so far today teams that got bet by 90%+ at my book went 3-3. wouldn't say the butler game hurt them that much. ark st. (pending at -2) tulsa (pending at -5) utah st (pending at -16 1/2) were all hit at 88% or higher.
interesting to see how pepperdine and hawaii do as they are being hit at 93% and 89% respectively.
interesting to see how pepperdine and hawaii do as they are being hit at 93% and 89% respectively.
I got burned fading Butler.##)
But made out good on Duquenes, Kansas St, Nebraska, Vandy, and I guess the books did too on those games.
Win some, lose some... just gotta stay ahead of the pack. In the end, with their deep pockets, the books will always come out smelling like roses. Or they call up Harry Reid for some bailout $$$.
But made out good on Duquenes, Kansas St, Nebraska, Vandy, and I guess the books did too on those games.
Win some, lose some... just gotta stay ahead of the pack. In the end, with their deep pockets, the books will always come out smelling like roses. Or they call up Harry Reid for some bailout $$$.
Butler was a small hurt but nothing crazy. Nova was the killer of the day.
Besides that, Friday and Saturday have been great days, overall they were 2 of the best in a row all hoops season. Big Chalk MLs have been the key the last few days. From Marquette yesterday to the Hawks today... Might be best 2 day stretch all season and definetly the best week of the year without football.
CHALKY MLS= KERPLUNK
Besides that, Friday and Saturday have been great days, overall they were 2 of the best in a row all hoops season. Big Chalk MLs have been the key the last few days. From Marquette yesterday to the Hawks today... Might be best 2 day stretch all season and definetly the best week of the year without football.
CHALKY MLS= KERPLUNK
8-5-1. Favored home teams that got bet at 80% or higher, or 6-2-1 after this thread was started at 21:30. games where the home team was bet at 75-79% went 0-4 on the day. or, 70-79% these games went 2-6, however you want to break it down. second saturday where i've gone 4-0 with the late games after a shitty daytime. only difference last weekend i hit a 4 team parlay. didn't do it tonight, was betting small on some trends i'm trying to get together. trying to factor in the changes too, as a team getting bet at 78% at noon where it's getting bet at 72% right before tip falls into a different category, trying to work out the kinks. Road Favorites that got bet at 90% or higher went 5-2. interestingly, not a single home dawg was bet at 65% or higher, will have to adjust down to 60% to see if this changes. Road dawgs that were bet between 65-69% went 2-0, while road dawgs that were bet from 70-74% went 0-2, and 0-3 if you go from 70-79%.
all percentages are from the book that i use. depending upon how much of a pain in the ass/worthwhile playable trends, i will compare to other books. also, the time of day you check things comes into play as well, as i noticed a couple times today where the public action changed significantly but the line never did. trying to sort that out. if at 2:00 the public is 71% on one side but there's no good angle unless it drops to 69% and the game is still 4 hours away.... also, ESPN games were 0-2 with Road Fave (Tx, 78%) and Nevada HF (66%) both losing. was messing around this morning and didn't track the 12:00/1:00 games. only tracked the games with 65% or more action. @)
