I usually look at them every day, but I don't base my plays off of them. I know that last night there was a system that applied to the Texas/LAA game, and also the Balt/Seattle game. The trend was the exact same for both games, which is uncommon to see in one night. It said to play against the home favorite after they win 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, and then one other criteria. The record for playing against these home team favorites was 117-110, which is %51.5. But, thats hitting %51.5 on pretty big sized dogs. %90 of people were on the Angels, and %99 were on the Mariners; even though the line opened and closed the same, too.
Therefore, last night you would have had:
Texas +155
Baltimore +130
It crossed my mind to post this last night because I figured if that 'super system' was hitting at just over %50 on good sized dogs, that would mean that if you bet both of these plays last night, there was a pretty good chance you could go 1-1 and be up money. It went 2-0, which would be up 2.85 units.
Anyways, just asking if anybody has been following these this year? Are they typically profitable? I would assume they are because they give systems that are hitting at about %50-60 on dogs, and %60-75 on favorites.
-But alot of the time, the systems they give seem to be so irrelevant.
Example:
Play Against:
All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON)
average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, playing on Wednesday
28-16 since 1997.
63.6% (22.6 units)
Therefore, take Oakland tonight. This system is hitting BIG dogs at %63.
Therefore, last night you would have had:
Texas +155
Baltimore +130
It crossed my mind to post this last night because I figured if that 'super system' was hitting at just over %50 on good sized dogs, that would mean that if you bet both of these plays last night, there was a pretty good chance you could go 1-1 and be up money. It went 2-0, which would be up 2.85 units.
Anyways, just asking if anybody has been following these this year? Are they typically profitable? I would assume they are because they give systems that are hitting at about %50-60 on dogs, and %60-75 on favorites.
-But alot of the time, the systems they give seem to be so irrelevant.
Example:
Play Against:
All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON)
average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, playing on Wednesday
28-16 since 1997.
63.6% (22.6 units)
Therefore, take Oakland tonight. This system is hitting BIG dogs at %63.