Does anyone use software to handicap football?

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Smells like victory!
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if so, what do you use. what kind of criteria does yours use? can you add some of your own criteria to factor in?
can you updates stats online every week without having to punch in info manually?
which programs would you reccomend and what % are you hitting with it?

is it worth messing with?
whats the best program and how much does it cost?

thanks for any input

vol
 

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Software... I wrote my own. It's over 1k lines of pascal (laugh, but it's easy to modify). I have a version for NFL, and for Arena (haven't tried NCAAF yet).

Every week, I have to go through all the box scores and manually enter it.

NFL... This year, it hit 35-20 against widely available lines (a bit better if you line shop). Arena, it hit 56-42 last year. Is it worth the time? Yes, if you plan on using it more than one year. But with the time I spent developing the software, it would not be worth it for just one season.
 

Smells like victory!
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thanks for the reply daringly

how can this help me

i dont write software or programs

do you want to send me yours?

thanks again
 

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If you are not good at writing your own programs, I suggest you find a site that summarizes statistics you like to track, grab a schedule, and copy the stuff you like in the columns in the schedule.

For a simplistic example, the stats below indicate that the Panthers are 7-10 against the spread, while the Rams are 10-6.

This simplistic ATS trend would give the advice of making a strong play on the Rams. (Unless you think the line makers would over-react to this history so you go the other way.)

Formulas can get a lot more complicated than that, of course, so that is why I recommend starting with the stuff that is already on the web to help you get started and modify from there.

The chart below was copy and pasted from the Feist site www.nss.net (Fast Facts expanded analysis)
http://pytho.nss.net/nfl/(lizl2k55tgoz3s55env4oxih)/expanded.aspx?game=46252


Saturday, January 10, 2004 Panthers at Rams


Offensive Stats Defensive Stats
Teams #G PF-PA S/U ATS O/U T/O RY R YPA PY PYPC RY RYPA PY PYPC
Panthers 17 21-18 12-5 7-10 9-7 -3 130 3.97 195 11.52 106 3.97 184 9.80
Rams 16 28-21 12-4 10-6 10-6 7 94 3.64 248 10.51 124 4.81 192 10.38

Prediction Current Lines
Feist's Value Index
CAR Panthers 43.0 45
STL Rams -6.6 -7

This particular site crunches available statistical numbers and comes out with a "Value Index"

But the figures that are generated by programs like this are usually purely technical, and don't take into account situational and emotional factors, recent injuries, etc, etc,. And, it would seem, playoff and late season games are particularly susceptable to non-technical factors.

I personally have had more luck with technical projections for mid to late season games in Pro Sports like NFL, NBA and NHL.

Simple, isn't it?

There's a lot more discussion like this in the tech room.
 

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we don' need no stinkin' software!!!!


Ayyyyyyyeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!
1034535174.gif
 

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