Common sense should also tell you that Texas Tech and Okie St got blown out in their bolw games and Texas was made to look very average by a very average Ohio St team.
All 3 of their offenses were held in check. Look for Florida to do the same to Oklahoma's offense and win this game convincingly.
All 3 of their offenses were held in check. Look for Florida to do the same to Oklahoma's offense and win this game convincingly.
Common sense is looking at the two teams and the matchups represented, and determine if the pointspead balances out the mismatches. If those two points don't balance out, then there is a possible bet.
If you're not looking at the teams and the talent on the field then you're just simply betting on air.
If the Sooners pull an upset or cover it will be because of how they play on the field, not because some dipshits figure that "too many people can't win" because they're all betting on Florida.
I just watched the Tulsa line move 5 points and they cruised to a 32 point win. Somebody should have told Tulsa they were supposed to lose because that many people couldn't be right about one game.
Everybody jumped on Florida State and they still ran circles around a slow, plodding Wisconsin team. That was easy cash for FSU bettors because regardless how many people bet on Florida State, the mismatch in talent wasn't going to be overcome by some dipshits gauging peoples betting habits.
Notre Dame, Lou Tech, Nebraska come to mind and then there's all the love that Uconn got, after they gave Buffalo the ball and 20 easy points inside the redzone they clamped down on the feeble Buffalo Bulls and shut them out in the second half scoring 21 points and the cover.
Public was all over the Giants and the under in the last Superbowl, books took a record loss on that game. Public can't win one game, can they?
Bottom line: Line moves win and lose regardless whether the sharps, touts, or public bet on them, INTELLIGENT BETTORS TRY TO DETERMINE THE POINTSPREAD WINNER BY THE TALENT ON THE FIELD!
If you're looking at anything else you might as well grab a ouija board or tarot deck or try to find some psychic reason why some team is going to cover. There are some simple minded mother fvckers on this board judging from the fear generated by the "too many people/touts/so called sharps" on a side.
If you're not looking at the teams and the talent on the field then you're just simply betting on air.
If the Sooners pull an upset or cover it will be because of how they play on the field, not because some dipshits figure that "too many people can't win" because they're all betting on Florida.
I just watched the Tulsa line move 5 points and they cruised to a 32 point win. Somebody should have told Tulsa they were supposed to lose because that many people couldn't be right about one game.
Everybody jumped on Florida State and they still ran circles around a slow, plodding Wisconsin team. That was easy cash for FSU bettors because regardless how many people bet on Florida State, the mismatch in talent wasn't going to be overcome by some dipshits gauging peoples betting habits.
Notre Dame, Lou Tech, Nebraska come to mind and then there's all the love that Uconn got, after they gave Buffalo the ball and 20 easy points inside the redzone they clamped down on the feeble Buffalo Bulls and shut them out in the second half scoring 21 points and the cover.
Public was all over the Giants and the under in the last Superbowl, books took a record loss on that game. Public can't win one game, can they?
Bottom line: Line moves win and lose regardless whether the sharps, touts, or public bet on them, INTELLIGENT BETTORS TRY TO DETERMINE THE POINTSPREAD WINNER BY THE TALENT ON THE FIELD!
If you're looking at anything else you might as well grab a ouija board or tarot deck or try to find some psychic reason why some team is going to cover. There are some simple minded mother fvckers on this board judging from the fear generated by the "too many people/touts/so called sharps" on a side.
5-doors...
i like oklahoma tonight as well...i think their defense is going to be able to contain florida's rushing attack...so stoops will try and make tebow beat 'em with his arm...
but i am going to wait to get that +7.
already at 5.5, and i assume that this baby is going to keep climbing...and we should get better value on the mline, best i have seen this morning is +190.
one thing i have learned from reading the boards...you have to throw common sense out the window...
there are actual posters out there...recommending 'followers' to buy points on florida. :lol:
sure...florida -3.5-150, man that is some serious value.
:lolBIG:
go sooners!
i like oklahoma tonight as well...i think their defense is going to be able to contain florida's rushing attack...so stoops will try and make tebow beat 'em with his arm...
but i am going to wait to get that +7.
already at 5.5, and i assume that this baby is going to keep climbing...and we should get better value on the mline, best i have seen this morning is +190.
one thing i have learned from reading the boards...you have to throw common sense out the window...
there are actual posters out there...recommending 'followers' to buy points on florida. :lol:
sure...florida -3.5-150, man that is some serious value.
:lolBIG:
go sooners!
<TABLE style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: gray; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: gray; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: gray; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: gray" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width=600 align=center border=1><TBODY><TR class=HeadOrange id=header style="HEIGHT: 25px"><TD>Wisconsin 13 - Florida State 42 </STRONG> 12/27/2008 </TD><TD align=right>NSS 219 </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" align=left border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="15%" bgColor=white>Opening Line:</TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="33%" bgColor=white>FLORIDA STATE -5 </TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="15%" bgColor=white>Opening O/U:</TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="10%" bgColor=white>52.5o-105 </TD><TD class=tdsmall width="12%" bgColor=white rowSpan=2>Click for
Line History </TD></TR><TR><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="12%" bgColor=white>Final Line:</TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="33%" bgColor=white>FLORIDA STATE -7 </TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="12%" bgColor=white>Final O/U:</TD><TD class=tdsmall align=left width="10%" bgColor=white>49.5 </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=5></TD></TR><TR><TD class=tdsmall align=left bgColor=white colSpan=5>Spread Bets: 32% V 68% H Parlay Bets: 33% V 67% H Over/Under Bets: 53% O 47% U</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
actually 68% was on florida state. $ was on the noles
Thank you for posting this.......I couldn't remember the exact line move but I do remember FSU getting bet up and all the local clods talking about "public money" and now Wisconsin was going to be a winner. All the Wisconsin bettors got a mudhole stomped in their back following such folly. Public sniffed out the speed difference between these teams and cashed bigtime.
The matchups on the field will determine the outcome of the game and produce a pointspread winner, it's tough to 'cap turnovers and bad calls, but if you ignore the talent mismatches and want to follow some wive's tale or superstition then you might as well flip a fvcking coin because that's what you're down to.
Barring any significant turnovers or bad calls, I see significant discrepancies between the defenses of these two teams, Oklahoma's lack of special teams play should cost them at least one touchdown and I see that to be a factor in at least setting the Gators up in or near field goal range at least twice. I wouldn't take Oklahoma without at least 10 points.
