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NL East Preview

March 22, 2014

Washington Nationals

There’s an old adage that pitching wins championships, and if that is truly the case, then the 2014 Nationals appear to be in tip-top shape entering the upcoming campaign. Yes, they also had sky-high expectations last year, as they were coming off a season in which they won their first NL East title since the franchise moved from Montreal to Washington D.C. almost a decade earlier, but injuries derailed that effort, and this year’s roster should actually be better, especially on the pitching side. Starting at the top, there is Stephen Strasburg, already one of the best aces in all of baseball, and the great thing about him is that he’s only getting better. Strasburg also had offseason surgery, which should ensure he’s 100-percent to begin the season. Behind him are two guys who would be aces on a lot of other clubs, Jordan Zimmermann and Gio Gonzalez, who are both coming off tremendous campaigns, especially Zimmermann after registering the best season of his five-year career. However, it is the addition of Doug Fister that arguably propels this pitching staff all the way to the top, as he’s been one of the more consistent pitchers in baseball over the past few years. Ross Detwiler is good, too, and maybe the best No. 5 starter in the National League. Even if someone goes down, which is possible considering the injury history involved here, Washington has very promising youngsters waiting in the wings, like Tanner Roark and Taylor Jordan, who can fill in beautifully. Roark has an incredibly high ceiling that could make him a well-known commodity sooner than later. The bullpen, meanwhile, has more than enough to preserve the work of its starters, still being led by Rafael Soriano at closer. Tyler Clippard and Drew Storen are excellent in their roles as set-up men, and the team added another plus arm in Jerry Blevins.

First-year manager Matt Williams should really have no issues concerning his pitching, and when you look up and down his lineup, the same should apply for his hitters as well. He’s got a budding superstar in Bryce Harper, who, even though he was a bit limited last year thanks to injuries, has shown more than enough thus far to cement why he is one of baseball’s young phenoms. Plus, like Strasburg, Harper had surgery in the offseason, which, hopefully for the Nats, means he can stay healthy in ’14. If that happens, look out. Ryan Zimmerman has been good for awhile since being Washington’s first-ever draft pick and there’s no reason for that to change, as he continues to man the hot corner. Meanwhile, the other corner infielder, Adam LaRoche, is still here as well shinning a decent bat and an outstanding glove at first base. It might be Ian Desmond, though, who is becoming the Nationals’ best infielder, as he enjoyed a nice break-out campaign in 2013 and figures to pick up where he left off, still only being 28-years old. With other solid hitters like Jayson Werth and Denard Span, the Nationals have an above-average lineup. As long as they can stay healthy, especially in their pitching corps, there’s no reason they can’t contend for first in the division. That rotation - one through five - is just way too talented to not achieve something special this season.

Predicted Record: 95-67

Atlanta Braves

There are very few constants in life. One such constant, though, revolves around the Braves and the fact that they are always competitive. After all, since 1990, this is a franchise that has had only two losing seasons - two! - while nabbing 15 division titles, five National League pennants, and one World Series championship along the way. The thing that really irks Braves fans, though, is that final number, having just one championship victory to show for all their success, but at least last season got them back in that direction, as they captured their first NL East crown since 2005. Offensively, Atlanta has a plethora of dangerous bats, starting with Freddie Freeman, who has already evolved as arguably the team’s most dependable hitter. Jason Heyward was supposed to be just that when he broke into the big leagues, and while he hasn’t met the high expectations that were set upon him, he’s still developed into a solid everyday player. Justin Upton is also a stand-out for his production, although the same cannot be said for his brother B.J. Upton, who was absolutely abysmal last season. Dan Uggla was also a big disappointment, but if he and the latter Upton can bounce back to what they’re capable of, that would be huge. The Braves lost longtime catcher Brian McCann to free agency, but still have fan-favorite Evan Gattis in his place, while shortstop Andrelton Simmons is coming off a nice rookie showing.

Historically, the Braves have always had fabulous starting pitching, and despite losing Tim Hudson and Paul Maholm, the same should hold true in 2014 - if they can stay healthy, that is. During Spring Training, Atlanta has seen two of its main fixtures, Kris Medlen and Mike Minor, plagued with injury issues, so much so that it looks like Medlen will miss the entire year, while Minor is slated for the shelf to begin his season. Furthermore, Brandon Beachy is also experiencing physical setbacks, this after struggling a bit last year following Tommy John surgery, so that’s certainly a red flag. Luckily, the Braves have some quality depth, such as in the last-minute acquisition of Ervin Santana, who was phenomenal last year in Kansas City. Atlanta also added veteran Gavin Floyd, although he won’t be healthy till around May. Sophomores Julio Teheran and Alex Wood enjoyed successful rookie seasons in ’13 and figure to be two of the main pieces through which this rotation will operate. Also watch out for fellow youngster David Hale when he gets plugged in there, as he’s someone that has enormous potential to be special for a long time. Fortunately for Atlanta, there are no health concerns as far as their top-ranked bullpen is concerned, which still boasts the presence of Craig Kimbrel, arguably the best closer in baseball. With top-notch set-up men like David Carpenter, Luis Avilan, and Jordan Walden, it’s no wonder this is an elite group. Getting the ball to them, though, could be a problem with their rotation being decimated by injuries. Ultimately, that could decide where this team ends up at season’s end.

Predicted Record: 84-78

Miami Marlins (Best Bet: Over 68.5 Wins)

It’s hard to get excited about an organization that is coming off a 100-loss season, especially one that is historically known for making questionable personnel moves, but the 2014 Marlins might be one of the few exceptions to that general sentiment. Why, exactly? It may be hard to believe that one man can change the outlook for an entire franchise, but that just might be the case with Jose Fernandez, who dazzled anyone and everyone that watched him pitch at any point after making his major league debut last April. Not only did Fernandez make the all-star team and finish in the top three in NL Cy Young voting, he also took home NL Rookie of the Year honors, while exhibiting all the tools that could make him one of baseball’s best aces over the next decade. And interestingly, the Marlins actually have a talented ensemble of pitchers right behind him on their staff. Jacob Turner, once a top prospect himself in Detroit, was very solid for most of last year, as was Nathan Eovaldi. Those are two critical building blocks that, if they continue their forward progress as above-average major league starters, can really accelerate Miami’s current youth movement. Furthermore, they also have Henderson Alvarez, who threw a no-hitter on the last day of the season, which probably isn’t a coincidence, as he showed promise before coming to the club from Toronto. It doesn’t stop there, as the Marlins have a young bullpen with potential, too. Steve Cishek was terrific last year in his first experience closing out games, converting on all but two of his 36 save opportunities. With hard-throwers Mike Dunn, A.J. Ramos, and newcomer Carter Capps setting him up, there actually could be a recipe for success here. The team also added Carlos Marmol, who still could be very useful in a late-inning role.

Unfortunately, it’s not just quality pitching that wins ballgames, so Miami is hoping for a much-improved offensive showing this season, after finishing last in baseball in batting average and runs scored a year ago. Of course, the effort will revolve around Giancarlo Stanton, who arguably is the most important player in the organization. Stanton, as many already know, has the potential to be the most premier home-run hitter in the game, and being just 24-years old, the sky really is his limit. Thus, given the contract issues that loom over his head, it’ll be extra important to field a productive roster around him, or the Marlins might lose him at some point. Garrett Jones was one name acquired for this push, and considering the power he’s shown in Pittsburgh, that could end up being a wise move. Miami also signed Jarrod Saltalamacchia, who will be an upgrade at catcher on both sides of the ball. The thing that will make or break their lineup, though, could be the progress shown by youngsters Christian Yelich and Marcell Ozuna, who are two of the top blue-chippers the Marlins possess. If they both break through, it could have a domino effect for the rest of the lineup, and if Miami is able to score runs consistently, they genuinely have the makings of baseball’s next break-out team. Look out.

Predicted Record: 78-84

New York Mets

If you ask most Met fans, they’ll tell you they’re still a year away from being a legitimate contender - when the great Matt Harvey comes back from Tommy John surgery - but is it possible they can get back to .500, or maybe beyond that, as early as this season? If you really think about it, the answer just might be yes. Without question, the absence of Harvey, who has already solidified his standing as one of baseball’s best aces for the future, sends shockwaves through the outlook of New York’s “other” baseball team, but even without him, there is still a potentially delightful rotation in place here. To help fill the void, the Mets signed veteran Bartolo Colon, and while it’s doubtful he can duplicate his renaissance season from a year ago, there’s still a fine chance he can remain successful in the lighter-hitting National League. Even if it doesn’t pan out as desired, the Mets have another potential ace on the rise in Zack Wheeler, who is coming off a very impressive rookie campaign and has the same potential Harvey does in evolving into a franchise-type pitcher. The Mets have solid depth behind them with Jon Niese and Dillon Gee, who have both provided steady pitching over the past few seasons, and at some point, they’ll get a good look at another one of their arms of the future in Noah Syndrgaard, who also has unbelievable potential. It’s unfortunate that the bullpen still has its question marks, as while Bobby Parnell was terrific last year closing, the fact remains he’s coming back from neck surgery, which might hinder him early on. Furthermore, New York has a slew of unproven youngsters like Vic Black and Jeurys Familia setting him up, which could end up being a major weakness, just as the bullpen was last year.

On offense, the Mets were a disaster in 2013, finishing only above the Marlins in team batting average and slugging percentage. This year, they addressed those offensive woes, bringing in Curtis Granderson and Chris Young, both of whom should serve as two immediate upgrades in the outfield given what they had prior. Eric Young is there, too, after being a nice spark at the top of the order last year as soon as he was acquired. The infield doesn’t have as many dynamic players, but it does boast team captain David Wright, who is still one of the best third basemen in all of baseball and a serious presence in the middle of the order. Catching prospect Travis d’Arnaud has potential to be a similar type hitter, although he didn’t really hit much in his first taste of big-league action a season ago. The biggest issue, however, is at first base, where the Mets have some sort of messy platoon consisting of Ike Davis, Lucas Duda, and/or Josh Satin. If there are no improvements there, odds are they’ll remain a bottom-feeder offensive team again, which would be a shame, because even without Harvey, the starting pitching can still be superb.

Predicted Record: 77-85

Philadelphia Phillies

If last year was any indication, there could be some dark days ahead for the Philadelphia organization, which is coming off its first losing season since 2002. Yes, it’s been awhile since the Phillies have found themselves below the majority of their division rivals, but that appears to be the case entering 2014 under new manager Ryne Sandberg. That’s not to say this club has no potential for a successful season, as they still possess some of the key veterans that have fueled them in the recent past, to go along with the blooming youngsters on this roster. Two of those aforementioned veterans are Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee, and despite their older age, both proved last year once again that they are still two of the better left-handers in all of baseball. In fact, both comprised one-third of the six National League pitchers that recorded over 200 strikeouts a year ago, and the Phillies are actually getting another veteran from that list to join them this season in A.J. Burnett. If all three can stay healthy and make over 30 starts this year, that could be a huge factor that keeps the Phillies involved in the hunt. Meanwhile, behind them is second-year man Jonathan Pettibone, who was good in flashes last season before getting hurt and has potential to develop into a fine upper-rotation starting pitcher. The bullpen, on the other hand, is more of a variety in terms of age, still anchored by veteran closer Jonathan Papelbon. While many believe Papelbon is at the twilight point of his career, he’s still widely considered as one of the better closers in the NL, and with Antonio Bastardo and Mike Adams setting him up, it’s certainly an above-average group.

Amongst the batting order for the Phillies is a similar trend, being dominated by mostly older veterans in their mid-30’s. Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley, the two longest-tenured members of the team, are still here comprising the middle infield, and while both are clearly in the decline stages of their career, they each may have one more productive season left. Ryan Howard is also an old staple of this lineup, although he’s coming off consecutive years that have been cut short by significant injuries. If he can somehow stay healthy, that’s a main source of power for the Phils, but that’s a big “if.” At the very least, if he does go down again, Philadelphia has a capable replacement in Darin Ruf. Another returning veteran, longtime catcher Carlos Ruiz, has seen his best days at the plate well behind him, but his most valuable asset is the rapport he has developed with the pitching rotation. In the outfield, the Phillies are a little younger with Dominic Brown and Ben Revere, two dynamic players that energize this lineup, and will be joined by the newly-signed Marlon Byrd, who is coming off a career season, albeit at 36-years old. Cody Asche, the youngster manning the hot corner, has some nice potential as a sleeper candidate. It’s clear the window is closing on this aging roster, and with their fellow NL East residents all getting better, it will probably be a difficult campaign for the Fightin’ Phils.

Predicted Record: 71-91

Final Say on the NL East: Things could start to get more interesting in the NL East, after years of having seemingly the same three teams rule over the rest. One of those teams, the Phillies, look like they’re about to enter rebuilding mode for the first time in a long while, considering all the aging players and potential injuries they have on their hands in both their offense and pitching. Thus, they’re in trouble as far as 2014 is concerned. Meanwhile, the Braves could be in a tricky spot, given all the injuries they’ve endured throughout spring training. Overall, they should have enough depth to get by, but it also could potentially open the door for either the Marlins or Mets to surpass them, both of whom should be improved this season. While most figure the Mets are still a year away from being a serious contender, it might be the Marlins who are the most intriguing, as their young pitching looks really sharp and might have enough juice to push them into a position to shock people. If they could improve on last year’s woeful hitting, that could really set them up as this year’s surprise team in the National League, but that’s also a big “if.” That leaves the Nationals as the most sure item left, and with how incredibly deep their starting pitching is, it’s tough to envision them not making some sort of deep run this year. One through five, they can match up well against anyone, and even though they’re currently listed at a relatively unfriendly -125 to win the division, it might be the best futures bet in the NL East.
 

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Wednesday, March 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 1:05 PM ET Detroit -113 500
Philadelphia -

Miami - 1:05 PM ET Atlanta -130 500
Atlanta -

NY Yankees - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees +101 500
Toronto -

Pittsburgh - 1:05 PM ET Minnesota -106 500
Minnesota -

Washington - 1:05 PM ET St. Louis -125 500
St. Louis -

LA Angels - 3:05 PM ET Oakland -115 500
Oakland -

Kansas City - 3:05 PM ET Kansas City +104 500
San Diego -

Seattle - 3:05 PM ET Seattle +104 500
Texas -

Cincinnati - 4:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox -104 500
Chi. White Sox -

Colorado - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -135 500
San Francisco -

Milwaukee - 4:05 PM ET Cleveland -125 500
Cleveland -

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +111 500
Arizona -

NY Mets - 6:05 PM ET NY Mets -108 500
Houston -
 

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Thursday, March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington - 12:10 PM ET Washington -125 500
NY Mets -

Atlanta - 1:05 PM ET Atlanta +130 500
Detroit -

Miami - 1:05 PM ET St. Louis -158 500
St. Louis -

NY Yankees - 1:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +105 500
Pittsburgh -

Toronto - 1:05 PM ET Toronto -115 500
Philadelphia -

Chi. White Sox - 3:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox +105 500
Chi. Cubs -

Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Boston -147 500
Boston -

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +105 500
Baltimore -

LA Angels - 10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -129 500
LA Dodgers -

Oakland - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -135 500
San Francisco -
 

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6d
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Saturday, March 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -150 500
NY Yankees -

Minnesota - 1:05 PM ET Minnesota +129 500
Boston -

NY Mets - 1:05 PM ET NY Mets +102 500
Toronto -

Pittsburgh - 1:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -118 500
Philadelphia -

Detroit - 2:05 PM ET Detroit -104 500
Washington -

Kansas City - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City -113 500
Milwaukee -

Seattle - 3:10 PM ET Seattle -115 500
Colorado -

San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -106 500
Oakland -

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET Arizona -143 500
Arizona -

Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET Cleveland -130 500
San Diego -

LA Dodgers - 9:05 PM ET LA Dodgers +104 500
LA Angels -
 

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Monday, March 31

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Chi. Cubs - 1:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -159 500
Pittsburgh -

Kansas City - 1:08 PM ET Kansas City +146 500
Detroit -

Washington - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets +150 500
NY Mets -

Philadelphia - 2:05 PM ET Texas -106 500
Texas -

Atlanta - 2:10 PM ET Atlanta -109 500
Milwaukee -

Boston - 3:05 PM ET Baltimore +109 500
Baltimore -

Minnesota - 4:10 PM ET Minnesota +150 500
Chi. White Sox -

St. Louis - 4:10 PM ET St. Louis -114 500
Cincinnati -

Toronto - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -165 500
Tampa Bay -

Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Colorado +136 500
Miami -

San Francisco - 9:40 PM ET San Francisco -130 500
Arizona -

Cleveland - 10:05 PM ET Cleveland +118 500
Oakland -

Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle +123 500
LA Angels -
 

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MLB
Dunkel


LA Dodgers at San Diego
The Dodgers open their series in San Diego tonight and are 7-1 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 8 starts when the total is set at 6 1/2 runs or lower. LA is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115). Here are all of today's and Monday's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 30

Game 997-998: LA Dodgers at San Diego (8:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.331; San Diego (Cashner) 14.904
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Under


MONDAY, MARCH 31

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (1:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 16.332; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.404
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+150); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.358; NY Mets (Gee) 13.402
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-170); Under

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 13.972; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.044
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-105); Over

Game 907-908: St. Louis at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.930; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.265
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 909-910: Colorado at Miami (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.296; Miami (Fernandez) 13.374
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-155); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Under

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.638; Arizona (McCarthy) 13.956
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Over

Game 913-914: Kansas City at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.732; Detroit (Verlander) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+140); Under

Game 915-916: Boston at Baltimore (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 17.695; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.850
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 14.665; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.036
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-165); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Nolasco) 14.329; White Sox (Sale) 13.831
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 16.716; Oakland (Gray) 15.601
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over

Game 923-924: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.684; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.123
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Under

Game 925-926: Philadelphia at Texas (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.442; Texas (Scheppers) 14.512
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over
 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, March 30


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LA DODGERS (2 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 0) - 8:05 PM
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RYU is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CASHNER is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.82 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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Monday, March 31

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CHICAGO CUBS (0 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 0) - 1:05 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 127-197 (-41.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-51 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 710-745 (-145.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 127-197 (-41.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 97-71 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 97-71 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 79-58 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 40-45 (-31.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 3-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 0.920.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LIRIANO is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.72 and a WHIP of 1.034.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

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WASHINGTON (0 - 0) at NY METS (0 - 0) - 1:10 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. DILLON GEE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 8-26 (-15.4 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 33-48 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 283-299 (-87.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
NY METS are 13-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 33-48 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. NY METS since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

DILLON GEE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GEE is 7-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 7-5 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-3.0 units)

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ATLANTA (0 - 0) at MILWAUKEE (0 - 0) - 2:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 18-35 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


YOVANI GALLARDO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GALLARDO is 4-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.01 and a WHIP of 1.034.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (0 - 0) at CINCINNATI (0 - 0) - 4:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 84-46 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 32-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 24-9 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 5-9 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 6-9 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.0 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CUETO is 4-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.410.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-5. (+4.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (0 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 0) - 7:05 PM
JORGE DE LA ROSA (L) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 140-251 (-59.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
MIAMI is 22-16 (+11.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
FERNANDEZ is 18-10 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 13-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 13-2 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 10-2 (+8.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 18-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 15-4 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 21-9 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 21-8 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. MIAMI since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 5-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.577.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-4.1 units)


JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.786.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 0) at ARIZONA (0 - 2) - 9:40 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 175-114 (+57.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 89-59 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 962-801 (+113.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 511-505 (+46.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
BUMGARNER is 4-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.153.
His team's record is 7-6 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.4 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (0 - 0) at DETROIT (0 - 0) - 1:05 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 34-21 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SHIELDS is 23-11 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 22-10 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 22-11 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 7-15 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 185-149 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
VERLANDER is 15-22 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 7-11 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 6-11 (-15.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 14-21 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAMES SHIELDS vs. DETROIT since 1997
SHIELDS is 6-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.353.
His team's record is 10-4 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.3 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
VERLANDER is 16-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.153.
His team's record is 18-11 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-12. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (0 - 0) at BALTIMORE (0 - 0) - 3:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 181-149 (+38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-56 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 81-72 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-44 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 166-126 (+42.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TILLMAN is 31-17 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 29-15 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 108-70 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 96-62 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON LESTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LESTER is 15-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 17-8 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.7 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
TILLMAN is 4-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 0) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 0) - 4:10 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 103-45 (+30.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 520-598 (+26.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 12-20 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 10-15 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

R.A. DICKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DICKEY is 4-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRICE is 13-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.065.
His team's record is 15-2 (+11.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (0 - 0) at CHI WHITE SOX (0 - 0) - 4:10 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-16 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 67-82 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NOLASCO is 65-49 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 62-48 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 63-99 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-50 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-94 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
NOLASCO is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALE is 4-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 0) at OAKLAND (0 - 0) - 10:05 PM
JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 98-69 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-33 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 104-62 (+29.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-5 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 95-65 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 124-82 (+43.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 129-89 (+41.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-71 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 87-59 (+43.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 89-68 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MASTERSON is 2-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.731.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (0 - 0) at LA ANGELS (0 - 0) - 10:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WEAVER is 81-32 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 31-7 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 81-32 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 63-26 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 78-84 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-42 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 4-14 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 32-44 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 73-83 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-64 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 8-13 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 14-21 (-9.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-14. (+0.6 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WEAVER is 13-8 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 17-10 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-10. (+2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (0 - 0) at TEXAS (0 - 0) - 2:05 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. TANNER SCHEPPERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 154-170 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-54 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 154-167 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LEE is 28-33 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 28-32 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLIFF LEE vs. TEXAS since 1997
LEE is 7-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 7-4 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.3 units)

TANNER SCHEPPERS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 30


The first 7-10 days we'll be little short on trends, until we get rolling, then we'll have lot of info every day

Hot pitchers
-- Ryu is 3-2, 2.38 in his last six starts. Cashner is 3-2, 0.96 in his last six.

Cold pitchers
--

Hot teams
-- Dodgers won their first two games, scoring ten runs.

Cold teams

Totals
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Cashner starts, 5-2 in Ryu's last seven.




MLB

Sunday, March 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games at home
San Diego is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
 

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Sep 26, 2005
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MLB

Sunday, March 30


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Dodgers at Padres
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (-105, 6.5)

The Los Angeles Dodgers opened their season last week in Australia with a two-game sweep of their closest competition in the National League West from 2013. On Sunday, they will attempt to carry that success over stateside when they open a three-game road set against the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers saw starters Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu hold the Arizona Diamondbacks to one run over 11 2/3 innings en route to a pair of two-run victories.

Thanks in large part to the eight days in between regular-season games and a minor back injury to Kershaw, Ryu will become only the third pitcher since 2002 to start back-to-back contests. The Dodgers are also expected to welcome back left fielder Carl Crawford, who will see his first action of 2014 after skipping the Australia trip to attend the birth of his child. The Padres have finished higher than third in the division only once in seven seasons under manager Bud Black and endured three straight losing campaigns, but closed out 2013 on a high note with a 16-11 record in September.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN

PITCHING MATCHUP:
Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Padres RH Andrew Cashner (2013: 10-9, 3.09)

LINE HISTORY:
The Padres opened as -105 home faves. The total opened 6.5.

INJURY REPORT:
Dodgers - Matt Kemp OF (15-day DL, Shoulder ), Carl Crawford OF (Questionable, personal), Yasiel Puig OF (Probable Tuesday, Back). Padres - Chase Headley 3B (Questionable, Calf), Carlos Quentin OF (Out indefinitely, Knee), Cameron Maybin OF (Mid May, bicep)

WHY BET THE DODGERS:
Ryu injured his right big toe running the bases in the Dodgers’ second victory over Arizona, but is expected to get the call barring any setbacks leading up to the game. The 27-year-old was sharp in his season debut in Australia, limiting Arizona to two hits and a walk while fanning five over five scoreless frames March 22. Ryu, who went 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA against San Diego as a rookie last season, has allowed three or fewer runs in 11 of his last 12 regular-season starts.

WHY BET THE PADRES:
Cashner gets his first career Opening Day nod one year after capitalizing on good health in his first full season in the rotation. The hard-throwing Texas native made 26 starts and got stronger as the season progressed, capping it off with a 2.25 ERA in August and a 0.76 ERA in September, which included a near-no-hitter against Pittsburgh. Cashner is 0-2 with a 1.32 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Dodgers.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in San Diego.
* Dodgers are 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Dodgers are 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Diego.
 

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 30


LA Dodgers at San Diego, 8:05 ET
RYU: 38-24 in road games against right-handed starters
Cashner: 7-4 TSR at home when the total is 7 or less
 

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