basically, the 36 loss statistic includes the one-loss and two-loss streaks. That means of the 230 losses you can expect to have 36 instances of 3-streak losses. The 3-streak losses also qualify as 1 and 2 streak losses. This means that my original post was accurate and over 500 wagers @ 54 percent winners one will very likely lose about 30 units.
DOH,,, Props to you,,,, I hope MIKE doesnt mind ME chimeing in,,,, its cool that you took the time to do the MATH with an Open mind,,, there is a SHOT with the MARTINGALE method,,, MIKE has his methods,,, and I have mine,,, but if you went back as I did,,,and Backtested SCENARIOS,, you could put yourself in some UNIQUE situations where the NBA Teams WILL QUIT,,,,, thats Just what happens in their Long season,,,,
Props to you in takeing the time,,, and Props to MIKE CHAD in giving 100%,,,
all the best
Tater
Props to you in takeing the time,,, and Props to MIKE CHAD in giving 100%,,,
all the best
Tater
WOW, I don't no where to start.
Oh, I know.......SYSTEM WIN #54 CLEVELAND!!!!
Now, D'OH, I don't know what to say about your calculations. I take no offence to any of your comments. I actually appreciate any constructive critisism I can get.
What I say next will be all in capital letters because I would like to express the importance of it.
I DO NOT RANDOMLY PICK GAMES!!!!!
I DO HANDICAP ALL MY GAMES!!!!
I AM DEFINETLY NOT PERFECT!!!!
I AM NOT, NEVER CLAIMED TO BE, NOR DO I CARE TO BE THE BEST IN THIS FORUM!!!!
I BELIEVE MR." LAS VEGAS" IS THE GREATEST CAPPER IN THE WORLD!!!!
I WORK WITH PROBABILITIES!!!!!
THE WAY I CAP IS SIMPLE, BUT THE EXPLANATION IS NOT!!!!
If you, D'OH,or anyone else, believe in the long run my system will fail, then don't bet my games. That is constructive criticism that I would like to give.
I have never made guarantees about my system. I have made the odd prediction, for example, what I think my game #3 record will be at seasons end.
D'OH, you've calculated my entire season in one post. WOW!!!!
I really don't want to lose at the end so I am going to quit now.
bye everyone
good luck
Oh, I know.......SYSTEM WIN #54 CLEVELAND!!!!
Now, D'OH, I don't know what to say about your calculations. I take no offence to any of your comments. I actually appreciate any constructive critisism I can get.
What I say next will be all in capital letters because I would like to express the importance of it.
I DO NOT RANDOMLY PICK GAMES!!!!!
I DO HANDICAP ALL MY GAMES!!!!
I AM DEFINETLY NOT PERFECT!!!!
I AM NOT, NEVER CLAIMED TO BE, NOR DO I CARE TO BE THE BEST IN THIS FORUM!!!!
I BELIEVE MR." LAS VEGAS" IS THE GREATEST CAPPER IN THE WORLD!!!!
I WORK WITH PROBABILITIES!!!!!
THE WAY I CAP IS SIMPLE, BUT THE EXPLANATION IS NOT!!!!
If you, D'OH,or anyone else, believe in the long run my system will fail, then don't bet my games. That is constructive criticism that I would like to give.
I have never made guarantees about my system. I have made the odd prediction, for example, what I think my game #3 record will be at seasons end.
D'OH, you've calculated my entire season in one post. WOW!!!!
I really don't want to lose at the end so I am going to quit now.
bye everyone
good luck
This sh*t happens with ever good capper here. There is always one or two Assh*les that think they know what they are talking about and have to post their two cents. Well no one is here is listen to your negativity about how a system is going to fail or how their record isn't correct, bla, bla, bla. To be honest with you, I haven't even payed much attention to how Mike's system works, no offense Mike. I just bet on what he picks. Instead of telling the man that his system is going to fail, why don't you give him some ideas on how to better it, if thats possible. I've said this before and I'll say it again. If you don't like his system or like his picks, then don't enter his thread.
I don't know what type of crack pipe Doh was smoking while he did his math. His correction is also wrong.
To make the calculations easier let's say there are 300 teams instead of 500 games
300 teams @ a 54% Clip:
You'll get:
300 x 0.54=162 game 1 wins for +162U
That leaves 138 games for game 2
138 x 0.54=75 game 2 wins for +67.5U
That leaves 63 games for game 3
63 x 0.54=34 game 3 wins for +23.8U
A grand total of 253.3 U
You end up with 23 losses(63-34) x 7.7U=-223.3U
You have a net positive of 30U.
If you played all 501(300+138+63) of these games for a single unit:
You'd win 275.55 and lose 246.9 for a net of +28.65U
I'd figure out what only playing the first two games would do but I'm running out of time, gotta go!
:toast:
To make the calculations easier let's say there are 300 teams instead of 500 games
300 teams @ a 54% Clip:
You'll get:
300 x 0.54=162 game 1 wins for +162U
That leaves 138 games for game 2
138 x 0.54=75 game 2 wins for +67.5U
That leaves 63 games for game 3
63 x 0.54=34 game 3 wins for +23.8U
A grand total of 253.3 U
You end up with 23 losses(63-34) x 7.7U=-223.3U
You have a net positive of 30U.
If you played all 501(300+138+63) of these games for a single unit:
You'd win 275.55 and lose 246.9 for a net of +28.65U
I'd figure out what only playing the first two games would do but I'm running out of time, gotta go!
:toast:
What people have to learn is to not feed into the negativity. These "bitches" come on here because they are jhust that, attn wanting little whores. Just IGNORE them and they will go away, it's very simple. No need to defend or validate or whatever other word fits in here to these suckers. Ignore them, they will leave, if they don't, who cares, no one is paying attn to them anyway.
lol...I sensed a hint of sarcasm in Mike's post...looks like it wasn't apparent to others. Guys, he's not going to let one poster or critic deter him from posting. He's won so far and has explained himself numerous times generously to anyone who's asked him questions...thanks for the work Mike and GL to you for the rest of the season!
Oh please.
My post questioning the math of the 'double-up' system is not 'bitching', or 'attacking'. If you think that then you're an idiot.
Everyone new to betting wants to find the holy grail and when they think they've found a system or someone that will lead them to the holy land they become highly offended the minute the system is critiqued.
It certainly wasn't a personal attack meant to make the guy stop posting. What would that achieve? In fact any guy with a record of 52-29 in the NBA should be paid attention too! I definitely would like Mad Chad to continue posting based just on this record this season.
Those whom have two brain cells to rub together would be able to discern my math critique has to do with his money management system, not his picks nor Mad chad himself.
I posted my math example because it didn't add up, from my perspective. Supersharp was the only one to address my calculations while everyone else started crying foul.
Oh, and to the fool who suggested my posting privileges be revoked: Get a clue. There's no mod on this board who would ban me for my posts in this thread. Go ahead and try it, knucklehead.
My post questioning the math of the 'double-up' system is not 'bitching', or 'attacking'. If you think that then you're an idiot.
Everyone new to betting wants to find the holy grail and when they think they've found a system or someone that will lead them to the holy land they become highly offended the minute the system is critiqued.
It certainly wasn't a personal attack meant to make the guy stop posting. What would that achieve? In fact any guy with a record of 52-29 in the NBA should be paid attention too! I definitely would like Mad Chad to continue posting based just on this record this season.
Those whom have two brain cells to rub together would be able to discern my math critique has to do with his money management system, not his picks nor Mad chad himself.
I posted my math example because it didn't add up, from my perspective. Supersharp was the only one to address my calculations while everyone else started crying foul.
Oh, and to the fool who suggested my posting privileges be revoked: Get a clue. There's no mod on this board who would ban me for my posts in this thread. Go ahead and try it, knucklehead.
