Davies at +240 tomorrow????

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wow. thats crazy. this guy had a no hitter going into the 8th last game I believe and now he's priced at +240? KC just won tonight so it's not like they can't hang with the Rays and are completely over matched....
 

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What about your mets at 175 with the way pelfrey has been throwing and the way the mets are swinging the bats. Philly is struggling with the bats. I love the mets man and I have to play them tomorrow
 

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Ok first of all it was a no-hitter into the sixth against a Seattle team that currently has 7 hits through 11 innings which included 3 hits through 9 innings against Texas tonite. Kyle Davies??? He is 1-1 career with a 4.22 era against Tampa. On the road this year: 1-1 with a 4.97 era and in one start on turf this year: 0-1, era of 6.00. In his only start at the Trop: 0-1, 6.35 era, 3 hits, but 6 walks in 5.2 innings(not good).
Also, KC's bully did its thing tonite. Do you really think they do it 2 nites in a row? Ahhh.....no. Reports out of Tampa are that this team feels like it can score on anybody and don't ya think they will be lookin to rake in this here game? I do, but this is a no play for me because no need to chase when I already had them in Gm 1. Just some food for thought so to speak.

GL Mets with whatever you do :toast:
@) :smoking:
 

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Ok first of all it was a no-hitter into the sixth against a Seattle team that currently has 7 hits through 11 innings which included 3 hits through 9 innings against Texas tonite. Kyle Davies??? He is 1-1 career with a 4.22 era against Tampa. On the road this year: 1-1 with a 4.97 era and in one start on turf this year: 0-1, era of 6.00. In his only start at the Trop: 0-1, 6.35 era, 3 hits, but 6 walks in 5.2 innings(not good).
Also, KC's bully did its thing tonite. Do you really think they do it 2 nites in a row? Ahhh.....no. Reports out of Tampa are that this team feels like it can score on anybody and don't ya think they will be lookin to rake in this here game? I do, but this is a no play for me because no need to chase when I already had them in Gm 1. Just some food for thought so to speak.

GL Mets with whatever you do :toast:
@) :smoking:

relax bro. your always barking at my comments. He's got a 3.65 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP. nothing to sneeze at there and has always been a highly touted prospect. I'm not saying the guy is Roger Clemens. Just saying +240 may be a little too high especially when they just won tonight.
 

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No, no, no, everything is all good :toast:
There is no question we have great respect for each other and I am not trying to get at you or anything. I am just trying to help create conversation on this game by providing some simple numbers. The title of this Thread had ??? at the end, so I was just answering a question so to speak.
BTW, while we are at it, the reason this is so high is because of who is pitching on the other side, David Price. Talk about on fire. This guy is coming off a complete game shutout against a pretty good hitting team in Toronto. In 1 career start against KC: 1-0, 7 IP, 1 run, 2 walks, 3 K's, .200 baa. At home this year: 2 starts, 2-0, 1.62 era, 0.90 whip, .183 baa. One of those starts was against the Yankees, a 9-3 victory. And you want to talk about highly touted prospects, look no further. This is why the Price :lolBIG: is so high.

Again GL Mets :howdy: just trying to provide info so you could eliminate the ??? from this and put some of that Reds winnings this fat ML :lol:
I hope you win. It would be a nice hit (<)<
 

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I'm on it. No doubt it probably loses, but like sakrei said, it only has to win 29% of the time to be +EV. I'm a value player so I have to grab it. Looking strongly at the mets as well, but the good doc is, well... GOOD.
 

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No, no, no, everything is all good :toast:
There is no question we have great respect for each other and I am not trying to get at you or anything. I am just trying to help create conversation on this game by providing some simple numbers. The title of this Thread had ??? at the end, so I was just answering a question so to speak.
BTW, while we are at it, the reason this is so high is because of who is pitching on the other side, David Price. Talk about on fire. This guy is coming off a complete game shutout against a pretty good hitting team in Toronto. In 1 career start against KC: 1-0, 7 IP, 1 run, 2 walks, 3 K's, .200 baa. At home this year: 2 starts, 2-0, 1.62 era, 0.90 whip, .183 baa. One of those starts was against the Yankees, a 9-3 victory. And you want to talk about highly touted prospects, look no further. This is why the Price :lolBIG: is so high.

Again GL Mets :howdy: just trying to provide info so you could eliminate the ??? from this and put some of that Reds winnings this fat ML :lol:
I hope you win. It would be a nice hit (<)<

no doubt. <><> I don't think I have the guts to play this as I don't have enough confidence to lay my money on it anyway. +185 dog last night was enough for me :lolBIG:
 

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+240 only has to work < 30% to be profitable.


thats my theory of wagering....i tell people i look for "value" on lines....thats what i consider value....if i think a team could win 1 out of 3 with a line like that, then i think its value

thats why i dont worry about the w/l record, if u stay with the same theories, then "if" you are rigth, you'll come out ahead....i know i'll go thru streaks where i have real bad days, but it bounces back.....but some dont understand and assume if u have a bad day you have no clue what you are doing..
 

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bet with your gut man. bet u wishing you did now. if you feeling a dog at least put $10 down.lol

CALL OF THE DAY IMO.....VERY nice call.


I know right. Gonna start putting 10-20$ on em atleast. On a nice little hitch here. picked out a nice +185 last night and +240 today...~~:<<
 

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Dogs are the way to go in bases.
 

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