Denver +2?

[pigskinpete]

Quick look ahead and this caught my eye!…Green Bay has played and won 3 straight division games with a Bears rematch next week…Denver 6-0 at home…both playing for #1 conference seed, but I can still see a path for GB to get there with a loss here…bad line or sucker bet?…any very early thoughts?

 

[Bozzie]

Denver has a better defense and the GB offensive line isn't great...plus being at home..


Enough bait for me to bite at 2.5 on DK

 

[Greenbacks]

bad line or sucker bet?

6-0 at home. Winners of 10 in a row.
Catching 2-2.5 pts. Definitely a head scratcher.

 

[pigskinpete]

Yeah, I agree bozzie and g’backs, the Packers- Bears game was extremely physical, while I thought Denver only played at about a C+ level in terms of energy to beat Vegas by 7…I don’t like to jump on a game early because much can happen in 5 days, but it’s very tempting!

 

[itchy_pickle]

@pigskinpete On a neutral field the market implied line as of today would be GB -3½ vs DEN. Adjust for home field any which way you'd like and I'd say the line is about right but I agree with you. When I saw the line i had to look at it twice. That pause would lean me to GB

 

[itchy_pickle]

@pigskinpete The total has my attention

 

[Serbone]

Green Bay will need the game a LOT more than Denver. The line is asking you to take Denver.

 

[pigskinpete]

@pigskinpete On a neutral field the market implied line as of today would be GB -3½ vs DEN. Adjust for home field any which way you'd like and I'd say the line is about right but I agree with you. When I saw the line i had to look at it twice. That pause would lean me to GB

There were 2 games that I spotted last week that I thought were “off” last week…Indy -2.5 at Jack and Houston +3.5 @ KC, I was right on both and played neither, did have the under in the Hous-KC game, a winner…I never understood the logic of automatically playing against a line that makes you pause?(technically you stated lean)…I really like this Denver team and definitely think that they’ll feel disrespected by this line. I’ll definitely be watching which way you’re leaning on the total.

 

[pigskinpete]

Green Bay will need the game a LOT more than Denver. The line is asking you to take Denver.

Reminds me of Jacksonville catching 2.5 at home against Indy, that was begging you to take the Jags, yep bad line…gonna disagree with you about the need, at the very least I have it as equal.

 

[1sob]

Packers has played a tougher schedule than the donkeys but I like Denver +3 at home
this should be a low scoring game
GL

 

[Avocado33]

Green Bay is a better overall team than Denver

That said might lean Denver just because of circumstance

 

[Avocado33]

Reminds me of Jacksonville catching 2.5 at home against Indy, that was begging you to take the Jags, yep bad line…gonna disagree with you about the need, at the very least I have it as equal.

Was a little surprised by that. Took Jags ML

My reasoning was more based on Indy never winning in Jacksonville

 

[doctorsuccess]

Best bet of the week.

 

[skoda]

Best bet of the week.

Is Green Bay

 

[doctorsuccess]

Is Green Bay

No, I meant Denver. Best bet of the week.

 

[itchy_pickle]

There were 2 games that I spotted last week that I thought were “off” last week…Indy -2.5 at Jack and Houston +3.5 @ KC, I was right on both and played neither, did have the under in the Hous-KC game, a winner…I never understood the logic of automatically playing against a line that makes you pause?(technically you stated lean)…I really like this Denver team and definitely think that they’ll feel disrespected by this line. I’ll definitely be watching which way you’re leaning on the total.

Points should be at a premium

 

[blackjackrhett21]

I'll put a different spin on this: How about a Denver team that never loses at home in a 6-point teaser with a Houston team that doesn't know how to play as a favorite?

Record 0-0

Denver +7 1/2
Arizona +16
Juice at -120

Yes, I am a Newbie here but have been winning in sports for decades. A guy I was sitting next to in a sportsbook turned me on to this site last weekend. GL to all!

 

[chauncy]

I'll put a different spin on this: How about a Denver team that never loses at home in a 6-point teaser with a Houston team that doesn't know how to play as a favorite?

Record 0-0

Denver +7 1/2
Arizona +16
Juice at -120

Yes, I am a Newbie here but have been winning in sports for decades. A guy I was sitting next to in a sportsbook turned me on to this site last weekend. GL to all!

like the denver one. dont like cards. Maybe earlier in the year. Texans O shaky but that d is locked in. Cards been banged up and have no motivation to gut out a win in texas. Still could hit because texans may sleepwalk early, but i think texans -4 -3.5 -3 is a better tease. Good luck.

 

[uscmd]

I think Den is the side. Altitude is a bear, if your body hasn't accommodated to it. Its curious how close gb and den are in scoring, points allowed, yards gained, yards allowed.

Blackjack, welcome aboard.

bol 2 all.

 

[Greenbacks]

For me Packers -2 & ML -130
Very large on the ML
Good luck