College bowl line move trends

[powerz]

College Bowls follow the Move
	2011		2012		TTL		2012		2013		TTL		2013		2014		TTL		2014		2015		TTL		2015		2016		TTL		TTL		TTL		TTL
	w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l
Ats Up	3	2		3	1		6	3		4	4		5	0		9	4		7	4		0	6		7	10								0	0								0	0		14	10		8	7		22	17
Ats Down	6	3		2	4		8	7		4	5		4	1		8	6		4	5		3	3		7	8								0	0								0	0		14	13		9	8		23	21
Ats 0	4	2					4	2		1	3		1	1		2	4		3	0					3	0								0	0								0	0		8	5		1	1		9	6
TTL UP	4	6		2	3		6	9		5	2		3	3		8	5		2	12		3	2		5	14								0	0								0	0		11	20		8	8		19	28
TTL Down	4	6		3	2		7	8		9	5		3	3		12	8		3	3		3	3		6	6								0	0								0	0		16	14		9	8		25	22
TTL 0 Over		1		1			1	1								0	0		2	1		1			3	1								0	0								0	0		2	2		2	0		4	2

This the last three years of history just line moves.

Each year is broken down into Pre and Post NY's bowls & then totaled
The final 3 columns is the Grand Total.

My observations are if year trends one way the next year it corrects hard the opposite way

For example last year Totals the rose prior to NY's went 2-12 O-U - so following the total move on Overs was a bad bet prior to NY's, the three year ttl is 11-20 - So far this year is 3-1

MY Play for today is CMICH/WKENT O66 - it is another 5* play and my top play in the bowls contest.

I should also note Favs whose line moves up is 0-3 - this is correcting from a 7-4 run last year

So far this year Favs whos line moves down are 4-0 - there is no edge in this catergory

Ttl's that have dropped are 1-3 O-U


GL guys and Coaster Says _ Score you bastards

 

[Daigo23]

Awsome... Only thing that concerns me is public is all on over.

 

[Steiner69eR]

^Yeah, me too.

 

[indiana]

PWZ.........you and your family have a great Christmas and successful New Year..........indy

 

[sparticus]

Gl bud, merry xmas!

 

[Betallsports]

Nice info there buddy.. thanks

Happy Holiday's

 

[Pho_Hawk]

Thanks for sharing

 

[Coaster]

Nice easy over. I had it but would have jumped it more if I had read this first.
All the best to you and yours, Mr. powerz.

 

[powerz]

College Bowls follow the Move
	2011		2012		TTL		2012		2013		TTL		2013		2014		TTL		2014		2015		TTL		2015		2016		TTL		TTL		TTL		TTL		TTL
	w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l
Ats Up	3	2		3	1		6	3		4	4		5	0		9	4		7	4		0	6		7	10		0	5					0	5								0	0		14	15		8	7		22	22
Ats Down	6	3		2	4		8	7		4	5		4	1		8	6		4	5		3	3		7	8		4	1					4	1								0	0		18	14		9	8		27	22
Ats 0	4	2					4	2		1	3		1	1		2	4		3	0					3	0		1						1	0								0	0		9	5		1	1		10	6
TTL UP	4	6		2	3		6	9		5	2		3	3		8	5		2	12		3	2		5	14		5	1					5	1								0	0		16	21		8	8		24	29
TTL Down	4	6		3	2		7	8		9	5		3	3		12	8		3	3		3	3		6	6		4	1					4	1								0	0		20	15		9	8		29	23
TTL 0 Over		1		1			1	1								0	0		2	1		1			3	1								0	0								0	0		2	2		2	0		4	2

Here's the update from the sheet with this year added in As you can see fading Favs when the line moves up and Following all other moves have been profitable so far this year...so having said that

Going to follow along here for tomorrow with a Contest Play ILLINOIS +6 3* (this was my 4th best play) & I can't believe I missed this one in the contest Rutgers O67 3* This games will hit the 70's I believe

gl guys and merry christmas to ALL

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Like your style picking these bowl games, very nice pick on the Over in C Mich game, continued success..........

 

[HotRocks]

Just now seeing this info, very nice, GL!!!

 

[powerz]

Here's the update after Saturday Showing this season todate and hpw the last 3 years are trending

2014		2015		TTL		2015		2016		TTL		TTL		TTL		TTL		TTL
w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l		w	l
1	9					1	9								0	0		15	19		8	7		23	26
4	3					4	3								0	0		18	16		9	8		27	24
1	1					1	1								0	0		9	6		1	1		10	7
7	3					7	3								0	0		18	23		8	8		26	31
5	4					5	4								0	0		21	18		9	8		30	26
						0	0								0	0		2	2		2	0		4	2

FWIW the Stat Fox Power rating is 4-13 ATS - What do you think continue to fade that PR or will it revert and end up around .500.

For Monday SFX PR says TAM -2, Okal -3 and Ark -9

 

[powerz]

I wish the colors on the chart would post it would help the games that are sticking out - Favs getting betting up are losing at an alarming rate - I think that will turn after New Years.

 

[powerz]

Already Played the Ark Under at 45 it is my third largest play in the Bowls Contest. This total has really dropped has me worried

Just added a few units to +7.5 Texas -112

gl

 

[noahthechef]

keep up the good work always enjoy your posts

 

[TheFalls]

Already Played the Ark Under at 45 it is my third largest play in the Bowls Contest. This total has really dropped has me worried

Just added a few units to +7.5 Texas -112

gl

I'm thinking of tailing at a terrible number. you and another guy just below you have this as a top pick...you will be in great shape if it hits.

 

[powerz]

keep up the good work always enjoy your posts

Thanks Noah

I'm thinking of tailing at a terrible number. you and another guy just below you have this as a top pick...you will be in great shape if it hits.

I guess 42.5 and Half is not that bad my numbers had the game in the high 30's. I need this one to click - it is my last big play and I noticed after the fact I double posted a play..I had it rated as 22 and 11 and as per the rules it got graded at 11 & 22 was a loser. My strategy was try and get the big plays out of the way early - either I would be done before new years or out a to a lead and seeing if I can coast it home...

Should be fun - Don't score you bastards

 

[odee22]

Powerz, just wanted to respond which I do not do a lot of as you can see. I really like your presentation and the way you articulate your thoughts and explanations. All this is done without down grading or swearing, something as you see comes back at you with the same respect. I have no clue how I picked this thread out of all the stuff going on but sure am happy I did. One thing I didn't find, who was your #2 best play of the bowl games. I say that because just up above you stated yesterday's under on the Arkie game was your last big play. Keep up this unique style as it is purely a touch of class. Well done and Thank You. PS: Bastards is OK, but borderline.

 

[bwhitey14]

.......

I think it's funny I got thrown under the bus for lambasting this ass. He's consistently just a total jerk to everyone.

 

[Sincityman6]

I think it's funny I got thrown under the bus for lambasting this ass. He's consistently just a total jerk to everyone.

Best thing to do is ignore him