I figured it would be funny to read what the site of fucking idiots, by fucking idiots and for fucking idiots had to say on election day, 2016. Suffice to say, they didn't disappoint.
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It’s Election Day, and that brings the Daily Kos Elections predictive model to a close. We’re going out on a pretty high note! As our chief data guru Drew Linzer wrote on Monday, our final projection is for 323 electoral votes for Hillary Clinton and 215 for Donald Trump. And our model is very confident in that figure; our model doesn’t even have any states in the “Tossup” category at this point. The most competitive state on the red side of the ledger is Ohio, where our model says Clinton has only a 13 percent chance of winning (based on a 45-43 aggregate polling deficit), and the most competitive state on the blue side is Nevada, where we say Clinton has a 71 percent chance (thanks to a 45-44 polling lead). In the real world, her odds are probably much higher than that in Nevada, given Democratic performance in the early vote there … but our model can’t account for early vote details.
Currently, our model gives Clinton 92 percent odds of victory; in other words, it’s not mathematically impossible for Trump to win, but it would require a remarkable run of luck. He’d need to flip not only Iowa and Ohio, but also Florida (88 percent Clinton odds, based on a 46-45 aggregate lead), North Carolina (75 percent Clinton odds, based on a 46-45 aggregate), Nevada (where he’s probably already lost), and finally, one of the many states where Clinton has 99 percent odds and aggregate polling leads of 4 points or more (Colorado? Michigan? New Hampshire? Pennsylvania? doesn’t matter; they’re all the same dead end).
So, unless we’re looking down the barrel of a categorical, industry-wide polling error on the magnitude of Truman vs. Dewey, Hillary Clinton will be the next president. (And keep in mind that in 1948, there were only a few pollsters operating, using terrible methods like quota sampling, and they all stopped polling weeks before the election.) The real question at this point, instead, is: what kind of legislative allies can Clinton count on being elected today, to enact her agenda?
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God Bless them. Laughing is good for your health, and they are a nonstop source of material to laugh at
Thank you God, for not inflicting me or anyone in my family with that gene. It's a diabolic, wicked and dreadful disease
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It’s Election Day, and that brings the Daily Kos Elections predictive model to a close. We’re going out on a pretty high note! As our chief data guru Drew Linzer wrote on Monday, our final projection is for 323 electoral votes for Hillary Clinton and 215 for Donald Trump. And our model is very confident in that figure; our model doesn’t even have any states in the “Tossup” category at this point. The most competitive state on the red side of the ledger is Ohio, where our model says Clinton has only a 13 percent chance of winning (based on a 45-43 aggregate polling deficit), and the most competitive state on the blue side is Nevada, where we say Clinton has a 71 percent chance (thanks to a 45-44 polling lead). In the real world, her odds are probably much higher than that in Nevada, given Democratic performance in the early vote there … but our model can’t account for early vote details.
Currently, our model gives Clinton 92 percent odds of victory; in other words, it’s not mathematically impossible for Trump to win, but it would require a remarkable run of luck. He’d need to flip not only Iowa and Ohio, but also Florida (88 percent Clinton odds, based on a 46-45 aggregate lead), North Carolina (75 percent Clinton odds, based on a 46-45 aggregate), Nevada (where he’s probably already lost), and finally, one of the many states where Clinton has 99 percent odds and aggregate polling leads of 4 points or more (Colorado? Michigan? New Hampshire? Pennsylvania? doesn’t matter; they’re all the same dead end).
So, unless we’re looking down the barrel of a categorical, industry-wide polling error on the magnitude of Truman vs. Dewey, Hillary Clinton will be the next president. (And keep in mind that in 1948, there were only a few pollsters operating, using terrible methods like quota sampling, and they all stopped polling weeks before the election.) The real question at this point, instead, is: what kind of legislative allies can Clinton count on being elected today, to enact her agenda?
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God Bless them. Laughing is good for your health, and they are a nonstop source of material to laugh at
Thank you God, for not inflicting me or anyone in my family with that gene. It's a diabolic, wicked and dreadful disease
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ointer:
