Dear Diary And Everyone Else...too....plus Spreadsheet Update

ACE-ACE · Jun 28, 2006

DEAR DIARY....

THE SPREADSHEET SO FAR IS 3-0 IN THE EARLY GAME

I'M 2-0 +$600.00 :dancefool

4 MORE GAME TO GO

I WILL BET THEM ALL ...BUT THE DOLLAR AMOUNT WILL TELL THE STORY

MY LATE BETS

TOR...................................$370/$200

CWS...................................$153/$90

FLA....................................$320/$200

CLE ...................................$100/$155

ALL PLAYS BASE ON THE SHEET TODAY

JUST ANOTHER DAY IN PARADISE:toast:

ACE-ACE

Milwaukee · Jun 28, 2006

Ziti said:
Milwaukee, 45 - 24 is nice ... Any idea of how many units won that is? Just wondering if them 24 losses are big faves or not?

I have play the games with $20 per games (all games only Value > 4). I won in the last 10 days $350,60

Milwaukee · Jun 28, 2006

Milwaukee said:
I have play the games with $20 per games (all games only Value > 4). I won in the last 10 days $350,60

Here are the data!!

GeneralZ · Jun 28, 2006

ACE-ACE said:
DEAR DIARY....

THE SPREADSHEET SO FAR IS 3-0 IN THE EARLY GAME

I'M 2-0 +$600.00

4 MORE GAME TO GO

I WILL BET THEM ALL ...BUT THE DOLLAR AMOUNT WILL TELL THE STORY

MY LATE BETS

TOR...................................$370/$200

CWS...................................$153/$90

FLA....................................$320/$200

CLE ...................................$100/$155

ALL PLAYS BASE ON THE SHEET TODAY

JUST ANOTHER DAY IN PARADISE:toast:

ACE-ACE

ACE:
Do you think it is possible to that a automated spread sheet could pick +60% over the long run using every pick like you are doing?? :thumbsup2:

I am thinking this has been tried elsewhere and didn't work. Have you ever heard of such an automated picking system that worked??? It would be the HOLLY GRAILE

ope:

I thought it was a tool to cap with?

gl

GeneralZ

ACE-ACE · Jun 28, 2006

GeneralZ said:
ACE:
Do you think it is possible to that a automated spread sheet could pick +60% over the long run using every pick like you are doing?? :thumbsup2:

I am thinking this has been tried elsewhere and didn't work. Have you ever heard of such an automated picking system that worked??? It would be the HOLLY GRAILE ope:

I thought it was a tool to cap with?

gl

GeneralZ

CAN IT DO 60% IN THE LONG RUN.....IT DOES NOT MATTER IF YOU VARY YOUR BETS AND THE BEST ONES WIN AND THE SMALL ONES LOSE....TODAY IS THE 1ST DAY THAT I HAVE USE IT(ALL OF THEM)....SO I WON THE 1ST TWO....SO WHY NOT BET THEM ALL......IF SOMETHING IS HOT....YOU GO WITH IT MORE THAN WHEN ITS AVG TO COOL...

THIS IS A TOOL AND BY SETTING YOUR BETS TO HOW MUCH GOES AND WHICH BET ...ITS YOU AND THE SPREADSHEET WORKING TOGETHER

SO FAR MILWAUKEE WAY IS THE BEST +4 AND HIGHER
AND ZITI PUTTING FILTER ON IT IS LOSING AS OF ON

ME I'M IN THE MIDDLE

WE ALL WANT TO ADD ARE PART TO ANY SYSTEM....:toast:

BEST TO YOU

ACE-ACE

watcher1944 · Jun 28, 2006

General,
could you explain exactly what these numbers you are talking about. Am trying to figure, what the 37 is.
also trying to figure out how you got the white sox whip difference being 5.
whitesox whip 1.30 to 1.77. maybe you mean .5

GeneralZ said:
I am flattered you asked...I use last 7 game average for total runs. And look for teams with the largest difference..

I use 7 game difference in average: over 17 runs to do anymore work.
http://www.sportsbook.com/statfeed/statfeed.php?page=mlb/expanded&gameid=20060628PITTSBURGH&sit=1&back=1
No adding!

eg today: CWS 86 +37 this number has to over 17 to consider..
Pitts 39
I remove the decimal for the math.. should be CHW 8.6

I use difference in Starting pitcher WHIP

CWS -5 (about) needs to be over -1

today 4 teams met this base criteria and I compared them..as you taught it is basically runs and WHIP..

If the first two numbers are good..I then old fashion cap cap (15% feel) with..5 game streak record, bullpen, BA, ERA.

hope this make sense..

GeneralZ

ACE-ACE · Jun 28, 2006

watcher1944 said:
General,
could you explain exactly what these numbers you are talking about. Am trying to figure, what the 37 is.
also trying to figure out how you got the white sox whip difference being 5.
whitesox whip 1.30 to 1.77. maybe you mean .5

MORE LIKE (5)

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black><TBODY><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e4e4e4; TEXT-ALIGN: center" colSpan=2>Pitching Details for F Garcia</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e4e4e4; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Starts Against Opponent </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top bgColor=white><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ecece4" colSpan=2>Profile for F Garcia</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">Team Record </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">11-4</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">Streak </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Won 2</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">ROI </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">28.4%</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">O/U </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">9-5</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">OU Streak </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Under 1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD vAlign=top bgColor=white><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ecece4"><TD>Start Situation</TD><TD align=middle>#</TD><TD align=middle>W-L</TD><TD align=middle>O/U</TD><TD align=middle>RPG</TD><TD align=middle>ERA</TD><TD align=middle>WHPG</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>All Games</TD><TD align=middle>15</TD><TD align=middle>11-4</TD><TD align=middle>9-5</TD><TD align=right>4.75</TD><TD align=right>4.66</TD><TD align=right>11.92</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Away</TD><TD align=middle>6</TD><TD align=middle>4-2</TD><TD align=middle>3-2</TD><TD align=right>5.40</TD><TD align=right>5.40</TD><TD align=right>12.21</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Away Fav</TD><TD align=middle>5</TD><TD align=middle>3-2</TD><TD align=middle>3-1</TD><TD align=right>5.57</TD><TD align=right>5.57</TD><TD align=right>12.53</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Away Dog</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>1-0</TD><TD align=middle>0-1</TD><TD align=right>4.50</TD><TD align=right>4.50</TD><TD align=right>10.50</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Favorite</TD><TD align=middle>14</TD><TD align=middle>10-4</TD><TD align=middle>9-4</TD><TD align=right>4.76</TD><TD align=right>4.67</TD><TD align=right>12.01</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Under Dog</TD><TD align=middle>1</TD><TD align=middle>1-0</TD><TD align=middle>0-1</TD><TD align=right>4.50</TD><TD align=right>4.50</TD><TD align=right>10.50</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD vAlign=top bgColor=white><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ecece4"><TD align=middle>Year</TD><TD align=middle>ERA</TD><TD align=middle>W-L</TD><TD align=middle>S/U</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>2004</TD><TD align=middle>3.00</TD><TD align=middle>1-0</TD><TD align=middle>1-0</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e4e4e4; TEXT-ALIGN: center" colSpan=2>Pitching Details for P Maholm</TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e4e4e4; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Starts Against Opponent </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top bgColor=white><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ecece4" colSpan=2>Profile for P Maholm</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">Team Record </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">6-9</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">Streak </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Lost 2</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">ROI </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">-11.9%</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">O/U </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">8-7</TD></TR><TR><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white">OU Streak </TD><TD style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white; TEXT-ALIGN: center">Over 1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD><TD vAlign=top bgColor=white><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ecece4"><TD>Start Situation</TD><TD align=middle>#</TD><TD align=middle>W-L</TD><TD align=middle>O/U</TD><TD align=middle>RPG</TD><TD align=middle>ERA</TD><TD align=middle>WHPG</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>All Games</TD><TD align=middle>15</TD><TD align=middle>6-9</TD><TD align=middle>8-7</TD><TD align=right>5.11</TD><TD align=right>4.90</TD><TD align=right>16.68</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Home</TD><TD align=middle>8</TD><TD align=middle>5-3</TD><TD align=middle>4-4</TD><TD align=right>3.91</TD><TD align=right>3.91</TD><TD align=right>14.56</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Home Fav</TD><TD align=middle>2</TD><TD align=middle>1-1</TD><TD align=middle>0-2</TD><TD align=right>3.21</TD><TD align=right>3.21</TD><TD align=right>12.21</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Home Dog</TD><TD align=middle>6</TD><TD align=middle>4-2</TD><TD align=middle>4-2</TD><TD align=right>4.17</TD><TD align=right>4.17</TD><TD align=right>15.46</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Favorite</TD><TD align=middle>3</TD><TD align=middle>1-2</TD><TD align=middle>1-2</TD><TD align=right>5.89</TD><TD align=right>5.40</TD><TD align=right>14.73</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: xx-small; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD>Under Dog</TD><TD align=middle>11</TD><TD align=middle>5-6</TD><TD align=middle>6-5</TD><TD align=right>4.65</TD><TD align=right>4.50</TD><TD align=right>17.42</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

BASE ON ALL GAMES.....

GeneralZ · Jun 28, 2006

ACE-ACE said:
CAN IT DO 60% IN THE LONG RUN.....IT DOES NOT MATTER IF YOU VARY YOUR BETS AND THE BEST ONES WIN AND THE SMALL ONES LOSE....TODAY IS THE 1ST DAY THAT I HAVE USE IT(ALL OF THEM)....SO I WON THE 1ST TWO....SO WHY NOT BET THEM ALL......IF SOMETHING IS HOT....YOU GO WITH IT MORE THAN WHEN ITS AVG TO COOL...

THIS IS A TOOL AND BY SETTING YOUR BETS TO HOW MUCH GOES AND WHICH BET ...ITS YOU AND THE SPREADSHEET WORKING TOGETHER

SO FAR MILWAUKEE WAY IS THE BEST +4 AND HIGHER
AND ZITI PUTTING FILTER ON IT IS LOSING AS OF ON

ME I'M IN THE MIDDLE

WE ALL WANT TO ADD ARE PART TO ANY SYSTEM....:toast:

BEST TO YOU

ACE-ACE

Forgive Me For I No Not What I Talk About :missingte

I got stuck on 60%...You have talked about varying bets before. As a Rookie I flat bet 1 or 2 of my best picks. I am trying to be strict about my Money Mangement and develop my capping ability. I guess I need to add varying bets to my bag of tricks. I certainly have capped games I felt very confident on :ughhh:.

Ace thanks for all your insight, I have really enjoyed your reads...:toast:

gl
GeneralZ

GeneralZ · Jun 28, 2006

watcher1944 said:
General,
could you explain exactly what these numbers you are talking about. Am trying to figure, what the 37 is.
also trying to figure out how you got the white sox whip difference being 5.
whitesox whip 1.30 to 1.77. maybe you mean .5

Ace got it WHPG all games difference of 5....Ace explained this (WHPG) to me a while ago..it is a value he has used....

The 37 number..
http://www.sportsbook.com/statfeed/s...H&sit=1&back=1
In this link...look at: Sox Current Season Performance/Team/Runs/past 7 games ..they average 8.6 runs per game, Pitts avg. 3.9...I remove the decimal and subtract the numbers = 47..sorry my typo..not 37!!

does that help?? :nohead:

sorry!
GeneralZ

ACE-ACE · Jun 28, 2006

TODAY

I DID 4-1 +$570 :dancefool

BUT

THE SPREADSHEET DID 5-2 +2.40 :dancefool

ITS COMING TOGETHER:toast:

ACE-ACE

Ziti · Jun 29, 2006

<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1> Spreadsheet with Filters To Date (5 days worth): 3-8 = -$604.00.

Interesting how the middle-to-big chalk with this system is winning. Long term is another story though ...

Don't mind losing, especially, when playing small testing something out, however, been working on something myself, that I feel much more comfortable with and makes more sense to me. Will it hold up like it's been doing? Who knows, however, I'll start posting the plays tomorrow in another thread each day (don't want to jack Ace-Ace's threads).

No doubt, Ace-Ace and Milwaukee together will come up with something good with this spreadsheet. It looks good so far. (Do agree with GeneralZ though, some other way of getting AN EXTRA ADDED EDGE, in addition to the raw data plays the spreadsheet puts out, will probably be needed in the LONG RUN).

:103631605