority already think she should have been indicted for her email activities and more shoes are yet to drop. Yes, there are some in the Democratic Party with so little moral compass they are willing to vote for her anyway, even though she has lied to Congress, among many other crimes (what do these people say to their children?), but the die is cast -- while the jihadist death toll grows across the world.

Will America trust such a person with the presidency in such a time? Finally, I think not. That's why I am increasingly convinced that Trump will prevail. And solidly. The presidency, as I said of the nomination, is his to lose.

Let us hope and pray he is up to it because we have reached an amazing moment in all our lives. Imagine a truck plowing across Times Square the way that one did down the Promenade des Anglais. How many people would be mowed down? It would dwarf what happened in Nice where, it has been reported, bodies flew like bowling pins.

Could it happen here? Of course. Was Barack Obama right to allow so many Syrian and Middle Eastern refugees to come to the United States virtually unvetted? Is Hillary Clinton right to actually increase that number by some huge amount? Are these two leaders crazy -- or sadistic?

No, they are hungry for votes - and that's worse. In fact, it's beyond reprehensible. Not just the votes of refugees but of the brain dead morally narcissistic morons who support this policy and risk all our lives.

So my prediction is not just a prediction. It has an element of wish and a certain urgency. Donald Trump must be the next president of the United States.

Some people are going to have a great deal of trouble dealing with this. He's not a movement conservative. This is not for me to say, but I will anyway: so what? As a onetime leftist, let me say this from hard experience about ideology: it's useful up to a point, but it can make you blind. Yes, yes, it's good to have some background, but you don't need ideology. You need common sense.

Does Trump have it? At times I worry, but for the most part, I think so. And his common sense seems to be growing, with some retreats, under the fire of the election season. Indeed, it is long since time for the NeverTrump people to give up their fight. We no longer have the luxury for such internecine battles. We must unite behind a leader in this crucial time. As Bill Bennett said on The Kelly FileThursday night, "Time for America to start acting like a superpower." He's right. I don't see Hillary doing that. Trump can.


ROTFLMAO!!!!! This guy is this year's Dick Morris. You righties remember Dick Morris, don't you? "Romney in a blowout, lol."
 

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The fact that the Dem's could not come up with someone better than Hillary is really kind of shocking. It shows the weakness in leadership within the party. A solid candidate with a good track record would probably beat Trump. They have paved the way for Hillary not even realizing that the road was in bad need of repair? Surely they knew of her vulnerabilities and stuck with her anyway. Makes you wonder about that party. Meanwhile Trump beat multiple opponents in his party and cleared hurdles that many thought he could not. One more hurdle left and it's right on the finish line.
 

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[h=1]Trump Pulls to 266-272 Virtual Electoral Tie Today[/h]
24


1




Trump-Hillary-Clinton-Reuters-640x480-640x480.jpg


by JOHN PUDNER18 Jul 2016Auburn, AL43
[h=2]SIGN UP FOR OUR NEWSLETTER[/h]





[h=2]With the exception of NBC, battleground polls released so far in July show voters are moving toward Donald Trump. In four battleground states — Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania — Trump gained an average of five points and caught Clinton in at least one poll in each state.[/h]If that five point shift is quietly happening in North Carolina and New Hampshire, other battleground states where we have no recent non-NBC polls, then Trump is also quietly ahead in both, bringing him to within 266-272 in the Electoral Vote. He would still need to win Michigan, Virginia, Maine, Ohio or some other state to stop Clinton from accumulating the 270 Electoral Votes needed for a Presidential Inauguration.
Competitive + TX, NY, CATrumpClintonLate JuneEarly July
Total Projection266272 -4.1
California (lock)055-23-30
Colorado09-1-7.5
Florida290-23.3
Iowa60-70.3
Maine (CD2)101NP
Maine (not CD2)03-7NP
Michigan016-4-3
Nevada06NP-4
New Hampshire40-41?
New Jersey014-12NP
New York (lock)029NP-23
North Carolina150-13?
Ohio018-4-1
Pennsylvania200-22
Texas (lock)3808NP
Virginia013-3-2.5
Wisconsin010-6-6
34 States/DC in bank15399
Our March 9 projection of Donald Trump’s eventual National Delegate count was within a few votes of the final result. The same analysis shows Trump potentially falling just short at 266-272 if the averages of the state polls of more than a dozen pollsters is accurate.
[FONT=Arial !important]VIDEO: CLINTON RALLIES RHODE ISLAND AHEAD OF POLL
[COLOR=rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.8)]












However, if NBC is accurate and the average of all others are not, then Clinton would easily win with more than 300 Electoral Votes.
The key is watching the Real Clear Politics average movement in state polls between late June, when Hillary Clinton would have clearly won in a landslide, and July. While national polls have moved a few points toward Trump, the problem with national polls is that they are skewed by lopsided results in 37 solid-blue or solid-red states, such as California, New York and Texas.
For example, California’s population is so large that it would add 5 points to Hillary Clinton’s national polling score if the state’s voters shifted from 51 percent favoring Clinton to a 100 percent for Clinton. But that theoretical poll shift would not increase Clinton’s actual total of electoral votes because she already has the state’s 55 electoral votes in her pocket.
Poll1Non-CACATotalPoll2Non-CACATotal
Trump38543Trump38038
Clinton37542Clinton371047
Other15015Other15015
Total Sample9010100Total Sample9010100
In this extreme case of a solid-blue California, Trump would almost certainly win the presidential election — even if the national poll correctly calculated he was losing the nationwide popular vote by 38 percent to 47 percent.
So if Clinton maintains a slight lead in national polls due to lopsided liberal states, Trump actually would have a pretty comfortable election today.
Obviously we do not know if these July polls are Trump’s peak — after all, Clinton is coming off a brutal stretch. But the state-by-state numbers show a dramatic turnaround for Trump in less than a month.
In 2012, we looked at “garbage-in, garbage-out” landline public polls and Nate Silver and the betting markets seemed to have the results down. “It is an article of faith among economists that betting markets on politics provide by far the most reliable forecast of future events, easily outclassing both polls and panels of experts,” the Economist said.
Yet the betting markets gave Brexit even less chance than Trump on the actual day theLeave vote won, and Silver told CNN that Trump had only “about a five percent” chance at the nomination. Since then, Silver has changed his tune — he’s now saying Trump will get less than 200 electoral votes, but he does give him a 22.5 percent chance of winning, and actually pegged his chances at 33.6 percent on June 8.
If polls show that a few more battleground states start moving a few points towards Trump, then he become the likely winner.
However, as every political consultant reminds their candidates when they’re reading a hopeful poll, “the election is not actually being held today.”
[/FONT][/COLOR]
 

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Trump Pulls to 266-272 Virtual Electoral Tie Today

24


1




Trump-Hillary-Clinton-Reuters-640x480-640x480.jpg


by JOHN PUDNER18 Jul 2016Auburn, AL43
SIGN UP FOR OUR NEWSLETTER





With the exception of NBC, battleground polls released so far in July show voters are moving toward Donald Trump. In four battleground states — Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania — Trump gained an average of five points and caught Clinton in at least one poll in each state.

If that five point shift is quietly happening in North Carolina and New Hampshire, other battleground states where we have no recent non-NBC polls, then Trump is also quietly ahead in both, bringing him to within 266-272 in the Electoral Vote. He would still need to win Michigan, Virginia, Maine, Ohio or some other state to stop Clinton from accumulating the 270 Electoral Votes needed for a Presidential Inauguration.
Competitive + TX, NY, CATrumpClintonLate JuneEarly July
Total Projection266272 -4.1
California (lock)055-23-30
Colorado09-1-7.5
Florida290-23.3
Iowa60-70.3
Maine (CD2)101NP
Maine (not CD2)03-7NP
Michigan016-4-3
Nevada06NP-4
New Hampshire40-41?
New Jersey014-12NP
New York (lock)029NP-23
North Carolina150-13?
Ohio018-4-1
Pennsylvania200-22
Texas (lock)3808NP
Virginia013-3-2.5
Wisconsin010-6-6
34 States/DC in bank15399
Our March 9 projection of Donald Trump’s eventual National Delegate count was within a few votes of the final result. The same analysis shows Trump potentially falling just short at 266-272 if the averages of the state polls of more than a dozen pollsters is accurate.
[FONT=Arial !important]VIDEO: CLINTON RALLIES RHODE ISLAND AHEAD OF POLL
[COLOR=rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.8)]
[/FONT]












However, if NBC is accurate and the average of all others are not, then Clinton would easily win with more than 300 Electoral Votes.
The key is watching the Real Clear Politics average movement in state polls between late June, when Hillary Clinton would have clearly won in a landslide, and July. While national polls have moved a few points toward Trump, the problem with national polls is that they are skewed by lopsided results in 37 solid-blue or solid-red states, such as California, New York and Texas.
For example, California’s population is so large that it would add 5 points to Hillary Clinton’s national polling score if the state’s voters shifted from 51 percent favoring Clinton to a 100 percent for Clinton. But that theoretical poll shift would not increase Clinton’s actual total of electoral votes because she already has the state’s 55 electoral votes in her pocket.
Poll1Non-CACATotalPoll2Non-CACATotal
Trump38543Trump38038
Clinton37542Clinton371047
Other15015Other15015
Total Sample9010100Total Sample9010100
In this extreme case of a solid-blue California, Trump would almost certainly win the presidential election — even if the national poll correctly calculated he was losing the nationwide popular vote by 38 percent to 47 percent.
So if Clinton maintains a slight lead in national polls due to lopsided liberal states, Trump actually would have a pretty comfortable election today.
Obviously we do not know if these July polls are Trump’s peak — after all, Clinton is coming off a brutal stretch. But the state-by-state numbers show a dramatic turnaround for Trump in less than a month.
In 2012, we looked at “garbage-in, garbage-out” landline public polls and Nate Silver and the betting markets seemed to have the results down. “It is an article of faith among economists that betting markets on politics provide by far the most reliable forecast of future events, easily outclassing both polls and panels of experts,” the Economist said.
Yet the betting markets gave Brexit even less chance than Trump on the actual day theLeave vote won, and Silver told CNN that Trump had only “about a five percent” chance at the nomination. Since then, Silver has changed his tune — he’s now saying Trump will get less than 200 electoral votes, but he does give him a 22.5 percent chance of winning, and actually pegged his chances at 33.6 percent on June 8.
If polls show that a few more battleground states start moving a few points towards Trump, then he become the likely winner.
However, as every political consultant reminds their candidates when they’re reading a hopeful poll, “the election is not actually being held today.”
[/COLOR]

Pull yer pud HARD, Rusted Brain. We all know what an OUTSTANDING history you have at predicting national elections. I wouldn't be at all surprised if the polls-even the ones that have a history of being, you know, accurate-show that Rump has taken the lead after this little GOP farce has concluded, but once Hillary has named HER VP-and certainly after the Dem convention-order will be restored, and the demolition of Rump will begin in earnest.
 

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I believe Trump wins this here election caz he love all the people and he will select the Right ones to help America be great again!

In addition, Hillary is a crook and a big fat liar and liberals suck. The end! :youmad:
 

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Pull yer pud HARD, Rusted Brain. We all know what an OUTSTANDING history you have at predicting national elections. I wouldn't be at all surprised if the polls-even the ones that have a history of being, you know, accurate-show that Rump has taken the lead after this little GOP farce has concluded, but once Hillary has named HER VP-and certainly after the Dem convention-order will be restored, and the demolition of Rump will begin in earnest.

Let's hope she goes with Pocahontas - I refuse to accept that white working people would support that loon - better knock on every fag, minority and college kid's apartment
 

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Let's hope she goes with Pocahontas - I refuse to accept that white working people would support that loon - better knock on every fag, minority and college kid's apartment

I hope she takes Warren, too, but for completely different reasons than you: Warren would enable HRC to get ALL the Bernie supporters, including the disgruntled ones because their boy enlightened himself with da Witch-not to mention garner the largest voting block of them all, namely, women. Plus Warren has shown a knack for getting under Rump's skin, it's a given that he's gonna say a lotta dumb things over the next few months regardless of who HRC's VP is, but it would be even MORE pronounced with Warren needling him-he just can't help himself. However, I'm pretty sure HRC is likely gonna go with a "safe" pick, Kane.
 
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I hope she takes Warren, too, but for completely different reasons than you: Warren would enable HRC to get ALL the Bernie supporters, including the disgruntled ones because their boy enlightened himself with da Witch-not to mention garner the largest voting block of them all, namely, women. Plus Warren has shown a knack for getting under Rump's skin, it's a given that he's gonna say a lotta dumb things over the next few months regardless of who HRC's VP is, but it would be even MORE pronounced with Warren needling him-he just can't help himself. However, I'm pretty sure HRC is likely gonna go with a "safe" pick, Kane.

Do you actually like Hil or do you simply hate Republicans and/or Trump enough that you'll support her?
 

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Curiosity.

I've long said that BOTH parties suck. However, I believe if you don't vote, you don't have the right to bitch, so, you take the party that sucks less. I voted for HRC in 2008 in the primaries, but I've gradually soured on her and am astonished at how stupid she is at times-accordingly, I went for Bernie this time around. Having said all that, she is light years better than Rump, he's a mad dog, and has some balls calling anybody "crooked" when he has Trump University and 4 bankruptcies on his resume. The GOP is out of touch with a changing America, the 2 straight losses of the White House(and 4 of last 6) is evidence of that, and, like it or not, it's only gonna get worse-for them: the Senate, IMO, is gonna go bye-bye, with even the House being in play.
 

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