Crazy that the spread was won/lost on both NCAA games on a last missed free throw

Search

New member
Joined
Mar 2, 2006
Messages
17,562
Tokens
That is why at this time of year, always take moneyline, if betting the favorite. Been happening for 20 years in the sweet 16
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,391
Tokens
This is also why anyone who claims to have an inside angle on these games is full of shit.

There's no legit way to cap a game with the approach of "Yeah, I'm taking this team +2.5 because I think they'll be down 2 very late and the other team will intentionally miss the free throw to give me the cover!" And it happened twice tonight with two very good FT shooters at the line.

Think March Madness is more about luck than skilled handicapping...ie entertainment betting as opposed to games which present real value. I think I've played a total of four of the tourney games...all for small amounts. Just feel like I may as well be playing red or black roulette...
 

New member
Joined
Mar 2, 2006
Messages
17,562
Tokens
This is also why anyone who claims to have an inside angle on these games is full of shit.

There's no legit way to cap a game with the approach of "Yeah, I'm taking this team +2.5 because I think they'll be down 2 very late and the other team will intentionally miss the free throw to give me the cover!" And it happened twice tonight with two very good FT shooters at the line.

Think March Madness is more about luck than skilled handicapping...ie entertainment betting as opposed to games which present real value. I think I've played a total of four of the tourney games...all for small amounts. Just feel like I may as well be playing red or black roulette...

I think you are missing some good matchups.
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
Joined
Jun 21, 2003
Messages
25,128
Tokens
The 2nd Half number in the Iowa St game was decided on that 30 ft' shot also.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,391
Tokens
I think you are missing some good matchups.

Maybe so. I just don't seem to see hoops as well as some others do, though. To me, so much seems to come down to pure luck. So, I figure why force the issue? I'll step aside, bow out and leave it to those who do.

If you have any locks though, feel free to send them this way. :)
 

Member
Joined
Aug 6, 2006
Messages
24,884
Tokens
I think Louisville was about to go up 9 with 5 minutes left when Jones got whacked on the arm. The ball spun out, Jones fell to the floor and no foul was called. I think that ref blunder (one of many in that game) cost Louisville the game and probably the cover.

The offensive foul on Tennessee was questionable.

I feel bad for anyone who had the UNDER in the UConn-ISU game as well. They tallied 50 points in the last 4 minutes.

If this year's NCAA Tournament had a Facebook page its background would have to be 3 refs hovering over a monitor.

Elite 8 Saturday Favorites = 8-18 ATS last 13 years
Elite 8 Saturday OVERS = 16-8 last 12 years

Elite 8 Sunday Favorites = 12-13-1 last 13 years
Elite 8 Sunday OVERS = 23-12-1 last 18 years

Elite 8 Games 70-30 to reach 139 points last 25 years
 

FreeRyanFerguson.com
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
13,308
Tokens
If you got a good number, you wouldn't have that problem.
 

FreeRyanFerguson.com
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
13,308
Tokens
Sometimes it makes it a more bitter pill to swallow, like Mich +2.5 (best number).
That game was a war. I bet Kentucky +103 live and felt fortunate to win. Clutch shooting, absolutely clutch.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,858
Messages
13,574,196
Members
100,878
Latest member
lisasdanceandexercise
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com