Deja vu

THEGAME9000 · Jan 8, 2009

uncanny similarities.....

2000

DENVER 3
BALTIMORE(3) 21.........BALTIMORE 24
................................TENNESSEE(6) 10

INDIANAPOLIS(1.5) 17
MIAMI 23 OT...............MIAMI 0
................................OAKLAND(8.5) 27

ST.LOUIS(6.5) 28
NEW ORLEANS 31........NEW ORLEANS 16
...............................MINNESOTA(8) 34

TAMPA BAY(3) 3
PHILADELPHIA 21........PHILADELPHIA 10
...............................NY GIANTS(4.5) 20

2008

BALTIMORE(3.5) 27
MIAMI 9........................BALTIMORE
..................................TENNESSEE(3)

INDIANAPOLIS(2.5) 17
SAN DIEGO 23 OT..........SAN DIEGO
..................................PITTSBURGH(6)

ATLANTA 24
ARIZONA(2) 30..............ARIZONA
..................................CAROLINA(10)

PHILADELPHIA(3.5) 26
MINNESOTA 14.............PHILADELPHIA
.................................NY GIANTS(4)

2000 RAMS=2008 FALCONS
2000 SAINTS=2008 CARDINALS
2000 RAIDERS=2008 STEELERS
2000 VIKINGS=2008 PANTHERS

in wildcard round...
3 road favs and 1 home fav
baltimore wins both games by 18pts exactly as small favs, then go on the road to face tennessee
indianapolis loses both games in ot as small favs by the exact same score
philadelphia wins both games by double-digits, then go on the road to face the ny giants
nfc home teams NO and ARI both win high scoring shoot outs in near identical fashion and score, then go on the road catching big points

i'm not saying that the outcome for 2008's divisional rounds side and totals will be able to be won by following 2000's divisional round formulas for the side and total....but i would'nt be shocked.

BALTIMORE
UNDER BALTIMORE
PITTSBURGH
UNDER PITTSBURGH
CAROLINA
OVER CAROLINA
NY GIANTS
UNDER NYG

seem possible?

GAME.

sds23 · Jan 8, 2009

Great stuff GAME. I would also encourage you to take a close look at the similarities of the 2005 playoffs.

2005 was the only other year, in addition to this season, in which all four games in the Divisional Round were played by teams who had faced each other during the regular season. And in 2005, 3 of the 4 teams that LOST the regular season matchup went on to WIN the Divisional Round matchup. In which case, candidates would be BAL, SD, ARI. While PHI/NYG is more difficult to gauge, since these teams played twice (rather than once) and split.

BOL this weekend GAME :toast:

doogieboy · Jan 9, 2009

Are those your selections Game or just predictions?
I already like Caro over, Pitt under and the G-men as my main picks and was leaning to Balt and Caro but having a hard time pulling the ol trigger on those two.

THEGAME9000 · Jan 9, 2009

doogieboy said:
Are those your selections Game or just predictions?
I already like Caro over, Pitt under and the G-men as my main picks and was leaning to Balt and Caro but having a hard time pulling the ol trigger on those two.

i'll pop up saturday's later tonight, just rolling over the final thoughts.

GAME.

THEGAME9000 · Jan 9, 2009

SATURDAY SELECTIONS

BALT at TEN(3) 34.5...
bal 9-2 ats as a dog in 2nd of b2b road games s 99
ten 0-4 ats as a home fav vs balt s 98
in series...since 98
........................the road team covered 9 of last 14
........................the dog covered 10 of last 14
........................the under covered 10 of last 14
........................favs of 3pts or more went 1-8 ats
........................when game total was 34pts or more the under covered 9 of last 11
afc road dogs in div round are 8-1 ats s 03

ARI at CAR(10) 48...
nfc div round dd favs went 6-1-1 ats s 94
systems...teams who won the wildcard game su but allowed 21pts or more have went 3-19 su on the road in the div round s 78
..............playoff home teams have went 11-3-1 ats the last 11 years when thier opp is off a su win as a home dog
..............the playoff game (in wc or div round) with the highest posted total on the weekend has gone over in 19 of last 21 s 86

100
BALTIMORE
UNDER BAL/TEN
CAROLINA
OVER CAROLINA

GAME.

RoughingThePasser · Jan 9, 2009

"BALTIMORE
UNDER BALTIMORE
PITTSBURGH
UNDER PITTSBURGH
CAROLINA
OVER CAROLINA
NY GIANTS
UNDER NYG

seem possible?"

Sure does! Layeth the smacketh down.

ope:
If only I were in Vegas.

Love Balt + U, Car + O

Talk to you in the morning. :103631605

THEGAME9000 · Jan 9, 2009

RTP...

we'll walk with the money saturday, bank on it.

GAME. :103631605

RDTrains · Jan 10, 2009

..............the playoff game (in wc or div round) with the highest posted total on the weekend has gone over in 19 of last 21 s 86

Last week the Indy total Atl/Ariz total was 51 and it went Over. Does the above apply to both the WC & Division weekends?

And FWIW here's a little more ammo for Balt ... since the ’00 season, there have been seven occasions where one team has gone into the playoffs with the league’s best record. That team is 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS in the Divisional Round. This year that team is Tennessee.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THEGAME9000 · Jan 10, 2009

RDT...

last weekend ind/sd closed at 50, at/ari closed at 52 so it only applied to the atl/ari game.
and yes it applies to only the wc and div rounds.

GAME.

Gravy · Jan 10, 2009

Game,BOL on your picks this weekend and agree with most of them.Gravy :103631605

cains · Jan 10, 2009

At what bookie is it possible to parlay / tease both ATS and O/U from the same game??

Pinnacle its not possible..

ie:
BALTIMORE
UNDER BAL/TEN
CAROLINA
OVER CAROLINA

pinnacle says i cant combine from same game...

Please help

THEGAME9000 · Jan 10, 2009

SORRY CAINS...

i go local with my stuff, i still can't wrap my mind around giving up a card # over the net.

i'm sure there are others who might be able to help you with that, but i have no idea.

gl GAME.

sds23 · Jan 10, 2009

sds23 said:
Great stuff GAME. I would also encourage you to take a close look at the similarities of the 2005 playoffs.

2005 was the only other year, in addition to this season, in which all four games in the Divisional Round were played by teams who had faced each other during the regular season. And in 2005, 3 of the 4 teams that LOST the regular season matchup went on to WIN the Divisional Round matchup. In which case, candidates would be BAL, SD, ARI. While PHI/NYG is more difficult to gauge, since these teams played twice (rather than once) and split.

BOL this weekend GAME :toast:

I am surprised that you did not even comment on the similarities of the 2005 Divisional Round. While I personally give it no credence (I like the favorites this weekend), I thought it was interesting nonetheless and was interested to hear what you had to say since these types of things seem to be right up your alley.

THEGAME9000 · Jan 10, 2009

no offense SD...

whenever someone opens something up for me to look at, i do exactly that sometimes for hours.
by the time i get done analyzing it, i forget to re-post.

hno:

GAME.

THEGAME9000 · Jan 10, 2009

also now that you mention it, i heard cris berman say this morning that teams who won the reg season meeting are 12-3 su in the div round.
i have yet to verify it either way.

sds23 · Jan 10, 2009

No offense taken at all buddy. I just enjoy your unique perspective on all things historical, trend related and etc. I came across the 2005 stuff in Adam Schefter's nfl.com blog and thought it would be interesting to see what you thought.

BOL this weekend :toast:

cains · Jan 10, 2009

oki thanks game...

GL

THEGAME9000 · Jan 10, 2009

be aware the line has just dropped to 33.5 for the bal/ten game...if this sticks, i'm going over.

GAME.

Ketch · Jan 10, 2009

THEGAME9000 said:
SATURDAY SELECTIONS

BALT at TEN(3) 34.5...
bal 9-2 ats as a dog in 2nd of b2b road games s 99
ten 0-4 ats as a home fav vs balt s 98
in series...since 98
........................the road team covered 9 of last 14
........................the dog covered 10 of last 14
........................the under covered 10 of last 14
........................favs of 3pts or more went 1-8 ats
........................when game total was 34pts or more the under covered 9 of last 11
afc road dogs in div round are 8-1 ats s 03

ARI at CAR(10) 48...
nfc div round dd favs went 6-1-1 ats s 94
systems...teams who won the wildcard game su but allowed 21pts or more have went 3-19 su on the road in the div round s 78
..............playoff home teams have went 11-3-1 ats the last 11 years when thier opp is off a su win as a home dog
..............the playoff game (in wc or div round) with the highest posted total on the weekend has gone over in 19 of last 21 s 86

100
BALTIMORE
UNDER BAL/TEN
CAROLINA
OVER CAROLINA

GAME.