I bet san diego a few weeks ago 140 to win 9100 that san diego will win the super bowl. I was considering hedging out a little bit and putting a couple hundred on indy but I would like to just let it ride to because san diego is looking so tough but i was just wondering what you guys think of this situation
Will San Diego win the game SU? The linesmakers have answered that question at close enough to 50/50.
Profiting from futures takes some math. The first question is if you would bet your stake ($140) on San Diego to win the game if this were a SU bet. If the answer is yes, then let it ride. If no, then begin hedging (and continue hedging in the next rounds). Your motivation should not be greed, but making a profit. If you play it right, there is no way you can lose with the odds you got. But this also depends on how much you have riding on other Superbowl futures.
You can also sell your future on an exchange such as Matchbook. This option adds more strategies.
The game itself is a tossup. Key questions are if LT is healthy (I don't think so, because I think he only plays at 100% if he feels zero pain), and if SD defense can blitz Manning successfully (I doubt it, without Merriman). If Manning has time to pick his spots this SD defense will be exposed. Of course the Chargers bring a lot of offensive dynamite themselves.
Profiting from futures takes some math. The first question is if you would bet your stake ($140) on San Diego to win the game if this were a SU bet. If the answer is yes, then let it ride. If no, then begin hedging (and continue hedging in the next rounds). Your motivation should not be greed, but making a profit. If you play it right, there is no way you can lose with the odds you got. But this also depends on how much you have riding on other Superbowl futures.
You can also sell your future on an exchange such as Matchbook. This option adds more strategies.
The game itself is a tossup. Key questions are if LT is healthy (I don't think so, because I think he only plays at 100% if he feels zero pain), and if SD defense can blitz Manning successfully (I doubt it, without Merriman). If Manning has time to pick his spots this SD defense will be exposed. Of course the Chargers bring a lot of offensive dynamite themselves.
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Manning vs Mannning
Better Hedge BIG , Because INDIANAPOLIS WILL beat San Diego ! and Although I would like to see them play in the SUPER BOWL Against CAROLINA - me thinks that it is in the stars that the ORGANIZATION wants a FIRST - and that is, ... ELI (NY GIANTS) vs PEYTON (INDIANAPOLIS COLTS) - and that is just my $.02 !!!
:nohead:
Better Hedge BIG , Because INDIANAPOLIS WILL beat San Diego ! and Although I would like to see them play in the SUPER BOWL Against CAROLINA - me thinks that it is in the stars that the ORGANIZATION wants a FIRST - and that is, ... ELI (NY GIANTS) vs PEYTON (INDIANAPOLIS COLTS) - and that is just my $.02 !!!
:nohead:
thanks guys the line has moved a lot so public must be all over the chargers but I went ahead and put 150 on the colts just to cover my bet if they lose. I really don't think the chargers have a chance to win the superbowl but when i saw those nice odds and with myself being a broncos fan i had to take that bet because i know how my team likes to piss things away and sure enough it came true. lets go superchargers
140 to win 9100 is an auto-hedge.
Put $280 on the Colts. If they win you profit $140. If they lose you are down $308.
The next week if they are still win you put $700 the other side. If they lose you now profit $252. If they lose you are in the hole $1,078.
Conference Championship you fade them again for $1500 this time. If they lose you profit $402. If they win you are in the hole $2,728.
Super Bowl you fade them for $4000. If they lose you profit $1,272. If they win you profit $1,918.
Don't see why you would be greedy and not take double your money worst case.
Put $280 on the Colts. If they win you profit $140. If they lose you are down $308.
The next week if they are still win you put $700 the other side. If they lose you now profit $252. If they lose you are in the hole $1,078.
Conference Championship you fade them again for $1500 this time. If they lose you profit $402. If they win you are in the hole $2,728.
Super Bowl you fade them for $4000. If they lose you profit $1,272. If they win you profit $1,918.
Don't see why you would be greedy and not take double your money worst case.
you cant make money getting talked out of your bets. in fact, there is a case for every nfl team in the playoffs to win, and any reasonable man can see that.... make your pick, stick by it, and shuv it up the ass of the haters on here!
Just look at the guy on here last year who said Giants to win the super bowl before the playoffs started!!! He wasn't a joker either, you can find that post, he had it all laid out.
:toast:
Just look at the guy on here last year who said Giants to win the super bowl before the playoffs started!!! He wasn't a joker either, you can find that post, he had it all laid out.
:toast:
hno:
You should hedge the Bet....
just My 2cents
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just My 2cents
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