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Tar Heels Travel To Take On Miami Hurricanes

How much Austin Rivers' buzzer-beating bomb last week means to the ACC standings in the long run remains to be seen. Its short-term effect is easy to see, however, as the conference enters this week with a three-way logjam at the top and three more squads within two games of first place.

North Carolina is part of the trio that shares the lead, the Tar Heels joined in that group by Duke and Florida State. Roy Williams and the Heels have an opportunity to at least break that deadlock on Wednesday and put some pressure on the Blue Devils and Seminoles who both play Thursday. It won't be easy for UNC, though, who ventures south to Coral Gables for an 8:00 p.m. (ET) match on ESPN against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes.

Opening lines listed the Tar Heels -5 with 145 for the total.

Williams' squad bounced back from the loss to Duke with a very strong showing last Saturday vs. Virginia. The 70-52 win at home was more than enough to cover the 10-point spread, and as has been the case for most games involving the Cavaliers this season, the final tally stayed 'under' the 133-point total. It was the first cover for UNC backers in five contests.

North Carolina's offense was still below par despite putting a dubya on the ledger. Some of that can be attributed to Virginia's fine defense, but not all of it. The Tar Heels sank just one 3-pointer for the second game in a row, hitting 1-of-10 from beyond the arc after a 1-of-6 performance a few days earlier vs. Duke. Long-range shooting isn't supposed to be the Heels' strength, but making 2-of-16 over a pair of games is going to lead to trouble.

Miami enters this matchup off a 64-59 loss at Florida State on Saturday, just grabbing the cover as 6½-point underdogs. The defeat snapped a 5-game win streak for the 'Canes.

The two teams squared off in Chapel Hill on Jan. 10 with UNC extending its streak to nine straight wins in the series with a 73-56 victory. The final margin was barely enough for Heels backers to cover the 16½-point spread and stayed well below the 154½-point total, marking the fifth 'under' in the last six meetings.

Aztecs, Lobos Square Off In Mountain West Bout

Another league to start the week with a three-way tie at the top is the MWC where UNLV, New Mexico and San Diego State each sit 6-2. That makes Wednesday's contest in San Diego between the Lobos and Aztecs either for sole possession or at least a share of first place, depending on the outcome of UNLV's game Tuesday at TCU.

Tip from Viejas Arena is set for 10:15 p.m. (ET) and the game started off as a pick on the early NCAA odds that also made 126 the scoreboard number.

Steve Alford and the Lobos have quietly fashioned a 20-4 overall record behind a stellar and underrated defense that ranks ninth nationally allowing just 57.3 points per game. That number dips to 56.5 in MWC play after holding Wyoming to just 38 points last Saturday when New Mexico picked up its fifth consecutive win since losing back-to-back contests to San Diego State and UNLV about a month ago.

The Lobos have also been making friends with bettors all season. New Mexico has covered all five in the current win streak and stands 16-5 against the spread for the campaign.

Steve Fisher and San Diego State are hoping to bounce back from a tough 65-63 loss at UNLV. The Aztecs did cash for their backers as 10-point underdogs to break a three-game losing skid at the college basketball betting window.

New Mexico and SDSU met in Albuquerque on Jan. 18 with the Lobos laying 10½ on their home court. The Aztecs pulled off the 75-70 upset for their fourth straight win in the series.

Murray State, Saint Mary's Warm Up Before BracketBusters Meeting

When the BracketBusters slate was first announced, Saturday's upcoming battle between Saint Mary's and Murray State definitely stood as the marquee matchup. A bit of the sheen is off now that the Racers saw their undefeated season end about a week ago, but it's still a must-see clash of tournament-bound teams and both are in action against strong competition as part of Wednesday's 70-game slate.

Murray State will make a short haul northwest to face Southeast Missouri State at 8:00 p.m. (ET) in a game that can be seen on ESPN3, while Saint Mary's is home to host the Loyola Marymount Lions in a late-night tip (10:30 ET).

Both games are rematches, with the Racers and Redhawks meeting less than two weeks ago on Murray State's floor. The Racers scored an 81-73 victory over SEMO as 14½-point favorites in a game that went well past the 137½-point total. Southeast Missouri was an 11-point dog at home last February when the two squared off on this floor, and the Redhawks came away with the outright upset, 64-57.

Saint Mary's was 7½-point road chalk on Jan. 26 when the Gaels met the Lions, and just missed the cover with a 71-64 triumph. That game also stayed 'under' the total (143) and marked the 11th-straight win in the series for Saint Mary's.
 

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Cavaliers Continue To Cash For 'Under' Bettors

The Virginia Cavaliers continue to lead all teams with a 16-3 record to the ’under.’
If you're a fan of Big East basketball, you know there is plenty to be thrilled about with your conference. There are going to be at least seven, and perhaps as many as 10 teams from the league, in the NCAA Tournament, including perhaps the tournament's top overall seed, the Syracuse Orange.

However, there is another distinction that the Big East carries this year. This is a conference that boasts a ton of teams that are big time winners for 'over' bettors.

The Villanova Wildcats played 11 straight games past the total until last week's 74-72 win over the Providence Friars. In that stretch, they had scored at least 70 points in nine of the 11 games, and allowed at least 70 in all 11. The Wildcats are 16-5 for 'over' bettors this year, one of the top marks in the entire country.

Villanova isn't nearly alone in the Big East, though. The Marquette Golden Eagles are 14-9-1 towards the 'over,' while the West Virginia Mountaineers are 16-5 in favor of high scoring games as well. Both teams are using their offense to win games in conference play, and the two teams are going to meet up for their one and only scheduled meeting in Morgantown a week from Friday.

While Marquette and West Virginia are setting up for more 'over' games on the horizon, Villanova might be a different story. The next two teams on tap for the 'Cats are the South Florida Bulls and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and they have the two best 'under' records in the league at 15-7 and 14-5-2 respectively.

The team with the most 'overs' in the country is the Denver Pioneers. Denver has played five straight games in the Sun Belt past the total, and will put its 18-6 'over' mark on the line in the last three games of the regular season, all of which will be played at home. In the altitude of Magness Arena, the Pioneers are 9-3 'over' this year.

The Washington Huskies started off the season with a flurry of 'overs,' but since Pac-12 play started, they have had nothing but 'unders' to speak of. In fact, they have had 10 'unders' in a row dating back to January 7.

Next on tap is a game against the Arizona State Sun Devils, who have played four straight 'under' contests and are 15-9 to the low side of totals for the campaign.

Of all of the teams in the country though, the one with the best record for either side of totals is the Virginia Cavaliers. The Cavaliers are a whopping 16-3 'under' for the season, 8-2 that direction in ACC action.

Virginia has the No. 2 ranked defense in the nation, allowing just 51.9 PPG, and it should really be no surprise considering the fact that head coach Tony Bennett was known for his low scoring affairs in his past job with the Washington State Cougars.

The only potential snag for 'under' bettors is that Virginia's next game is against the Clemson Tigers at Littlejohn Coliseum. The Tigers have one of the best 'over' marks among ACC squads at 11-8, and are one of just two teams in the ACC that have forced the Cavaliers into an 'over' contest this year.

The Boston College Eagles are the only other ACC team to do that, and they sit 13-6 to the 'under' for the 2011-12 schedule. Boston College's 8-1 record for 'under' bettors in its first nine conference games went out the window with these last two though, as games against the Florida State Seminoles and Virginia Tech Hokies both went past the total.
 

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Sixers Finish Road Trip At Orlando Magic

The suddenly-warm Golden State Warriors host the Portland Trail Blazers in one of the key matchups of a busy 13-game Wednesday.

Before we get into the huge slate, let’s update an NBA trend we’ve been following all season. The ‘under’ is still leading the way for the year (54.8 percent), but it’s slowly been decreasing. In fact, since the last update on Jan. 30, the ‘over’ is 56-54-2 with Tuesday games still pending.


DATE 'UNDER PCT.
Jan. 10 59.1%

Jan. 30 56.6%

Feb. 13 54.8%



Philadelphia 76ers at Orlando Magic
7:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

The 76ers (20-9 SU, 18-10-1 ATS) are trying to sweep their mini, 3-game road trip after beating Cleveland (99-84) and Charlotte (98-89). Only the Cleveland game was a cover. Orlando is a much tougher opponent and Philly will have to battle center Dwight Howard without oft-injured Spencer Hawes (Achilles, back). Lavoy Allen and Nikola Vucevic have been filling in.

The Magic (18-11 SU, 16-13 ATS) have won and covered their last two games at Milwaukee (99-94) and home to Minnesota (102-89) despite Howard averaging just 11 PPG and shooting a combined 34.6 percent (9-of-26) from the field. Having five players scoring in double-digits gives insurance when someone has an off night.

Orlando has covered 3-straight in this matchup after losing 74-69 as 7½-point ‘dogs in Philly on January 30. The ‘under’ is 5-0 in the last five meetings overall.

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

The Nuggets (16-12 SU and ATS) got a 113-109 Saturday win at Indiana, snapping a 5-game SU and ATS losing streak. They host Phoenix on Tuesday night with leading scorer Danilo Gallinari (ankle) definitely out and starting big men Nene Hilario (calf) and Timofey Mozgov (ankle) likely out. That leaves them very thin up front.

The Mavericks (18-11 SU, 17-12 ATS) are on a 4-game winning streak (3-1 ATS). Point guard Jason Kidd returned for the last three after missing six games with a calf injury. Dirk Nowitzki has picked up his scoring the last six games at 25.7 PPG, versus just 18.5 PPG on the year.

Dallas won in Denver last Wednesday, 105-95 as 1-point ‘dogs. Nowitzki had 25 with Gallinari and Mozgov sidelined.

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors
10:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

Portland (15-13 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) hosts woeful Washington on Tuesday. The Trail Blazers are just 3-6 ATS in back-to-back situations and 1-5 ATS when the game is away like Wednesday. They’re just 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS away this season, scoring a paltry 91.1 PPG compared to a whopping 105.1 PPG at home.

The Warriors (11-14 SU, 12-13 ATS) have won 3-straight games for the first time this year. Those wins at Denver (109-101) and home against Houston (106-97) and Phoenix (102-96) were all covers, with the ‘under’ 3-0 due to some large totals. Stephen Curry tweaked his ankle last game, but is probable.

Golden State has dominated this matchup with 7-straight covers (5-2 SU). The first meeting this year was Jan. 25, a 101-93 Warriors win as 3½-point home favorites.

Wednesday news and notes

Cleveland (10-16 SU, 15-11 ATS) has point guard Kyrie Irving questionable as it hosts Indiana (17-10 SU, 13-14 ATS). He’s been out the last three games, all at home, with the team 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS. Ramon Sessions has averaged 18.3 PPG and 12.3 APG starting in his place. Indiana is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in its last five pending Tuesday’s home game against tough Miami.

Charlotte (3-25 SU, 10-18 ATS) has lost 15-straight heading into Minnesota (13-16 SU, 15-14 ATS). The banged-up Bobcats have only broken 90 points scoring twice in that span, but did cover their last two away at Boston (94-84) and Phoenix (95-89). The Timberwolves are 0-3 SU and ATS since Kevin Love returned from suspension, losing 4-straight overall.

New Orleans (5-23 SU, 11-17 ATS) broke an 8-game losing streak, both SU and ATS, with an 86-80 home win over Utah on Monday. Chris Kaman had 27 points and 13 rebounds with Emeka Okafor (knee) out. Okafor is questionable Wednesday at Milwaukee (12-16 SU and ATS). The Bucks are 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven. The ‘over’ is 6-0 in their last six, allowing a big 107.3 PPG.
 

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Avalanche Look To Cool Off Vancouver Canucks

Returning home from a four-game road trip did not stop the Northwest Division-leading Vancouver Canucks from experiencing an abnormal amount of shootouts. Fortunately for the Canucks (35-15-6), shootouts have been good to them lately.

The end result is Vancouver has won three of its past four and four of five heading into Wednesday’s home game against the Colorado Avalanche (28-25-4) at 10:00 p.m. (ET).

Vancouver is coming off a 2-1 shootout victory against the Phoenix Coyotes (27-21-9) at home on Monday, the eighth time in the team’s last 10 games that the outcome was not decided in regulation. The Canucks have seen seven of their past eight go at least to overtime, with five of six ending in a shootout.

Colorado was who Vancouver beat in a shootout 3-2 to open the four-game road trip on February 4, and the Canucks will face two more teams they beat the same way recently within the next week. The Avalanche have dropped six of their last eight games overall and continue a four-game road trip of their own at Rogers Arena after splitting their past two in OT.

Four other games are on the NHL schedule for Wednesday, including three that will be played earlier in the night. The Pittsburgh Penguins (32-19-5) will get the hockey action started at 7:00 p.m. when they host the Anaheim Ducks (22-24-9), going for their seventh straight home win and third victory in a row overall before leaving for a two-game road trip.

The Penguins have needed extra time to earn four of the wins during their current streak at Consol Energy Center, while Anaheim will be playing on consecutive nights after visiting the Minnesota Wild (25-22-8) on Tuesday in the third game of an eight-game road trip. The ‘over’ is 3-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last four games, but the ‘under’ was on a 4-1 run for the Ducks before playing the Wild.

Two more games face off at 7:30 p.m. with the Ottawa Senators (28-22-8) visiting the Florida Panthers (27-17-11) and the Montreal Canadiens (23-25-9) hosting the Boston Bruins (34-17-2). The Senators will be playing their second of back-to-back nights in Florida after meeting the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-25-6) on Tuesday in hopes of winning for just the second time in 10 games.

The defending Stanley Cup champion Bruins will also be playing their second game in as many days and could be due for a letdown following a home game with the Atlantic Division-leading New York Rangers (36-13-5) on Tuesday. Boston leads the Northeast Division while Montreal is 15 points back and currently out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference.

Wednesday’s only All-Canada matchup rounds out the slate at 10:00 p.m. when the Toronto Maple Leafs (28-22-6) visit the Edmonton Oilers (22-28-5), who are back home for the first of three games after dropping two of three on a three-game road trip. The Oilers will put their four-game home winning streak on the line, but they have lost three of the past four meetings with Toronto. The Maple Leafs had dropped three straight overall heading into Tuesday’s game against the Calgary Flames (26-22-8) that opened a three-game road trip.
 

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Thursday's Tip Sheet

February 15, 2012

**Virginia Tech at Florida State**

--Since joining the ACC in the early 1990s, Florida State (17-7 straight up, 12-10 against the spread) hasn’t won a conference championship of any sort in basketball. The Seminoles haven’t won a regular-season title and came up short in their lone appearance in the ACC Tournament finals. However, there’s a chance this year as they go into Thursday’s action in a three-way tie with Duke and North Carolina for the league lead with identical 8-2 records (pending UNC’s result Wednesday at Miami).

--Leonard Hamilton’s team has won 13 of its 14 home games, compiling an 8-4 spread record in the process. The ‘Noles have won eight of their last nine games, but they have failed to cover the number in three straight outings, including Saturday’s 64-59 home win over Miami as 6 ½-point ‘chalk.’ Bernard James was the catalyst against the Hurricanes, finishing with 18 points, six rebounds and four blocked shots.

--Virginia Tech (14-11 SU, 6-14-1 ATS) has burned the pockets of its backers in six straight games and has failed to cover in 10 of its last 11 outings. Seth Greenberg’s squad won a 66-65 decision over Boston College this past Sunday, but it came nowhere near taking the cash as a 12-point home favorite. Freshman forward Dorian Finney-Smith capped a furious rally from a six-point deficit with 1:39 left by scoring on a putback with 2.6 seconds remaining. He paced the Hokies with 17 points and eight rebounds.

--When these schools met in Blacksburg on Jan. 10, FSU collected a 63-59 victory as a four-point road underdog. The 122 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 128-point total. James was the catalyst for the ‘Noles with 18 points, 15 boards and three blocked shots. Erick Green had a game-high 21 points for the Hokies in defeat.

--The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for FSU, 6-5-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, the Hokies have watched the ‘under’ cash at a 13-8 overall clip.

--The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

--BetOnline.com opened FSU as a nine-point favorite with a total of 126.

--ESPN2 will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Wisconsin at Michigan State**

--BetOnline.com opened Michigan St. (20-5 SU, 15-7 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a miniscule total of 110.

--Tom Izzo’s team has won three in a row and five of its last six both SU and ATS, including Saturday’s 58-48 win at Ohio St. as an 8 ½-point underdog. Adreian Payne made all six of his shots from the floor en route to scoring 15 points to go with four rebounds, two steals and two blocked shots. Draymond Green added 12 points and nine boards in the upset of the Buckeyes, who had won their 39 previous home games.

--Wisconsin (19-6 SU, 13-9 ATS) has prevailed in seven of its last eight games, including last Thursday’s 68-61 win at Minnesota in overtime as a 1 ½-point favorite. Jordan Taylor scored a game-high 27 points, while Ryan Evans finished with 17 points and 11 rebounds.

--Michigan St. has been nasty at home, winning all 15 games while posting a 9-3 spread record.

--Wisconsin has been an underdog three times, compiling a 2-1 spread record with one outright win at Purdue.

--When these Big Ten rivals met in Madison on Jan. 3, Michigan St. captured a 63-60 win in overtime as a 6 ½-point underdog. Green led the way with 18 points and 14 rebounds to offset Taylor’s game-high 28 points on 7-of-11 shooting from the field.

--The ‘under’ is 11-10-1 overall for the Spartans, but the ‘over’ is 7-5 in its home games. The ‘under’ is in the midst of a 4-1 run in MSU’s last five overall games.

--The ‘under’ is 14-8 overall for the Badgers, 3-1 in their last four contests.

--Tip-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**North Carolina State at Duke**

--Duke (21-4 SU, 11-14 ATS) has won back-to-back games since its stunning home loss to Miami on Feb. 5. The Blue Devils rallied in the final two minutes last Wednesday to win at North Carolina on Austin Rivers’s buzzer beater. Then on Saturday, they didn’t fall victim to the classic letdown spot, surging ahead of the number down the stretch to capture a 73-55 win over Maryland as 15-point home favorites.

--BetOnline.com opened Duke as an 11-point favorite with a total of 150.

--North Carolina State (18-7 SU, 9-12 ATS) has won three straight and seven of its last eight, as Mark Gottfried has done an excellent job in his first year after replacing Sidney Lowe, who led the Wolfpack to the 1983 national championship as the school’s starting point guard.

--N.C. St. is coming off a 61-52 win at Ga. Tech last Thursday as a four-point road favorite. C.J. Williams led four double-figure scorers with a team-high 15 points, while C.J. Leslie turned in a double-double with 13 points and 10 boards.

--Duke has an 11-2 SU record and a 5-8 ATS mark at home in Cameron Indoor Stadium this year. The Blue Devils have been double-digit favorites 16 times, going 6-10 versus the number.

--N.C. St. owns a 4-3 spread record with a pair of outright wins in seven previous underdog situations. The Wolfpack has only been a double-digit ‘dog once, losing 74-55 at UNC.

--The ‘over’ is 16-9 overall for Duke, 9-4 in its home games.

--The ‘over’ is 11-10 overall for N.C. St., but the ‘under’ is 4-1 in its last five games.

--The ‘over’ is on a 10-2 run in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these schools.

**Gonzaga at Santa Clara**

--Gonzaga (20-4 SU, 11-12-1 ATS) has won three straight games since losing at BYU on Feb. 2. The Bulldogs picked up a huge win last week when it avenged a loss at Saint Mary’s by trouncing the Gaels 73-59 as 3 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Next, they thumped Loyola-Marymount by a 78-59 count Saturday as 12 ½-point home favorites.

--In the win over LMU, Kevin Pangos led the way with 21 points and nine assists, while Elias Harris posted a double-double with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

--Santa Clara (8-17 SU, 7-15 ATS) has lost 13 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted a victory since beating Eastern Michigan on Dec. 29. The Broncos are returning home after dropping three in a row on the road during an eight-day span. They took the cash in their last outing, an 82-67 loss at Saint Mary’s as 21-point underdogs. Denzel Johnson scored a team-high 17 points in the losing effort.

--Santa Clara has only won six of its 12 home games, limping to an abysmal 2-8 spread record. The Broncos are winless both SU and ATS in three games as home underdogs.

--When these schools met in Spokane on Jan. 12, Gonzaga cruised to an 82-60 home win as an 18 ½-point favorite. Sam Dower came off the bench and scored a game-high 17 points for the Bulldogs, who led 28-26 at intermission before outscoring the Broncos by 20 points in the second half.

--The ‘under’ is 16-7-1 overall for Gonzaga, cashing in six of its last eight games. Meanwhile, Santa Clara has seen the ‘over’ go 14-8 overall, 6-4 in its home outings.

--The ‘over’ has hit at an incredible 18-4 clip in the last 22 head-to-head meetings between these WCC rivals.

--ESPN2 will provide television coverage at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Florida scored the first 16 points of the second half Tuesday at Alabama, breaking open a tie game at halftime en route to a 61-52 win as a three-point favorite. The short-handed Crimson Tide couldn’t buy a bucket in the second half and never got closer than nine after UF’s 16-0 surge. Patric Young scored a team-high 19 points for the Gators, who were playing without their top two reserves, Will Yeugete (concussion) and Mike Rosario (hip pointer). UF plays Saturday at Arkansas and Yuegete isn’t expected to be available. Rosario remains a question mark.

--Anthony Hickey Jr. hit a floater in the lane with two ticks remaining in overtime to propel LSU to a 69-67 home win Tuesday over Mississippi St. Even more disconcerting to the Bulldogs, their stud center Arnett Moultrie suffered a shoulder injury on the final play of regulation and didn’t play in the extra session. Gamblers should check Moultrie’s status before MSU plays Saturday at Auburn.

--UConn announced Wednesday that head coach Jim Calhoun will miss at least three more games.

--George Mason remained atop the Colonial standings thanks to Tuesday’s 63-61 win over VCU thanks to Sherrod Wright’s 25-foot buzzer beater. I’m of the opinion that both of these teams should be in the NCAA Tournament. We shall see…
 

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Magic, 76ers both look to extend win streaks

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (20-9)

at ORLANDO MAGIC (18-11)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Orlando -3½, Total: 178½

After easy wins over two of the Eastern Conference’s weaker teams, Philadelphia’s mini-road trip gets much tougher when it visits Orlando Wednesday night.

The 76ers scored double-digit wins in Cleveland and Charlotte (though they didn’t cover the 12-point spread in the latter) to move to 7-4 SU and ATS on the road this year. But they haven’t exactly been tested often away from home, as they were the favorite in seven of those 11 games (and their lone SU win as a road underdog was against a Hawks team playing without All-Star C Al Horford). The Magic are just 7-9 ATS at home, but have been rolling in February, going 6-2 (5-3 ATS). Who will prevail in this clash of Eastern powers? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

The 76ers will try to control tempo with their slow-down, defensive-minded style. They haven’t topped 100 points in their past 12 games, but have managed to hold opponents to 85.1 PPG during that span. They have far and away the lowest turnover rate in the NBA (10.33 per 100 possessions).

But they’ll have one less body to counter Dwight Howard with, as C Spencer Hawes (10.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG) is out with an Achilles injury. Rookies Nikola Vucevic (5.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and Lavoy Allen (4.9 PPG, 4.3 RPG) will play the majority of minutes in his place. The Sixers will rely heavily on their bench scoring to carry them, as SG Lou Williams (15.9 PPG) is averaging 18.8 PPG over his past four contests, and PF Thaddeus Young (12.8 PPG) has added 15.5 PPG on 62.5% shooting during that span. This FoxSheets trend also sides with Philly:

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 ATS (91.7%, +9.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.8, OPPONENT 89.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Magic are coming off back-to-back SU and ATS wins, at Milwaukee and at home over Minnesota. So far in February, their only two SU losses both came in overtime. The return of SG Jason Richardson (12.3 PPG) has had a lot to do with their strong recent play, as he’s averaging 18.1 PPG and hitting 52.0% of his threes over seven games since returning from a knee injury. He’s helped take the heat off of PF Ryan Anderson (16.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG), who’s averaging 16.5 PPG and hitting 43.1% of his threes this month. C Dwight Howard (20.2 PPG, 15.2 RPG) continues to dominate the paint, averaging 20.9 PPG, 14.9 RPG and 2.4 BPG this month, and he’s even hit 61.4% of his free throws to bring his season average up to 49.4%.

The FoxSheets have a trend based on head coach Stan Van Gundy working in favor of the Magic:

Van Gundy is 73-45 ATS (61.9%, +23.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Van Gundy 97.6, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 1*).
 

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Aldridge-less Blazers visit Golden State Wednesday

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (15-14)

at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (11-14)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:05 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -5, Total: 196½

After a terrible home loss on Tuesday, the Trail Blazers will need to regroup quickly as they head south to Oakland to take on the red-hot Warriors one night later without star PF LaMarcus Aldridge.

Aldridge (22.6 PPG, 8.3 RPG) suffered a sprained left ankle in Portland’s embarrassing 15-point defeat to 15-point underdog Washington Tuesday. The Blazers allowed 124 points on 60% FG to the 7-22 Wizards, giving further evidence of a disappearing defense in the past five games (104.2 PPG on 50% FG). Meanwhile, Golden State is shooting lights-out in its past five contests (107.8 PPG on 49% FG). Not only have the Warriors won the past four games versus Portland by an average of 15.0 PPG, they are also a dominant 11-2-1 ATS (10-4 SU) in the past 14 meetings. Will this trend continue on Wednesday night, or will the Blazers bounce back? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

Portland’s offense will certainly miss its top scorer and rebounder, as the team averages just 91.1 PPG on 41.9% FG on the road this season, going 4-10 SU (5-9 ATS). With Aldridge out, Nicolas Batum (12.9 PPG) will need to continue his offensive surge, building on his career-high 33 points in the loss to the Wizards. Jamal Crawford is second on the team with 14.3 PPG, but he was held to a season-low three points (1-of-5 FG) on Tuesday. Gerald Wallace (13.8 PPG) poured in 25 points versus Washington, giving him 17.3 PPG on a blistering 63% FG in his past four games. The FoxSheets have another trend siding with the Blazers:

Play On - Any team (PORTLAND) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. (129-79 over the last 5 seasons.) (62%, +42.1 units. Rating = 2*).

The Warriors are 12-1 in the past 13 home games versus Portland. Golden State has quite a few players that are sizzling on the offensive end. SG Monta Ellis had 18 points and seven rebounds in Monday’s 102-96 win over Phoenix. It was the team’s third straight win overall and fifth victory in the past seven home games. PF David Lee had a game-high 28 points plus 12 boards against the Suns, and he also scored 26 against Portland in their last meeting on Jan. 25, a 101-93 victory. PG Stephen Curry tweaked his ankle in the last game, but he is expected to start on Wednesday night. That’s bad news for the Blazers, considering Curry lit them up for 32 points on 12-of-19 FG (6-of-8 threes) with seven assists and six rebounds in last month’s meeting. The FoxSheets have another strong trend working against the Blazers:

Play Against - Road teams (PORTLAND) - off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. (45-18 since 1996.) (71.4%, +25.2 units. Rating = 2*).
 

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Nets try to end losing skid hosting Memphis

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (15-14)

at NEW JERSEY NETS (8-21)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Line: Memphis -3½, Total: 187

One night after disposing of rival Houston at home, the Grizzlies make the long trip north to face slumping New Jersey on Wednesday night.

But back-to-backs haven’t been much of an obstacle for the Grizzlies in recent years, as they’re 21-5-1 ATS on the back end over the past two seasons. But although New Jersey has lost six in a row (1-4-1 ATS), the team did sweep Memphis SU and ATS last season. Can the Nets make it three in a row over the Grizzlies? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has started off the week with a strong 4-2 ATS mark.

The Grizzlies beat Houston 93-83 at home on Tuesday night, with PG Mike Conley (12.9 PPG, 6.8 APG) leading the way with 21 points on 7-for-15 shooting, including 3-for-4 from three. Memphis shot 47.9% from the field on the night, their best shooting performance in seven games. On Wednesday, C Marc Gasol (15.1 PPG, 9.9 RPG) figures to present the biggest mismatch for New Jersey, as the Nets continue to rotate the ineffective duo of Johan Petro and Shelden Williams at center while starter Brook Lopez recovers from a foot injury. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Grizzlies:

Play On - Road favorites (MEMPHIS) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. (38-12 since 1996, 76%, +24.8 units. Rating = 3*).

New Jersey has dropped six in a row SU (1-4-1 ATS) and is 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS as a home underdog on the season. The Nets are the NBA’s worst defensive team, surrendering the most points per 100 possessions (109.8). They regularly allow opponents to get to the rim and are allowing the NBA’s highest field goal percentage (49.3%) and three-point percentage (39.5%). During their current six-game losing streak, they’ve given up 104.3 PPG and 50.5% shooting from the field.

PG Deron Williams (20.9 PPG, 8.4 APG) continues to play well offensively during the losing streak, averaging 22.2 PPG and 8.2 APG. PG Jordan Farmar (11.1 PPG) and SG Anthony Morrow (13.7 PPG, 42.0% from three) have both been effective shooting the ball, with Farmar hitting 44.4% of his threes and Morrow 37.9% over the past six games. But they’re not going to be able to generate enough offense to make up for their defensive shortcomings. This FoxSheets trend expects the Nets to win at home:

MEMPHIS is 80-110 ATS (42.1%, -41.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists since 1996. The average score was MEMPHIS 96.0, OPPONENT 99.8.
 

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No. 8 UNC visits Miami Wednesday night

NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (21-4)

at MIAMI HURRICANES (15-8)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: North Carolina -5, Total: 146

No. 8 North Carolina will look to remain with just two conference losses as it heads to the BankUnited Center to take on Miami as road favorites.

North Carolina has beaten Miami nine straight times (6-3 ATS) by an average of 13.0 PPG. When these teams met Jan. 10, the Tar Heels outrebounded the 'Canes 45-29 and won by 17 points despite shooting 2-for-16 from three-point range and having leading scorer Harrison Barnes (17.5 PPG) tally just six points on 2-of-12 FG. But Miami has shown it can beat good teams, beating Duke in Durham earlier this month, and UNC is just 2-4 ATS on the road this year. Can the Tar Heels pull away and beat the Hurricanes comfortably on Wednesday night? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week.

Although Tyler Zeller (16.0 PPG, 9.6 RPG) has been the main offensive force for the Tar Heels as of late (23.3 PPG in past three games), Harrison Barnes (17.5 PPG) is their leading scorer on the season. He is coming off a weak performance against Virginia in which he shot just 4-of-16 from the field, but in the game before that, he torched Duke for 25 points on a bum ankle, 19 of which came in the second half. John Henson (14.0 PPG, 10.3 RPG) joins Zeller to form arguably the nation’s best frontcourt as the reigning ACC defensive player of the year. None of this offense would flow without Kendall Marshall (9.6 APG). Although not a dynamic scorer, at 6-foot-4 he is a physical point guard who is second in the country in passing. Look for him to push the ball for the highest-scoring team in the land (83.5 PPG). This FoxSheets trend also likes the Tar Heels to win and cover on Wednesday.

Play Against - Home teams as an underdog or pick (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. (64-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (66%, +27.7 units. Rating = 2*).

The ‘Canes peaked three games ago with an impressive road win at Duke and would have really made a name for themselves if they had upset the Seminoles on their home floor, where they fell by five. Reggie Johnson (11.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG) was held to just four points in that game, and he will have to bounce back in order to keep Miami competitive in this one. He has proven he can handle top bigs, however, notching a season-high 27 points in the win over Duke. Kenny Kadji (12.6 PPG, 5.7 RPG) joins him as the more athletic part of the frontcourt, with the ability to stretch defenses with his shooting. In the team’s last three games, he has made a total of six three-pointers. Durand Scott (12.6 PPG) and Malcolm Grant (12.1 PPG) are also top scorers for the ‘Canes who will need strong performances from everybody to keep up with a team as deep as the Tar Heels. This FoxSheets trend backs the ‘Canes:

MIAMI is 17-4 ATS (81.0%, +12.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 73.4, OPPONENT 64.0 - (Rating = 3*).
 

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No. 3 Missouri seeks payback for OK State

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (12-13)

at MISSOURI TIGERS (23-2)


Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Missouri -15½, Total: 142½

Oklahoma State looks to get back to the .500 mark, but it won’t be easy taking on No. 3 Missouri on the road.

However, the Cowboys are one of two teams that have actually beaten the Tigers this season, winning 79-72 on Jan. 25 in Stillwater. Also, the Cowboys have been a pesky road team this season, going 5-2 ATS. Mizzou Arena is one of the toughest places to play in all of college basketball, but OSU has lost by more than eight points just once in its past nine trips to Columbia. The Cowboys are also a strong wager against Big 12 foes this season, posting a 7-4-1 ATS mark, which is the same ATS record the Tigers have in conference play. The pick here is OKLAHOMA STATE to keep the final margin within a dozen points.

This rare four-star FoxSheets coaching trend also likes the Cowboys to keep the score tight.

Travis Ford is 14-2 ATS (87.5%, +11.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game as the coach of OKLAHOMA STATE. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 75.1, OPPONENT 68.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Oklahoma State is working on a four-game ATS unbeaten streak (3-0-1 ATS), but the school is coming off a 13-point loss at Kansas on Saturday. The Cowboys couldn’t find the ocean in that defeat, connecting on just 32.7% FG. It was quite a different story last month, as they torched the Tigers by making 60% of their shots, including 67% in front of the arc. Freshman F/G Le’Bryan Nash (13.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG) scored a career-high 27 points in that matchup, while fellow freshman teammate G Brian Williams (8.1 PPG) reached his own career high with 22 points. The defensive star that day was another freshman, F Michael Cobbins, who had 10 rebounds, four blocks and four steals. Senior SG Keiton Page, who leads OSU in points (14.4 PPG) and assists (2.3 APG), had 12 points and five assists against the Tigers, but he has gone cold since that game, shooting just 30% FG and 27% threes.

Missouri ranks seventh in the nation in points (80.2 PPG) and third in FG Pct. (50.0%), but opponents have succeeded in slowing down the Tigers recently. In the past five games, Mizzou’s scoring has dipped to 69.4 PPG, despite a strong 48.8% shooting clip. Missouri has four players averaging 12+ PPG this season, led by senior G Marcus Denmon (18.0 PPG). Denmon scored 17 points in the loss in Stillwater, but he struggled with his shot, going 4-of-16 that night. He has certainly found his stroke lately though, pumping in 23.3 PPG on a blistering 57% FG (14-of-26 threes) in his past three contests. Senior F Ricardo Ratliffe (14.0 PPG) continues to lead the nation with an insane 73.7% shooting clip, and he burned the Cowboys for 25 points and 12 rebounds in last month’s upset loss in Stillwater. The other big scorers for the Tigers are both excellent three-point shooters. Senior G Kim English (14.0 PPG) makes a whopping 47% from behind the arc while junior G Michael Dixon (12.4 PPG) makes a solid 36% of his threes.
 

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Red-hot Canadiens host Bruins Wednesday

BOSTON BRUINS (34-18-2, 70 points)

at MONTREAL CANADIENS (23-25-9, 55 points)


Puck drops: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Boston -120, Montreal +100, Total: 5.5

The Bruins open a season-long, six-game road trip on Wednesday when they travel to Montreal to face their arch rival for the sixth and final time of the season.

After dropping the first two games of this series in October during the Stanley Cup hangover period, the Bruins rattled off three straight wins over the Canadiens, limiting Montreal to just three goals combined. The B’s fell further back in the Eastern Conference standings on Tuesday after a deflating 3-0 loss on home ice to the Rangers, who now lead Boston by nine points for first place in the East. Despite leading the conference in goals (184), the Bruins have mustered just nine tallies in their past six games—part of a 2-4-0 stretch that includes three shutouts. Backup G Tuukka Rask (11-7-2, 2.01 GAA, .932 SV Pct.) should get the start for Boston after Tim Thomas played on Tuesday. Rask is winless in his past four starts and dropped his only appearance against the Habs this year, 4-2 in Montreal on Oct. 29. The Canadiens trail Toronto by seven points for the eight spot in the East, thanks to a hot 4-1-0 stretch. Goaltender Carey Price (21-20-8, 2.35 GAA, .917 SV Pct.) posted two shutouts during the four-game winning streak before losing 5-3 to the Hurricanes on Monday. With the lines at just -120, it may be enticing to take the Bruins in this spot, but the Habs are playing better hockey right now and will play like the more desperate team. With Rask’s recent troubles and Boston playing the second of back-to-back games, take MONTREAL to grind out the win as the home underdog.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Canadiens:

MONTREAL is 12-5 ATS (70.6%, +19.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MONTREAL 3.5, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Despite the Bruins’ mini-slump, they still hold a firm grip over first place in the Northeast Division—leading the Senators by four points with five games in hand. Boston looked unstoppable during an unbelievable 21-3-1 stretch during the months of November and December, but are a less-than-stellar 10-8-1 since that point.

The Bruins’ offense is incredibly balanced, with eight different skaters at 30+ points, led by centers Patrice Bergeron (16 G, 31 A) and 19-year-old Tyler Seguin (20 G, 24 A). Boston is still without RW Nathan Horton (17 G, 15 A), who will miss his eighth consecutive game with a concussion—an injury that has certainly contributed to the Bruins’ recent scoring slump.

On the season, the Canadiens are an average offensive team—scoring just 2.6 goals per game (15th in NHL)—but netted 15 tallies during their recent four-game winning streak. The streak matched Montreal’s longest of the season from late October and early November.

LW Max Pacioretty (23 G, 20 A) leads the Habs in points, and has five goals and an assist in his past five games—including a hat trick in a 4-2 win over the Islanders last week. C Tomas Plekanec (12 G, 28 A) is just as hot—scoring two goals and four assists in his past five contests. Montreal relies heavily on the offensive contributions of these two top-line players to win games, which will ultimately hurt them as they make a push for the playoffs.
 

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Wednesday’s betting tips: UConn stars questionable

Who’s hot

NBA: Cleveland is 13-6-1 against the spread in its last 20 games against Indiana.

NBA: Denver is 21-6 against the spread in its last 27 road games.

NHL: Boston has won seven of its last 10 meetings with Montreal.

NHL: Toronto is 17-8 in its last 26 games vs. Edmonton.

NCAAB: Indiana is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 home games.

NCAAB: Rutgers is 9-4-1 against the spread in its last 14 road games.

Who’s not

NBA: Charlotte is 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 overall.

NBA: Philadelphia is 2-9 against the spread in its last 11 meetings with Orlando.

NHL: Colorado is 3-10 in its last 13 games on three or more days rest.

NHL: Ottawa is 1-9 in its last 10 overall.

NCAAB: The under is 7-19 in Villanova’s last 26.

NCAAB: Georgia Tech is 6-14-1 against the spread in its last 21 road games.

Key stat

8.8 - Despite committing five turnovers or fewer in four straight games, the Boilermakers are just 2-2 straight up over that span. However, they’re also 3-1 against the number in those contests. The team has 13 miscues or fewer in all but one game and is tied with Wisconsin for the lowest turnover rate in the country (8.8 per game). Purdue is set as a 3-point underdog at Illinois.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jeremy Lamb and Andre Drummond, Connecticut Huskies – Both Lamb (toe) and Drummond (ankle) were able to take part in Tuesday’s practice, though Huskies beat writer David Borges tweeted that “it was a struggle for both (especially Lamb).” Drummond is averaging 9.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game while Lamb leads the team putting up 17.2 points per contest. UConn hosts DePaul Wednesday.

Game of the day

New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs (Pick ‘em, 127.5)

Notable quotable

"I do want the ball more in the fourth quarter. That's one thing that I want for myself, so I can become the guy who finishes games for my team. I want to be that guy whose team wants him to close games out for them. Coach just needs to have confidence in me." – Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard told Fox Sports. The Magic are set as 2.5-point favorites against Philadelphia.

Notes and tips

Cleveland Cavaliers rookie guard Kyrie Irving practiced in full on Tuesday and seems poised to return for Wednesday's tilt versus the Indiana Pacers. The top overall pick of the draft, Irving has been sidelined for three games with a concussion. The Cavaliers are awaiting word from the NBA if Irving can return. League protocol on head injuries demands as much. Irving suffered the injury after hitting the knee of Miami guard Dwyane Wade. The 19-year-old Irving averaging 18.0 points and 5.1 assists this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs forward Phil Kessel is the easiest All-Star caliber player to intimidate in the NHL, according to an anonymous poll conducted by Sports Illustrated. The poll revealed that 15 percent of Kessel's peers think he's the easiest to intimidate in the league. While Toronto has lost three straight games, Kessel leads the team with 30 goals and 60 points heading into Wednesday’s game against Edmonton.
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Jeremy Lin nailed a trey with 0:00.5 left, giving the Knicks a 90-87 win at Toronto; New York ended the game on a 13-1 run. Lin had 27 points, 11 assists and eight turnovers.

-- George Mason hit three 3's in the last 0:30, the last one by Sherrod Wright at the buzzer, as Mason stunned VCU, 62-61; excellent game.

-- TCU was down 18 to UNLV with 14:57 left, but stormed back to win 102-97 in OT, a damaging loss for the Rebels' seeding next month.

-- LSU's Anthony Hickey scored on an 8-foot floater with 0:01.4 left, as Bayou Bengals came back from 17 down to beat Miss State 69-67.

-- Red Wings beat Dallas 3-1; they've won 21 in a row at home.

-- Miami crushed the Pacers 105-90, even though they were playing for third night in row. Indiana has now lost five of last six games.


******************


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Trying to esplain the Linsanity........

13) Jeremy Lin has made New Yorkers forget about the Super Bowl less than two weeks after it happened; MSG stock was selling at $32.32 earlier this week, its 52-week high, despite the company losing $10M a month because of a dispute with Time Warner Cable. Sales on the Knicks’ online store are up 3,000% over this time last month; the most amazing thing about that is that they had any traffic at all at this time last month.

12) The MSG-Time Warner squabble over rights fee is a classic battle of greedy bastards; they both make a freakin’ fortune, which is why neither one will give in. You don’t get filthy rich without rippin’ people off, which is what cable/satellite TV is all about.

11) Supposedly young Lin is already booked up for All-Star weekend at lot of big bucks events, as his agent aims to strike while the iron is hot. Right now, that iron is very, very hot, and getting hotter.

10) Lin is on the cover of Sports Illustrated this week, the first Knick on SI’s cover since Marcus Camby in 1999.

9) Whether Floyd Mayweather likes it or not, one of the best things about Lin is that he seems like a nice kid, a normal person, someone who will never be associated with something like this………

8)…It is estimated that Allen Iverson earned $154M in his NBA career, that’s $154 MILLION, but now he is close to broke, as he couldn’t pay $860,000 he owed to a jeweler. How does one person blow $154M so quickly? Guess part of the answer is by running up million dollar tabs at a jeweler, but this is a damn shame. Where was his agent during all this?

7) NBC Sports Channel, the old Versus channel, has signed up the CAA to show a lot of its basketball games starting next year. Always wondered why ESPN never had much to do with the CAA. Good move by NBC.

6) University of North Dakota’s sports teams are the Figthing Sioux, but Sioux City is actually in South Dakota.

5) Tangible benefit for Butler making last two Final Fours; applications to the school are up 42% this spring. You can’t buy the kind of advertising having a good basketball team brings.

4) I’d like to thank the garbagemen who decided to start their Monday work on my street at 6:32am; nothing like the sound of hydraulic lifts 50 feet from your head when you’re trying to sleep. Next Monday I have off; maybe you could start a little earlier?

3) Good news for this summer; Royals have a new TV broadcast team; Steve Physioc/Rex Hudler, who used to work together with the Angels. They’re a good team, fun to listen to. Too bad I don’t have any Royals on my fantasy team.

2) The Beer Institute, wherever that is, reports that total sales of beer were up 2% last year. If you graduate from the Beer Institute, does that mean you have a good head on your shoulders?

1) If you’re a professional athlete or an entertainer making millions, the most important word to learn in the English ****uage is “No”, whether your old friends disown you or not. If you don’t say no to an awful lot of parasites, those people will suck everything out of you until you wind up broke and bitter.

If you don’t believe me, ask Iverson. Ask Michael Vick. Or Mark Brunell. Or dozens of other guys who squandered a fortune. There is no such thing as a bottomless pit of money, a lesson often learned the hard way.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 15


Indiana won five of six Big Dozen home games; they're 3-2 as favorite at home, winning last three home games by 19-14-13 points. Hoosiers are shooting 43.6% behind arc, 2nd in country. Northwestern won three of last four games; they're 2-4 as conference road underdog, losing games on foreign soil by 33-2-20-23-10 points, with lone win at Illinois. Indiana's last four wins are all by 13+ points. Big Dozen home favorites of 7+ points are 16-10 against the spread.

Ohio (+3.5) lost 67-57 at Bowling Green in its MAC opener Jan 7, with Bobcats shooting 38% from floor, 4-20 from arc. Ohio lost last couple games, covered one of last six; they're 3-3 as MAC home favorite, with home wins by 8-22-4-5-4-26 points. Bowling Green won its last four games, allowing average of 51.3 ppg; they're 6-0 vs spread as MAC dog, 4-0 on road. MAC home favorites of less than 9 points are 13-10 against the spread. Bowling Green's MAC losses are by 1-5-2-5 points.

Miami (+17) lost 73-56 at North Carolina Jan 10; Tar Heels grabbed 15 offensive in brickfest, with teams combined 5-32 behind arc. Miami won five of last six games, covering last three; they're 3-0-1 vs spread as dog in ACC, with only one of four league losses by more than 5 points- they are 3-1 at home in ACC, with only loss by 5 to NC State. Tar Heels are 1-3 as ACC road favorite, with wins by 14-15-9 and loss at Florida St. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-5 against the spread.

South Florida (+7.5) upset Villanova 74-57 in Philly Jan 5, one of first signs Wildcats' broken season wasn't getting fixed; Bulls had 36-18 edge on boards, held Villanova to 38% from floor, 4-20 from arc. USF won its last five home games, by 2-1-15-3-12 points; they're 6-2 in its last eight games overall, 2-2 as Big East favorite, 1-2 at home. Villanova lost three of last four games; they're 2-5 as Big East dog, 2-3 on road. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 12-15 against the spread.

Saint Louis won four in row, seven of last eight games; they're 3-2 as a Atlantic 14 home favorite, winning home games by 22-27-24-8 points, with loss to Temple. Three of its eight A-14 wins are by 15+ points. Richmond lost six of last eight games; home team is 8-3 vs spread in its conference games. Spiders are 0-3 as A-14 road underdog, losing away games by 5-18-15-9 points. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 9+ points are 10-6 against the spread.

St Bonaventure won/covered all five of its conference home games, with wins by 10-8-44-15-21 points; home team covered nine of its ten A-14 games. Temple won its last eight games, covering six times; they're 3-1 on A-14 road, with only loss at Richmond. A-14 home teams are 8-4 vs spread when number is 2 or less points. Bonnies turn ball over 22.7% of time, make only 31.2% behind arc, bad combo. Temple scored 73+ in all eight games of win streak; they make 40.9% of shots behind arc (9th).

Wichita State (-6) won 74-67 at Missouri State Feb 1, with its big man Stutz scoring 25 points with 11 rebounds; Shockers won 12 of last 13 games, are 3-4 as MVC home favorite, winning its last six home games by 3-37-43-12-5-25 points. Bears are 4-1 as MVC road underdog, 5-2 SU on road, with Valley road losses by 1 at Northern Iowa, at Illinois State by 7. MVC double digit favorites are 9-12 vs spread, 8-9 at home. Shockers have Bracket Busters game at Davidson on Saturday.

Arkansas is 0-5 on SEC road, 1-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 8-23-6-6-22 points. Home team is 8-2 vs spread in both Arkansas' and Tennessee's SEC games. Vols won/covered four of last five games after starting SEC play 1-4- they're 3-0 as SEC home favorite, winning games by 15-11-12 points. Vols are 5-0 in SEC when they score 67+ points, 0-5 when they don't. Hogs allowed 71+ in four of last five tilts. SEC single digit home favorites are 17-8 against the spread.

Road team is 8-2 vs spread in Southern Mississippi's conference games; Eagles are 1-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 2-4-4-3-4, hard to believe they're 5-0 at home with all wins by 4 or less points. Tulsa is 8-1 in last nine games- they covered five of last six; Hurricane is 2-0 as C-USA underdog- their conference losses ae by 1-2-9 points. Tulsa is #300 in country, turning ball over 23% of time. Conference USA single digit home favorites are 17-19 against the spread.

Illinois (+6.5) lost 75-60 at Purdue Dec 31; Boilers shot 57% for game, 9-17 from arc. Illini lost three games in row (allowing 76 ppg), six of last seven, as NCAA hopes slide away- they're 1-3 as Big Dozen favorite, losing two of last three home games. Purdue allowed 78-87-77 points in last three games; they're 2-1 as conference underdog, 3-3 SU on road, as last two road games were decided by total of five points. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-10 against the spread.

Missouri (-8.5) got upset 79-72 at Oklahoma State Jan 25, OSU made 59.6% of shots for game, which was Mizzou's last loss. Tigers are 5-1 as Big X home favorite, winning home games by 38-11-19-13-3-15 points. Cowboys covered four in row, eight of last 11 games; they're 3-2 as Big X road underdog, losing away games by 9-41-3-15-15 points, with win at Texas Tech. Four of last six Missouri wins were by 3 or less points. Big X double digit home favories are 7-12 against the spread.

San Diego State (+10.5) won 75-70 at New Mexico Jan 18, outscoring Lobos 12-3 from foul line, making 9-20 from arc. Mountain West home teams are 4-8 vs spread when number is less than 5 points. Underdogs are 7-1 vs spread in Aztecs' conference games, with San Diego State 1-3 as favorite, 1-2 at home, winning by 2-13-2-10 points at home. Lobos won last five games, allowing 43 ppg in last three wins, against bottom of league. New Mexico is 1-1 as an underdog this season.

St Mary's (-7.5) won 71-64 at LMU Jan 26, outrebounding Lions 36-19 in game that was 35-31 at half; Gaels are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games, 2-5 as WCC home favorite, winning at home by 16-15-21-8-14-11-15 points- this is Gaels' Senior Night, with Bracket Buster trip to Murray State looming. LMU won four of last five games; they're 6-1 vs spread as a WCC road underdog, with conference losses by 8-4-7-19 points. WCC double digit home favorites are 9-12 against the spread.
 

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Wednesday, February 15


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Game of the day: New Mexico at San Diego State
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New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs (Pick 'em, 127.5)

THE STORY
: First place in the Mountain West is on the line when streaking New Mexico visits No. 15 San Diego State, which beat the Lobos 75-70 on Jan. 14. San Diego State, New Mexico and UNLV are all 6-2 in the Mountain West with six games remaining. The Aztecs have won four straight against New Mexico, but the Lobos have outscored their opponents by an average of 23 points during their current five-game winning streak. The Lobos are allowing just 56.5 points in league play, and they lead the Mountain West in rebounding margin at plus-9.2.

TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network, Channel 4 San Diego

ABOUT NEW MEXICO (20-4, 6-2 Mountain West, 15-6 ATS): Teams are shooting just 37.1 percent against New Mexico, which has held three consecutive opponents to less than 50 points for the first time since 2005-06. Phillip McDonald scored a team-high 20 points in the Lobos’ first game against the Aztecs, and he’s part of a bench that TCU coach Jim Christian calls the deepest in the conference. Forward Drew Gordon, whose father played for San Diego State in the 1980s, averages 11.9 points and 10.5 rebounds. He had 15 points and eight boards in the January loss to the Aztecs. After visiting San Diego State, New Mexico returns home to face No. 11 UNLV on Saturday.

ABOUT NO. 15 SAN DIEGO STATE (20-4, 6-2 Mountain West, 12-9 ATS): The Aztecs committed 17 turnovers in their 65-63 loss at UNLV last Saturday. Jamaal Franklin is making a run at conference player of the year while averaging 16 points and 7.3 rebounds. The power forward has seven double-doubles in his last 11 games, and he’s the only player in the conference to rank in the top three in scoring and rebounds. Point guard Xavier Thames scored 22 points in the first game against the Lobos, and he’s made 41 of his last 43 free-throw attempts. Chase Tapley has averaged 9.8 points in six career games against New Mexico, but he was just 3-of-11 shooting in the teams' first meeting.

TRENDS:

* Lobos are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Diego St..
* Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Lobos are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings.

TIP-INS

1. New Mexico is 49-1 under Steve Alford when scoring 80 points or more, including 15-0 in Mountain West play.

2. San Diego State has won 65 straight games when leading with five minutes to play.

3. The Aztecs are shooting a league-best 78.2 percent from the line in conference games, while New Mexico is at 65.8 percent.
 

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Wednesday, February 15


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Exposing the Top 25: Where the NCAAB polls went wrong
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Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Scott Spreitzer will dissect the new Top 25 rankings. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most overrated Top-25 team: Duke Blue Devils

When I posted Duke in this spot a couple of weeks ago, the Blue Devils made me look good with a loss to Miami at Cameron Indoor. A lucky win over North Carolina coupled with a victory over a rebuilding Maryland program last week doesn’t make Duke a Top-5 team.

Duke would be ranked in the 12-15 range if not for the tradition built by Mike Krzyzewski - and maybe this program deserves the benefit of the doubt in the rankings. But when it comes to ranking teams from a betting perspective, no program deserves a "benefit of the doubt" approach.

Going back to what I wrote a couple of weeks ago, the Blue Devils can be had by quick and athletic squads. Florida State, North Carolina, Ohio State and Temple, combined to make 124 of 227 shots against Duke - a sizzling, 54.6 percent. While all four are solid teams, a Top-5 squad shouldn't struggle that much on the defensive end.

Most underrated Top-15 team: Wichita State Shockers

Wichita State finally broken into the Top 25 but it’s not ranked high enough, according to my power ratings. The Shockers hold a two-game lead over Creighton in the MVC standings with only three conference games remaining.

Wichita State is just a few shots away from a 25-1 SU mark. Three of its losses came against Creighton, Alabama, and Temple and two of the four losses came in overtime. The Shockers have eye-opening blowout wins over UNLV (89-70) and, of course, the recent 89-68 win over the Bluejays.

The Shockers have a well-balanced attack with six players averaging between 14.1 and 8.8 points per game. They can beat you from the outside or go in the paint with 7-footer Garrett Stutz. Wichita State cans 48.4 percent of its shots (18th in Div. I), while holding opponents to 39.8 percent overall.

Wichita State is going to be a tough out in March and deserves a better ranking than several of the teams currently ahead of it. The Shockers must stay focused when they play at Davidson Saturday as part of the Bracket Buster weekend.

Unranked team that should be ranked: St. Louis Billikens

The Billikens, at 20-5 SU, are just a handful of plays from a 24-1 SU mark with all five losses coming against teams that will be playing in postseason tourneys. Rick Majerus has always produced teams that were stingy on the defensive end, and this year they're holding teams to 56.8 points per game – eighth in the country.

St. Louis can also get the job done on the other end of the floor. It averages nearly 70 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting. Forward Brian Conklin has proven to be a tough matchup on offense, averaging almost 15 points a game.

St. Louis should have little trouble in its next three games and will likely be 23-5 SU when it host Xavier in a rematch on February 28.
 

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Wednesday, February 15


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College funds: Wednesday's best NCAAB bets
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Arkansas Razorbacks at Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5, 134.5)

Arkansas already has set a program record for home wins — 17, surpassing the 16 tallied during its run to a national championship in 1993-94 — but heads to Tennessee still seeking its first triumph on the road.

Bruce Mitchell, a backup quarterback for the Razorbacks, helped compensate for the absence of Michael Sanchez during Saturday’s win over South Carolina. He finished with eight points, four rebounds, a block and a steal in his most productive effort since walking onto the team in January.

The Hogs are allowing an SEC-worst 72.1 points in league play, and they’ve surrendered more than 70 in each of their five conference road games.

The Vols, meanwhile, have won four straight at Thompson-Boling Arena since a three-point loss to current No. 1 Kentucky on Jan. 14. Both teams are part of a three-way tie for fifth place in the SEC, so the winner could have an inside track on a first-round bye in the SEC tournament.

Pick: Razorbacks


North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes (5, 146.5)


Big men Tyler Zeller and John Henson recorded double-doubles to help North Carolina defeat Miami 73-56 on Jan. 10, but the backcourt duel was more telling.

Kendall Marshall and Dexter Strickland made 12 of 16 shots from the field and held Miami guards Durand Scott and Malcolm Grant to 6 for 20.

Strickland has since been lost for the season (knee surgery), but the Tar Heels aren’t hurting for offense as they lead the nation in scoring (83.5).

Miami, which had its five-game winning streak snapped at Florida State on Saturday, has output almost 10 points under its average the last two contests.

The Hurricanes need to get Grant going again. The senior guard has just 15 points combined the last three games and is 8 for 40 from the field the last four. Big men Kenny Kadji and Reggie Johnson are both shooting over 50 percent, and Scott is the key threat outside.

Pick: Under
 

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Dunkel


New Mexico at San Diego State
The Aztecs look to take advantage of a New Mexico team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog of 1 to 6 1/2 points. San Diego State is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Aztecs favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15

Game 527-528: Northwestern at Indiana (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 64.015; Indiana 69.099
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5; 155
Vegas Line: Indiana by 9; 149
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+9); Over

Game 529-530: DePaul at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 57.005; Connecticut 66.435
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick N/A

Game 531-532: Charlotte at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.354; Dayton 60.875
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Over

Game 533-534: Detroit at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.762; Wright State 53.849
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 121
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 535-536: Bowling Green at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 54.086; Ohio 62.458
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 8 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Ohio by 6 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-6 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Toledo at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 51.834; Ball State 53.781
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Ball State by 8; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+8); Over

Game 539-540: Miami (OH) at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 54.568; Akron 62.800
Dunkel Line: Akron by 8; 132
Vegas Line: Akron by 10; 127
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10); Over

Game 541-542: Georgia at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 56.704; South Carolina 62.369
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: St. Joseph's at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 63.417; Rhode Island 55.453
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 8; 135
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 5; 140
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-5); Under

Game 545-546: Fordham at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 48.145; Duquesne 60.428
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 12 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 14; 142
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+14); Over

Game 547-548: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 73.836; Miami (FL) 64.547
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-5); Over

Game 549-550: Villanova at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 63.568; South Florida 63.425
Dunkel Line: Even; 126
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+3 1/2); Under

Game 551-552: Rutgers at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 59.289; Notre Dame 73.798
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: Georgia Tech at Wake Forest (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 54.951; Wake Forest 54.178
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1; 136
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+1); Over

Game 555-556: Richmond at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 57.062; St. Louis 67.849
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 11; 132
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 14 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+14 1/2); Over

Game 557-558: Temple at St. Bonaventure (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 67.899; St. Bonaventure 63.833
Dunkel Line: Temple by 4; 133
Vegas Line: Temple by 1 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-1 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: Drake at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 60.612; Bradley 52.312
Dunkel Line: Drake by 8 1/2;
Vegas Line: Drake by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (-1);

Game 561-562: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.633; Northern Illinois 45.838
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6;134
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9); Over

Game 563-564: Missouri State at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 62.068; Wichita State 70.280
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8; 126
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 11 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+11 1/2); Under

Game 565-566: Northern Iowa at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.556; Evansville 61.628
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 3; 127
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1); Under

Game 567-568: Air Force at Wyoming (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 51.550; Wyoming 63.106
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 11 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13; 111 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+13); Over

Game 569-570: Arkansas at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 59.754; Tennessee 67.044
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Over

Game 571-572: Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 58.380; Southern Mississippi 67.272
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 9; 126
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-6 1/2); Under

Game 573-574: Memphis at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.632; Tulane 61.158
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 4 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8; 127
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+8); Under

Game 575-576: UAB at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 57.800; SMU 57.048
Dunkel Line: UAB by 1; 116
Vegas Line: SMU by 1; 111
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+1); Over

Game 577-578: Purdue at Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.741; Illinois 68.335
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 4 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 131
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3); Over

Game 579-580: Providence at Cincinnati (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 58.528; Cincinnati 71.674
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 13; 133
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-10); Under

Game 581-582: Oklahoma State at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 62.569; Missouri 76.255
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Missouri by 16; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+16); Over

Game 583-584: UC-Santa Barbara at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 58.449; UC-Irvine 50.579
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 8; 135
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara 5; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-5); Under

Game 587-588: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 50.322; CS-Northridge 48.481
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 7; 131
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+7); Over

Game 589-590: CS-Fullerton at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 56.896; UC-Riverside 52.024
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 5; 129
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-1 1/2); Under

Game 591-592: New Mexico at San Diego State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 67.292; San Diego State 71.185
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 4;
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 1; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-1);

Game 593-594: Colorado State at Boise State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 60.184; Boise State 59.227
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 141
Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 595-596: USC at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 50.136; UCLA 68.943
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 19; 109
Vegas Line: UCLA by 15; 115
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-15); Under

Game 597-598: Loyola-Marymount at St. Mary's (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 58.058; St. Mary's 69.486
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 11 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 14; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+14); Over

Game 599-600: Chattanooga at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.867; Appalachian State 47.873
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 1; 135
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 4 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+4 1/2); Under

Game 601-602: College of Charleston at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.016; NC-Greensboro 47.206
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7; 144
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4; 149
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-4); Under

Game 603-604: Loyola-MD at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 55.931; Marist 46.693
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 9 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 7 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-7 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Canisius at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 42.192; Niagara 51.423
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 9;
Vegas Line: Niagara by 11 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+11 1/2);

Game 607-608: Iona at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 62.662; Rider 52.299
Dunkel Line: Iona by 10 1/2; 166
Vegas Line: Iona by 8; 161
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8); Over

Game 609-610: Elon at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 47.430; Wofford 55.206
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 8; 133
Vegas Line: Wofford by 9 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+9 1/2); Under

Game 611-612: Samford at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.612; Davidson 66.305
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 19 1/2;147
Vegas Line: Davidson by 17; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-17); Over

Game 613-614: St. Peter's at Fairfield (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.921; Fairfield 58.605
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 12 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 16 1/2; 121
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+16 1/2); Under

Game 615-616: Morehead State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.924; Austin Peay 48.951
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1; 136
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 5; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+5); Over

Game 617-618: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 42.350; Tennessee Tech 54.794
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 12 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 9 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-9 1/2); Under

Game 619-620: Murray State at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 58.020; SE Missouri State 55.957
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 2; 148
Vegas Line: Murray State by 5 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 621-622: SIU-Edwardsville at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 43.212; Eastern Illinois 52.950
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 9 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 7 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (-7 1/2); Under

Game 623-624: Weber State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.872; Montana State 50.839
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 4; 142
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6; 147
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+6); Under

Game 625-626: Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 43.878; Eastern Washington 52.418
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 8 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 7 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-7 1/2); Over

Game 627-628: Sacramento State at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 44.397; Portland State 54.054
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 9 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Portland State by 7 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 631-632: Southern Utah at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 49.663; Oakland 58.212
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 8 1/2; 153
Vegas Line: Oakland by 11; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+11); Over

Game 633-634: Oral Roberts at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 61.192; IPFW 49.634
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 11 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 9; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (-9); Over

Game 635-636: South Dakota at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 50.575; IUPUI 57.552
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 7; 141
Vegas Line: IUPUI by 9 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+9 1/2); Under

Game 637-638: North Dakota State at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 54.578; South Dakota State 66.214
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 11 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 8 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 639-640: UMKC at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 48.898; Western Illinois 53.265
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 4 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 8 1/2; 116 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+8 1/2); Over
 

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Short Sheet

Wednesday's Top College Basketball Trends


BOISE ST is 0-13 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games (vs Colorado St)

NEW MEXICO is 12-1 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games (vs San Diego St)

AKRON is 8-0 ATS in all home games (Miami Ohio)

CINCINNATI is 1-12 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival (vs Providence)

FORDHAM is 2-14 ATS on Wednesday games (vs Duquesne)

OAKLAND is 14-2 ATS off a win by 10pts or more over a conf. rival (vs Southern Utah)

BOWLING GREEN is 11-1 ATS as an underdog (vs Ohio U)
 

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Dunkel


Philadelphia at Orlando
The Sixers look to take advantage of an Orlando team that is coming off a 102-89 win over Minnesota and is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games following a win by more than 10 points. Philadelphia is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sixers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15

Game 501-502: Philadelphia at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 121.623; Orlando 120.924
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 178 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Under

Game 503-504: San Antonio at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.239; Toronto 112.211
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Memphis at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.750; New Jersey 115.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+3 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Indiana at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.408; Cleveland 114.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Detroit at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.894; Boston 124.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 14 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 9; 179
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-9); Over

Game 511-512: Sacramento at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.051; New York 119.350
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: New Orleans at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 110.295; Milwaukee 121.693
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 11 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 9 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-9 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Oklahoma City at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.689; Houston 122.451
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+4); Under

Game 517-518: Charlotte at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 102.208; Minnesota 120.981
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 19; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Denver at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.925; Dallas 121.574
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7); Under

Game 521-522: Atlanta at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.296; Phoenix 114.862
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Portland at Golden State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.105; Golden State 119.501
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Washington at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.004; LA Clippers 124.764
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 18; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-13); Over
 

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