College Football 11/8

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HoosierDaddy

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92-86-4 YTD and 3-1 this week.

I usually struggle with early games, but I will post them first.

Boston College (-3)
The home team is 7-0 ATS in this series and the Fav is 5-1 ATS the L6.

BC is 7-2 ATS in conference home finales.

I have to go against West Virginia with QB Rasheed Marshall being doubtful.

Pittsburgh (+5)
I'll write it up later, but I wanted to squeeze it in now before it goes down.

Penn State (-5')
I know Penn State is horrible and they shouldn't be favored over anyone with the exception of people like La-Monroe or Buffalo. That's why I take them today.

The national media is starting to get on JoePa and that's when he usually wins a couple and saves himself.

Penn State is 7-3 ATS their L10 on the road in Big 10 play.

Wisconsin (+8')
Sorgi and Davis are out, but the Badgers have played with injuries all year and still have a respectable 6-3 record.

Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS their L7 as a road dog.

This is a matchup of strengths. Minnesota's rushing offense versus Wisconsin's rushing defense. This means that Abdul-Khaliq or Schabert will have to make plays. I don't trust Abdul-Khaliq. Minny runs the ball too much.

Barry Alvarez is also 6-1 off a bye.

Ball State (+2')
Western Michigan is 0-8 ATS in revenge games.

I like the way the Cardinals are playing right now.

Kent (+3')
Last Year Ohio U won 50-0 over Kent.

However, Kent is 3-1 ATS this year.

Ohio U is banged up at QB and I like Kent to get revenge.

Kansas State (-18)
Iowa State is 0-8 ATS as a conference Home Dog.

K-State is 7-3 ATS their L10 Big 12 road games.

Iowa State is only averaging 65 rush yards per game in the conference. That forces their inconsistent QB's to make plays.

Tennessee (+13)
Miami is only 4-13 ATS in non-conference HG's and 2-7 as a Home Fav.

Casey Clausen is 12-1 SU as a starter on the road.

Vanderbilt (+23')
All of a sudden, Florida is back now and they come off some big wins.

The Gators are only 3-6 ATS their L9 against Vandy.

Florida is also 3-10 ATS as a favorite under Zook.
 

HoosierDaddy

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Adding:

Purdue (-3)
The fav is 9-4 ATS in this series.

Purdue should have won this game last year and did not catch the breaks.

This is Senior Day for Purdue and they have a lot of senior starters.

Auburn (-7')
Ole Miss averages 6-3, 262 on the DL and Auburn should run all over them. Ole Miss has been home and happy and they haven't been out of Oxford since October 4th.

Auburn is 6-2 ATS versus Ole Miss and Tuberville really emphasizes this one.
 

HoosierDaddy

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Got a good day working, and will add one more:

Oregon (+3)
The Ducks are 9-4 ATS at home in their L13 November games. It should be cold up in Eugene tonight for this night tilt.

Cal seems to be much better as a dog than as a fav. Oregon looked like hell at Washington LW and I think the line is a little inflated b/c of that.
 

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