DAILY SIX PACK AND 2014 TEAM TOTALS..Good Luck

[METFAN]

REALLY... going to try to limit myself to 6 plays per day instead of the usual 12-20..WILL BE TOUGH

2014 TEAM TOTALS

$300:

YANKEES OVER 86.5+105..They really had nothing last yr except Mariano and Cano. Both are gone now, but it's hard imagining them not getting better offensive production at every position except 2nd base, CC cant be any worse..Tanaka replaces Petite and anyone is better than Phil Hughes . With Gardner and Ellsbury back to back , if Jeter is healthy runs will be plentiful. McCann compared to Chris Stewart is like comparing Kate Upton to Melissa McCarthy..

$200 ea:

METS OVER 73.5 -150..Sandy says 90 wins..so 75 should be no sweat!!!..Matt Harvey will be missed, but "FATMAN COLON" will pick up some slack, Wheeler will be better, and some good looking young arms will be called up mid season..Wright and Murphy will be back and all other 6 offensive positions should have improved production..As St Louis and San Fran have proven, good pitching dominates in the National League

WHITE SOX UNDER 75.5 -130.They are going to stink, probably the worst team in the league.Won 63 games last yr..where are 13 extra wins coming from??

OAKLAND OVER 88.5..Tough call,they won 96 last yr and I think Beane has really improved the squad.esp the pen

PITT OVER 83.5...WON 94 LAST YR..did they over achieve last yr Yes..but a yr like that can instill confidence in a young team..They'll miss AJ Burnett but an 11 game drop off? I think not

CLEVE O 81 -135..Another team that won 92 games.will they come back to earth..yes..but Detroit getting rid of Fielder and top line pitcher can only help

the others:

$100 ea:

PHILS U 76 -140

MILW UNDER 79.5 +100 Will Brauns return really make that much of a difference? Esp drug free..the pen still is garbage

LAD U 93.5-110..They come back to earth..tough division to repeat in

SAN DIEGO U 77.5-105...Not enough offense will get even worse at the July trade deadline

HOUSTON U 62.5. +100.Young pitching was good and will get better. But it seems that every team in the division has improved..they won 51 games last yr..so how are they getting 12 more wins?

SEATTLE U 80.5 135..As Cano pointed out.too may leftie in the lineup.he's really gong o miss NY.that's what you get for listening to Arod

KC O 82.5 -125 Young team on the rise..if Detroit falters, they could improve on last yrs 86 wins

BOSTON O 87.5 WINS -110..Will come back to earth in baseballs toughest division..still too much talent to drop 10 games off last yr's pace


FELL FREE TO POST YOURS OR COMMENT

 

[skins85]

good luck on the plays. i went under on: Braves, Baltimore, and Pitt under just cause i think all of those teams overachieved last year.
on the over i took the nats and blue jays. both teams underachieved last year, took small plays on both to win their league pennant and the world series. (nats are a homer pick).
i dont bet much baseball in season so i usually just stick to my year long plays and hope for the best.
Best of luck on your plays, i do like the houston over and the phils under but havnt pulled the trigger on them yet.
Cant wait for the season to start

 

[METFAN]

THANK'S FOR THE INPUT SKINS

I AGREE WITH BRAVES UNDER AND WILL AND THAT..Santana is not going to make up for all the injuries to pitching and the loss of Tim Hudson to San Fran and team leader Brian McCann

Why Pitt under?

I considered Toronto over, but league is toughest in baseball..so passed..thanks again

 

[METFAN]

$160 BRAVES under 88.5 -125

 

[skins85]

my logic in pitt is probably terrible but its like the knicks lol (took the Knicks tt under 52.5 wins this year)
how many times do these organizations (Knicks and Pirates) put together back to back solid seasons. more often than not the organization is the reason these teams aren't good and come mid season and fans get frustrated and give up. Pitt went 2 decades without a season over .500, then last year happened. Seems to me that last year looks like an outlier and everyone is loving them now. I think the loss of Burnett will loom large come mid-season and at a certain point Pitt will be looking at another under .500 year. I think in terms of buying high and selling low the Pirates are as high as they have been in years and for me its time to go the other way.

My Blue Jays is sort of the same reasoning, they were the pre-season favorite to win the world series last year. they were like 8-1. The pressure is off them this year and everyone is expecting a big bounce back year from the yankees (myself included) and Boston to be great again. I just think they have a team that in any other division they would be considered very competitive but in the AL East they are being overlooked. They are 17-1 to win the AL Pennant, i like a long shot and out of all of the ones on the board i figured they could surprise a lot of people.

Each of these plays for me are just hunch plays that allow me to enjoy each game all year without focusing too much on each day capping which I don't really have time for. Last year in baseball I had some of the worst weeks in my betting life. I would chase a lot of -150 favs and get burned. Trying a different approach this year and hoping to enjoy the season and invest a little less into it until football.

 

[METFAN]

VERY GOOD ANALYSIS SKINS 85

Good Luck this yr

 

[METFAN]

FIRST 6:

$100 ea:

METS +1.5 RUNS -120
TEXAS-109
BOST -119
MILW -107..5 INNINGS ONLY
MIAMI -.5 FIRST 5 LINE PENDING

PARLAY $50 to win $170

TBAY -168 GAME
DET 152 5 INNINGS ONLY
FLA -150 5 INNINGS ONLY

Good Luck this year

 

[METFAN]

Miami -.5 first 5 only -110

 

[ReBorn]

Good luck Metfan!

 

[METFAN]

THANKS REBORN..WASN'T TO BE

Mets pen blew 2 leads and gave up 4 runs in the 10th inning.Texas scores 10 runs and loses..OPENING DAY AND I'M GOING TO PUKE ALREADY

2-4 -$198

$100 ea:

MILW -.5 FIRST 5 ONLY +125

COL/FLA O 3.5 FIRST 5 ONLY

NYY/HOUST O 4.5 FIRST 5 ONLY

NYY RL -1.5 +115

PARLAY ML $100 TO WIN $152
TBAY -170/LAA -170

SPLIT LAST BET $50 ea:

PUIG MORE BASES THAN GORKO -125

NYY /HOUST FIRST INNING RUN ..YES -110

ENJOY

 

[METFAN]

YEST 4-3 =0

ytd 6-7 -$198

$100 ea:

5 INNINGS ONLY:
ATL/MILW O 4.5
PITT -.5 -110
COL/MIA O 3.5 -110
WASH/METS U 3.5 -110

GAME:
LAD/SD O 6.5 -125

PARLAY $50 to win $238

MILW -127 5 INNINGS ONLY
WSOX -140 GAME
BOST -114 GAME

GOOD LUCK

 

[METFAN]

CAN NOT CATCH A BREAK..

LAD/SD SCORE ONE LOUSY RUN IN THE LAST 4 INNINGS AND FATBOY COLON GIVES UP 2 HOMERS IN THE 5TH THE SECOND ONE TO THE WASHINGTON PITCHER COSTING ME $210..THANKS

HIT THE PARLAY BUT WITH MILW A PUSH , I ONLY GOT $111

AND IN HOPEFULLY WORST HANDICAPPING OF THE YR MY OVER MILW IN 5..THERE WAS NOT EVEN 1 HIT LET ALONE 5 RUNS

YEST 3-3 -$34

YTD 9-10 -$232

TODAYS PLAYS ..ALL 5 INNINGS ONLY

$100 ea:

STL -107
CUBS/PITT U 3.5 PK
COL/FLA O 4 --105
DET -.5 -110
BALT/BOST U 5 -120
TOR +130

 

[METFAN]

3-1-2 +$190

ytd 12-11 -$42

 

[METFAN]

$10 CORRECTION 12-11 -32..so many early games

$100 ea:

SF/LAD O 7 -120 VOGELSONG 'S LOOKED ROUGH..

CUBS/PHILS O 11 PK WIND BLOWING OUT

5 INNINGS ONLY

DET -.5 -120
NYY -.5 PK..TANAKA..WILL TAKE TIME FOR TEAMS TO FIGURE..ESP IN A CONTROLLED CLIMATE LIKE ROGERS CENTRE
KC -.5 -115


PARLAY $50 TO WIN $232

BOST -.5 -115 ..5 INNINGS BREWERS LOUSY INTERLEAGUE TEAM..SOX OPENER
KC-163 GAME BIG STEP DOWN FOR KC WHO PLAYED DET TOUGH.BIG STEP UP FOR SOX ..KC OPENER
WASH-.5 5 INNINGS -115 HOME OPENER..FOR TEAM THAT SMACKED METS AROUND

 

[METFAN]

Adding $50

oakland -.5 first 5 only pk

 

[METFAN]

YEST 4-2 +$250

ytd.. 16-13 +$218..finally made the black. Hopefully stay there

$100 ea

5 innings:

ATLANTA +133
MIAMI - -110
SD/MIA U 3.5
SEA -.5 -120
COL RL -15 +165
LAA/HOUST O 4.5 FIRST 5 ONLY


BONUS PARLAY $50 TO WIN $166

KC -150
BOST 190
MIAMI -144

GOOD LUCK

 

[Suzie]

met fan chill down baby. YOUR making way too many plays per day. Baseball is just like any other sport or should i say unlike other sports. Many pitchers are bad dudes in early season the whole month of april is a losing month for them. Got this from my buddy who hasn,t made but one play yet It's known as these pitchers tagged as MAY pitchers they need a month to get in that win mode. BUT phillies he sees same problems as last year NO bats. Great pitching but no hitting again only that 1st game vs Rangers 14-10 win then flub flub

 

[METFAN]

Thanks susie...this is me chilled down

usnually o a sat i have 20 plays

i iked the followin first 5:
Mets under
pitt-.5
san fran
tbay -.5

game :
Laa
ptt over
tbay-1.5
bost -1.5

example: The ump in todays met game has a strike zone twice a large as the ne in the wash game

 

[METFAN]

Thanks susie...this is me chilled down

usually on a sat i have 20 plays

i liked the following first 5:
Mets under
pitt-.5
san fran
tbay -.5

game :
Laa -1.5
ptt over 7
tbay-1.5
bost -1.5

example: The ump in todays met game has a strike zone twice a large as the ne in the wash game

 

[METFAN]

Thanks susie...this is me chilled down

usually on a sat i have 20 plays

i liked the following first 5:
Mets under
pitt-.5
san fran
tbay -.5

game :
Laa -1.5
ptt over 7
tbay-1.5
bost -1.5

example: The ump in todays met game has a strike zone twice a large as the one in the wash game