CNOTES Tuesday's MLB Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

MY OH MY....just when you think it can't get worst....just a few more days to make it a decent month. But thread carefully....And as the KAPT said....it can turn and go on a string of positive days. GOOD LUCK !

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
08/23/10 8-11-1 42.11% -2380 Detail
08/22/10 11-16-1 40.74% -2710 Detail
08/21/10 15-16-0 48.39% -845 Detail
08/20/10 13-13-0 50.00% +120 Detail
08/19/10 14-10-1 58.33% +1820 Detail
08/18/10 17-12-0 58.62% +2835 Detail
08/17/10 12-18-0 40.00% -2950 Detail
08/16/10 5-10-1 33.33% -3305 Detail
08/15/10 12-18-0 40.00% -3405 Detail
08/14/10 12-18-0 40.00% -4650 Detail
08/13/10 17-11-2 60.71% +2940 Detail
08/12/10 10-10-0 50.00% -215 Detail
08/11/10 14-15-1 48.28% -575 Detail
08/10/10 16-13-1 55.17% +1530 Detail
08/09/10 9-8-0 52.94% +405 Detail
08/08/10 11-14-2 44.00% -1720 Detail
08/07/10 19-8-1 70.37% +6000 Detail
08/06/10 14-13-1 51.85% +425 Detail
08/05/10 7-12-1 36.84% -3050 Detail
08/04/10 13-16-0 44.83% -1395 Detail
08/03/10 16-14-0 53.33% +1195 Detail
08/02/10 10-10-0 50.00% -250 Detail
08/01/10 8-21-1 27.59% -7790 Detail
Totals 283-307-14 47.97% -17970


Tuesday, August 24Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Oakland -108 500
Cleveland - Under 7.5 500

Kansas City - 7:05 PM ET Kansas City +157 500
Detroit - Over 9.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Washington -137 500
Washington - Over 8.5 500 *****

Houston - 7:05 PM ET Houston +251 500 *****
Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +218 500 *****
Pittsburgh - Under 7 500

NY Yankees - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +102 500
Toronto - Under 10 500

Seattle - 7:10 PM ET Boston -203 500
Boston - Under 9 500 *****

Florida - 7:10 PM ET Florida -119 500
NY Mets - Under 6.5 500 *****

Minnesota - 8:05 PM ET Texas -135 500
Texas - Under 8.5 500

Baltimore - 8:10 PM ET Baltimore +158 500 *****
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

LA Dodgers - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee +116 500 *****
Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

Atlanta - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -106 500
Colorado - Over 9 500 *****

Tampa Bay - 10:05 PM ET Tampa Bay -101 500
LA Angels - Under 8.5 500

Arizona - 10:05 PM ET Arizona +171 500 *****
San Diego - Under 7.5 500

Cincinnati - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -108 500
San Francisco - Under 7.5 500 *****

--------------------------------------------------------

.....good luck !

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Tuesday, August 24

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals (-123, 8.5)

If there is one things the Cubs can do well – and they can’t say it about much – it’s hit the absolute heck out of left-handed pitching.

The loveable losers have scored a staggering 162 runs against South Paws this season, the eighth-most in the league. The Cubbies also are hitting a staggering .280 against lefties this year – the highest average in baseball and seven points higher than the next closest team.

And not only is the team hitting, but raking for power.

Chicago has 86 doubles and 36 home runs against lefties this season and a National League-leading .449 slugging percentage against them.

“It’s about making adjustments,” Marlon Byrd told ESPN.com. “When they come in looking at the film, they have to figure out what they’re looking at and fix it the next time out. The learning curve up here is tough.”

John Lannan and the Nationals won’t be graded on a curve on Tuesday night.

Pick: Cubs


Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Indians (+101, 7.5)

This one might be so low scoring that it seems like the teams aren’t even using bats.

Overall, Oakland has a 49-66-8 over/under record and has seen six of its past 10 fall short of the total. Cleveland is 58-60-6 overall against the total and has gone 3-3 against the number the past six.

Meantime, neither offense is setting the world on fire. Both teams are in the bottom seven of the Majors in runs scored, with both struggling to just put the ball in play. The Athletics are hitting just .256 and the Indians are even worse at .247.

And then there’s the starters. Cleveland hurler Faustio Carmona may be struggling, but has shut down Oakland in two starts against them this season, yielding a meager four runs over 14.1 innings. Oakland’s Gio Gonzalez also has been dominant against the Indians, allowing no earned runs over 13.2 innings.

"When he commands both sides of the plate with the fastball, he's deadly because his curveball is so good," Oakland second baseman Mark Ellis said of Gonzalez to the San Jose Mercury News. "He's grown up every time he goes out there, keeping his composure.”

Pick: Under



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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streakers

R.A. Dickey, New York Mets (8-5, 2.41 ERA)

The 35-year-old knuckleballer has been absolutely dealing his past two starts.

Dickey, who has a special glove he makes his catchers wear, has gone 17.1 innings combined his past two starts, including one complete game. Over that span he has allowed only two earned runs and struck out 13 against only two walks.

There actually is a Yahoo! Answers question entitled “Who the Hell is R.A. Dickey?” Don’t get caught asking the same thing.

Travis Wood, Cincinnati Reds (4-1, 2.51 ERA)

The 23-year-old South Paw has been dynamite for the upstart Reds this season.

Wood has won his past four starts by being economical with his pitches and inducing lots of fly ball outs. In his four victories he has forced 48 fly ball outs compared to just 20 ground balls. This is a huge reason he has allowed only six earned runs over his past 24.2 innings.

"Everything was feeling pretty good," Wood told the Associated Press. "We're playing well right now. Hopefully we can carry it over and just keep moving on with it."


Slumping

Carl Pavano, Minnesota Twins (4-3, 5.01 ERA)

The mustache has taken several big hits in his past two starts.

Well, to be totally fair, he allowed only one home run the last two times he took the mound, but it was the 24 other hits he yielded over his past 12.1 innings Over that span he has allowed nine earned runs and has failed to throw at least 100 pitches in either outing.

"Maybe I'm getting a little too much of the plate and the ball's up a little bit or maybe I'm being a little too predictable as far as my pitch sequences," Pavano told the Associated Press. "It's something I'm going to have to revisit and look at and make some adjustments, that's for sure."

Rodrigo Lopez (5-11, 4.94 ERA)

The right-hander has seen better days.

The over has hit in his past three straight starts with opponents finishing with at least five runs in each of those outings. Overall, he has allowed 13 total runs over his past 15 innings.

He also has allowed a combined three home runs the past two times he toed the rubber.



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This Day in Baseball
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On August 24 in Baseball History...

1894 - Chicago catcher Pop Schriver becomes the first player to catch a ball dropped from the top of the Washington Monument.

1905 - The Chicago Cubs beat the Phillies at Philadelphia 2-1 in 20 innings behind the complete game pitching of Ed Reulbach.

1918 - Secretary of War Newton D. Baker grants an extended exemption to players in the World Series. Three days later the National Commission gets an official approval to play from General Enoch Crowder, providing that 10 percent of the revenues go to war charities.

1919 - Cleveland pitcher Ray Caldwell is flattened by a bolt of lightning in his debut with the team. He recovers to get the final out of the game, and defeats Philadelphia, 2-1.

1940 - Left fielder Ted Williams of the Boston Red Sox pitches the last two innings in a 12-1 loss to the Detroit Tigers. Williams allows three hits and one run but strikes out Tiger slugger Rudy York. Joe Glenn, who caught Babe Ruth's last pitching appearance in 1933, is Williams'catcher.

1943 - The Philadelphia Athletics drop their 20th game in a row, losing to Chicago 6-5. This ties the American League record. They dodge the bullet in the nightcap by scoring eight runs in the second inning to win 8-1.

1945 - Cleveland ace Bob Feller returns from the Navy and attracts a crowd of 46,477, who watch him strike out 12 and yield only four hits in a 4-2 win over Detroit's Hal Newhouser. He will get nine starts during the remainder of the year, including a one-hitter and a pair of four-hitters.

1951 - In another of Bill Veeck's legendary PR stunts, "Fans Managers' Night," a thousand fans behind the Browns dugout are given yes and no placards to vote on decisions by the Browns coaches. The fans coach the Browns to a 5-3 win over Philadelphia.

1971 - Ernie Banks hit the 512th and final home run of his career as the Chicago Cubs beat the Cincinnati Reds 5-4. Banks' shot came off Jim McGlothlin in the first inning.

1975 - After stealing second base in the seventh to add to his major league record of 38 consecutive steals, Davey Lopes is nabbed in the 12th inning by Montreal catcher Gary Carter. The Expos beat the Dodgers in 14 innings 5-2.

1982 - Kansas City's John Wathan steals his 31st base of the season in a 5-3 win over the Rangers, breaking the single-season record for catchers set by Ray Schalk in 1916. Wathan will finish the season with a career-high 36 stolen bases.

1983 - After six Major League seasons playing infield positions, Oriole Lenn Sakata moved behind the plate to catch relief pitcher Tim Stoddard who had also just entered the game. The Blue Jays looked to capitalize and Stoddard was ready picking off at first base in order Barry Bonnell, Dave Collins and Upshaw to record all three inning outs.

1983 - First baseman Pete Rose does not play in Philadelphia's 5-3 loss to the Giants, ending his consecutive games played streak at 745. Manager Paul Owens had planned to use Rose as a pinch-hitter in the 10th inning, but Joel Youngblood ends the game with a two-run home run off Steve Carlton in the bottom of the ninth.

1989 - After weeks of legal wrangling, Commissioner Bart Giamatti permanently bans Pete Rose from baseball for his alleged gambling on major league games. Although the five-page document signed by both parties includes no formal findings, Giamatti says that he considers Rose's acceptance of the ban to be a no-contest plea to the charges.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel



Minnesota at Texas
The Twins look to bounce back from yesterday's 4-0 loss and build on their 7-1 record in Carl Pavano's last 8 road starts. Minnesota is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 14.999; Washington (Lannon) 13.853
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Over

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.796; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 12.786
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-240); Under

Game 905-906: Houston at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.750; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.051
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-255); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-255); Under

Game 907-908: Florida at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.176; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.793
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.372; Milwaukee (Bush) 16.400
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Over

Game 911-912: Atlanta at Colorado (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.238; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.491
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 14.067; San Diego (Richard) 16.614
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-200); Over

Game 915-916: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 15.512; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.697
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Under

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Moseley) 16.206; Toronto (Rzepczynski) 15.202
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Over

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.030; Detroit (Porcello) 14.922
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+140); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 16.117; Cleveland (Carmona) 13.534
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Pauley) 15.946; Boston (Beckett) 14.890
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+180); Over

Game 925-926: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 16.419; Texas (Lewis) 14.828
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Under

Game 927-928: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.748; White Sox (Floyd) 15.934
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-175); Under

Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.548; LA Angels (Santana) 16.232
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Write-Up


Tuesday, August 24

Hot pitchers
-- Lannan is 3-0, 3.44 in his last three starts. Zambrano is 1-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels has a 2.87 RA in his last seven starts, but no wins; Philly scored total of two runs in his last three outings. Astros won last five Norris starts (4-0, 3.58).
-- Dickey has a 2.31 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 1.20 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
-- Lowe has a 2.96 RA in his last four starts.
-- Richard is 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Wood is 4-0, 2.55 in his last four starts. JSanchez is 2-2, 3.09 in his last four starts.

-- GGonzalez is 4-3, 2.83 in his last ten starts.
-- Guthrie is 3-1, 3.10 in his last four starts.
-- Pavano is 4-1, 2.60 in his last five road starts.
-- ESantana is 3-0, 2.66 in his last three starts. WDavis is 4-0, 3.41 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maholm is 1-5, 8.63 in his last six starts.
-- JJohnson is 1-2, 5.01 in his last five starts.
-- Bush is 1-2, 6.85 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa is 1-3, 5.96 in his last eight starts.
-- Lopez is 0-4, 7.00 in his last seven starts.

-- Moseley is 2-2, 5.87 in his last four starts. Rzapczynski is 1-1, 4.98 in his four starts this season.
-- Porcello is 1-3, 6.67 in his last five starts. Davies has a 4.56 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Carmona is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-2, 10.69 in his last three starts. Fister is 1-6, 4.66 in his last 11 starts.
-- Lewis is 0-5, 3.20 in his last six starts; Rangers scored seven runs in those six games.
-- Floyd is 0-2, 9.75 in his last couple starts.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine St Louis road games.
-- Eight of last ten Washington home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Houston road games.
-- Five of last six games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-2 in last dozen games at Miller Park.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Colorado home games.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Arizona road games.
-- Six of last eight Giant games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Kansas City road games.
-- Last seven Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Boston home games.
-- Five of last seven Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Baltimore road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won their last three games by combined score of 24-3.
-- Phillies are 14-5 in their last nineteen home games.
-- Marlins won five of their last six games. Mets are 9-3 in game following their last twelve losses.
-- Brewers won four of their last five games.
-- Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 games. Rockies won eight of their last ten home games.
-- Padres are 12-3 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Reds won eleven of their last fourteen road games. Giants are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.

-- Bronx won five of its last seven games. Toronto is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
-- Tigers won last four games by combined score of 31-6.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight home games.
-- Twins won eight of their last eleven games. Rangers are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Rays won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Nationals are 4-11 in their last fifteen games. Cubs lost 20 of their last 26 games.
-- Astros lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six road games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Oakland lost six of its last seven road games. Indians lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Royals lost 14 of their last 17 road games.
-- Mariners lost 18 of their last 25 road games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games. Orioles lost six of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost six of their last eight games.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Tuesday, August 24

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chi Cubs are 6-19 SU in their last 25 games
Washington is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. BOSTON
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Seattle is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. NY METS
Florida is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

8:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

8:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. COLORADO
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Colorado is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing San Diego
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
San Diego is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. LA ANGELS
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

10:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Tuesday, August 24

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Tips and Trends
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Florida Marlins at New York Mets [7:10 PM ET]

MARLINS: (-120, O/U 6.5) Florida is in a very similar situation to the Mets, as they are likely on the outside looking in with regards to the playoff chase. Florida is 62-61 SU this year, 10.5 games behind the National League East division lead. The Marlins +1.90 and -1.49 units both SU and on the RL overall this season. Florida has a relatively young core of players, so finishing the season strong is of great importance to them. Ace pitcher Josh Johnson will take the mound tonight, as he is 11-5 with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.06 this year. The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Marlins are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a loss. Florida is 1-4 in their last 5 road games against a right-handed starter. The Marlins are 24-10 in Johnson's last 34 starts against the National League East. Florida is 38-18 in Johnson's last 56 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Marlins are 3-7 in Johnson's last 10 starts as a road favorite. Florida is 2-7 in Johnson's last 9 starts during game 1 of a series. The Marlins are 1-5 in Johnson's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.

Marlins are 7-1 last 8 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.
Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.

Key Injuries - C Ronny Paulino (suspension) is out.

Projected Score: 3 (UNDER-Total of the Day)

METS: New York has become resigned to the fact that they won't be in the playoffs this season. The Mets are 62-62 SU this year, including an impressive 36-22 SU at home. New York is -1.91 and +20.65 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. The Mets offense has hit the Marlins pitching staff well of late, so it will be interesting to see how they do against one of the best in the game. Upstart R.A. Dickey will make the home start tonight, as he is 8-5 with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.16 this year. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games during game 1 of a series. New York is 11-4 in their last 15 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 games following an off day. New York is 16-35 in their last 51 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 games against the National League East. New York is 5-1 in Dickey's last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Mets are 2-6 in Dickey's last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Mets are 10-3 last 13 games as a home underdog.
Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Key Injuries - LF Jason Bay (concussion) is out.

Projected Score: 2



Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers [8:10 PM ET]
DODGERS: (-140, O/U 8.5) Los Angeles has fallen completely out of the National League playoff chase, as they are an astounding 12 games behind the National League West standings. The Dodgers have been brutal on offense, as they simply can't get their pitchers any run support. The Dodgers are 63-62 SU overall this year, including 24-35 SU on the road. Los Angeles is -10.32 and -10.47 units both SU and on the RL respectively this year. Pitcher Ted Lilly has been near unhittable since joining the Dodgers. Lilly is 7-8 this year, with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.03 overall this year. Lilly is a perfect 4-0 however since joining Los Angeles. The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 Tuesday games. Los Angeles is 3-8 in their last 11 games against a right-handed starter. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 games against the National League Central. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 starts overall.

Dodgers are 5-13 last 18 games following an off day.
Over is 6-1 last 7 games following an off day.

Key Injuries - SS Rafael Furcal (back) is out.

Projected Score: 3

BREWERS: Milwaukee has been playing better of late, a much needed sign for the Brewers faithful. The Brewers are easily one of the most talented teams in baseball, yet they can't get anything to show for it with regards to their record. Milwaukee is 59-65 SU this year, including 30-32 SU at home. The Brewers are -5.18 and -15.77 units both SU and on the RL overall this season. Pitcher Dave Bush will get the start tonight, as he is 6-10 with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.53 this season. The Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 11-4 in their last 15 games as a home favorite. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games during game 1 of a series. Milwaukee is 18-42 in their last 60 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Brewers are 4-1 in Bush's last 5 starts with 6 days of rest. Milwaukee is 17-36 in Bush's last 53 starts as an underdog. The Brewers are 4-11 in Bush's last 15 starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 0-4 in Bush's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

Brewers are 10-3 last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games against the National League West.

Key Injuries - RF Corey Hart (hamstring) is probable.

Projected Score: 5 (SIDE of the Day)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet


Tuesday, August 24

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CHICAGO CUBS (52 - 74) at WASHINGTON (53 - 72) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 148-183 (-66.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-74 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-37 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 17-34 (-23.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-36 (-25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-74 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 17-24 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-80 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-33 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-33 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ZAMBRANO is 76-52 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 76-50 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 74-124 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 172-277 (-56.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 7-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.269.
His team's record is 7-4 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.2 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LANNAN is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 2-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (68 - 54) at PITTSBURGH (41 - 84) - 7:05 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 65-53 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-32 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 67-54 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MAHOLM is 17-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 55-26 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 35-18 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 13-1 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 55-25 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 14-36 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 46-88 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-83 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-60 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-63 (-30.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-59 (-23.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 16-42 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 41-83 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-1 (+4.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 7-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 8-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-1. (+8.2 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.6 units)

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HOUSTON (55 - 69) at PHILADELPHIA (70 - 54) - 7:05 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 20-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 27-27 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 47-47 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-69 (+2.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 44-35 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 55-69 (+2.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-19 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HAMELS is 31-30 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 2-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 31-29 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 13-17 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NORRIS is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.845.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAMELS is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 5-2 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.1 units)

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FLORIDA (62 - 61) at NY METS (62 - 62) - 7:10 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 37-51 (-14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 36-22 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 14-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
NY METS are 12-5 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
NY METS are 36-22 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 25-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
NY METS are 34-26 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 71-65 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 25-20 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 233-215 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 75-67 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 93-85 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
FLORIDA is 65-61 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
FLORIDA is 35-23 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
JOHNSON is 48-24 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 32-15 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 47-23 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 233-227 (-58.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-5 (+2.9 Units) against NY METS this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.6 Units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. NY METS since 1997
JOHNSON is 7-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.075.
His team's record is 9-2 (+9.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.5 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. FLORIDA since 1997
DICKEY is 1-2 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 7.80 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.5 units)

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LA DODGERS (63 - 62) at MILWAUKEE (59 - 65) - 8:10 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. DAVE BUSH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 12-22 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 65-62 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 54-53 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 65-62 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LILLY is 26-37 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 8-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-32 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-17 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 10-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-32 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BUSH is 33-54 (-22.8 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+2.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

TED LILLY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LILLY is 4-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

DAVE BUSH vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BUSH is 1-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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ATLANTA (73 - 52) at COLORADO (64 - 60) - 8:40 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 23-9 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 114-94 (+30.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 33-19 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 85-66 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 74-53 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 74-53 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 65-61 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 39-44 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 38-39 (-9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 27-36 (-18.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 65-61 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LOWE is 9-7 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 11-8 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-9. (+0.1 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.725.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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ARIZONA (49 - 76) at SAN DIEGO (74 - 49) - 10:05 PM
RODRIGO LOPEZ (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 14-31 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 47-76 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 30-51 (-23.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 83-130 (-42.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 49-77 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 19-40 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 143-175 (-55.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 72-49 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 47-37 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 50-37 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 41-31 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 36-18 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-21 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-50 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-28 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 36-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 29-22 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 30-21 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARD is 16-7 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARD is 30-20 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
RICHARD is 23-11 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LOPEZ is 88-85 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 8-4 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

RODRIGO LOPEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. ARIZONA since 1997
RICHARD is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (72 - 53) at SAN FRANCISCO (70 - 56) - 10:15 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-34 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 174-106 (+42.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 70-57 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 90-52 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 69-55 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 73-53 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 49-34 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 30-22 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 73-53 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 24-17 (+10.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 36-27 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-6 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-7 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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NY YANKEES (77 - 48) at TORONTO (65 - 59) - 7:07 PM
DUSTIN MOSELEY (R) vs. MARC RZEPCZYNSKI (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-31 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 65-60 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-21 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 18-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 28-22 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 40-36 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 54-43 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 153-81 (+38.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 (+4.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

DUSTIN MOSELEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
MOSELEY is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.622.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MARC RZEPCZYNSKI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RZEPCZYNSKI is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (53 - 72) at DETROIT (62 - 63) - 7:05 PM
KYLE DAVIES (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 118-169 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-29 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 93-55 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 93-55 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIES is 35-32 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 14-10 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 12-7 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 11-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 149-171 (-44.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 223-229 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 89-121 (-47.1 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 5-13 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
DETROIT is 90-105 (-36.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-5 (+1.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.1 Units)

KYLE DAVIES vs. DETROIT since 1997
DAVIES is 2-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.620.
His team's record is 3-6 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.88 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.6 units)

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OAKLAND (61 - 62) at CLEVELAND (50 - 74) - 7:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 32-49 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 11-22 (-13.0 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 60-57 (+3.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 101-100 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-42 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 230-160 (+65.2 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 106-155 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 75-111 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 116-172 (-37.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 61-80 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-2 (+1.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.16 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
CARMONA is 3-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.82 and a WHIP of 1.708.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.3 units)

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SEATTLE (49 - 76) at BOSTON (72 - 54) - 7:10 PM
DAVID PAULEY (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 24-51 (-26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 57-108 (-43.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
SEATTLE is 14-41 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 50-75 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 21-44 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 21-55 (-29.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 49-73 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 14-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday this season.
BOSTON is 59-36 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 96-94 (+6.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-34 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-3 (+0.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

DAVID PAULEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAULEY is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.058.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BECKETT is 4-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 5-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (72 - 53) at TEXAS (70 - 54) - 8:05 PM
CARL PAVANO (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 108-83 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 157-129 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 42-26 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 154-117 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 119-90 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 68-48 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-34 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 106-80 (+12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-21 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 72-53 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-12 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
PAVANO is 35-24 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 20-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 30-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 16-7 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 18-9 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAVANO is 17-10 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 10-14 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LEWIS is 2-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

CARL PAVANO vs. TEXAS since 1997
PAVANO is 1-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.889.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LEWIS is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.406.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (44 - 81) at CHI WHITE SOX (67 - 57) - 8:10 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 24-62 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-70 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-55 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 109-179 (-39.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-25 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 42-99 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 12-31 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 223-183 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-22 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLOYD is 31-13 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 31-13 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 16-3 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
FLOYD is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 0.918.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (77 - 48) at LA ANGELS (62 - 64) - 10:05 PM
WADE DAVIS (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 19-28 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 114-82 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 560-553 (+45.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 164-134 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 27-14 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SANTANA is 9-3 (+7.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 32-14 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 36-20 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 38-24 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 59-65 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-48 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

WADE DAVIS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SANTANA is 4-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.9 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 8/24/2010

CHICAGO CUBS at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
ZAMBRANO: 13-3 TSR in road games in the second half of the season
LANNAN: WASHINGTON 2-14 after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games

ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET
WAINWRIGHT: 13-1 TSR in road games against division opponents
MAHOLM: PITTSBURGH 8-26 with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent

HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
NORRIS: HOUSTON 12-3 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs
HAMELS: 2-7 TSR in August games

FLORIDA at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
JOHNSON: FLORIDA 12-23 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
DICKEY: 8-2 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150

LA DODGERS at MILWAUKEE, 8:10 PM ET
LILLY: LA DODGERS 57-36 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
BUSH: 2-10 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

ATLANTA at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
LOWE: 2-8 TSR in the second half of the season
DE LA ROSA: 22-8 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10

ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
LOPEZ: ARIZONA 1-10 after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games
RICHARD: SAN DIEGO 15-2 as a favorite of -150 or more

CINCINNATI at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET
WOOD: CINCINNATI 55-109 after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base
SANCHEZ: SAN FRANCISCO 18-6 in home games after 3 straight games without a stolen base

NY YANKEES at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
MOSELEY: 8-0 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5
RZEPCZYNSKI: TORONTO 13-4 OVER when playing on Tuesday

KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
DAVIES: 7-2 TSR as an underdog of +150 or more
PORCELLO: DETROIT 5-13 when playing on Tuesday

OAKLAND at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
GONZALEZ: OAKLAND 15-4 UNDER in August games
CARMONA: CLEVELAND 11-2 UNDER after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base

SEATTLE at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
PAULEY: SEATTLE 8-32 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
BECKETT: BOSTON 14-4 when playing on Tuesday

MINNESOTA at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
PAVANO: MINNESOTA 11-2 after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games
LEWIS: 2-7 TSR in the second half of the season

BALTIMORE at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:10 PM ET
GUTHRIE: 11-4 TSR against AL Central opponents
FLOYD: CHI WHITE SOX 6-16 on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors

TAMPA BAY at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
DAVIS: TAMPA BAY 15-6 in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
SANTANA: LA ANGELS 6-15 after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

 

[CNOTES]

Daily Sports Roundup: August 24

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Rays continue their series against the Angels in Los Angeles, while the Reds look for a victory over the Giants out in San Francisco.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League schedule for Tuesday offers up Oakland at Cleveland, Kansas City at Detroit, the Yankees at Toronto, Seattle at Boston, Minnesota at Texas, Baltimore at the White Sox, and Tampa Bay at Los Angeles. Wade Davis (9-9, 4.45 ERA) will get the ball for the Rays on Tuesday, while the Angels counter with Ervin Santana (13-8, 3.93 ERA). Righthander Davis (sore shoulder) is expected to come off the disabled list for Tuesday's start; he was knocked around by the Twins in his last outing on August 5, allowing six runs over six innings of work. Righthander Santana has picked up the win in each of his last three starts, holding the Red Sox to two runs on four hits over seven innings last time out. Los Angeles is 5-1 in Santana's last six starts.

Over in the National League on Tuesday it's then St. Louis at Pittsburgh, Houston at Philadelphia, the Cubs at Washington, Florida at the Mets, the Dodgers at Milwaukee, Atlanta at Colorado, Arizona at San Diego, and Cincinnati at San Francisco. Tim Wood (4-1, 2.51 ERA) is slated to go up against Jonathan Sanchez (9-8, 3.47 ERA) in that Reds/Giants matchup. Lefthander Wood won for the fourth straight time in his last start, surrendering just one run on four hits over 6 1-3 innings against the Diamondbacks. Lefthander Sanchez dazzled the Phillies in a win last time out, giving up just one run on two hits over his eight innings of work. Sanchez walked two and fanned seven that day

 

[CNOTES]

Bettors' best friend: Tuesday's wagering tips

Line to keep an eye on

Yankees at Blue Jays: The total opened at 10 and now sits at 9.5.
Weather to watch

Twins at Rangers: There is an expected 11 mph wind blowing in from left center field.

Braves at Rockies: There is an expected 10 mph wind blowing in from right center field.

Cubs at Nationals: 50 percent chance of rain.

Houston at Philadelphia: 30 percent chance of rain with a 12 mph wind blowing in from center field.

Oakland at Cleveland: There is an expected 10 mph wind blowing across the diamond from first toward third.

Marlins at Mets: 30 percent chance of rain and an expected 15 mph wind blowing in from left center field.

Mariners at Red Sox: 30 percent chance of rain with a 15 mph wind blowing in from center field.

Reds at Giants: There is an expected 10 mph wind blowing from the third base line toward right center field.

Who’s hot

The Twins are 21-6 in their past 27 games.

The over is 15-5-1 in the Brewers’ past 21 games.

The Rays are 26-10 in their past 36 games as a favorite.

Who’s not

The Pirates are just 18-51 in their past 69 games.

The under is 10-1 in the Mets past 11 games.

The Orioles are 18-53 in their past 71 road games.

Key stat

2: Times a pitcher has thrown a perfect game and then lost against that team later this season. After Dallas Braden lost 3-2 to the Rays, he joined Roy Halladay, who lost to the Marlins, as the only two pitchers to earn the distinction since Sandy Koufax in 1965.

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

Saturday night was the first time since May that the Phillies had their one through eight hitters from Opening Day together in the lineup. That didn’t last long. Nursing a slim lead over the Cardinals, the Phils had to sit Placido Polanco on Monday because of soreness in his left elbow – the same elbow that put him on the 15-day DL earlier this year. Losing Polanco would be a huge blow to Philadelphia, as he is hitting .317 with six home runs and 41 RBI.

Game of the Day

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants (-103, 7)

Notable quotes

"If you guys want to talk about football, we'll talk about football. But to keep on talking about things outside of football to me is completely ridiculous. I did have a conversation with him. If you want to talk about football, we'll talk about football." – Redskins coach Mike Shanahan on being done discussing Albert Haynesworth.

Tips and notes

Know why it’s the year of the pitcher? Because managers are letting their pitchers stay on the mound longer. This season, 58 pitchers are averaging at least 100 pitches per start, up 42 percent from this same time last season. It also is the first time in more than a decade at least 58 hurlers have broken the century mark for their average pitch count. Don’t expect that number to dip as teams need to rely on their best players coming down the stretch.

How important is the rushing attack to the Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints? The defending champions actually ran the ball more times last season than the run-heavy Baltimore Ravens. But the ground game has popped a serious tire in the Big Easy. Running back P.J. Hill suffered a triceps injury against the Texans and will go on IR if no one claims him off waivers. Lynell Hamilton already has been put on IR and Mike Bell signed this offseason with Philly. After Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush, the next options are Ladell Betts, Chris Ivory and DeShawn Wynn. The second half of the team’s next two preseason games will be ugly.

Things just got a little stickier for South Carolina. Coach Steve Spurrier just suspended tight end Weslye Saunders indefinitely and the standout player’s availability is in question for the season opener against Southern Miss on Sept. 2. Saunders, a senior, is regarded as the top prospect at his position in the draft and losing him would be a big blow to the Gamecocks, who are listed at -14 against the Golden Eagles.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's six-pack

-- Of the 120 Division I college football teams, 68 made money LY.

-- Out of those 68, only 14 athletic departments turned a profit.

-- Check out Joey Votto's stats; what a season he's having, just about as good as Albert Pujols, which is pretty damn good.

-- Jason Heyward reached base 10 consecutives times before making an out in 7th inning at Colorado last night.

-- Jose Bautista hit his 40th HR Monday; his previous high? 16.

-- According to a website that graphs such things, if Bautista played his home games in Boston, he'd have four more HRs. If he played for Detroit, he'd have seven less dingers.


************************************************** *******


Tuesday's List: Handicapping trends for all the NFC teams.......

Arizona-- 16-8 at home last three years, after being 24-32 in seven years before that; are 13-5 in NFC West last three years, 14-16 in other games. Over last five years, over is 12-3 in their last three games of year. With Kurt Warner retired, have to improve running game that has ranked 28th or worse in each of the last five years.

Atlanta-- Had first-ever back/back winning seasons LY; are 12-2-1 as a single digit favorite last three years, 13-6 vs spread in last 19 games on natural grass- they covered 14 of last 20 vs AFC teams. Weird schedule in that they don't play division rival Carolina until Weeks 14-17.

Carolina-- Very inexperienced at QB with Delhomme gone; lost four of last five home openers (were favored in four of five). They're 26-15-1 vs spread in divisional games last seven years, 13-8 vs spread in game after a loss. Panthers won't pay a coach big $$$; Fox is likely a lame duck.

Chicago-- Over last decade, 14th is highest Bears ranked in yardage thru air; that should change with Martz coaching Cutler; they've been ranked higher than 23rd in scoring once in last 10 years. 1-8-1 as road underdog last two years, 5-14-2 vs spread after a win, 11-18-2 as road underdog vs non-divisional opponents.

Dallas-- Over last decade, are 15-23-2 vs spread vs AFC teams, 3-8 as a double digit favorite since '07. In last five years, over is 12-7-1 in their first four games of season- they averaged 36 ppg in first two games of last three years. Are 6-2 as road dog vs non-divison foes since 2005.

Detroit-- Minus-37 in turnovers last four years, ranked higher than 24th in rushing once in last nine years. Lion QBs been sacked 212 times last four years. Detroit is 5-11-1 vs spread on grass, 7-21-2 vs spread in the rare games they played in the week following winning a game.

Green Bay-- Pack is 17-7 vs spread outside its division last four years; are +35 in turnovers last four years, after being -13/-24 in turnovers with Favre at QB in '04-'05. Improved LY from 26th to 1st in stopping run. Over last three years, over is 11-4 in their first five games of the season.

Minnesota-- 10-5 vs spread in divisional home games last five years, are just 12-22-1 vs spread in last 35 games on grass. Three of their first six games this season are in primetime, a sign NFL knew Favre was coming back. Have 131 sacks last three years, ranking 8-4-1 in that category.

New Orleans-- LY was first time in five years they were + in turnovers; are just 2-6 in last eight games as double digit favorite. 8-0 vs spread in AFC games last two years (13-18-1 from 2000-07), are 14-5-1 against non-division foes last two years. Ranked 1-4-1-1 in total offense the last four seasons. How will they react to being the defending champs?

NJ Giants-- Only once in last four seasons have they won more games than they've lost at home; are 12-6 vs spread as favorite of three points or less since '05. Giants are 9-4-1 vs spread as dog of 3 or less points in last four years. 6-2 in last eight tries as a road dog in divisional games.

Philadelphia-- Over last three years, Eagles are 11-3 vs spread as a home favorite in non-division games, 1-6 in divisional games. Philly is 8-3 as a road underdog last four years, but just 7-13 last 20 times they were fave of three or less points. Lot of pressure on Eagles' new QB Kolb.

Rams-- 6-42 last three years, have been underdog last 36 games they've played, are minus-28 in turnovers last three years. Have been minus-10 or worse in turnovers seven of last ten years. 7-14 vs spread as dog at home since '07; they're 9-3-1 vs spread in game after one of rare wins.

San Francisco-- Are 13-43 on road since '06, haven't had winning season since '04, but are 4-5 favorites to win shaky NFC West. Improved from -17 to +9 in turnovers LY, but won only one more game. Need running game to rank better than 27-25-25 it has last three years. Just 2-6-1 as a road favorite the last eight years.

Seattle-- Pete Carroll brought in Alex Gibbs as new OL coach, so Seattle will chop block and run ball better; they ranked 26th running ball LY, so lot of room to improve. Seahawks are 6-19-2 vs spread as road dog vs non-division foes, 4-13 in all games as road dog since '07. Ranked 28th in sacks LY, after ranking in top ten four years before that.

Tampa Bay-- Hard to believe Bucs were last in NFL in rush defense LY; favorites are 9-3-1 vs spread in last 13 home division tilts. Bucs are 2-8 as road favorite in non-division games, 8-14-1 as single digit dog, 2-9-1 vs spread vs AFC teams. QB Freeman broke tip of his thumb, his subs are very inexperienced, but Tampa Bay is favored in season opener.

Washington-- Over last five years, Redskins scored just 13.7 ppg over first two games of season; over last three years, under is 11-3-1 in first five games of season. Have another new coach/OC, but Shanahan is a two-time champ, so improvement expected. Skins are 5-13-1 as a home favorite since '06, 10-5-3 as road dog since '07.