Does anyone really win on RL

[MMfan]

I am so frustrated with run lines.

Three tonight...Boston ( 1-0 game) and Philly (Lidge will always screw something up! ALWAYS! One of the worst closers if you ask me. He will give up runs and get runners on base all the time)

Astros run line.

Anyway, that was just tonight. I just miss them all the time.

Does anyone have a winning record with them?

 

[woodypaige]

A little advice I can give you is to start looking to parlay teams you want to give the runling with and you will be way ahead at the end of the year:toast:

 

[MMfan]

I appreciate that. I see you doing that at times.
you seem to be doing really well this year. That's great!

 

[krh7]

bucsfan won both his runline plays tonight. tigers -1.5 and the reds on the alt runline -1.5 paid off big.

 

[GoForBroke]

bucsfan on fire right now @)

 

[gabbana]

im on + betting RL & ARL...

 

[diop]

rockies let my parlay down today. bunch of bums had phillies, twins, boston and those fukers

 

[hcskip]

I don't like RLs - rarely bet them. I'm with Woody that if you can spot a couple of solid plays but with bad stakes (see any RedSox game), parlay it with another one to get better odds.

 

[whitty]

You could try using the formula posted somewhere on here (I forget where I read it sorry) that basically gives you a -1.0 RL. The overall odds are a little less, but a 1 run win would give you a virtual push/break even.

It basically works by splitting your wager so the return on the ML will cover the wager on the RL. If the margin is 2runs or more then both parts of your wager wins.

 

[JimmyJet]

I believe that the RL plays are probably more profitable wagering on the + side. In my system many wins on +RL. Bettors tend to favor -RL because of the plus juice and seem they hit just the opposite. Just an observation...have not tracked separately...good luck

 

[grind4mine]

I fully concur with the parlay advice, or if you are just on matchbook like me and can't parlay, just find a better game to bet on! At first I really thought that runlines were the answer to being able to play big faves, but have learned the hard way like you that they are not..

I will still hit a few though if there is a large scoring potential differential between the two teams (looking at average run production over last 10 games and ERA's of pitchers involved- hot team facing bad pitcher vs low-scoring matchup on other side), and a BIG advantage over ML odds ( >80 pts or so) but NEVER simply to avoid laying big ML juice on a heavy favorite.

 

[Broncos625]

Gotta give RL's time to be profitable. For example, I have a record below 50% on the year but I'm up almost 80 units (never exceeding 3 units per game by the way) which I think is quite good. Yes there are some ppl on the board up more units with winning records, but they also go 5 units per play on average up to anywhere between 10-15 units per play. Easier to inflate your units when you throw out a bunch of large unit plays.

Not to mention, I have won over $20K in parlays alone using RL exclusively and never putting more than $100 on a parlay. So yes, RL's can be very profitable.....just have to pick the right ones. @)

 

[Doug]

RL's are fine...as long as you get the nearly no-vig price at Matchbook.

If you play at a regular book, ML is probably better.

 

[akmaymn]

i took bos at -230 last night, losing rl plays when yr team still wins has to be one of the most frustrating ways to lose...

 

[letsgohoosiers]

RL's are fine...as long as you get the nearly no-vig price at Matchbook.

If you play at a regular book, ML is probably better.

Wouldn't place a RL/Total book if it's not at Matchbook. .20 lines across the board, except at 5Dimes which is the ONLY book that offers .10

Books don't want you to bet on RL/Totals - more money to be made there.

 

[Broncos625]

i took bos at -230 last night, losing rl plays when yr team still wins has to be one of the most frustrating ways to lose...

But on the other side, had Boston lost outright, playing RL would've mitigated your losses substantially. I can't count how much I've saved because I played a large ML fav on RL rather than ML and that team lost outright. So it does work both ways.