I popped an adderall and I feel like doing a write up and sharing my thoughts
There are no Locks like last weeks Arizona Pickem on the board but I think there is some value to be found
Steelers vs Chargers (short write-up):
What we KNOW:
Steelers defense and the terrible towls will be out with a vengeance Sunday. Its not going to be easy for this San Diego team to move the ball against this defense in a playoff game in Pitt.
Its not going to be easy for sproles to RUN and while Rivers does have great will power at the qb spot, I dont see him leading long TD drives down the field.
On the flip side, it seems as though San Diego defense plays to the level of its opponents. They have some talent and tend to show up when they need to. With that being said I don't see Pittsburgh really droping bombs on this San Diego Defense that is going to try and elevate their game to Pitt's level.
We dont know how the concussion is going to affect big ben but I think its fair to say its not going to help him in this game.
CONCLUSION: Strong play 10* UNDER 38
(small lean parlay with chargers +6)
BALTIMORE vs TENN
This is the same type of Story. I Like the titans Defense to go toe to toe with this baltimore defense as they both will impose their will on the respective offenses. A little worried bout turnovers leading to points like last week, but I think Tenn run offense will relieve some pressure from collins.
I belive this game is a story of sustained drives and GREAT RED ZONE DEFENSE. It will be FG after FG as these defenses handle business with their backs against the wall.
CONCLUSION:
5* Under 17 1st half
10* Under 34 game
TWO TEASERS I LOVE (and i never do teasers):
9* BALT +13/UNDER 44/ Carolina Pickem
11* BALT +13/ UNDER 48 pitt game/ Carolina Pickem
FUTURE BET:
Carolina Superbowl -- 4.5 to 1
Carolina vs Pitt Superbowl --- 5.5 to 1
I can't say enough about how much I love this Carolina team. Took them at 9 to 1 in week 13 and I just feel this team has the offense/defense/special teams/ and coaching to take it home.
LEANS on Saturdays games:
I am waiting for the line to drop which I believe it will but I like the Titans. Part of me just feels every1 is doing what they did with the falcons vs cardinals last week and overlooking this Tenn Team. It is going to be a hell of a battle though.
small lean - Titans ml/under parlay
If Boldin doesnt play I think Carolina will have little problem covering the spread. I understand they almost lost early in the season, but this team is on a mission and they will handle this game from the opening whistle. With Boldin I fear a possible backdoor cover. Arizona's Defense fed off their home crowd and Bertrand Berry had GREAT JUMPS all day because Ryan refused to change the count all game for whatever reason. THey will NOT, WILL NOT, stop the run like they did last weak. Expect double the yardage.
Medium Lean: Carolina -9.5
GOOD LUCK TO ALL I WILL FINALIZE MY CARD TOMRW
PLAYOFF SIDE - 1-0 (15*)
Prop - 0-1 (-7*)
2nd half play (-3*)
There are no Locks like last weeks Arizona Pickem on the board but I think there is some value to be found
Steelers vs Chargers (short write-up):
What we KNOW:
Steelers defense and the terrible towls will be out with a vengeance Sunday. Its not going to be easy for this San Diego team to move the ball against this defense in a playoff game in Pitt.
Its not going to be easy for sproles to RUN and while Rivers does have great will power at the qb spot, I dont see him leading long TD drives down the field.
On the flip side, it seems as though San Diego defense plays to the level of its opponents. They have some talent and tend to show up when they need to. With that being said I don't see Pittsburgh really droping bombs on this San Diego Defense that is going to try and elevate their game to Pitt's level.
We dont know how the concussion is going to affect big ben but I think its fair to say its not going to help him in this game.
CONCLUSION: Strong play 10* UNDER 38
(small lean parlay with chargers +6)
BALTIMORE vs TENN
This is the same type of Story. I Like the titans Defense to go toe to toe with this baltimore defense as they both will impose their will on the respective offenses. A little worried bout turnovers leading to points like last week, but I think Tenn run offense will relieve some pressure from collins.
I belive this game is a story of sustained drives and GREAT RED ZONE DEFENSE. It will be FG after FG as these defenses handle business with their backs against the wall.
CONCLUSION:
5* Under 17 1st half
10* Under 34 game
TWO TEASERS I LOVE (and i never do teasers):
9* BALT +13/UNDER 44/ Carolina Pickem
11* BALT +13/ UNDER 48 pitt game/ Carolina Pickem
FUTURE BET:
Carolina Superbowl -- 4.5 to 1
Carolina vs Pitt Superbowl --- 5.5 to 1
I can't say enough about how much I love this Carolina team. Took them at 9 to 1 in week 13 and I just feel this team has the offense/defense/special teams/ and coaching to take it home.
LEANS on Saturdays games:
I am waiting for the line to drop which I believe it will but I like the Titans. Part of me just feels every1 is doing what they did with the falcons vs cardinals last week and overlooking this Tenn Team. It is going to be a hell of a battle though.
small lean - Titans ml/under parlay
If Boldin doesnt play I think Carolina will have little problem covering the spread. I understand they almost lost early in the season, but this team is on a mission and they will handle this game from the opening whistle. With Boldin I fear a possible backdoor cover. Arizona's Defense fed off their home crowd and Bertrand Berry had GREAT JUMPS all day because Ryan refused to change the count all game for whatever reason. THey will NOT, WILL NOT, stop the run like they did last weak. Expect double the yardage.
Medium Lean: Carolina -9.5
GOOD LUCK TO ALL I WILL FINALIZE MY CARD TOMRW
PLAYOFF SIDE - 1-0 (15*)
Prop - 0-1 (-7*)
2nd half play (-3*)
