Dec 20

[gabbana]

SEASON: 57-44 +11.14

Dec 20:

LA CLIPPERS @ MIL BUCKS
PLAY: MIL BUCKS -5 -110

I was lucky to get this early today, this is a good spot and the line opened at -4 last night but went up influenced by the results of these two. Clippers 4-in-5 situation tonight, 4th game on the road and the last of a trip. They have played two consecutive OT games they struggled last night against indiana who had 4 starters out. All 5 starters for clippers played at least 48 minutes last night and randolph scored 30+ in 4 of last 5 games i doubt they will be fresh tonight and he can score again over 30. Bucks on the other hand are in top 3 teams in terms of ats 18-9 for the season. Milw coming at home after a short 3 game road trip where they won two. Positive record at home 6-4 and 3 consecutive wins, also bucks are 1-1-8 ats last 10 h2h against LA tonight is different. 102-90 bucks.

 

[Sea-Urchin]

Damn...had the Bucks at 6. I hope it's still a good play. Thanks gab.

 

[gabbana]

yeah i would take it untill 6, not bigger.

 

[Sea-Urchin]

gab, any thoughts on the Raptors tonight at SA? Raps +9.5.

 

[gabbana]

DEN NUGGETS @ PHX SUNS
PLAY: DEN NUGGETS +5.5 -110

I liked it at 4 now i like it even more, i dont know the reason this line keeps climbing but its a good spot for nuggets. I rooted for cavs last night, denver isnt a weak team its just that they have faced a top 3 team with big z back. Denver starters combined for only 44 pts last night. Two losses in a row only happened once for nuggets and then they made the billups trade. Suns avg 112 ppg last 5 games and since J Rich joined they played no defense. They are 2-8 ats last 10 games and its the perfect type of team for nuggets to bounce back with a win. If suns do win this one will be not more then 5 pts, 108-105.

 

[gabbana]

gab, any thoughts on the Raptors tonight at SA? Raps +9.5.

strong lean on spurs but ill have to be carefull laying 10 on them..
we will see later.

 

[SonnyCrockett]

looks good... bol!

 

[barman]

DEN NUGGETS @ PHX SUNS
PLAY: DEN NUGGETS +5.5 -110

I liked it at 4 now i like it even more, i dont know the reason this line keeps climbing but its a good spot for nuggets. I rooted for cavs last night, denver isnt a weak team its just that they have faced a top 3 team with big z back. Denver starters combined for only 44 pts last night. Two losses in a row only happened once for nuggets and then they made the billups trade. Suns avg 112 ppg last 5 games and since J Rich joined they played no defense. They are 2-8 ats last 10 games and its the perfect type of team for nuggets to bounce back with a win. If suns do win this one will be not more then 5 pts, 108-105.

concur...I wrote the following late last night when line was DEN +4




Quick note that PHOENIX playing Home vs teams with winning records are just 11-10 SU past 21 chances and they covered -4 in just nine of those 21.

Though they racked Denver solid both times in Arizona last season, this is a greatly improved Denver team that is playing Top10 defense since Billups arrived.

Nuggets are 6-4 in past 10 outings playing the second of back2back (3-2 when that game is Away). Their ATS record is same when graded at +4.

 

[Broncos625]

I have both of them as showing value in my formula. Already have them both.

BOL to us!!

 

[VenomousSanction]

BOL Gabby

 

[gabbana]

bucks was an easy winner...denver scored 0 pts in last 3 minutes of the game to ruin the sweep and give me a 1-1 day...it sucks...