I have another thread that I was using for my plays for wagering purposes but as far as College Football is concerned I will not personally be wagering any further this season but rather tracking a few different angles utilizing my power ratings as compared to the actual lines and tracking the results. This thread will start with week 3 but at a later time I may include the results from week 1 and 2 just to have a complete season record.
As we know their are many, many College Football games each week. The advantage the bettor has is the books can't get all the numbers correct and are bound to make a few line errors, especially in the smaller market games and games in which include teams that are heavy public sides that are often over valued and/or undervalued. What I will be tracking is two fold. First, teams that my power ratings show as favorites but the books have as underdogs. Second, games that have a 10 point line differential between my power ratings and the opening lines.
My power ratings are neutral which means I don't add/subtract points for home field advantage. The reason is their is no possible way to determine how valuable a home field is for each team as far as points are concerned. These are raw, neutral field power rating figures. The books lines I will be using are the opening line from BetOnline.
Feel free to ask any questions you may have at any time. So there is no question, I am not resetting any records I am simply using this thread for tracking purposes and I am not wagering on these plays. My other thread that I was using to post plays for weeks 1 and 2 is located in the forum.
As we know their are many, many College Football games each week. The advantage the bettor has is the books can't get all the numbers correct and are bound to make a few line errors, especially in the smaller market games and games in which include teams that are heavy public sides that are often over valued and/or undervalued. What I will be tracking is two fold. First, teams that my power ratings show as favorites but the books have as underdogs. Second, games that have a 10 point line differential between my power ratings and the opening lines.
My power ratings are neutral which means I don't add/subtract points for home field advantage. The reason is their is no possible way to determine how valuable a home field is for each team as far as points are concerned. These are raw, neutral field power rating figures. The books lines I will be using are the opening line from BetOnline.
Feel free to ask any questions you may have at any time. So there is no question, I am not resetting any records I am simply using this thread for tracking purposes and I am not wagering on these plays. My other thread that I was using to post plays for weeks 1 and 2 is located in the forum.
