Record:0-0
Event:UFC 117
Bodog
Anderson Silva (-450) vs Chael Sonnen (+300)
Junior Dos Santos (-295) vs Roy Nelson (+235)
Thiago Alves (+100) vs Jon Fitch (-130)
3* Anderson Silva (-450)
The only way that Sonnen wins is that if he lays and prays on Silva for 5 rounds. Given that Silva can easily finish the fight standing up and on the ground, this bet is almost a lock. Sonnen was easily submitted by Filho and Maia. I just don't see Sonnen being able survive for five rounds to implement his lay and pray strategy. Sonnen's in your face offence should also play to Silva's counter-punching strengths. This is definitely would end in Silva winning via stoppage.
1*Junior Dos Santos (-295)
This fight should be a lot closer than what people think.While it is common knowledge how good Roy Nelson's ground game is,he also has some competent stand-up skills. It is a good possibility that he could knockout JDS or get him in a crucifix.
I believe JDS would win because he is just simply the better fighter. JDS could get caught with a dangerous overhand right by Nelson but, to put it simply, trading punches with JDS is not the strategy that Nelson would do. JDS is by far the better striker. He would outclass Nelson in that department like what Arlovski did to Nelson. In addition, while JDS's take down defence hasn't been tested, his showed some quick scramble ability by getting up quickly against elite grapplers like Gonzaga and Werdum . Nelson takedown skills is more on clinching the guy and tripping. This would leave Nelson open to get hit in the pocket. This would be a dangerous maneaver to do against JDS's strong knockout power. Lastly, Nelson's cardio is suspect. In his fight against arloski and in IFL, Nelson is notably slower against elite competition after the second round. JDS cardio hasn't been tested yet, but JDS's fight with Crocop still proved that he has a better cardio than Nelson.
My prediction is that either JDS wins by TKO or decision by outsriking Nelson.
5*Jon Fitch (-130) (Play of the Day)
Why he would win
- Fitch was only stopped once. He will weather the storm and grind out a victory. Fitch is just one tough son of a bitch. He has been rock a couple of times, time and time again he has shown that Fitch can take a lot of punishment.
-Alves' Cardio. Because of a long lay-off and Alves' reported trouble making weight, this definitely would be detrimental against a cardio freak like Fitch.Fitch will ware him down.
- Ring Rust Factor. This fight should mirror the Rashad and Rampage fight in which Rampage was just able to connect his strikes that well in order to finish a wrestler like Rashad.
- Fitch will take Alves down. Forget about Alves's improved takedown defence against Kostcheck and Hughes. Kostcheck tried to bang with him and only tried to take him down five times. Hughes takedown ability is nowhere near Fitch's level due to him being past his prime. GSP easily took alves down. While Fitch
Expect to see Jon Fitch to get rocked a couple of times before he smothers Alves for three rounds to earn a decision win.
Event:UFC 117
Bodog
Anderson Silva (-450) vs Chael Sonnen (+300)
Junior Dos Santos (-295) vs Roy Nelson (+235)
Thiago Alves (+100) vs Jon Fitch (-130)
3* Anderson Silva (-450)
The only way that Sonnen wins is that if he lays and prays on Silva for 5 rounds. Given that Silva can easily finish the fight standing up and on the ground, this bet is almost a lock. Sonnen was easily submitted by Filho and Maia. I just don't see Sonnen being able survive for five rounds to implement his lay and pray strategy. Sonnen's in your face offence should also play to Silva's counter-punching strengths. This is definitely would end in Silva winning via stoppage.
1*Junior Dos Santos (-295)
This fight should be a lot closer than what people think.While it is common knowledge how good Roy Nelson's ground game is,he also has some competent stand-up skills. It is a good possibility that he could knockout JDS or get him in a crucifix.
I believe JDS would win because he is just simply the better fighter. JDS could get caught with a dangerous overhand right by Nelson but, to put it simply, trading punches with JDS is not the strategy that Nelson would do. JDS is by far the better striker. He would outclass Nelson in that department like what Arlovski did to Nelson. In addition, while JDS's take down defence hasn't been tested, his showed some quick scramble ability by getting up quickly against elite grapplers like Gonzaga and Werdum . Nelson takedown skills is more on clinching the guy and tripping. This would leave Nelson open to get hit in the pocket. This would be a dangerous maneaver to do against JDS's strong knockout power. Lastly, Nelson's cardio is suspect. In his fight against arloski and in IFL, Nelson is notably slower against elite competition after the second round. JDS cardio hasn't been tested yet, but JDS's fight with Crocop still proved that he has a better cardio than Nelson.
My prediction is that either JDS wins by TKO or decision by outsriking Nelson.
5*Jon Fitch (-130) (Play of the Day)
Why he would win
- Fitch was only stopped once. He will weather the storm and grind out a victory. Fitch is just one tough son of a bitch. He has been rock a couple of times, time and time again he has shown that Fitch can take a lot of punishment.
-Alves' Cardio. Because of a long lay-off and Alves' reported trouble making weight, this definitely would be detrimental against a cardio freak like Fitch.Fitch will ware him down.
- Ring Rust Factor. This fight should mirror the Rashad and Rampage fight in which Rampage was just able to connect his strikes that well in order to finish a wrestler like Rashad.
- Fitch will take Alves down. Forget about Alves's improved takedown defence against Kostcheck and Hughes. Kostcheck tried to bang with him and only tried to take him down five times. Hughes takedown ability is nowhere near Fitch's level due to him being past his prime. GSP easily took alves down. While Fitch
Expect to see Jon Fitch to get rocked a couple of times before he smothers Alves for three rounds to earn a decision win.
