DanielSong39's Week 3 NFL Picks

[dsong]

Not really handicapping here - just trying forecast future line moves, and get down on the right number before the inevitable late steam.

These are the plays:

Tennessee -1.5
Minnesota +7 -115
Miami -9.5
Dallas -7 -120

Honorable mention:
Buffalo +4

Let's see if these lines move as expected.

 

[dsong]

If you're a fan of teasers:

7 point teaser: Miami/Dallas

3 team 7 point teaser: Miami/Dallas/Seattle

 

[KingEleven]

good luck w/ your action.

 

[dsong]

Man, that was a great head-fake on the Titans... I have to hand it to the wiseguys; they really fooled me on that one.

Not sure what's going on with Miami and Dallas. Any news on what's keeping these spreads down? Injuries alone should be enough to push the lines higher.

 

[dsong]

Detroit/Green Bay U47.5

Forecast is for 15mph winds and thunderstorms late. Why hasn't the total gone down to 45?

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck today

 

[dsong]

Dallas -6.5

All the Bears players are hurt. Why isn't this line at -9.5?

 

[dsong]

Yes, this is doubling down on Dallas, and will be graded as two separate wagers.

 

[dsong]

Well, a 3-3 day; but the honorable mention play wins and so do both teasers.

Unfortunately, the anticipated line moves never materialize. Back to the drawing board...

 

[dsong]

Post-mortem:

I'll grade my honorable mention as a 0.5-unit play, and the 2-team 7-point teaser at odds of -140 and 3-team 7-point teaser at odds of +120.

Final record:
6-3, +2.06 units