manning isnt a bad bet. if they win next week and he has a big game he has to be the favorite.
warner has slowed way down the last few games and will likely be leading a team that only has 9 wins in the worst division in the nfl this year.
indy could wind up 12 - 4 ( so could tennessee ).
for 3.5 to 1 odds that is a decent bet.
there is no runaway this year and any number of guys could win it ( matt ryan, adrian peterson, warner etc )