College Football future plays (2-0-1 last year)

[VoiceofReason101]

Usually a good year means its followed with a not so good year. Having said that I try to avoid all superstitions due to the fact that they really don't hold any water. OK enough with the unnecessary intro's. Lets get to it.

Colorado over 6 regular season wins - I've always been a big follower and admirer of the big 12 conference. I like the history, passion, and brand of football played in the midwest. This program has suffered mightily and has only enjoyed two years of decent success in the last dozen years or so. With this intro you might be thinking that I'm saying their back. Well not quite back yet but they are on their way. The father-son combintion at coach-QB has many doing the wait and see approach. One thing I notice last year is that Cody really started to find his niche as the season progressed (as you may expect from a freshman). He showed great poise and actually threw 70 passes without throwing a pick.

Why I like this play? When it comes to wagering on these type of plays I look at QB/OL/DL (in that order). Example last year I hammered Vtech under mostly due to the fact that their QB Glennon was a sham. Back to this particular play. The O Line returns their stud at center and a future stud at tackle. The guards should be OK with one player back who actually started half of their games last year. They also have decent depth with some youngsters (mostly redshirts) competing for back up positions. They also should be solid at QB and RB. The aforementioned Hawkins should be more consistent this year than his last. My concern is the the WR positions. They need somebody to step up. Williams seems to be that guy.
On defense I see the solid DL that I look for in a play like this. Their DT are both solid and should be one of the better combinations in the Big 12 (if not the nation). End positions should do better than they did last year in my eyes. I assure you this staff is doing their best to disguse their one troubling area and thats the corner posistions. Hopefully these guys can be coached up and having their safeties back should help.

Naturally the most important factor in betting futures is scheduling.

I separate games as Should/Could/Won't

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="250"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#ffffff"><td style="padding: 1px;">Aug. 31</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Colorado State (Denver) Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 6</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Eastern Washington Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 18</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">West Virginia
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 27</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Florida State (Jacksonville)
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 4 </td> <td style="padding: 1px;"> Texas
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 11</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Kansas
Won't
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 18</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Kansas State
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 25</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Missouri
Won't
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 1</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Texas A&M
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 8</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Iowa State
Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 15</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oklahoma State
Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 28</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Nebraska
Could
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Thats 4 shoulds/ 6 coulds/ 2 won'ts which=value



More plays coming soon....

 

[GoSooners]

VOR....Colorado has a very tough schedule this season..So 6 wins this year will actual impress me more than the 6 wins they had last year...Something tells me with this schedule, in order to get their 7th win they're going to have to beat Nebraska in Lincoln in their last game..Nevertheless, I don't think this play does any worse than a tie, because Hawkins teams are usually good for at least one or two upsets a year..I think they have a decent chance at home against West Virginia..And I also think they have a good chance of knocking off either Texas A&M, Nebraska or Kansas on the road...I'm betting the Buffs win at least one or two of those games....Good luck

 

[clowncar]

GL VOR. Hawkins is certainly doing a great job of recruiting talent to that school. Schedule is tough but I do think 7 is more likely than 5.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

VOR....Colorado has a very tough schedule this season..So 6 wins this year will actual impress me more than the 6 wins they had last year...Something tells me with this schedule, in order to get their 7th win they're going to have to beat Nebraska in Lincoln in their last game..Nevertheless, I don't think this play does any worse than a tie, because Hawkins teams are usually good for at least one or two upsets a year..I think they have a decent chance at home against West Virginia..And I also think they have a good chance of knocking off either Texas A&M, Nebraska or Kansas on the road...I'm betting the Buffs win at least one or two of those games....Good luck

Bottom line I think they get 7 if:

A) they split the Texas, @ FSU (in Jax), WV, and @ Big Red, @ Aggies, and @ KU games.

This equals 3 wins

B) need 4 of these 5 "should win games" in CSU, E. Washington, ISU, KSU and Okie St.

This will get me over the hill with 7.


I like my chances. What I don't like about these type of wager GS is that I will feel reluctant to pound them on those road games you mentioned. I see tons of value in the Aggies, WV and Nebraska games.

 

[Cappin'Guru]

Usually a good year means its followed with a not so good year. Having said that I try to avoid all superstitions due to the fact that they really don't hold any water. OK enough with the unnecessary intro's. Lets get to it.

Colorado over 6 regular season wins - I've always been a big follower and admirer of the big 12 conference. I like the history, passion, and brand of football played in the midwest. This program has suffered mightily and has only enjoyed two years of decent success in the last dozen years or so. With this intro you might be thinking that I'm saying their back. Well not quite back yet but they are on their way. The father-son combintion at coach-QB has many doing the wait and see approach. One thing I notice last year is that Cody really started to find his niche as the season progressed (as you may expect from a freshman). He showed great poise and actually threw 70 passes without throwing a pick.

Why I like this play? When it comes to wagering on these type of plays I look at QB/OL/DL (in that order). Example last year I hammered Vtech under mostly due to the fact that their QB Glennon was a sham. Back to this particular play. The O Line returns their stud at center and a future stud at tackle. The guards should be OK with one player back who actually started half of their games last year. They also have decent depth with some youngsters (mostly redshirts) competing for back up positions. They also should be solid at QB and RB. The aforementioned Hawkins should be more consistent this year than his last. My concern is the the WR positions. They need somebody to step up. Williams seems to be that guy.
On defense I see the solid DL that I look for in a play like this. Their DT are both solid and should be one of the better combinations in the Big 12 (if not the nation). End positions should do better than they did last year in my eyes. I assure you this staff is doing their best to disguse their one troubling area and thats the corner posistions. Hopefully these guys can be coached up and having their safeties back should help.

Naturally the most important factor in betting futures is scheduling.

I separate games as Should/Could/Won't

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="250"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#ffffff"><td style="padding: 1px;">Aug. 31</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Colorado State (Denver) Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 6</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Eastern Washington Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 18</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">West Virginia
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Sept. 27</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Florida State (Jacksonville)
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 4 </td> <td style="padding: 1px;"> Texas
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 11</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Kansas
Won't
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 18</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Kansas State
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oct. 25</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Missouri
Won't
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 1</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Texas A&M
Could
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 8</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Iowa State
Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#ffffff"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 15</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">Oklahoma State
Should
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#fef6d3"> <td style="padding: 1px;">Nov. 28</td> <td style="padding: 1px;">at Nebraska
Could
</td></tr></tbody></table>

Thats 4 shoulds/ 6 coulds/ 2 won'ts which=value



More plays coming soon....

VoR,

It looks as if you have done your research again and have compiled some pretty useful information here. I really do enjoy readying your things you post on here when I have time. Time has been an easy thing to come by here lately but I'm afraid business will kick back into full force come football season.

Anyways, enough of that. I like the information you have here. I'll just be posting plays again with small write-ups here and there. Keep the good information coming, I'm looking forward to some College Football!

Thanks for your time,

The Guru

 

[VoiceofReason101]

VoR,

It looks as if you have done your research again and have compiled some pretty useful information here. I really do enjoy readying your things you post on here when I have time. Time has been an easy thing to come by here lately but I'm afraid business will kick back into full force come football season.

Anyways, enough of that. I like the information you have here. I'll just be posting plays again with small write-ups here and there. Keep the good information coming, I'm looking forward to some College Football!

Thanks for your time,

The Guru

Appreciate the kind words. I'll make sure to check out your threads. You can ask for my opinion anytime.

Your welcome and good luck

 

[GoSooners]

Bottom line I think they get 7 if:

A) they split the Texas, @ FSU (in Jax), WV, and @ Big Red, @ Aggies, and @ KU games.

This equals 3 wins

B) need 4 of these 5 "should win games" in CSU, E. Washington, ISU, KSU and Okie St.

This will get me over the hill with 7.


I like my chances. What I don't like about these type of wager GS is that I will feel reluctant to pound them on those road games you mentioned. I see tons of value in the Aggies, WV and Nebraska games.

Colorado probably won't have a good enough defense to put a big wager down on them on the road..I'm chalking Florida State and Missouri up as losses..Mainly because both of those teams have better defenses than the Buffs. I think the game their more than likely to win on the road is Texas A&M, who I expect top be down a couple notches on defense because of heavy graduation..And they might possibly be able to steal a win against Nebraska...CU will definitely have to cover their home field this year to get to 7 wins..One screwup and it means having to win one more game on the road...The OSU home game won't be easy..Many of the so-called experts in these parts think OSU is going to be better than both Kansas and Colorado this season...I'll have to see it to believe it. But I do look for some improvement out of OSU...Especially on defense..The defense dominated the spring practices...Which could be a good sign for the Pokes. Something else about Colorado: I've been hearing they have a young stud freshman QB Matt Ballenger (6-4 230) in camp that impressed the coaches this spring. I'm hearing this kid is their future at the position..But I'm also hearing that if Cody Hawkins doesn't live up to expectations that Ballenger could take over this year..Again, I'll have to see it to believe it..But I don't think Hawkins is going to let this kid sit on the sidelines for too long.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Probably why my instincts are telling that betting them on a future will be the best possible angle. I'm going to take a close look to see how those lines are looking in the first few games. Its all about match-ups in football as you well know. So teams like Texas Tech will feast on this Colorado but not so much so FSU and A&M given their lack of a passing attack. Those lines aren't elite and should have trouble containing Colorado's pass rush. Like I said its a wait and see approach right now for me when it comes to playing these games individually.

Heard a few things about Ballenger. Interesting to see what transpires there. I initially thought red shirting him would be a good idea then again thats my mentality.

 

[Cappin'Guru]

Appreciate the kind words. I'll make sure to check out your threads. You can ask for my opinion anytime.

Your welcome and good luck

VoR,

Yes sir that would be great. I usually just try and read and read your answers to other people. There is no need to bother a man too much. I will however drop in and ask you mid week about my biggest leans and what you have though, you can bank on that one haha.

:toast:

I ended the season very well from what I remember and booked a lot of nice plays. (If you enjoy fading then you can come visit my wall because I have clients to fade. LOL) I'll see you around and will be dropping in.

My preseason read would be on Ritch Rod and the Michigan Wolverines as much as I hate it.

 

[GoSooners]

VOR....For what it's worth, here are my leans for team wins for Big 12 teams:

Kansas under 7.5 (already played this one)
OU over 10 (already played)
Texas over 9
Texas A&M under 6.5
Texas Tech over 9
Colorado over 6
Missouri over 9 (already played)

Nebraska is set at 7....I don't like the number...I can easily see a push here

My book doesn't have OSU up yet...But I would take the over if they set their wins at 7.5 on down...I think they get to at least 8 wins this season. For the rest of these teams, I'm going to wait until the summer practices are about over before or if I decide on anything. There's a good chance I play Colorado. I figure they have at least a 60-40 chance of going over...I'm figuring either Texas or Texas Tech are going to go over 9 wins...But probably not both.. So I may not play either.

 

[Mr.Smith]

not 100% sure, but pretty sure FSU has not lot in JAX since 1989 when a youngster named Brett Favre beat them. Including beating Va tech there as a 1 point dog and a 14 point dog and beating bama LY. They are very tough there. It is a full home game as far as home field edge/crowd.

 

[CoachCB]

Go ahead and chalk up the FSU game as a Colorado win....breaking FSU's streak in Jacksonville. Until FSU gets an offensive line, they'll have a hard time beating any decent teams. Colorado has a solid defense and DW will get sacked no less than 5 times.....


(Here I go again!)....


----

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Go ahead and chalk up the FSU game as a Colorado win....breaking FSU's streak in Jacksonville. Until FSU gets an offensive line, they'll have a hard time beating any decent teams. Colorado has a solid defense and DW will get sacked no less than 5 times.....


(Here I go again!)....


----

An offense line with only one returning starter and no Juniors or Seniors. Their defense will be tough though.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Oregon over 8 wins for the regular season: Everybody is talking about who replaces Dixon. OK fair enough their isn't a clear cut #1 QB in Eugene. OK lets move past the ever popular QB competition/controversy or whatever you want to call it.

What I like about this team besides the ever popular Chip Kelly is their line play. That offensive line last year was absolutely polarizing. I absolutely love this group and if I was a duck fan I would hold my head up high. Who knew that guys can grew up to be this dominant in meth country. All 5 will be seniors led by Max Unger (OK this is getting to Phil Steely for me).

I see this offense being no different than last year as they will run at and around some of those soft Pac-2 (2 is better than 1) defenses.

On the other side they have both their DE back. Reed especially played beyond what was expected of him. Their LB's are solid with Boyd leading the way and they also have a nice pair of CB's returning plus their playmaker Chung at safety.

This group on defense is all about attacking and with their nice pair of ends/LB they should be able to hurt some of those weak OL they'll face in the Pac-10.

Also note their special teams will be solid with both their kickers back.

Schedule time.

As before I separate games with should/could/won't

Aug. 30 Washington
should
Sept. 6 Utah State
lock
Sept. 13 at Purdue
could
Sept. 20 Boise State
should
Sept. 27 at Washington State
could
Oct. 4 at USC
probably won't
Oct. 11 UCLA
should
Oct. 25 at Arizona State
could
Nov. 1 at California
could
Nov. 8 Stanford
should
Nov. 15 Arizona
should
Nov. 29 at Oregon State
could

6 shoulds/5 coulds/1 won't

It all comes down to the 5 road games against: ASU, Cal, Wazzou, Purdue, and Civil War Game.

Need to go 3-2 to get a win. I like those chances better than them going 1-4 with Chip and getting a lost.



Looking into one more

 

[Darwinian]

West Virginia will steamroll the Buff's, I dont care where they play. thats not a could win.

 

[GoSooners]

West Virginia will steamroll the Buff's, I dont care where they play. thats not a could win.

I disagree...I actually think the Buffs have a very good chance of knocking off WV...CU is tough at home in the altitude of Boulder. I also look for CU's underrated offensive line to be able to push WV's defense around a little. Talent-wise these two teams aren't as far apart as you think..CU is young, but Hawkins last couple of recruiting classes have been as good or better than WV and all of the Big 12 except for OU. CU will have this game circled and it's guaranteed Hawkins will have some surprises waiting for WV.

 

[SoonerBS]

I disagree...I actually think the Buffs have a very good chance of knocking off WV...CU is tough at home in the altitude of Boulder. I also look for CU's underrated offensive line to be able to push WV's defense around a little. Talent-wise these two teams aren't as far apart as you think..CU is young, but Hawkins last couple of recruiting classes have been as good or better than WV and all of the Big 12 except for OU. CU will have this game circled and it's guaranteed Hawkins will have some surprises waiting for WV.

I agree. This is bad road trip for West Virginia. What is good about it though for us gamblers is that the Buffs will probably be a nice home doggy.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Sooners BS:

That's the only reason I dislike about betting futures. I'm not the "put all my eggs in one basket" type and will mostly likely stay away from playing that particular game.

GS:

As usual you took the words out of my mouth or in this case letters from my fingers. On the flip side CU's corners can play WV's receivers without any significant help which will enable them to concentrate playing the run. Stopping the run naturally is a different story all together haha.

Note: Will be on Purdue though if favored by less than touch. I'm high on Purdue even with their big injury.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Not such great karma here, as I make my bet I later find out Nathan Costa got his knee hurt. Word is it might be a torn ACL. Roper it is then.

No more futures...posting plays tomorrow and I already have 4 plays circled.

Good Luck all

 

[VoiceofReason101]

8-10 weeks out for Costa as expected. He already used up his redshirt so not a silver lining in the cloud here.